|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:46:35 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 30.74 °F/hr | 46.722 | -34.21% | 0.677 | 13.77 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:46:34 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 36.002 °F/hr | 39.076 | -7.87% | 0.677 | 3.57 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/01/26 17:32:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.685 °F/hr | 36.03 | +18.5% | -0.007 | 0.93 | -5.07 |
30.5%
|
Volume cap: showing the latest 200 anomalies in this view. Narrow the time period to inspect earlier events.
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:46:35 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 30.74 °F/hr | 46.722 | -34.21% | 0.677 | 13.77 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:46:34 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 36.002 °F/hr | 39.076 | -7.87% | 0.677 | 3.57 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/01/26 17:32:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.685 °F/hr | 36.03 | +18.5% | -0.007 | 0.93 | -5.07 |
30.5%
|
| 10/28/26 18:42:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 22.957 °F/hr | 24.18 | -5% | 0.016 | -0.24 | 5.4 |
28.3%
|
| 10/28/26 16:27:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 18.851 °F/hr | 25.5 | -26.1% | -0.019 | -1.64 | -7.87 |
48.5%
|
| 10/22/26 19:40:42 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 41.239 °F/hr | 48.924 | -15.71% | 0.715 | 3.27 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/22/26 18:40:42 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 39.841 °F/hr | 49.42 | -19.38% | 1.052 | 4.1 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/22/26 17:40:41 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 40.177 °F/hr | 47.531 | -15.47% | 0.645 | 3.18 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/22/26 16:40:41 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 41.502 °F/hr | 47.983 | -13.51% | 0.715 | 3.72 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/22/26 11:40:41 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 44.471 °F/hr | 38.387 | +15.85% | -0.535 | 2.81 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 20:40:35 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 42.777 °F/hr | 31.808 | +34.49% | 1.343 | 7.43 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 17:40:35 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 38.841 °F/hr | 35.302 | +10.02% | 1.343 | 3.23 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 16:40:35 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 36.295 °F/hr | 27.801 | +30.55% | -1.023 | 7.3 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 15:25:35 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.063 °F/hr | 32.6 | +10.6% | 0.015 | 1.67 | 7.36 |
46.1%
|
| 10/18/26 16:50:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.395 °F/hr | 10.15 | +248.6% | -0.002 | 4.56 | - |
50.7%
|
| 10/18/26 16:45:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.001 °F/hr | 10.08 | +257.2% | -0.006 | 4.86 | - |
54%
|
| 10/18/26 16:40:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.817 °F/hr | 10.01 | +277.9% | 0.006 | 5.45 | - |
60.6%
|
| 10/18/26 16:35:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.894 °F/hr | 9.94 | +261% | 0.016 | 5.31 | - |
59%
|
| 10/18/26 16:20:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.682 °F/hr | 9.81 | +212.8% | 0.002 | 4.65 | - |
51.7%
|
| 10/18/26 16:15:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.079 °F/hr | 9.76 | +208.1% | 0.003 | 4.68 | - |
52%
|
| 10/18/26 16:10:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 29.1 °F/hr | 9.72 | +199.5% | 0.008 | 4.6 | - |
51.1%
|
| 10/18/26 16:05:21 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 26.823 °F/hr | 9.68 | +177.1% | 0.026 | 4.17 | 5.64 |
51.4%
|
| 10/18/26 16:00:21 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 18.898 °F/hr | 9.67 | +95.4% | 0.023 | 2.25 | 5.14 |
38.2%
|
| 10/18/26 13:05:21 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 5.687 °F/hr | 10.61 | -46.4% | -0.024 | -0.99 | -6.42 |
37.6%
|
| 10/16/26 12:50:18 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 15.192 °F/hr | 26.35 | -42.3% | -0.01 | -2.32 | -5.85 |
42.1%
|
| 10/16/26 09:30:16 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 19.238 °F/hr | 27.9 | -31% | -0.006 | -2.76 | -5.26 |
41.6%
|
| 10/16/26 08:40:15 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 20.559 °F/hr | 28.02 | -26.6% | -0.008 | -2.56 | -7.16 |
50%
|
| 10/11/26 16:48:31 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 45.434 °F/hr | 39.09 | +16.2% | 0.028 | 2.3 | 15.47 |
90.2%
|
| 10/06/26 11:47:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.444 °F/hr | 38.56 | -31.4% | -0.002 | -4.6 | - |
51.1%
|
| 10/06/26 11:42:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.969 °F/hr | 38.61 | -30.2% | -0.004 | -4.55 | - |
50.5%
|
| 10/06/26 11:27:11 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 31.813 °F/hr | 38.75 | -17.9% | -0.027 | -2.8 | -7.45 |
52.8%
|
| 10/05/26 14:12:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 29.546 °F/hr | 39.85 | -25.8% | 0.001 | -4.63 | - |
51.5%
|
| 10/05/26 14:07:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 29.242 °F/hr | 39.87 | -26.7% | -0.025 | -4.94 | - |
54.9%
|
| 09/26/26 15:56:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.876 °F/hr | 40.15 | -23.1% | -0.009 | -5.11 | - |
56.7%
|
| 09/26/26 15:41:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.844 °F/hr | 40.26 | -20.9% | -0.014 | -4.95 | - |
55%
|
| 09/25/26 12:31:46 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.44 °F/hr | 44.83 | -3.1% | -0.006 | -0.89 | -5.36 |
31.7%
|
| 09/21/26 17:31:40 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 35.769 °F/hr | 32.56 | +9.9% | 0.048 | 0.35 | 13.05 |
67.2%
|
| 09/20/26 20:11:38 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 31.311 °F/hr | 33.25 | -5.8% | 0.017 | -0.38 | 7.38 |
39%
|
| 09/19/26 17:06:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.291 °F/hr | 39.93 | -24.1% | -0.003 | -4.93 | - |
54.8%
|
| 09/19/26 17:01:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.068 °F/hr | 39.97 | -22.3% | -0.004 | -4.69 | - |
52.1%
|
| 09/18/26 18:26:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.343 °F/hr | 46.35 | -17.3% | -0.008 | -4.76 | - |
52.9%
|
| 09/18/26 17:36:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.72 °F/hr | 46.49 | -14.6% | -0.007 | -4.95 | - |
55%
|
| 09/16/26 17:46:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 48.798 °F/hr | 44.32 | +10.1% | 0.013 | 3.8 | 7.98 |
61.1%
|
| 09/15/26 07:46:32 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.774 °F/hr | 44.66 | -10.9% | -0.012 | -1.49 | -6.65 |
41.5%
|
| 09/15/26 07:41:32 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.257 °F/hr | 44.67 | -3.2% | -0.012 | -0.43 | -7.41 |
39.5%
|
| 09/14/26 19:36:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 44.243 °F/hr | 45.82 | -3.4% | -0.008 | -0.55 | -5.15 |
28.8%
|
| 09/14/26 00:35:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.912 °F/hr | 39.33 | +21.8% | 0.002 | 4.57 | - |
50.8%
|
| 09/14/26 00:20:17 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.078 °F/hr | 39.27 | +19.9% | 0.001 | 4.55 | - |
50.5%
|
| 09/14/26 00:15:17 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 46.846 °F/hr | 39.25 | +19.3% | 0.002 | 4.54 | - |
50.5%
|
| 09/12/26 15:25:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.096 °F/hr | 29.09 | +41.3% | 0.03 | 3.83 | 14.9 |
95.7%
|
| 09/10/26 16:10:04 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 47.754 °F/hr | 44.81 | +6.6% | 0.037 | 0.64 | 6.87 |
37.9%
|
| 09/10/26 13:55:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 48.099 °F/hr | 44.47 | +8.2% | 0.058 | 0.79 | 18.37 |
96.2%
|
| 09/10/26 12:05:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 37.505 °F/hr | 45.08 | -16.8% | 0.028 | -2.21 | 10.66 |
65.6%
|
| 09/10/26 12:00:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 28.99 °F/hr | 45.14 | -35.8% | -0.017 | -4.9 | - |
54.4%
|
| 09/07/26 19:19:46 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 46.71 °F/hr | 40.97 | +14% | 0.013 | 1.21 | 4.79 |
44.3%
|
| 09/07/26 17:44:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 47.416 °F/hr | 39.96 | +18.7% | 0.015 | 1.41 | 5.87 |
53.8%
|
| 09/07/26 17:14:45 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.542 °F/hr | 39.66 | +14.8% | -0.008 | 1.07 | -3.52 |
34.1%
|
| 09/07/26 01:04:41 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.521 °F/hr | 34.35 | +15% | 0.009 | 1.24 | 3.81 |
37.6%
|
| 09/06/26 14:39:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.091 °F/hr | 37.16 | -29.8% | -0.001 | -3.22 | - |
53.6%
|
| 09/06/26 14:34:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.496 °F/hr | 37.19 | -28.8% | -0 | -3.16 | - |
52.7%
|
| 09/06/26 14:29:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.522 °F/hr | 37.23 | -28.8% | -0 | -3.22 | - |
53.6%
|
| 09/06/26 14:24:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.666 °F/hr | 37.27 | -28.5% | 0.002 | -3.24 | - |
54%
|
| 09/06/26 14:19:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26 °F/hr | 37.31 | -30.3% | 0.005 | -3.52 | - |
58.7%
|
| 09/06/26 14:14:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 24.501 °F/hr | 37.35 | -34.4% | -0.002 | -4.12 | - |
68.6%
|
| 09/06/26 14:09:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 25.001 °F/hr | 37.4 | -33.2% | -0.001 | -4.08 | - |
68%
|
| 09/06/26 14:04:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 25.287 °F/hr | 37.45 | -32.5% | 0.002 | -4.11 | - |
68.4%
|
| 09/06/26 13:59:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 24.716 °F/hr | 37.5 | -34.1% | -0 | -4.45 | - |
74.2%
|
| 09/06/26 13:54:38 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 24.859 °F/hr | 37.55 | -33.8% | -0.006 | -4.56 | - |
76%
|
| 09/06/26 13:49:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.666 °F/hr | 37.6 | -29.1% | 0 | -4.02 | - |
67.1%
|
| 09/06/26 13:44:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.522 °F/hr | 37.65 | -29.6% | -0.003 | -4.2 | - |
70.1%
|
| 09/06/26 13:39:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 27.366 °F/hr | 37.69 | -27.4% | -0 | -3.99 | - |
66.6%
|
| 09/06/26 13:34:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 27.511 °F/hr | 37.74 | -27.1% | 0.001 | -4.05 | - |
67.5%
|
| 09/06/26 13:29:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 27.221 °F/hr | 37.78 | -28% | -0.002 | -4.3 | - |
71.7%
|
| 09/06/26 13:24:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 27.8 °F/hr | 37.83 | -26.5% | 0.002 | -4.19 | - |
69.8%
|
| 09/06/26 13:19:38 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 27.076 °F/hr | 37.87 | -28.5% | 0.006 | -4.66 | - |
77.6%
|
| 09/06/26 13:14:38 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 25.228 °F/hr | 37.92 | -33.5% | -0.004 | -5.76 | - |
96%
|
| 09/06/26 13:09:38 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 26.351 °F/hr | 37.97 | -30.6% | -0.008 | -5.52 | - |
92%
|
| 09/06/26 13:04:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 28.844 °F/hr | 38.01 | -24.1% | -0.004 | -4.48 | - |
74.6%
|
| 09/06/26 12:59:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.104 °F/hr | 38.05 | -20.9% | 0.002 | -3.96 | - |
66%
|
| 09/06/26 12:54:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 29.366 °F/hr | 38.09 | -22.9% | -0.002 | -4.47 | - |
74.5%
|
| 09/06/26 12:49:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.1 °F/hr | 38.13 | -21.1% | 0.005 | -4.21 | - |
70.1%
|
| 09/06/26 12:44:38 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 28.631 °F/hr | 38.18 | -25% | -0.003 | -5.18 | - |
86.4%
|
| 09/06/26 12:39:38 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 29.513 °F/hr | 38.22 | -22.8% | -0.005 | -4.88 | - |
81.3%
|
| 09/06/26 12:34:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.924 °F/hr | 38.25 | -19.2% | 0 | -4.2 | - |
70%
|
| 09/06/26 12:29:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.776 °F/hr | 38.29 | -19.6% | -0.003 | -4.41 | - |
73.6%
|
| 09/06/26 12:24:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.684 °F/hr | 38.32 | -17.3% | 0.006 | -3.97 | - |
66.1%
|
| 09/06/26 12:19:38 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 29.809 °F/hr | 38.37 | -22.3% | -0.013 | -5.3 | - |
88.3%
|
| 09/06/26 12:09:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.044 °F/hr | 38.43 | -14% | -0.003 | -3.37 | - |
56.1%
|
| 09/05/26 19:09:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 39.71 °F/hr | 42.18 | -5.9% | 0.011 | -0.77 | 5.91 |
48.7%
|
| 09/05/26 15:29:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.972 °F/hr | 43 | -18.7% | -0.004 | -3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 09/05/26 15:04:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.271 °F/hr | 43.1 | -18.2% | 0 | -3.13 | - |
52.1%
|
| 09/05/26 14:59:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.159 °F/hr | 43.12 | -18.5% | 0.001 | -3.23 | - |
53.9%
|
| 09/05/26 14:54:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.794 °F/hr | 43.15 | -19.4% | 0.001 | -3.46 | - |
57.6%
|
| 09/05/26 14:49:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.524 °F/hr | 43.17 | -20% | -0.008 | -3.66 | - |
61%
|
| 09/05/26 14:34:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.995 °F/hr | 43.23 | -16.7% | -0.006 | -3.18 | - |
53.1%
|
| 09/05/26 14:24:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.596 °F/hr | 43.26 | -15.4% | -0.002 | -3 | - |
50.1%
|
| 09/05/26 14:14:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.166 °F/hr | 43.29 | -16.5% | -0.005 | -3.3 | - |
55.1%
|
| 09/05/26 13:44:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.964 °F/hr | 43.38 | -14.8% | 0.002 | -3.21 | - |
53.4%
|
| 09/05/26 13:39:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.233 °F/hr | 43.4 | -16.5% | 0.001 | -3.66 | - |
61%
|
| 09/05/26 13:34:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.896 °F/hr | 43.43 | -17.3% | -0.009 | -3.94 | - |
65.7%
|
| 09/05/26 13:24:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 38.421 °F/hr | 43.45 | -11.6% | 0.008 | -2.69 | 3.57 |
47.9%
|
| 09/05/26 13:19:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.914 °F/hr | 43.47 | -17.4% | -0.009 | -4.15 | - |
69.1%
|
| 09/04/26 17:09:14 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.766 °F/hr | 39.84 | +14.9% | -0.008 | 2.11 | -3.7 |
44%
|
| 09/04/26 16:59:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 47.07 °F/hr | 39.76 | +18.4% | 0.013 | 2.65 | 6.41 |
67.8%
|
| 09/04/26 15:19:14 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.53 °F/hr | 39.18 | +11.1% | -0.009 | 1.49 | -4.88 |
47.3%
|
| 09/04/26 15:04:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 45.682 °F/hr | 39.09 | +16.9% | 0.014 | 2.3 | 8.24 |
78%
|
| 09/02/26 15:09:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.086 °F/hr | 40.67 | -23.6% | 0 | -3.31 | - |
55.1%
|
| 09/02/26 15:04:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.086 °F/hr | 40.72 | -23.7% | -0.003 | -3.38 | - |
56.3%
|
| 09/02/26 14:59:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.133 °F/hr | 40.76 | -21.2% | 0 | -3.06 | - |
51.1%
|
| 09/02/26 14:54:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.133 °F/hr | 40.79 | -21.2% | 0.003 | -3.12 | - |
52%
|
| 09/02/26 14:49:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.086 °F/hr | 40.84 | -23.9% | -0.006 | -3.58 | - |
59.6%
|
| 09/02/26 14:39:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.787 °F/hr | 40.92 | -22.3% | 0.002 | -3.45 | - |
57.5%
|
| 09/02/26 14:34:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.186 °F/hr | 40.96 | -23.9% | 0.001 | -3.77 | - |
62.8%
|
| 09/02/26 14:29:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.035 °F/hr | 41 | -24.3% | -0.006 | -3.94 | - |
65.6%
|
| 09/02/26 14:24:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.741 °F/hr | 41.04 | -20.2% | -0 | -3.33 | - |
55.5%
|
| 09/02/26 14:19:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.84 °F/hr | 41.07 | -20% | -0 | -3.36 | - |
56%
|
| 09/02/26 14:14:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.99 °F/hr | 41.11 | -19.8% | 0.001 | -3.37 | - |
56.2%
|
| 09/02/26 14:09:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.741 °F/hr | 41.15 | -20.4% | -0.002 | -3.54 | - |
59%
|
| 09/02/26 14:04:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.196 °F/hr | 41.2 | -19.4% | -0.002 | -3.41 | - |
56.8%
|
| 09/02/26 13:59:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.652 °F/hr | 41.24 | -18.4% | -0.001 | -3.26 | - |
54.3%
|
| 09/02/26 13:54:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.804 °F/hr | 41.28 | -18.1% | -0.007 | -3.24 | - |
54%
|
| 08/31/26 21:23:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.264 °F/hr | 41.86 | +12.9% | 0.002 | 3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 08/31/26 21:18:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.673 °F/hr | 41.84 | +11.5% | 0.015 | 2.73 | 6.57 |
69.7%
|
| 08/31/26 20:13:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.421 °F/hr | 41.71 | +13.7% | -0.001 | 3.39 | - |
56.6%
|
| 08/31/26 20:08:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.613 °F/hr | 41.69 | +14.2% | 0.001 | 3.6 | - |
59.9%
|
| 08/31/26 20:03:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.217 °F/hr | 41.67 | +13.3% | 0.007 | 3.43 | - |
57.2%
|
| 08/31/26 15:03:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 44.54 °F/hr | 41.87 | +6.4% | 0.013 | 1.42 | 5.7 |
52.6%
|
| 08/31/26 13:48:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 41.619 °F/hr | 41.93 | -0.7% | -0.01 | -0.16 | -4.32 |
32.2%
|
| 08/31/26 13:33:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 44.56 °F/hr | 41.92 | +6.3% | 0.019 | 1.41 | 9.62 |
80.5%
|
| 08/30/26 14:23:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.525 °F/hr | 42.52 | +11.8% | -0.005 | 3.49 | - |
58.2%
|
| 08/30/26 14:18:48 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 48.89 °F/hr | 42.48 | +15.1% | -0.003 | 4.57 | - |
76.1%
|
| 08/30/26 14:13:48 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 49.707 °F/hr | 42.45 | +17.1% | 0.011 | 5.36 | - |
89.3%
|
| 08/30/26 14:08:48 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 46.418 °F/hr | 42.42 | +9.4% | 0.012 | 2.96 | 3.72 |
51.2%
|
| 08/30/26 02:08:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.303 °F/hr | 40.42 | +12.1% | 0.012 | 2.54 | 4.02 |
49.9%
|
| 08/29/26 16:53:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 46.461 °F/hr | 39.36 | +18% | 0.003 | 3.56 | - |
59.4%
|
| 08/29/26 16:48:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 45.688 °F/hr | 39.32 | +16.2% | 0.015 | 3.2 | - |
53.3%
|
| 08/29/26 14:38:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 46.092 °F/hr | 38.6 | +19.4% | 0.019 | 3.56 | - |
59.3%
|
| 08/29/26 14:03:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 44.703 °F/hr | 38.43 | +16.3% | 0.011 | 3.06 | - |
50.9%
|
| 08/29/26 13:58:37 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.315 °F/hr | 38.42 | +7.5% | -0.02 | 1.41 | -7.61 |
66.2%
|
| 08/29/26 13:53:37 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 47.392 °F/hr | 38.38 | +23.5% | 0.014 | 4.54 | - |
75.6%
|
| 08/29/26 13:43:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 46.378 °F/hr | 38.33 | +21% | -0.003 | 4.2 | - |
70%
|
| 08/29/26 13:38:37 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 47.143 °F/hr | 38.3 | +23.1% | 0.024 | 4.79 | 11.21 |
100%
|
| 08/28/26 15:58:27 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.537 °F/hr | 41.86 | -12.7% | 0.01 | -1.46 | 3.74 |
38.8%
|
| 08/28/26 14:33:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.114 °F/hr | 42.27 | -24% | 0.001 | -3.2 | - |
53.3%
|
| 08/28/26 14:28:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.816 °F/hr | 42.3 | -24.8% | -0.004 | -3.36 | - |
56.1%
|
| 08/28/26 14:23:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.88 °F/hr | 42.32 | -22.3% | 0 | -3.07 | - |
51.1%
|
| 08/28/26 14:18:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.731 °F/hr | 42.34 | -22.7% | -0.007 | -3.17 | - |
52.8%
|
| 08/27/26 13:28:18 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 41.28 °F/hr | 43.29 | -4.7% | 0.009 | -0.69 | 3.58 |
31.3%
|
| 08/26/26 18:08:12 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.615 °F/hr | 42.21 | +10.4% | 0.011 | 1.49 | 5.36 |
50.7%
|
| 08/26/26 13:23:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 44.288 °F/hr | 41.26 | +7.3% | 0.016 | 1.2 | 7.39 |
62.8%
|
| 08/26/26 13:18:09 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.493 °F/hr | 41.26 | -4.3% | 0.01 | -0.7 | 5.03 |
41.8%
|
| 08/24/26 14:12:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.488 °F/hr | 44.87 | -14.2% | 0.001 | -3.04 | - |
50.7%
|
| 08/24/26 14:07:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.336 °F/hr | 44.9 | -14.6% | -0.006 | -3.17 | - |
52.9%
|
| 08/24/26 12:52:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.018 °F/hr | 45.11 | -9.1% | -0.017 | -2.12 | -7.89 |
74%
|
| 08/24/26 12:07:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.819 °F/hr | 45.16 | -5.2% | -0.008 | -1.22 | -4.12 |
39.6%
|
| 08/23/26 00:12:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.324 °F/hr | 41.67 | +23.2% | -0.001 | 3.21 | - |
53.5%
|
| 08/23/26 00:07:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.502 °F/hr | 41.64 | +23.7% | -0.001 | 3.34 | - |
55.7%
|
| 08/23/26 00:02:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.679 °F/hr | 41.6 | +24.2% | -0.001 | 3.48 | - |
58.1%
|
| 08/22/26 23:57:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 52.083 °F/hr | 41.55 | +25.3% | 0.001 | 3.72 | - |
61.9%
|
| 08/22/26 23:52:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.813 °F/hr | 41.51 | +24.8% | -0.001 | 3.72 | - |
61.9%
|
| 08/22/26 23:47:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.99 °F/hr | 41.47 | +25.4% | 0 | 3.88 | - |
64.7%
|
| 08/22/26 23:42:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.849 °F/hr | 41.43 | +25.2% | 0.001 | 3.94 | - |
65.7%
|
| 08/22/26 23:37:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.528 °F/hr | 41.39 | +24.5% | 0.002 | 3.93 | - |
65.5%
|
| 08/22/26 23:32:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 51.072 °F/hr | 41.35 | +23.5% | 0 | 3.86 | - |
64.3%
|
| 08/22/26 23:27:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 50.924 °F/hr | 41.31 | +23.3% | 0.007 | 3.9 | - |
65.1%
|
| 08/22/26 23:22:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 48.962 °F/hr | 41.28 | +18.6% | 0.011 | 3.17 | - |
52.8%
|
| 08/22/26 13:07:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.777 °F/hr | 41.1 | -17.8% | -0.009 | -3.16 | - |
52.6%
|
| 08/22/26 12:52:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.193 °F/hr | 41.16 | -16.9% | -0.004 | -3.11 | - |
51.8%
|
| 08/21/26 15:57:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 41.868 °F/hr | 41.27 | +1.5% | -0.015 | 0.2 | -4.16 |
31.4%
|
| 08/21/26 15:37:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.667 °F/hr | 41.22 | +13.2% | 0.024 | 1.8 | 7.3 |
67.1%
|
| 08/20/26 21:32:36 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.882 °F/hr | 44.48 | -1.4% | 0.011 | -0.2 | 4.04 |
30.5%
|
| 08/20/26 18:47:36 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 46.351 °F/hr | 44.72 | +3.6% | 0.01 | 0.53 | 3.64 |
30.4%
|
| 08/20/26 17:37:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.149 °F/hr | 44.98 | -19.6% | 0 | -3.05 | - |
50.8%
|
| 08/20/26 17:32:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.149 °F/hr | 45 | -19.7% | -0.003 | -3.1 | - |
51.7%
|
| 08/20/26 17:17:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.304 °F/hr | 45.14 | -19.6% | 0.001 | -3.17 | - |
52.8%
|
| 08/20/26 17:12:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.001 °F/hr | 45.19 | -20.3% | -0.003 | -3.33 | - |
55.5%
|
| 08/20/26 17:07:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.768 °F/hr | 45.23 | -18.7% | 0.002 | -3.11 | - |
51.8%
|
| 08/20/26 17:02:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.309 °F/hr | 45.27 | -19.8% | -0.002 | -3.34 | - |
55.7%
|
| 08/20/26 16:57:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.771 °F/hr | 45.31 | -18.9% | 0.003 | -3.23 | - |
53.8%
|
| 08/20/26 16:52:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.743 °F/hr | 45.36 | -21.2% | -0.003 | -3.71 | - |
61.8%
|
| 08/20/26 16:47:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.659 °F/hr | 45.4 | -19.2% | -0.005 | -3.42 | - |
57.1%
|
| 08/20/26 16:02:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.589 °F/hr | 45.75 | -17.8% | -0.002 | -3.26 | - |
54.3%
|
| 08/20/26 15:57:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.269 °F/hr | 45.79 | -16.4% | -0.002 | -3.01 | - |
50.2%
|
| 08/20/26 15:47:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.269 °F/hr | 45.89 | -16.6% | -0.001 | -3.06 | - |
51.1%
|
| 08/19/26 16:57:32 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.464 °F/hr | 44.98 | +1.1% | 0.024 | 0.07 | 4.8 |
34.8%
|
| 08/19/26 16:42:32 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 38.003 °F/hr | 44.92 | -15.4% | -0.02 | -0.93 | -4.05 |
36.6%
|
| 08/19/26 16:27:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.866 °F/hr | 44.82 | -6.6% | -0.026 | -0.39 | -5.71 |
44%
|
| 08/19/26 13:32:32 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.422 °F/hr | 42.53 | +13.9% | 0.017 | 0.74 | 3.97 |
34.6%
|
| 08/19/26 12:57:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 50.213 °F/hr | 42.32 | +18.6% | 0.035 | 0.99 | 9.13 |
73.5%
|
| 08/19/26 12:22:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 40.138 °F/hr | 42.29 | -5.1% | -0.021 | -0.27 | -5.73 |
43.2%
|
| 08/19/26 10:57:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 50.037 °F/hr | 41.83 | +19.6% | 0.033 | 1.05 | 11.21 |
88.8%
|
| 08/19/26 09:42:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.798 °F/hr | 41.89 | -0.2% | -0.021 | -0.01 | -7.94 |
56.8%
|
| 08/19/26 03:07:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 48.997 °F/hr | 38.79 | +26.3% | 0.021 | 2.23 | 9.03 |
83.1%
|
| 08/18/26 13:32:29 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 29.573 °F/hr | 38.91 | -24% | -0.006 | -3.46 | - |
57.6%
|
| 08/18/26 13:22:29 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.834 °F/hr | 38.94 | -20.8% | -0.002 | -3.07 | - |
51.2%
|
| 08/17/26 16:07:27 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.344 °F/hr | 44.71 | -7.5% | 0.027 | -0.63 | 11.2 |
85.2%
|
| 08/16/26 13:32:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 31.086 °F/hr | 46.89 | -33.7% | -0.064 | -2.99 | -9.52 |
92.9%
|
| 08/16/26 13:27:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 50.374 °F/hr | 46.86 | +7.5% | 0.055 | 0.66 | 9.18 |
71.1%
|
| 08/16/26 12:47:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 35.133 °F/hr | 47.05 | -25.3% | -0.053 | -2.4 | -10.42 |
94.4%
|
| 08/16/26 12:37:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 49.871 °F/hr | 47.01 | +6.1% | 0.053 | 0.58 | 12.95 |
97.3%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
23.454 °F/hr
(-1.11)
Target: 06:01 · 80% Cone: [22.62 – 24.29]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
21.141 °F/hr
(-3.43)
Target: 09:01 · 80% Cone: [20.02 – 22.27]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
77%
(61 checked)
MAE: 2.748 °F/hr · RMSE: 4.067 °F/hr · Fit R²=0.90
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
11 diverged
⚡ 11 anom
12 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 13.77σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 09:01:37 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 24.568 °F/hr | 21.141 °F/hr [20.02 – 22.27] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 06:01:37 (in 50m) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 24.568 °F/hr | 23.454 °F/hr [22.62 – 24.29] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 37.231 °F/hr | 46.722 °F/hr [45.25 – 48.2] | 30.74 °F/hr | -15.982 °F/hr | 13.77σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 37.231 °F/hr | 39.076 °F/hr [37.98 – 40.17] | 36.002 °F/hr | -3.074 °F/hr | 3.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 09:01:37 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 24.568 °F/hr | 21.141 °F/hr [20.02 – 22.27] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 06:01:37 (in 50m) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 24.568 °F/hr | 23.454 °F/hr [22.62 – 24.29] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 37.231 °F/hr | 46.722 °F/hr [45.25 – 48.2] | 30.74 °F/hr | -15.982 °F/hr | 13.77σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 37.231 °F/hr | 39.076 °F/hr [37.98 – 40.17] | 36.002 °F/hr | -3.074 °F/hr | 3.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/25/26 17:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 30.5 °F/hr | 28.264 °F/hr [26.24 – 30.29] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 30.5 °F/hr | 29.157 °F/hr [27.65 – 30.67] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.89 | 37.264 °F/hr | 36.583 °F/hr [34.82 – 38.35] | 36.828 °F/hr | +0.245 °F/hr | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 16:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.89 | 37.264 °F/hr | 36.528 °F/hr [35.22 – 37.84] | 38.359 °F/hr | +1.831 °F/hr | 1.78σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 00:40:43 | 10/22 20:42:31 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87 | 39.491 °F/hr | 39.787 °F/hr [36.42 – 43.15] | 36.438 °F/hr | -3.349 °F/hr | 1.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:40:43 | 10/22 20:42:31 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87 | 39.491 °F/hr | 39.606 °F/hr [37.1 – 42.11] | 41.849 °F/hr | +2.243 °F/hr | 1.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:40:42 | 10/22 19:40:42 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87 | 39.476 °F/hr | 39.078 °F/hr [36.6 – 41.56] | 42.264 °F/hr | +3.186 °F/hr | 1.64σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 20:40:41 | 10/22 16:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 45.89 °F/hr | 44.056 °F/hr [41 – 47.12] | 42.264 °F/hr | -1.792 °F/hr | 0.74σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 19:40:42 | 10/22 18:40:42 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 40.614 °F/hr | 39.358 °F/hr [36.96 – 41.76] | 41.239 °F/hr | +1.881 °F/hr | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 19:40:41 | 10/22 15:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90 | 47.379 °F/hr | 48.924 °F/hr [45.93 – 51.91] | 41.239 °F/hr | -7.685 °F/hr | 3.27σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 18:40:41 | 10/22 17:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 42.913 °F/hr | 41.289 °F/hr [38.93 – 43.65] | 39.841 °F/hr | -1.448 °F/hr | 0.78σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 18:40:41 | 10/22 14:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 47.146 °F/hr | 49.42 °F/hr [46.45 – 52.39] | 39.841 °F/hr | -9.579 °F/hr | 4.1σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:40:41 | 10/22 16:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 45.89 °F/hr | 45.173 °F/hr [42.9 – 47.45] | 40.177 °F/hr | -4.996 °F/hr | 2.8σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:40:41 | 10/22 13:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 46.136 °F/hr | 47.531 °F/hr [44.6 – 50.47] | 40.177 °F/hr | -7.354 °F/hr | 3.18σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:40:41 | 10/22 15:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90 | 47.379 °F/hr | 47.983 °F/hr [45.76 – 50.21] | 41.502 °F/hr | -6.481 °F/hr | 3.72σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:40:41 | 10/22 12:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 45.322 °F/hr | 46.687 °F/hr [43.73 – 49.64] | 41.502 °F/hr | -5.185 °F/hr | 2.23σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 15:40:41 | 10/22 14:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 47.146 °F/hr | 48.035 °F/hr [45.82 – 50.25] | 46.062 °F/hr | -1.973 °F/hr | 1.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:40:41 | 10/22 11:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 44.209 °F/hr | 46.28 °F/hr [43.4 – 49.17] | 46.062 °F/hr | -0.218 °F/hr | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:40:41 | 10/22 13:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 46.136 °F/hr | 46.681 °F/hr [44.5 – 48.87] | 47.564 °F/hr | +0.883 °F/hr | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:40:40 | 10/22 10:40:40 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 42.642 °F/hr | 45.086 °F/hr [42.23 – 47.95] | 47.564 °F/hr | +2.478 °F/hr | 1.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:40:41 | 10/22 12:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 45.322 °F/hr | 45.855 °F/hr [43.66 – 48.06] | 46.384 °F/hr | +0.529 °F/hr | 0.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:40:39 | 10/22 09:40:39 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 41.002 °F/hr | 42.315 °F/hr [39.5 – 45.13] | 46.384 °F/hr | +4.069 °F/hr | 1.84σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 12:40:41 | 10/22 11:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 44.209 °F/hr | 45.019 °F/hr [42.87 – 47.17] | 44.101 °F/hr | -0.918 °F/hr | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:40:39 | 10/22 08:40:39 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 39.926 °F/hr | 40.316 °F/hr [37.54 – 43.09] | 44.101 °F/hr | +3.785 °F/hr | 1.73σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 11:40:40 | 10/22 10:40:40 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 42.642 °F/hr | 43.597 °F/hr [41.47 – 45.73] | 44.471 °F/hr | +0.874 °F/hr | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:40:38 | 10/22 07:40:38 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 39.542 °F/hr | 38.387 °F/hr [35.64 – 41.14] | 44.471 °F/hr | +6.084 °F/hr | 2.81σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 10:40:39 | 10/22 09:40:39 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 41.002 °F/hr | 41.515 °F/hr [39.42 – 43.61] | 44.45 °F/hr | +2.935 °F/hr | 1.79σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 10:40:38 | 10/22 06:40:38 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 40.345 °F/hr | 39.243 °F/hr [36.48 – 42.01] | 44.45 °F/hr | +5.207 °F/hr | 2.4σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 09:40:39 | 10/22 08:40:39 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 39.926 °F/hr | 40.078 °F/hr [38.01 – 42.14] | 41.809 °F/hr | +1.731 °F/hr | 1.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:40:38 | 10/22 05:40:38 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 40.962 °F/hr | 39.932 °F/hr [37.24 – 42.62] | 41.809 °F/hr | +1.877 °F/hr | 0.89σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:40:38 | 10/22 07:40:38 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 39.542 °F/hr | 39.091 °F/hr [37.04 – 41.14] | 41.679 °F/hr | +2.588 °F/hr | 1.61σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 08:40:37 | 10/22 04:40:37 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.718 °F/hr | 41.484 °F/hr [38.79 – 44.18] | 41.679 °F/hr | +0.195 °F/hr | 0.09σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:40:38 | 10/22 06:40:38 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 40.345 °F/hr | 39.914 °F/hr [37.86 – 41.97] | 39.908 °F/hr | -0.006 °F/hr | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:40:36 | 10/22 03:40:36 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.809 °F/hr | 41.73 °F/hr [39.01 – 44.45] | 39.908 °F/hr | -1.822 °F/hr | 0.85σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:40:38 | 10/22 05:40:38 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 40.962 °F/hr | 40.559 °F/hr [38.56 – 42.56] | 39.493 °F/hr | -1.066 °F/hr | 0.68σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:40:38 | 10/22 02:40:38 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.834 °F/hr | 41.906 °F/hr [39.23 – 44.59] | 39.493 °F/hr | -2.413 °F/hr | 1.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:40:37 | 10/22 04:40:37 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.718 °F/hr | 41.627 °F/hr [39.62 – 43.63] | 40.534 °F/hr | -1.093 °F/hr | 0.7σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:40:36 | 10/22 01:40:36 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.633 °F/hr | 41.529 °F/hr [38.87 – 44.19] | 40.534 °F/hr | -0.995 °F/hr | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:40:36 | 10/22 03:40:36 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.809 °F/hr | 41.778 °F/hr [39.75 – 43.81] | 41.246 °F/hr | -0.532 °F/hr | 0.33σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:40:36 | 10/22 00:40:36 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.731 °F/hr | 41.484 °F/hr [38.85 – 44.12] | 41.246 °F/hr | -0.238 °F/hr | 0.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:40:38 | 10/22 02:40:38 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.834 °F/hr | 41.863 °F/hr [39.87 – 43.86] | 41.958 °F/hr | +0.095 °F/hr | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:40:36 | 10/21 23:40:36 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 42.129 °F/hr | 41.594 °F/hr [38.95 – 44.23] | 41.958 °F/hr | +0.364 °F/hr | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:40:36 | 10/22 01:40:36 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.633 °F/hr | 41.592 °F/hr [39.61 – 43.57] | 41.96 °F/hr | +0.368 °F/hr | 0.24σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:40:36 | 10/21 22:40:36 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 42.891 °F/hr | 42.605 °F/hr [40.07 – 45.14] | 41.96 °F/hr | -0.645 °F/hr | 0.32σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:40:36 | 10/22 00:40:36 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 41.731 °F/hr | 41.634 °F/hr [39.67 – 43.6] | 41.908 °F/hr | +0.274 °F/hr | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:40:35 | 10/21 21:40:35 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90 | 44.025 °F/hr | 45.369 °F/hr [42.9 – 47.84] | 41.908 °F/hr | -3.461 °F/hr | 1.78σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 00:40:36 | 10/21 23:40:36 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 42.129 °F/hr | 41.92 °F/hr [39.95 – 43.89] | 41.885 °F/hr | -0.035 °F/hr | 0.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:40:35 | 10/21 20:40:35 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 44.018 °F/hr | 46.687 °F/hr [44.22 – 49.15] | 41.885 °F/hr | -4.802 °F/hr | 2.48σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 23:40:36 | 10/21 22:40:36 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 42.891 °F/hr | 42.779 °F/hr [40.89 – 44.67] | 42.004 °F/hr | -0.775 °F/hr | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 22:40:35 | 10/21 21:40:35 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90 | 44.025 °F/hr | 44.55 °F/hr [42.71 – 46.39] | 42.345 °F/hr | -2.205 °F/hr | 1.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:40:35 | 10/21 20:40:35 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 44.018 °F/hr | 45.061 °F/hr [43.22 – 46.9] | 42.331 °F/hr | -2.73 °F/hr | 1.9σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 20:40:35 | 10/21 16:40:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 36.052 °F/hr | 31.808 °F/hr [29.93 – 33.69] | 42.777 °F/hr | +10.969 °F/hr | 7.43σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 17:40:35 | 10/21 16:40:35 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 36.052 °F/hr | 35.302 °F/hr [33.91 – 36.7] | 38.841 °F/hr | +3.539 °F/hr | 3.23σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 16:40:35 | 10/21 12:40:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 33.928 °F/hr | 27.801 °F/hr [26.32 – 29.28] | 36.295 °F/hr | +8.494 °F/hr | 7.3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 13:40:35 | 10/21 12:40:35 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 33.928 °F/hr | 32.527 °F/hr [31.43 – 33.63] | 33.509 °F/hr | +0.982 °F/hr | 1.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:40:35 | 10/21 08:40:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 35.358 °F/hr | 33.779 °F/hr [32.58 – 34.97] | 34.514 °F/hr | +0.735 °F/hr | 0.78σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:40:35 | 10/21 08:40:35 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 35.358 °F/hr | 35.805 °F/hr [34.92 – 36.7] | 36.929 °F/hr | +1.124 °F/hr | 1.61σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 05:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 30.794 °F/hr | 34.399 °F/hr [32.83 – 35.97] | 32.535 °F/hr | -1.864 °F/hr | 1.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 30.794 °F/hr | 31.446 °F/hr [30.28 – 32.61] | 31.051 °F/hr | -0.395 °F/hr | 0.43σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.95 | 33.847 °F/hr | 30.131 °F/hr [28.25 – 32.01] | 31.696 °F/hr | +1.565 °F/hr | 1.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.95 | 33.847 °F/hr | 32.395 °F/hr [31 – 33.79] | 33.757 °F/hr | +1.362 °F/hr | 1.24σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 37.231 °F/hr | 46.722 °F/hr [45.25 – 48.2] | 30.74 °F/hr | -15.982 °F/hr | 13.77σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 37.231 °F/hr | 39.076 °F/hr [37.98 – 40.17] | 36.002 °F/hr | -3.074 °F/hr | 3.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 19:40:41 | 10/22 15:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90 | 47.379 °F/hr | 48.924 °F/hr [45.93 – 51.91] | 41.239 °F/hr | -7.685 °F/hr | 3.27σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 18:40:41 | 10/22 14:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 47.146 °F/hr | 49.42 °F/hr [46.45 – 52.39] | 39.841 °F/hr | -9.579 °F/hr | 4.1σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:40:41 | 10/22 16:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 45.89 °F/hr | 45.173 °F/hr [42.9 – 47.45] | 40.177 °F/hr | -4.996 °F/hr | 2.8σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:40:41 | 10/22 13:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 46.136 °F/hr | 47.531 °F/hr [44.6 – 50.47] | 40.177 °F/hr | -7.354 °F/hr | 3.18σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:40:41 | 10/22 15:40:41 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90 | 47.379 °F/hr | 47.983 °F/hr [45.76 – 50.21] | 41.502 °F/hr | -6.481 °F/hr | 3.72σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:40:41 | 10/22 12:40:41 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88 | 45.322 °F/hr | 46.687 °F/hr [43.73 – 49.64] | 41.502 °F/hr | -5.185 °F/hr | 2.23σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 11:40:38 | 10/22 07:40:38 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 39.542 °F/hr | 38.387 °F/hr [35.64 – 41.14] | 44.471 °F/hr | +6.084 °F/hr | 2.81σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 10:40:38 | 10/22 06:40:38 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 40.345 °F/hr | 39.243 °F/hr [36.48 – 42.01] | 44.45 °F/hr | +5.207 °F/hr | 2.4σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 00:40:35 | 10/21 20:40:35 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89 | 44.018 °F/hr | 46.687 °F/hr [44.22 – 49.15] | 41.885 °F/hr | -4.802 °F/hr | 2.48σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 20:40:35 | 10/21 16:40:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 36.052 °F/hr | 31.808 °F/hr [29.93 – 33.69] | 42.777 °F/hr | +10.969 °F/hr | 7.43σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 17:40:35 | 10/21 16:40:35 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 36.052 °F/hr | 35.302 °F/hr [33.91 – 36.7] | 38.841 °F/hr | +3.539 °F/hr | 3.23σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 16:40:35 | 10/21 12:40:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 33.928 °F/hr | 27.801 °F/hr [26.32 – 29.28] | 36.295 °F/hr | +8.494 °F/hr | 7.3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |