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/ root / Lilac / Bedrooms / Mediaroom Temperature | RoC: -5.04 - 4.45 (°F/hr)

/ root / Lilac / Bedrooms / Mediaroom Temperature

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 07:41:41	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	71.82 °F/hr	68.059	+5.53%	-0.432	2.68	-	48.3%

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 07:41:41	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	71.82 °F/hr	68.059	+5.53%	-0.432	2.68	-	48.3%
10/27/26 13:25:57	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.3 °F/hr	72.11	+3%	-0.006	1.12	-6.35	38%
10/26/26 20:19:31	WARNING	Rate Spike	71.04 °F/hr	71.81	-1.1%	0.005	-0.35	5.65	30.2%
10/26/26 20:14:40	WARNING	Rate Spike	69.69 °F/hr	71.82	-3%	0.005	-0.98	6.63	38.6%
10/26/26 19:11:46	WARNING	Rate Spike	69.01 °F/hr	71.95	-4.1%	0.004	-1.43	5.33	34.6%
10/26/26 17:15:26	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	73.18 °F/hr	72.13	+1.5%	-0.005	0.54	-8.08	43.4%
10/26/26 17:10:36	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.53 °F/hr	72.12	+3.3%	-0.004	1.25	-7.33	43.6%
10/26/26 12:34:34	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	72.72 °F/hr	69.395	+4.79%	0.299	3.13	-	97%
10/25/26 12:16:39	WARNING	Rate Spike	70.93 °F/hr	73.45	-3.4%	-0.003	-1.52	-7.1	43.9%
10/25/26 12:11:49	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	71.82 °F/hr	73.46	-2.2%	-0.005	-0.99	-13.97	75.3%
10/20/26 15:23:00	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	75.65 °F/hr	74.881	+1.03%	0.716	2.62	-	99.5%
10/10/26 21:41:44	WARNING	Rate Spike	82.74 °F/hr	80.39	+2.9%	-0.002	1.21	-5.29	33.2%
10/05/26 16:05:01	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.26 °F/hr	77.62	+3.4%	0.002	1.7	5.23	35.6%
10/04/26 00:07:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	70.81 °F/hr	74.83	-5.4%	0.006	-2.69	5.5	42.4%
10/03/26 22:25:56	WARNING	Rate Spike	73.51 °F/hr	75.27	-2.3%	-0.005	-1.17	-5.04	31.7%
10/03/26 00:43:23	WARNING	Rate Spike	72.72 °F/hr	75.54	-3.7%	-0.005	-1.81	-5.24	36.2%
10/03/26 00:38:33	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	74.07 °F/hr	75.53	-1.9%	-0.008	-0.93	-10.45	57.4%
10/02/26 00:16:03	WARNING	Rate Spike	70.47 °F/hr	75.56	-6.7%	0.005	-2.86	5.09	41.3%
10/01/26 21:50:54	WARNING	Rate Spike	73.85 °F/hr	75.93	-2.7%	-0.007	-1.37	-7.27	43.9%
09/29/26 22:13:51	WARNING	Rate Spike	76.78 °F/hr	77.61	-1.1%	-0.007	-0.48	-6.43	34.8%
09/28/26 22:35:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	77.34 °F/hr	77.22	+0.2%	-0.007	0.06	-7.53	38%
09/27/26 21:38:45	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.45 °F/hr	77.95	-0.6%	-0.007	-0.26	-6.07	31.8%
09/26/26 23:41:32	WARNING	Rate Spike	75.87 °F/hr	87.56	-13.4%	0.005	-2.92	5.16	42%
09/26/26 23:36:40	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.3 °F/hr	87.62	-15.2%	0.007	-3.38	7.18	54.7%
09/26/26 22:57:57	WARNING	Value Deviation	73.62 °F/hr	88.08	-16.4%	-0.002	-4.56	-	50.6%
09/26/26 22:53:07	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.19 °F/hr	88.14	-15.8%	-0.003	-4.54	-	50.4%
09/26/26 22:38:36	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.54 °F/hr	88.29	-14.4%	-0	-4.54	-	50.5%
09/26/26 22:33:46	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.65 °F/hr	88.34	-14.4%	-0	-4.68	-	52%
09/26/26 22:28:55	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.76 °F/hr	88.4	-14.3%	-0.002	-4.83	-	53.6%
09/26/26 22:24:05	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.21 °F/hr	88.44	-13.8%	-0.002	-4.84	-	53.8%
09/26/26 22:19:16	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.66 °F/hr	88.49	-13.4%	-0.001	-4.86	-	54%
09/26/26 22:14:24	WARNING	Value Deviation	77 °F/hr	88.54	-13%	-0.001	-4.92	-	54.6%
09/26/26 22:09:33	WARNING	Value Deviation	77.34 °F/hr	88.58	-12.7%	-0.002	-4.98	-	55.3%
09/26/26 22:04:43	WARNING	Value Deviation	77.79 °F/hr	88.63	-12.2%	-0.001	-4.98	-	55.3%
09/26/26 21:59:52	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.12 °F/hr	88.67	-11.9%	-0.001	-5.04	-	56%
09/26/26 21:55:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.35 °F/hr	88.71	-11.7%	-0.002	-5.15	-	57.3%
09/26/26 21:50:12	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.8 °F/hr	88.75	-11.2%	-0.002	-5.15	-	57.2%
09/26/26 21:45:21	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.25 °F/hr	88.79	-10.7%	-0.001	-5.14	-	57.1%
09/26/26 21:40:31	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.47 °F/hr	88.83	-10.5%	-0.002	-5.26	-2.38	41.1%
09/26/26 21:35:41	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.15 °F/hr	88.87	-9.8%	-0.002	-4.9	-	54.5%
09/26/26 21:30:51	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.71 °F/hr	88.9	-9.2%	-0.002	-4.61	-	51.2%
09/26/26 21:01:48	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	84.99 °F/hr	89.06	-4.6%	-0.012	-2.28	-23.02	100%
09/02/26 16:22:22	WARNING	Value Deviation	90.95 °F/hr	85.8	+6%	-0.001	3	-	50%
09/02/26 16:17:31	WARNING	Value Deviation	91.18 °F/hr	85.76	+6.3%	0	3.15	-	52.4%
09/02/26 16:12:41	WARNING	Value Deviation	91.18 °F/hr	85.72	+6.4%	0.001	3.16	-	52.7%
09/02/26 16:07:50	WARNING	Value Deviation	90.95 °F/hr	85.68	+6.1%	0.001	3.04	-	50.6%
09/01/26 16:14:10	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	81.61 °F/hr	87.16	-6.4%	0.005	-1.53	6.69	60.6%
09/01/26 13:34:17	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.04 °F/hr	88.18	-9.2%	0	-3.04	-	50.6%
09/01/26 13:29:26	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.04 °F/hr	88.21	-9.3%	-0	-3.1	-	51.6%
09/01/26 13:24:36	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.15 °F/hr	88.24	-9.2%	-0	-3.12	-	51.9%
09/01/26 13:19:46	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.26 °F/hr	88.27	-9.1%	0	-3.13	-	52.2%
09/01/26 13:14:55	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.15 °F/hr	88.29	-9.2%	-0	-3.24	-	54.1%
09/01/26 13:10:05	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.26 °F/hr	88.32	-9.1%	0.001	-3.27	-	54.5%
09/01/26 13:05:14	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.04 °F/hr	88.35	-9.4%	0	-3.43	0.58	32.8%
09/01/26 13:00:24	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.93 °F/hr	88.38	-9.6%	-0	-3.56	-	59.4%
09/01/26 12:55:33	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.04 °F/hr	88.4	-9.5%	-0.001	-3.6	-	60%
09/01/26 12:50:43	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.26 °F/hr	88.43	-9.2%	0	-3.59	-	59.9%
09/01/26 12:45:52	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.26 °F/hr	88.45	-9.3%	-0.001	-3.69	-	61.4%
09/01/26 12:41:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.49 °F/hr	88.48	-9%	0.002	-3.67	-	61.2%
09/01/26 12:36:11	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.81 °F/hr	88.51	-9.8%	-0	-4.11	-	68.5%
09/01/26 12:31:21	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.93 °F/hr	88.53	-9.7%	-0.002	-4.18	-	69.6%
09/01/26 12:26:31	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.38 °F/hr	88.56	-9.2%	-0.002	-4.08	-	68%
09/01/26 12:21:40	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.82 °F/hr	88.58	-8.8%	0	-3.97	-	66.2%
09/01/26 12:16:49	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.71 °F/hr	88.6	-8.9%	-0	-4.15	-	69.1%
09/01/26 12:11:59	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.82 °F/hr	88.62	-8.8%	-0.002	-4.22	-	70.3%
09/01/26 12:07:09	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.28 °F/hr	88.64	-8.3%	-0.002	-4.08	-	68.1%
09/01/26 12:02:18	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.95 °F/hr	88.66	-7.6%	-0.001	-3.78	-	63%
09/01/26 11:57:28	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.29 °F/hr	88.67	-7.2%	-0.002	-3.6	-	60%
09/01/26 11:52:38	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	82.85 °F/hr	88.69	-6.6%	-0.007	-3.29	-11.31	100%
08/27/26 06:38:49	WARNING	Rate Spike	86.79 °F/hr	88.65	-2.1%	-0.002	-1.05	-3.81	36%
08/19/26 15:59:14	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	84.54 °F/hr	88.37	-4.3%	0.005	-1.3	6.29	55.8%
08/19/26 14:12:33	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.61 °F/hr	88.92	-8.2%	-0	-3.07	-	51.2%
08/19/26 14:07:42	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.72 °F/hr	88.95	-8.1%	-0	-3.08	-	51.4%
08/19/26 14:02:52	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.84 °F/hr	88.97	-8%	-0.002	-3.09	-	51.5%
08/19/26 12:45:23	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.19 °F/hr	89.24	-6.8%	0	-3.16	0.53	30.2%
08/19/26 12:40:32	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.07 °F/hr	89.26	-6.9%	0.001	-3.29	-	54.9%
08/19/26 12:35:41	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.85 °F/hr	89.28	-7.2%	0.001	-3.48	-	58.1%
08/19/26 12:30:51	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.62 °F/hr	89.3	-7.5%	-0.001	-3.7	-	61.6%
08/19/26 12:26:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.85 °F/hr	89.31	-7.2%	-0.002	-3.62	-	60.3%
08/19/26 12:21:10	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.41 °F/hr	89.33	-6.6%	-0.001	-3.31	-	55.2%
08/19/26 12:16:20	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.75 °F/hr	89.34	-6.3%	-0	-3.13	-	52.1%
08/19/26 12:11:29	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.86 °F/hr	89.35	-6.1%	-0.001	-3.07	-	51.2%
08/19/26 11:52:08	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	85.44 °F/hr	89.39	-4.4%	-0.008	-2.21	-11.35	99.5%
08/16/26 16:31:16	WARNING	Rate Spike	90.95 °F/hr	90.63	+0.4%	0.002	0.18	3.55	26.8%
08/14/26 18:24:16	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	86.22 °F/hr	90.15	-4.4%	0.004	-1.77	6.44	60.7%
08/14/26 18:19:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	85.1 °F/hr	90.17	-5.6%	0.003	-2.3	4.8	53.4%
08/14/26 18:04:52	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.41 °F/hr	90.26	-7.6%	0	-3.22	-	53.7%
08/14/26 18:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.3 °F/hr	90.29	-7.7%	-0.001	-3.34	-	55.7%
08/14/26 17:55:12	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.64 °F/hr	90.32	-7.4%	-0.002	-3.25	-	54.1%
08/14/26 17:50:21	WARNING	Value Deviation	84.09 °F/hr	90.35	-6.9%	0	-3.08	-	51.4%
08/14/26 17:45:30	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.97 °F/hr	90.37	-7.1%	-0.002	-3.2	-	53.4%
08/14/26 17:35:49	WARNING	Value Deviation	84.31 °F/hr	90.43	-6.8%	-0.002	-3.14	-	52.4%
08/14/26 16:47:22	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.21 °F/hr	90.67	-6%	0	-3.01	-	50.2%
08/14/26 16:42:32	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.21 °F/hr	90.69	-6%	0	-3.02	-	50.4%
08/14/26 16:37:41	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.1 °F/hr	90.72	-6.2%	0	-3.1	-	51.6%
08/14/26 16:32:50	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.1 °F/hr	90.75	-6.2%	0	-3.11	-	51.9%
08/14/26 16:28:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	84.99 °F/hr	90.77	-6.4%	-0.001	-3.19	-	53.1%
08/14/26 16:23:10	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.32 °F/hr	90.8	-6%	-0	-3.02	-	50.3%
08/14/26 16:13:29	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.1 °F/hr	90.85	-6.3%	-0.001	-3.16	-	52.7%
08/14/26 15:34:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	86.45 °F/hr	91.02	-5%	-0.002	-2.51	-3.98	49.4%
08/14/26 14:51:08	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	87.91 °F/hr	91.16	-3.6%	-0.005	-1.78	-10.28	88.3%
08/12/26 20:02:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	92.19 °F/hr	90.55	+1.8%	-0.002	0.91	-4.47	39.5%
08/10/26 20:33:16	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.71 °F/hr	87.36	-7.6%	0	-3.13	-	52.1%
08/10/26 20:28:26	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.71 °F/hr	87.39	-7.6%	-0.001	-3.19	-	53.2%
08/10/26 20:23:36	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.94 °F/hr	87.41	-7.4%	-0.001	-3.14	-	52.4%
08/10/26 20:18:45	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.16 °F/hr	87.44	-7.2%	-0	-3.09	-	51.6%
08/10/26 20:13:55	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.28 °F/hr	87.46	-7.1%	-0	-3.09	-	51.6%
08/10/26 20:09:05	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.39 °F/hr	87.48	-7%	-0.001	-3.1	-	51.6%
08/10/26 18:52:52	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	85.32 °F/hr	87.76	-2.8%	-0.011	-1.39	-18.35	100%
08/10/26 00:57:14	WARNING	Rate Spike	87.12 °F/hr	86.13	+1.2%	-0.002	0.58	-3.68	31.1%
08/08/26 22:08:58	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	78.91 °F/hr	83.47	-5.5%	0.012	-1.39	9.28	77.9%
08/08/26 20:32:11	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	79.93 °F/hr	84.21	-5.1%	-0.011	-1.45	-10.32	85.8%
08/08/26 16:59:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	82.96 °F/hr	84.96	-2.4%	0.006	-0.59	6	47.8%
08/08/26 16:54:12	WARNING	Rate Spike	81.16 °F/hr	84.99	-4.5%	0.003	-1.13	3.51	34.5%
08/08/26 13:11:28	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.35 °F/hr	86.22	-9.1%	-0.001	-3.04	-	50.7%
08/08/26 13:06:38	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.57 °F/hr	86.25	-8.9%	0	-3.01	-	50.1%
08/08/26 13:01:47	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.57 °F/hr	86.27	-8.9%	-0.003	-3.06	-	51.1%
08/08/26 12:42:26	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.91 °F/hr	86.36	-8.6%	0	-3.13	-	52.2%
08/08/26 12:37:36	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.91 °F/hr	86.38	-8.6%	0	-3.2	-	53.3%
08/08/26 12:32:45	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.91 °F/hr	86.4	-8.7%	0.001	-3.26	-	54.3%
08/08/26 12:27:55	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.69 °F/hr	86.42	-8.9%	0	-3.43	-	57.2%
08/08/26 12:23:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.69 °F/hr	86.44	-9%	-0.001	-3.51	-	58.4%
08/08/26 12:18:14	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.03 °F/hr	86.46	-8.6%	-0	-3.43	-	57.1%
08/08/26 12:13:24	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.14 °F/hr	86.49	-8.5%	-0	-3.45	-	57.5%
08/08/26 12:08:31	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.25 °F/hr	86.51	-8.4%	-0	-3.48	-	58%
08/08/26 12:03:40	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.36 °F/hr	86.53	-8.3%	-0.001	-3.51	-	58.4%
08/08/26 11:58:50	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.59 °F/hr	86.55	-8%	-0.003	-3.47	-	57.9%
08/08/26 11:54:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	80.49 °F/hr	86.57	-7%	-0.006	-3.08	-	51.3%
08/08/26 11:05:34	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.28 °F/hr	86.7	-6.2%	-0.002	-3.07	-	51.2%
08/08/26 10:51:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.39 °F/hr	86.73	-6.2%	-0.001	-3.08	-	51.3%
08/08/26 09:38:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	84.31 °F/hr	86.85	-2.9%	-0.003	-1.46	-3.67	38.4%
08/05/26 10:05:40	WARNING	Rate Spike	84.09 °F/hr	85.98	-2.2%	-0.003	-1.1	-3.5	34.2%
08/03/26 23:36:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	85.78 °F/hr	84.06	+2%	-0.002	0.83	-3.51	32%
08/03/26 22:09:29	WARNING	Rate Spike	85.66 °F/hr	83.99	+2%	-0.002	0.82	-4.26	37.2%
08/03/26 21:35:32	WARNING	Rate Spike	85.89 °F/hr	83.95	+2.3%	-0.002	0.96	-4.3	38.7%
08/02/26 23:13:38	WARNING	Rate Spike	83.75 °F/hr	75.5	+10.9%	-0.003	1.31	-4.39	42.3%
08/02/26 13:46:48	WARNING	Rate Spike	75.54 °F/hr	73.38	+2.9%	0.003	0.59	4.02	33.6%
08/02/26 13:41:57	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	74.75 °F/hr	73.38	+1.9%	0.004	0.37	6.09	46.6%
08/02/26 13:37:06	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	73.62 °F/hr	73.38	+0.3%	0.006	0.06	11.63	83.6%
08/01/26 21:09:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	76.89 °F/hr	76.18	+0.9%	-0.002	0.4	-3.66	29.5%
07/31/26 19:24:39	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.26 °F/hr	76.6	+4.8%	-0.002	1.59	-3.71	39.8%
07/29/26 23:39:57	WARNING	Value Deviation	73.62 °F/hr	83.7	-12%	-0.001	-3.02	-	50.4%
07/29/26 23:25:26	WARNING	Value Deviation	73.96 °F/hr	83.82	-11.8%	-0.001	-3.08	-	51.3%
07/29/26 23:20:36	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.19 °F/hr	83.86	-11.5%	-0.001	-3.07	-	51.1%
07/29/26 23:15:45	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.41 °F/hr	83.89	-11.3%	0	-3.05	-	50.9%
07/29/26 23:10:55	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.41 °F/hr	83.93	-11.3%	0	-3.11	-	51.9%
07/29/26 23:06:05	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.3 °F/hr	83.98	-11.5%	-0.001	-3.21	-	53.5%
07/29/26 23:01:14	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.53 °F/hr	84.01	-11.3%	-0.001	-3.2	-	53.3%
07/29/26 22:56:23	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.75 °F/hr	84.05	-11.1%	0	-3.19	-	53.1%
07/29/26 22:51:32	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.64 °F/hr	84.09	-11.2%	-0.001	-3.29	-	54.9%
07/29/26 22:46:42	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.86 °F/hr	84.13	-11%	-0.001	-3.28	-	54.7%
07/29/26 22:41:52	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.09 °F/hr	84.17	-10.8%	0	-3.27	-	54.5%
07/29/26 22:37:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.97 °F/hr	84.21	-11%	0	-3.38	-	56.4%
07/29/26 22:32:10	WARNING	Value Deviation	74.97 °F/hr	84.25	-11%	-0.001	-3.46	-	57.6%
07/29/26 22:27:20	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.2 °F/hr	84.28	-10.8%	-0	-3.45	-	57.5%
07/29/26 22:22:29	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.31 °F/hr	84.32	-10.7%	0	-3.49	-	58.1%
07/29/26 22:17:39	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.2 °F/hr	84.36	-10.9%	-0.001	-3.61	-	60.2%
07/29/26 22:12:47	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.43 °F/hr	84.4	-10.6%	-0.001	-3.61	-	60.1%
07/29/26 22:07:56	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.76 °F/hr	84.44	-10.3%	0	-3.55	-	59.2%
07/29/26 22:03:06	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.65 °F/hr	84.48	-10.5%	-0	-3.69	-	61.4%
07/29/26 21:58:15	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.76 °F/hr	84.52	-10.4%	-0.001	-3.73	-	62.2%
07/29/26 21:53:25	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.1 °F/hr	84.55	-10%	-0.001	-3.68	-	61.3%
07/29/26 21:48:34	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.32 °F/hr	84.59	-9.8%	0	-3.66	-	61.1%
07/29/26 21:43:44	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.21 °F/hr	84.63	-9.9%	-0.001	-3.81	-	63.4%
07/29/26 21:38:53	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.44 °F/hr	84.67	-9.7%	-0.002	-3.8	-	63.3%
07/29/26 21:34:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.89 °F/hr	84.7	-9.2%	0	-3.68	-	61.3%
07/29/26 21:29:12	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.89 °F/hr	84.74	-9.3%	-0	-3.77	-	62.8%
07/29/26 21:24:21	WARNING	Value Deviation	77 °F/hr	84.77	-9.2%	-0.001	-3.81	-	63.5%
07/29/26 21:19:31	WARNING	Value Deviation	77.34 °F/hr	84.81	-8.8%	-0.001	-3.73	-	62.1%
07/29/26 21:14:41	WARNING	Value Deviation	77.68 °F/hr	84.84	-8.4%	0.001	-3.64	-	60.6%
07/29/26 21:09:50	WARNING	Value Deviation	77.45 °F/hr	84.87	-8.7%	-0.001	-3.85	-	64.2%
07/29/26 21:05:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	77.79 °F/hr	84.91	-8.4%	-0.002	-3.77	-	62.8%
07/29/26 21:00:09	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.24 °F/hr	84.94	-7.9%	-0.001	-3.61	-	60.1%
07/29/26 20:55:19	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.46 °F/hr	84.97	-7.7%	0	-3.56	-	59.4%
07/29/26 20:50:29	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.35 °F/hr	85	-7.8%	-0.002	-3.71	-	61.8%
07/29/26 20:45:38	WARNING	Value Deviation	78.91 °F/hr	85.03	-7.2%	-0.001	-3.47	-	57.8%
07/29/26 20:40:48	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.25 °F/hr	85.06	-6.8%	-0.001	-3.34	-	55.7%
07/29/26 20:35:56	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.59 °F/hr	85.09	-6.5%	-0.001	-3.2	-	53.3%
07/29/26 20:31:05	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.81 °F/hr	85.12	-6.2%	-0.002	-3.12	-	51.9%
07/29/26 16:29:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	85.44 °F/hr	86.04	-0.7%	-0.009	-0.35	-9.15	68.2%

/ root / Lilac / Bedrooms / Mediaroom Temperature

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

68.194 °F/hr (-0.67)

Target: 18:32 · 80% Cone: [66.33 – 70.06]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

67.15 °F/hr (-1.71)

Target: 21:32 · 80% Cone: [64.65 – 69.65]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

88.3% (60 checked)

MAE: 0.635 °F/hr · RMSE: 1.115 °F/hr · Fit R²=0.85

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

4 diverged ⚡ 4 anom

11 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 3.13σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 21:32:05 (in 3.7h)	11/02 17:33:11	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.36	68.863 °F/hr	67.15 °F/hr [64.65 – 69.65]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 18:32:05 (in 44m)	11/02 17:33:11	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.36	68.863 °F/hr	68.194 °F/hr [66.33 – 70.06]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:44:33	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.32	68.992 °F/hr	68.059 °F/hr [66.28 – 69.84]	71.82 °F/hr	+3.761 °F/hr	2.68σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:44:33	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.32	68.992 °F/hr	68.627 °F/hr [67.3 – 69.95]	70.47 °F/hr	+1.843 °F/hr	1.77σ	~ Minor Drift

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 21:32:05 (in 3.7h)	11/02 17:33:11	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.36	68.863 °F/hr	67.15 °F/hr [64.65 – 69.65]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 18:32:05 (in 44m)	11/02 17:33:11	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.36	68.863 °F/hr	68.194 °F/hr [66.33 – 70.06]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:44:33	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.32	68.992 °F/hr	68.059 °F/hr [66.28 – 69.84]	71.82 °F/hr	+3.761 °F/hr	2.68σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:44:33	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.32	68.992 °F/hr	68.627 °F/hr [67.3 – 69.95]	70.47 °F/hr	+1.843 °F/hr	1.77σ	~ Minor Drift
10/30/26 08:01:02	10/30 04:02:08	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	69.503 °F/hr	70.503 °F/hr [68.72 – 72.29]	70.36 °F/hr	-0.143 °F/hr	0.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 08:01:02	10/30 05:08:25	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	69.442 °F/hr	71.538 °F/hr [69.17 – 73.91]	70.36 °F/hr	-1.178 °F/hr	0.63σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 05:01:02	10/30 04:02:08	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	69.503 °F/hr	69.894 °F/hr [68.56 – 71.22]	71.49 °F/hr	+1.596 °F/hr	1.53σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 04:11:37	10/30 00:17:04	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	69.706 °F/hr	68.555 °F/hr [66.8 – 70.31]	70.93 °F/hr	+2.375 °F/hr	1.72σ	~ Minor Drift
10/30/26 04:11:37	10/30 01:35:41	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15	70.084 °F/hr	68.955 °F/hr [66.69 – 71.22]	70.93 °F/hr	+1.975 °F/hr	1.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 01:11:37	10/30 00:17:04	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	69.706 °F/hr	69.256 °F/hr [67.95 – 70.56]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 18:32:31	10/28 14:46:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64	69.237 °F/hr	68.118 °F/hr [66.4 – 69.84]	69.91 °F/hr	+1.792 °F/hr	1.32σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 15:32:31	10/28 14:46:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64	69.237 °F/hr	68.831 °F/hr [67.55 – 70.11]	70.7 °F/hr	+1.869 °F/hr	1.86σ	~ Minor Drift
10/27/26 20:20:58	10/27 16:30:54	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.64	69.46 °F/hr	66.34 °F/hr [64.06 – 68.62]	70.7 °F/hr	+4.36 °F/hr	2.44σ	~ Minor Drift
10/27/26 17:20:58	10/27 16:30:54	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.64	69.46 °F/hr	68.241 °F/hr [66.55 – 69.93]	67.78 °F/hr	-0.461 °F/hr	0.35σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 12:32:31	10/26 08:35:48	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78	69.8 °F/hr	69.395 °F/hr [68.05 – 70.74]	72.72 °F/hr	+3.325 °F/hr	3.13σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/26/26 09:32:31	10/26 08:35:48	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78	69.8 °F/hr	70.068 °F/hr [69.06 – 71.07]	70.36 °F/hr	+0.292 °F/hr	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 17:53:23	10/25 13:54:50	+4h	Local LOESS R²=0.95	68.659 °F/hr	68.63 °F/hr [68.03 – 69.23]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 14:53:23	10/25 13:54:50	+1h	Local LOESS R²=0.95	68.659 °F/hr	68.648 °F/hr [68.2 – 69.1]	68.68 °F/hr	+0.032 °F/hr	0.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:37:34	10/20 16:03:47	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.696 °F/hr	77.306 °F/hr [76.86 – 77.75]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 19:37:34	10/20 18:29:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.5 °F/hr	77.225 °F/hr [76.77 – 77.68]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 19:32:44	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.552 °F/hr	77.23 °F/hr [76.78 – 77.69]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 18:24:54	10/20 14:24:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	74.169 °F/hr	76.561 °F/hr [76.11 – 77.01]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 17:26:48	10/20 13:26:48	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	73.469 °F/hr	76.171 °F/hr [75.72 – 76.62]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 16:37:34	10/20 16:03:47	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.696 °F/hr	76.463 °F/hr [76.13 – 76.8]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 16:37:34	10/20 18:29:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.5 °F/hr	76.271 °F/hr [75.93 – 76.61]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 16:32:44	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.552 °F/hr	76.324 °F/hr [75.99 – 76.66]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 16:28:40	10/20 12:28:40	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.823 °F/hr	75.614 °F/hr [75.17 – 76.06]	75.87 °F/hr	+0.256 °F/hr	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 15:25:44	10/20 11:25:44	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.093 °F/hr	74.637 °F/hr [74.19 – 75.09]	75.65 °F/hr	+1.013 °F/hr	2.56σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 15:24:54	10/20 14:24:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	74.169 °F/hr	74.881 °F/hr [74.55 – 75.21]	75.65 °F/hr	+0.769 °F/hr	2.62σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 14:27:32	10/20 10:27:32	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.831 °F/hr	73.929 °F/hr [73.48 – 74.38]	74.41 °F/hr	+0.481 °F/hr	1.22σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 14:26:48	10/20 13:26:48	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	73.469 °F/hr	74.142 °F/hr [73.81 – 74.48]	74.19 °F/hr	+0.048 °F/hr	0.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 13:28:40	10/20 12:28:40	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.823 °F/hr	73.412 °F/hr [73.08 – 73.75]	73.29 °F/hr	-0.122 °F/hr	0.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 13:24:36	10/20 09:24:36	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.677 °F/hr	73.105 °F/hr [72.65 – 73.56]	73.29 °F/hr	+0.185 °F/hr	0.47σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 12:26:30	10/20 08:26:30	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.612 °F/hr	72.254 °F/hr [71.8 – 72.71]	72.95 °F/hr	+0.696 °F/hr	1.76σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 12:25:44	10/20 11:25:44	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.093 °F/hr	72.458 °F/hr [72.12 – 72.79]	72.95 °F/hr	+0.492 °F/hr	1.68σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 11:28:24	10/20 07:28:24	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.953 °F/hr	71.881 °F/hr [71.43 – 72.33]	72.16 °F/hr	+0.279 °F/hr	0.71σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 11:27:32	10/20 10:27:32	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.831 °F/hr	72.042 °F/hr [71.71 – 72.38]	72.16 °F/hr	+0.118 °F/hr	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 10:25:29	10/20 06:25:29	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.337 °F/hr	71.636 °F/hr [71.19 – 72.09]	71.71 °F/hr	+0.074 °F/hr	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 10:24:36	10/20 09:24:36	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.677 °F/hr	71.705 °F/hr [71.37 – 72.04]	71.71 °F/hr	+0.005 °F/hr	0.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 09:27:23	10/20 05:27:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.486 °F/hr	71.339 °F/hr [70.89 – 71.79]	71.94 °F/hr	+0.601 °F/hr	1.52σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 09:26:30	10/20 08:26:30	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.612 °F/hr	71.407 °F/hr [71.07 – 71.74]	71.94 °F/hr	+0.533 °F/hr	1.82σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 08:29:19	10/20 04:29:19	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.949 °F/hr	71.485 °F/hr [71.03 – 71.94]	71.6 °F/hr	+0.115 °F/hr	0.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 08:28:24	10/20 07:28:24	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	71.953 °F/hr	71.661 °F/hr [71.32 – 72]	71.6 °F/hr	-0.061 °F/hr	0.21σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 07:26:23	10/20 03:26:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	73.477 °F/hr	71.849 °F/hr [71.4 – 72.3]	71.82 °F/hr	-0.029 °F/hr	0.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 07:25:29	10/20 06:25:29	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.337 °F/hr	72.001 °F/hr [71.67 – 72.34]	71.82 °F/hr	-0.181 °F/hr	0.62σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 06:28:15	10/20 02:28:15	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	73.775 °F/hr	72.044 °F/hr [71.59 – 72.49]	72.39 °F/hr	+0.346 °F/hr	0.88σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 06:27:23	10/20 05:27:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.486 °F/hr	72.067 °F/hr [71.73 – 72.41]	72.5 °F/hr	+0.433 °F/hr	1.48σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 05:29:19	10/20 04:29:19	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.949 °F/hr	72.523 °F/hr [72.19 – 72.86]	72.72 °F/hr	+0.197 °F/hr	0.67σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 05:25:20	10/20 01:25:20	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	74.402 °F/hr	72.616 °F/hr [72.17 – 73.07]	72.72 °F/hr	+0.104 °F/hr	0.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 04:27:14	10/20 00:27:14	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	74.948 °F/hr	73.245 °F/hr [72.8 – 73.69]	72.84 °F/hr	-0.405 °F/hr	1.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 04:26:23	10/20 03:26:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	73.477 °F/hr	73.087 °F/hr [72.75 – 73.42]	72.84 °F/hr	-0.247 °F/hr	0.84σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 03:29:08	10/19 23:29:08	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.103 °F/hr	73.557 °F/hr [73.11 – 74]	73.51 °F/hr	-0.047 °F/hr	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 03:28:15	10/20 02:28:15	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	73.775 °F/hr	73.329 °F/hr [73 – 73.66]	73.51 °F/hr	+0.181 °F/hr	0.62σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 02:26:13	10/19 22:26:13	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.425 °F/hr	74.002 °F/hr [73.55 – 74.45]	73.96 °F/hr	-0.042 °F/hr	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 02:25:20	10/20 01:25:20	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	74.402 °F/hr	73.965 °F/hr [73.63 – 74.3]	73.96 °F/hr	-0.005 °F/hr	0.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 01:28:06	10/19 21:28:06	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.609 °F/hr	74.318 °F/hr [73.87 – 74.77]	74.07 °F/hr	-0.248 °F/hr	0.63σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 01:27:14	10/20 00:27:14	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	74.948 °F/hr	74.587 °F/hr [74.25 – 74.92]	74.07 °F/hr	-0.517 °F/hr	1.76σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 00:29:08	10/19 23:29:08	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.103 °F/hr	74.783 °F/hr [74.45 – 75.12]	74.75 °F/hr	-0.033 °F/hr	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 00:25:09	10/19 20:25:09	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.732 °F/hr	74.631 °F/hr [74.18 – 75.08]	74.75 °F/hr	+0.119 °F/hr	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 23:27:02	10/19 19:27:02	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	76.066 °F/hr	75.322 °F/hr [74.88 – 75.77]	75.31 °F/hr	-0.012 °F/hr	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 23:26:13	10/19 22:26:13	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.425 °F/hr	75.175 °F/hr [74.84 – 75.51]	75.31 °F/hr	+0.135 °F/hr	0.46σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 22:28:55	10/19 18:28:55	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.955 °F/hr	75.738 °F/hr [75.29 – 76.19]	75.31 °F/hr	-0.428 °F/hr	1.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 22:28:06	10/19 21:28:06	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.609 °F/hr	75.415 °F/hr [75.08 – 75.75]	75.31 °F/hr	-0.105 °F/hr	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 21:25:09	10/19 20:25:09	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	75.732 °F/hr	75.61 °F/hr [75.28 – 75.94]	75.99 °F/hr	+0.38 °F/hr	1.3σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 20:27:02	10/19 19:27:02	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	76.066 °F/hr	76.162 °F/hr [75.83 – 76.49]	75.54 °F/hr	-0.622 °F/hr	2.12σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 19:28:55	10/19 18:28:55	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	75.955 °F/hr	76.245 °F/hr [75.91 – 76.58]	75.87 °F/hr	-0.375 °F/hr	1.28σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 18:26:48	10/19 14:26:48	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	72.981 °F/hr	75.466 °F/hr [75.02 – 75.91]	76.21 °F/hr	+0.744 °F/hr	1.88σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 15:26:48	10/19 14:26:48	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	72.981 °F/hr	73.695 °F/hr [73.36 – 74.03]	74.41 °F/hr	+0.715 °F/hr	2.44σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 14:24:39	10/19 10:24:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	70.825 °F/hr	72.789 °F/hr [72.33 – 73.25]	72.84 °F/hr	+0.051 °F/hr	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 11:24:39	10/19 10:24:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	70.825 °F/hr	71.012 °F/hr [70.67 – 71.35]	70.7 °F/hr	-0.312 °F/hr	1.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 10:27:28	10/19 06:27:28	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	71.413 °F/hr	70.559 °F/hr [70.09 – 71.03]	70.7 °F/hr	+0.141 °F/hr	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 07:27:28	10/19 06:27:28	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	71.413 °F/hr	71.027 °F/hr [70.68 – 71.38]	70.93 °F/hr	-0.097 °F/hr	0.33σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 07:44:33	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.32	68.992 °F/hr	68.059 °F/hr [66.28 – 69.84]	71.82 °F/hr	+3.761 °F/hr	2.68σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/27/26 20:20:58	10/27 16:30:54	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.64	69.46 °F/hr	66.34 °F/hr [64.06 – 68.62]	70.7 °F/hr	+4.36 °F/hr	2.44σ	~ Minor Drift
10/26/26 12:32:31	10/26 08:35:48	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78	69.8 °F/hr	69.395 °F/hr [68.05 – 70.74]	72.72 °F/hr	+3.325 °F/hr	3.13σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 15:25:44	10/20 11:25:44	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	72.093 °F/hr	74.637 °F/hr [74.19 – 75.09]	75.65 °F/hr	+1.013 °F/hr	2.56σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 15:24:54	10/20 14:24:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	74.169 °F/hr	74.881 °F/hr [74.55 – 75.21]	75.65 °F/hr	+0.769 °F/hr	2.62σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/19/26 20:27:02	10/19 19:27:02	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99	76.066 °F/hr	76.162 °F/hr [75.83 – 76.49]	75.54 °F/hr	-0.622 °F/hr	2.12σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 15:26:48	10/19 14:26:48	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	72.981 °F/hr	73.695 °F/hr [73.36 – 74.03]	74.41 °F/hr	+0.715 °F/hr	2.44σ	~ Minor Drift