/
root
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Laker
/
Outside
/
Sun Room
/
Deep Freeze
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Deep Freezer Temperature
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Range:
39.29 -
51.8
(°F)
|
No anomalies recorded in this time window.
No anomalies occurred in the selected time period — showing the most recent historical anomalies for this sensor.
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23/26 22:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 49.86 °F | -3.45 | +1543.5% | 0 | 4.52 | - |
50.2%
|
| 10/23/26 22:10:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 49.86 °F | -3.65 | +1467.7% | 0.002 | 4.7 | - |
52.2%
|
| 10/23/26 22:00:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 48.4 °F | -3.83 | +1363% | 0.002 | 4.75 | - |
52.8%
|
| 10/23/26 21:50:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.37 °F | -4.02 | +1279% | 0.001 | 4.85 | - |
53.9%
|
| 10/23/26 21:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 46.71 °F | -4.2 | +1212.4% | 0.002 | 5 | - |
55.6%
|
| 10/23/26 21:30:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 45.28 °F | -4.38 | +1134.9% | 0.002 | 5.09 | - |
56.5%
|
| 10/23/26 21:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 44.38 °F | -4.55 | +1075.4% | 0.004 | 5.23 | - |
58.2%
|
| 10/23/26 21:10:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 41.83 °F | -4.71 | +987.3% | 0.003 | 5.2 | - |
57.8%
|
| 10/23/26 21:00:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 40.17 °F | -4.88 | +923.8% | -0 | 5.26 | - |
58.4%
|
| 10/23/26 20:50:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 40.39 °F | -5.03 | +902.2% | 0.001 | 5.57 | - |
61.9%
|
| 10/23/26 20:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.58 °F | -5.19 | +862.1% | 0.001 | 5.78 | - |
64.3%
|
| 10/23/26 20:30:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.88 °F | -5.35 | +826.6% | -0.001 | 6.05 | - |
67.2%
|
| 10/23/26 20:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.25 °F | -5.51 | +812.4% | -0 | 6.54 | - |
72.7%
|
| 10/23/26 20:10:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 39.45 °F | -5.67 | +796.2% | 0.004 | 7.13 | - |
79.2%
|
| 10/23/26 20:00:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 37.15 °F | -5.82 | +738.6% | 0.001 | 7.38 | - |
82%
|
| 10/23/26 19:50:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 36.3 °F | -5.96 | +708.8% | 0.006 | 7.99 | - |
88.8%
|
| 10/23/26 19:40:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 32.92 °F | -6.1 | +639.9% | 0.002 | 8.16 | - |
90.6%
|
| 10/23/26 19:30:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 31.82 °F | -6.23 | +610.6% | 0.005 | 8.95 | - |
99.4%
|
| 10/23/26 19:20:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 28.58 °F | -6.35 | +549.8% | 0.004 | 9.33 | - |
100%
|
| 10/23/26 19:10:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 25.92 °F | -6.46 | +500.9% | 0.009 | 9.98 | - |
100%
|
| 10/23/26 19:00:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 20.61 °F | -6.56 | +414.2% | 0.011 | 9.56 | - |
100%
|
| 10/23/26 18:50:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 14.27 °F | -6.63 | +315.1% | 0.005 | 8.12 | - |
90.3%
|
| 10/23/26 18:40:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 11.01 °F | -6.69 | +264.5% | 0.004 | 7.5 | - |
83.3%
|
| 10/23/26 18:30:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.31 °F | -6.75 | +223.2% | 0.003 | 6.86 | - |
76.2%
|
| 10/23/26 18:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.39 °F | -6.79 | +194.1% | 0 | 6.4 | - |
71.1%
|
| 10/23/26 18:10:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6.37 °F | -6.84 | +193.2% | 0.001 | 6.9 | - |
76.7%
|
| 10/23/26 18:00:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.52 °F | -6.88 | +180.2% | -0.001 | 6.98 | - |
77.6%
|
| 10/23/26 17:50:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.85 °F | -6.93 | +184.5% | 0.002 | 7.91 | - |
87.8%
|
| 10/23/26 17:40:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.51 °F | -6.97 | +164.7% | 0.002 | 7.78 | - |
86.5%
|
| 10/23/26 17:30:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3.07 °F | -7 | +143.8% | -0.001 | 7.43 | - |
82.5%
|
| 10/23/26 17:20:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3.38 °F | -7.04 | +148% | 0.002 | 8.57 | - |
95.2%
|
| 10/23/26 17:10:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 2.23 °F | -7.07 | +131.5% | 0.003 | 8.51 | - |
94.6%
|
| 10/23/26 17:00:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 0.7 °F | -7.1 | +109.9% | 0.002 | 7.83 | - |
87%
|
| 10/23/26 16:50:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | -0.54 °F | -7.13 | +92.4% | 0.002 | 7.15 | - |
79.4%
|
| 10/23/26 16:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | -2.02 °F | -7.15 | +71.7% | -0.001 | 5.86 | - |
65.1%
|
| 10/23/26 16:30:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | -1.32 °F | -7.17 | +81.6% | 0.003 | 7.24 | - |
80.4%
|
| 10/23/26 16:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | -2.92 °F | -7.18 | +59.4% | 0.002 | 5.53 | - |
61.5%
|
| 10/11/26 19:40:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | -0.35 °F | -3.16 | +88.9% | 0.013 | 1.64 | 6.41 |
41.2%
|
| 10/10/26 13:00:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2.17 °F | -3.25 | +166.7% | -0.003 | 4.85 | - |
53.9%
|
| 10/10/26 12:50:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3.83 °F | -3.28 | +216.8% | 0.002 | 6.83 | - |
75.9%
|
| 10/10/26 12:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2.89 °F | -3.3 | +187.6% | 0.002 | 6.32 | - |
70.2%
|
| 10/10/26 12:30:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1.71 °F | -3.31 | +151.6% | 0.001 | 5.36 | - |
59.6%
|
| 10/10/26 12:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1.06 °F | -3.33 | +131.9% | 0.003 | 4.87 | - |
54.1%
|
| 10/08/26 12:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 0.07 °F | -3.43 | +102% | 0.007 | 4.64 | - |
51.6%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
40.058 °F
(-0.38)
Target: 05:10 · 80% Cone: [39.27 – 40.85]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
38.349 °F
(-2.09)
Target: 08:10 · 80% Cone: [37.29 – 39.41]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
96.9%
(191 checked)
MAE: 0.771 °F · RMSE: 2.691 °F · Fit R²=0.24
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
2 diverged
7 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 34.51σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 08:10:00 (in 3.7h) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 40.435 °F | 38.349 °F [37.29 – 39.41] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 05:10:00 (in 42m) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 40.435 °F | 40.058 °F [39.27 – 40.85] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.527 °F | 44.647 °F [43.7 – 45.6] | 44.08 °F | -0.567 °F | 0.76σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.527 °F | 45.11 °F [44.41 – 45.82] | 43.97 °F | -1.14 °F | 2.06σ | ~ Minor Drift |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 08:10:00 (in 3.7h) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 40.435 °F | 38.349 °F [37.29 – 39.41] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 05:10:00 (in 42m) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 40.435 °F | 40.058 °F [39.27 – 40.85] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.527 °F | 44.647 °F [43.7 – 45.6] | 44.08 °F | -0.567 °F | 0.76σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.527 °F | 45.11 °F [44.41 – 45.82] | 43.97 °F | -1.14 °F | 2.06σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/25/26 17:50:00 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 48.663 °F | 45.358 °F [44.15 – 46.57] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:50:00 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 48.663 °F | 48.403 °F [47.5 – 49.3] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:20:00 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -7.286 °F | -7.109 °F [-8.42 – -5.8] | 28.58 °F | +35.689 °F | 34.51σ | 🚨 Diverged |
| 10/23/26 16:20:00 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -7.286 °F | -7.217 °F [-8.2 – -6.24] | -2.92 °F | +4.297 °F | 5.6σ | 🚨 Diverged |
| 10/23/26 08:10:00 | 10/23 04:13:56 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24 | -6.701 °F | -6.857 °F [-8.12 – -5.59] | -5.96 °F | +0.897 °F | 0.9σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 07:00:00 | 10/23 03:08:12 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.23 | -6.798 °F | -6.849 °F [-8.11 – -5.59] | -6.07 °F | +0.779 °F | 0.79σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 05:10:00 | 10/23 01:10:31 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.727 °F | -6.533 °F [-7.81 – -5.25] | -6.27 °F | +0.263 °F | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 05:10:00 | 10/23 04:13:56 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24 | -6.701 °F | -6.762 °F [-7.7 – -5.82] | -6.27 °F | +0.492 °F | 0.67σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:30:00 | 10/23 03:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.23 | -6.8 °F | -6.874 °F [-7.81 – -5.94] | -6.7 °F | +0.174 °F | 0.24σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:10:00 | 10/23 00:10:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.22 | -6.909 °F | -6.817 °F [-8.11 – -5.53] | -7.1 °F | -0.283 °F | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:00:00 | 10/23 03:08:12 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.23 | -6.798 °F | -6.818 °F [-7.75 – -5.88] | -6.57 °F | +0.248 °F | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:30:00 | 10/23 02:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.23 | -6.697 °F | -6.606 °F [-7.54 – -5.67] | -7.17 °F | -0.564 °F | 0.77σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:30:00 | 10/22 23:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.917 °F | -6.713 °F [-7.99 – -5.44] | -7.17 °F | -0.457 °F | 0.46σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:00:00 | 10/23 02:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.22 | -6.762 °F | -6.565 °F [-7.49 – -5.64] | -6.9 °F | -0.335 °F | 0.46σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:00:00 | 10/22 23:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | -7.15 °F | -7.447 °F [-8.75 – -6.15] | -6.9 °F | +0.547 °F | 0.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 02:30:00 | 10/22 22:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24 | -6.843 °F | -6.904 °F [-8.14 – -5.67] | -6.45 °F | +0.454 °F | 0.47σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 02:10:00 | 10/23 01:10:31 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.727 °F | -6.651 °F [-7.61 – -5.7] | -7.71 °F | -1.059 °F | 1.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 02:00:00 | 10/22 22:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.22 | -7.152 °F | -7.286 °F [-8.53 – -6.04] | -6.12 °F | +1.166 °F | 1.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 01:10:00 | 10/23 00:10:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | -6.813 °F | -6.791 °F [-7.74 – -5.84] | -7.19 °F | -0.399 °F | 0.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 01:10:00 | 10/22 21:18:09 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -7.017 °F | -6.644 °F [-7.92 – -5.37] | -7.19 °F | -0.546 °F | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:10:00 | 10/22 20:18:32 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.17 °F | -7.234 °F [-8.44 – -6.03] | -7.33 °F | -0.096 °F | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:10:00 | 10/22 23:10:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.973 °F | -7.038 °F [-7.98 – -6.1] | -7.33 °F | -0.292 °F | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 23:10:00 | 10/22 22:10:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | -6.866 °F | -6.786 °F [-7.73 – -5.84] | -7.19 °F | -0.404 °F | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 23:10:00 | 10/22 19:10:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.22 | -7.273 °F | -6.968 °F [-8.21 – -5.73] | -7.19 °F | -0.222 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:10:00 | 10/22 18:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.384 °F | -7.39 °F [-8.58 – -6.2] | -6.07 °F | +1.32 °F | 1.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:10:00 | 10/22 21:18:09 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -7.017 °F | -6.871 °F [-7.82 – -5.92] | -6.07 °F | +0.801 °F | 1.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:10:00 | 10/22 20:18:32 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.17 °F | -7.164 °F [-8.06 – -6.27] | -6.21 °F | +0.954 °F | 1.36σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:10:00 | 10/22 17:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.632 °F | -7.635 °F [-8.85 – -6.42] | -6.21 °F | +1.425 °F | 1.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:10:00 | 10/22 19:10:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | -7.345 °F | -7.252 °F [-8.17 – -6.34] | -6.12 °F | +1.132 °F | 1.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:10:00 | 10/22 16:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -7.779 °F | -7.79 °F [-8.97 – -6.61] | -6.12 °F | +1.67 °F | 1.8σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 19:10:00 | 10/22 18:10:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | -7.541 °F | -7.47 °F [-8.39 – -6.55] | -6.65 °F | +0.82 °F | 1.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 19:10:00 | 10/22 15:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.508 °F | -7.82 °F [-9 – -6.64] | -6.65 °F | +1.17 °F | 1.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 18:10:00 | 10/22 17:10:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -7.654 °F | -7.649 °F [-8.57 – -6.73] | -6.38 °F | +1.269 °F | 1.76σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 18:10:00 | 10/22 14:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -7.415 °F | -7.843 °F [-9.04 – -6.64] | -6.38 °F | +1.463 °F | 1.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 17:10:00 | 10/22 16:10:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -7.779 °F | -7.819 °F [-8.7 – -6.94] | -6.93 °F | +0.889 °F | 1.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 17:10:00 | 10/22 13:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.186 °F | -7.797 °F [-9.01 – -6.59] | -6.93 °F | +0.867 °F | 0.91σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 16:20:00 | 10/22 12:24:36 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.218 °F | -7.777 °F [-8.97 – -6.58] | -7.64 °F | +0.137 °F | 0.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 16:10:00 | 10/22 15:10:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.508 °F | -7.661 °F [-8.54 – -6.78] | -8.07 °F | -0.409 °F | 0.59σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:10:00 | 10/22 14:10:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -7.415 °F | -7.589 °F [-8.48 – -6.7] | -7.73 °F | -0.141 °F | 0.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:10:00 | 10/22 11:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.172 °F | -7.674 °F [-8.85 – -6.5] | -7.73 °F | -0.056 °F | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:10:00 | 10/22 13:10:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.186 °F | -7.397 °F [-8.3 – -6.5] | -8 °F | -0.603 °F | 0.85σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:10:00 | 10/22 10:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.107 °F | -7.563 °F [-8.74 – -6.39] | -8 °F | -0.437 °F | 0.47σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:20:00 | 10/22 12:24:36 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.218 °F | -7.366 °F [-8.25 – -6.48] | -7.69 °F | -0.324 °F | 0.47σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:10:00 | 10/22 09:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.179 °F | -7.564 °F [-8.74 – -6.39] | -7.83 °F | -0.266 °F | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:20:00 | 10/22 08:26:54 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -7.129 °F | -7.086 °F [-8.32 – -5.85] | -7.55 °F | -0.464 °F | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:20:00 | 10/22 11:20:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.31 | -7.096 °F | -7.204 °F [-8.06 – -6.34] | -7.55 °F | -0.346 °F | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:00:00 | 10/22 08:01:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -6.928 °F | -7.336 °F [-8.48 – -6.19] | -6.21 °F | +1.126 °F | 1.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:20:00 | 10/22 10:20:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.02 °F | -7.069 °F [-7.92 – -6.22] | -6.14 °F | +0.929 °F | 1.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:10:00 | 10/22 07:12:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.123 °F | -7.137 °F [-8.29 – -5.98] | -8.39 °F | -1.253 °F | 1.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 10:20:00 | 10/22 09:20:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.013 °F | -7.049 °F [-7.9 – -6.2] | -6.14 °F | +0.909 °F | 1.36σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 10:20:00 | 10/22 06:28:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -6.898 °F | -6.845 °F [-8.05 – -5.64] | -6.14 °F | +0.705 °F | 0.74σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:50:00 | 10/22 05:50:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.008 °F | -6.899 °F [-8.07 – -5.73] | -6.54 °F | +0.359 °F | 0.39σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:20:00 | 10/22 08:26:54 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -7.129 °F | -7.112 °F [-8.03 – -6.19] | -6.45 °F | +0.662 °F | 0.92σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:20:00 | 10/22 05:20:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -6.998 °F | -6.849 °F [-7.98 – -5.72] | -6.45 °F | +0.399 °F | 0.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:00:00 | 10/22 08:01:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -6.928 °F | -6.981 °F [-7.83 – -6.13] | -6.38 °F | +0.601 °F | 0.9σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:50:00 | 10/22 04:53:53 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.002 °F | -6.908 °F [-8.07 – -5.75] | -6.65 °F | +0.258 °F | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:10:00 | 10/22 07:12:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.123 °F | -7.045 °F [-7.9 – -6.19] | -7.4 °F | -0.355 °F | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:00:00 | 10/22 04:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.065 °F | -6.813 °F [-7.96 – -5.67] | -7.26 °F | -0.447 °F | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:20:00 | 10/22 06:28:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -6.898 °F | -6.788 °F [-7.68 – -5.89] | -6.38 °F | +0.408 °F | 0.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:10:00 | 10/22 03:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.092 °F | -6.587 °F [-7.75 – -5.42] | -7.73 °F | -1.143 °F | 1.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:50:00 | 10/22 05:50:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.008 °F | -6.925 °F [-7.8 – -6.06] | -5.96 °F | +0.965 °F | 1.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:20:00 | 10/22 05:20:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.31 | -7.002 °F | -6.837 °F [-7.69 – -5.98] | -6.12 °F | +0.717 °F | 1.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:20:00 | 10/22 02:20:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.332 °F | -6.756 °F [-7.89 – -5.63] | -6.12 °F | +0.636 °F | 0.72σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:50:00 | 10/22 04:53:53 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.002 °F | -6.98 °F [-7.84 – -6.12] | -6.45 °F | +0.53 °F | 0.78σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:50:00 | 10/22 01:50:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.29 | -7.611 °F | -6.906 °F [-8.06 – -5.75] | -6.45 °F | +0.456 °F | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:20:00 | 10/22 04:20:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.11 °F | -6.963 °F [-7.83 – -6.09] | -6.21 °F | +0.753 °F | 1.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:00:00 | 10/22 01:08:01 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.29 | -7.732 °F | -7.008 °F [-8.15 – -5.86] | -7.91 °F | -0.902 °F | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:50:00 | 10/22 03:50:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -6.965 °F | -6.871 °F [-7.74 – -6] | -7.91 °F | -1.039 °F | 1.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:20:00 | 10/22 03:20:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.315 °F | -7.167 °F [-8.01 – -6.33] | -7.19 °F | -0.023 °F | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:00:00 | 10/22 00:04:06 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.917 °F | -7.375 °F [-8.52 – -6.23] | -7.98 °F | -0.605 °F | 0.67σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:50:00 | 10/22 02:50:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.2 °F | -7.024 °F [-7.88 – -6.17] | -7.62 °F | -0.596 °F | 0.89σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:20:00 | 10/22 02:20:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.332 °F | -7.142 °F [-7.98 – -6.3] | -8.3 °F | -1.158 °F | 1.76σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 03:20:00 | 10/21 23:20:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.31 | -7.908 °F | -7.464 °F [-8.59 – -6.34] | -8.3 °F | -0.836 °F | 0.95σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:50:00 | 10/21 22:50:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.29 | -7.925 °F | -7.545 °F [-8.69 – -6.4] | -7.47 °F | +0.075 °F | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:50:00 | 10/22 01:50:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.572 °F | -7.378 °F [-8.23 – -6.53] | -7.47 °F | -0.092 °F | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:20:00 | 10/21 22:20:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.76 °F | -7.392 °F [-8.53 – -6.26] | -7.64 °F | -0.248 °F | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:00:00 | 10/22 01:08:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.29 | -7.732 °F | -7.519 °F [-8.37 – -6.67] | -6 °F | +1.519 °F | 2.27σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 01:50:00 | 10/21 21:50:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.29 | -7.713 °F | -7.296 °F [-8.45 – -6.15] | -7.49 °F | -0.194 °F | 0.21σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:00:00 | 10/22 00:04:06 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.917 °F | -7.848 °F [-8.7 – -7] | -6.36 °F | +1.488 °F | 2.23σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 01:00:00 | 10/21 21:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.761 °F | -7.475 °F [-8.68 – -6.27] | -6.36 °F | +1.115 °F | 1.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:00:00 | 10/21 23:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.29 | -7.92 °F | -7.859 °F [-8.73 – -6.99] | -8.16 °F | -0.301 °F | 0.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:00:00 | 10/21 20:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.773 °F | -7.428 °F [-8.63 – -6.23] | -8.16 °F | -0.732 °F | 0.77σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 23:00:00 | 10/21 19:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -7.694 °F | -7.525 °F [-8.72 – -6.33] | -7.98 °F | -0.455 °F | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 23:00:00 | 10/21 22:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.65 °F | -7.54 °F [-8.41 – -6.67] | -7.98 °F | -0.44 °F | 0.64σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 22:30:00 | 10/21 21:30:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.35 | -7.796 °F | -7.722 °F [-8.55 – -6.89] | -8.14 °F | -0.418 °F | 0.64σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 22:00:00 | 10/21 21:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.28 | -7.79 °F | -7.743 °F [-8.61 – -6.88] | -7.47 °F | +0.273 °F | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 22:00:00 | 10/21 18:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.24 | -7.675 °F | -7.528 °F [-8.74 – -6.31] | -7.47 °F | +0.058 °F | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:30:00 | 10/21 17:30:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.33 | -7.676 °F | -7.491 °F [-8.64 – -6.34] | -8.32 °F | -0.829 °F | 0.92σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:00:00 | 10/21 17:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.746 °F | -7.579 °F [-8.79 – -6.37] | -7.85 °F | -0.271 °F | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:00:00 | 10/21 20:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.27 | -7.773 °F | -7.699 °F [-8.59 – -6.81] | -7.85 °F | -0.151 °F | 0.22σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:00:00 | 10/21 19:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -7.694 °F | -7.699 °F [-8.59 – -6.81] | -7.58 °F | +0.119 °F | 0.17σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:00:00 | 10/21 16:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.904 °F | -7.731 °F [-8.95 – -6.51] | -7.58 °F | +0.151 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 19:00:00 | 10/21 18:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.24 | -7.675 °F | -7.675 °F [-8.58 – -6.77] | -7.58 °F | +0.095 °F | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 19:00:00 | 10/21 15:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.24 | -7.792 °F | -7.905 °F [-9.13 – -6.68] | -7.58 °F | +0.325 °F | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:30:00 | 10/21 17:30:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.33 | -7.676 °F | -7.664 °F [-8.52 – -6.81] | -8.05 °F | -0.386 °F | 0.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:00:00 | 10/21 17:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.746 °F | -7.738 °F [-8.64 – -6.84] | -7.69 °F | +0.048 °F | 0.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:00:00 | 10/21 14:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -7.449 °F | -7.734 °F [-8.97 – -6.49] | -7.69 °F | +0.044 °F | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:00:00 | 10/21 16:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.904 °F | -7.917 °F [-8.82 – -7.01] | -7.56 °F | +0.357 °F | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:00:00 | 10/21 13:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.245 °F | -7.819 °F [-9.04 – -6.6] | -7.56 °F | +0.259 °F | 0.27σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 16:00:00 | 10/21 15:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.24 | -7.792 °F | -7.922 °F [-8.84 – -7.01] | -7.22 °F | +0.702 °F | 0.98σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 16:00:00 | 10/21 12:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -6.907 °F | -7.601 °F [-8.81 – -6.39] | -7.22 °F | +0.381 °F | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 15:00:00 | 10/21 14:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -7.449 °F | -7.56 °F [-8.48 – -6.64] | -8 °F | -0.44 °F | 0.61σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 15:00:00 | 10/21 11:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -6.648 °F | -7.366 °F [-8.58 – -6.15] | -8 °F | -0.634 °F | 0.66σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:00:00 | 10/21 13:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.25 | -7.245 °F | -7.473 °F [-8.38 – -6.56] | -6.36 °F | +1.113 °F | 1.56σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:00:00 | 10/21 10:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.24 | -6.662 °F | -7.333 °F [-8.55 – -6.12] | -6.36 °F | +0.973 °F | 1.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:00:00 | 10/21 12:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -6.907 °F | -7.103 °F [-8 – -6.2] | -6.27 °F | +0.833 °F | 1.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:00:00 | 10/21 09:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.536 °F | -6.414 °F [-7.65 – -5.18] | -6.27 °F | +0.144 °F | 0.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:00:00 | 10/21 11:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.26 | -6.648 °F | -6.785 °F [-7.69 – -5.88] | -6.95 °F | -0.165 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:00:00 | 10/21 08:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.51 °F | -6.114 °F [-7.34 – -4.88] | -6.95 °F | -0.836 °F | 0.86σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:30:00 | 10/21 07:32:05 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | -6.61 °F | -6.301 °F [-7.5 – -5.1] | -6.38 °F | -0.079 °F | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:00:00 | 10/21 10:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.24 | -6.662 °F | -6.782 °F [-7.69 – -5.88] | -7.17 °F | -0.388 °F | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:00:00 | 10/21 07:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -6.777 °F | -6.45 °F [-7.69 – -5.21] | -7.17 °F | -0.72 °F | 0.74σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:00:00 | 10/21 09:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.536 °F | -6.488 °F [-7.41 – -5.57] | -6.18 °F | +0.308 °F | 0.43σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:00:00 | 10/21 06:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | -7.003 °F | -6.917 °F [-8.15 – -5.68] | -6.18 °F | +0.737 °F | 0.76σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:00:00 | 10/21 08:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21 | -6.51 °F | -6.355 °F [-7.27 – -5.44] | -6.07 °F | +0.285 °F | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:00:00 | 10/21 05:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.075 °F | -6.927 °F [-8.17 – -5.69] | -6.07 °F | +0.857 °F | 0.88σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:30:00 | 10/21 07:32:05 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | -6.61 °F | -6.489 °F [-7.38 – -5.6] | -6.38 °F | +0.109 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:00:00 | 10/21 04:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.221 °F | -7.232 °F [-8.47 – -5.99] | -6.7 °F | +0.532 °F | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:00:00 | 10/21 07:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -6.777 °F | -6.649 °F [-7.57 – -5.73] | -6.7 °F | -0.051 °F | 0.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:30:00 | 10/21 03:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | -7.197 °F | -7.068 °F [-8.3 – -5.84] | -6.36 °F | +0.708 °F | 0.73σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:30:00 | 10/21 06:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -6.885 °F | -6.8 °F [-7.71 – -5.89] | -6.36 °F | +0.44 °F | 0.61σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:00:00 | 10/21 03:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.319 °F | -7.346 °F [-8.59 – -6.1] | -5.98 °F | +1.366 °F | 1.39σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:00:00 | 10/21 06:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | -7.003 °F | -6.97 °F [-7.89 – -6.05] | -5.98 °F | +0.99 °F | 1.37σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:30:00 | 10/21 05:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -6.974 °F | -6.858 °F [-7.76 – -5.96] | -7.83 °F | -0.972 °F | 1.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:30:00 | 10/21 02:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.451 °F | -7.447 °F [-8.65 – -6.25] | -7.83 °F | -0.383 °F | 0.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:00:00 | 10/21 05:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.075 °F | -7.017 °F [-7.94 – -6.09] | -7.73 °F | -0.713 °F | 0.99σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:40:00 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | -7.149 °F | -6.651 °F [-7.78 – -5.52] | -6.86 °F | -0.209 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:30:00 | 10/21 04:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | -7.13 °F | -7.123 °F [-8.04 – -6.21] | -7.26 °F | -0.137 °F | 0.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:00:00 | 10/21 04:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.221 °F | -7.226 °F [-8.15 – -6.3] | -7.33 °F | -0.104 °F | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:00:00 | 10/21 01:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | -7.517 °F | -7.489 °F [-8.72 – -6.25] | -7.33 °F | +0.159 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 04:30:00 | 10/21 03:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | -7.197 °F | -7.147 °F [-8.06 – -6.23] | -7.98 °F | -0.833 °F | 1.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 04:30:00 | 10/21 00:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.614 °F | -7.757 °F [-8.97 – -6.55] | -7.98 °F | -0.223 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 04:00:00 | 10/21 03:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.319 °F | -7.33 °F [-8.26 – -6.4] | -7.91 °F | -0.58 °F | 0.8σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 04:00:00 | 10/21 00:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -7.374 °F | -6.95 °F [-8.18 – -5.72] | -7.91 °F | -0.96 °F | 0.99σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 03:30:00 | 10/21 02:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.451 °F | -7.45 °F [-8.34 – -6.56] | -7.69 °F | -0.24 °F | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 03:30:00 | 10/20 23:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.551 °F | -7.185 °F [-8.42 – -5.95] | -7.69 °F | -0.505 °F | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:40:00 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | -7.149 °F | -6.954 °F [-7.8 – -6.11] | -6.07 °F | +0.884 °F | 1.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:30:00 | 10/20 22:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.726 °F | -7.285 °F [-8.48 – -6.09] | -7.73 °F | -0.445 °F | 0.47σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:00:00 | 10/21 01:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | -7.517 °F | -7.506 °F [-8.43 – -6.59] | -7.42 °F | +0.086 °F | 0.12σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 01:30:00 | 10/20 21:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.923 °F | -7.987 °F [-9.19 – -6.78] | -7.33 °F | +0.657 °F | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 01:30:00 | 10/21 00:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.614 °F | -7.67 °F [-8.57 – -6.77] | -7.33 °F | +0.34 °F | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 01:00:00 | 10/20 21:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | -7.985 °F | -8.177 °F [-9.4 – -6.96] | -7.65 °F | +0.527 °F | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 01:00:00 | 10/21 00:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -7.374 °F | -7.208 °F [-8.12 – -6.29] | -7.65 °F | -0.442 °F | 0.62σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 00:30:00 | 10/20 20:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -8.002 °F | -8.264 °F [-9.47 – -7.06] | -8.37 °F | -0.106 °F | 0.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 00:30:00 | 10/20 23:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.551 °F | -7.408 °F [-8.33 – -6.49] | -8.37 °F | -0.962 °F | 1.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 00:00:00 | 10/20 20:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | -7.842 °F | -7.912 °F [-9.15 – -6.68] | -6.63 °F | +1.282 °F | 1.32σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 23:30:00 | 10/20 19:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.857 °F | -7.854 °F [-9.07 – -6.64] | -6.88 °F | +0.974 °F | 1.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 23:30:00 | 10/20 22:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.726 °F | -7.553 °F [-8.45 – -6.66] | -6.88 °F | +0.673 °F | 0.96σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 22:30:00 | 10/20 21:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.923 °F | -7.948 °F [-8.84 – -7.05] | -6.3 °F | +1.648 °F | 2.35σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 22:30:00 | 10/20 18:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.878 °F | -7.828 °F [-9.05 – -6.61] | -6.3 °F | +1.528 °F | 1.59σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 22:00:00 | 10/20 21:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | -7.985 °F | -8.06 °F [-8.97 – -7.15] | -7.91 °F | +0.15 °F | 0.21σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:30:00 | 10/20 20:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -8.002 °F | -8.104 °F [-9 – -7.21] | -7.83 °F | +0.274 °F | 0.39σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:30:00 | 10/20 17:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.999 °F | -8.277 °F [-9.5 – -7.05] | -7.83 °F | +0.447 °F | 0.46σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:00:00 | 10/20 20:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | -7.842 °F | -7.869 °F [-8.79 – -6.95] | -7.83 °F | +0.039 °F | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:00:00 | 10/20 17:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.875 °F | -7.982 °F [-9.24 – -6.72] | -7.83 °F | +0.152 °F | 0.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 20:30:00 | 10/20 19:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.857 °F | -7.856 °F [-8.76 – -6.95] | -8.23 °F | -0.374 °F | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 20:30:00 | 10/20 16:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.871 °F | -8.073 °F [-9.31 – -6.84] | -8.23 °F | -0.157 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 20:00:00 | 10/20 16:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.816 °F | -8.081 °F [-9.35 – -6.81] | -8.1 °F | -0.019 °F | 0.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:30:00 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.696 °F | -7.84 °F [-9.09 – -6.59] | -8 °F | -0.16 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:30:00 | 10/20 18:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.878 °F | -7.858 °F [-8.77 – -6.95] | -8 °F | -0.142 °F | 0.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 18:30:00 | 10/20 14:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | -7.622 °F | -7.775 °F [-9.02 – -6.53] | -7.44 °F | +0.335 °F | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 18:30:00 | 10/20 17:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.999 °F | -8.108 °F [-9.02 – -7.19] | -7.44 °F | +0.668 °F | 0.93σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 18:00:00 | 10/20 17:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.875 °F | -7.917 °F [-8.86 – -6.98] | -7.53 °F | +0.387 °F | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 17:30:00 | 10/20 13:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.543 °F | -7.844 °F [-9.09 – -6.6] | -8.19 °F | -0.346 °F | 0.35σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 17:30:00 | 10/20 16:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.871 °F | -7.95 °F [-8.87 – -7.03] | -8.19 °F | -0.24 °F | 0.33σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 17:00:00 | 10/20 16:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.816 °F | -7.92 °F [-8.87 – -6.97] | -7.33 °F | +0.59 °F | 0.8σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 17:00:00 | 10/20 13:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.656 °F | -8.226 °F [-9.51 – -6.95] | -7.33 °F | +0.896 °F | 0.89σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:30:00 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | -7.696 °F | -7.753 °F [-8.69 – -6.82] | -7.73 °F | +0.023 °F | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:30:00 | 10/20 12:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.397 °F | -7.802 °F [-9.05 – -6.56] | -7.73 °F | +0.072 °F | 0.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:00:00 | 10/20 12:00:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.234 °F | -7.442 °F [-8.72 – -6.16] | -7.33 °F | +0.112 °F | 0.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:30:00 | 10/20 14:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | -7.622 °F | -7.682 °F [-8.61 – -6.76] | -7.65 °F | +0.032 °F | 0.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:30:00 | 10/20 11:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.084 °F | -7.112 °F [-8.35 – -5.87] | -7.65 °F | -0.538 °F | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:30:00 | 10/20 10:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.174 °F | -7.352 °F [-8.58 – -6.12] | -8.05 °F | -0.698 °F | 0.72σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:30:00 | 10/20 13:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.543 °F | -7.66 °F [-8.59 – -6.73] | -8.05 °F | -0.39 °F | 0.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:00:00 | 10/20 13:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.656 °F | -7.879 °F [-8.83 – -6.93] | -8.07 °F | -0.191 °F | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 13:30:00 | 10/20 12:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.397 °F | -7.555 °F [-8.48 – -6.63] | -8.36 °F | -0.805 °F | 1.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 13:30:00 | 10/20 09:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.17 °F | -7.412 °F [-8.64 – -6.18] | -8.36 °F | -0.948 °F | 0.98σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 13:00:00 | 10/20 12:00:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.234 °F | -7.315 °F [-8.27 – -6.36] | -7.91 °F | -0.595 °F | 0.8σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 12:30:00 | 10/20 11:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.084 °F | -7.095 °F [-8.02 – -6.17] | -8 °F | -0.905 °F | 1.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 12:30:00 | 10/20 08:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -6.988 °F | -6.979 °F [-8.2 – -5.76] | -8 °F | -1.021 °F | 1.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 11:30:00 | 10/20 10:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.174 °F | -7.243 °F [-8.16 – -6.33] | -8.3 °F | -1.057 °F | 1.47σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 11:30:00 | 10/20 07:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -6.985 °F | -6.8 °F [-8.02 – -5.58] | -8.3 °F | -1.5 °F | 1.56σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 10:30:00 | 10/20 09:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -7.17 °F | -7.264 °F [-8.18 – -6.35] | -8.19 °F | -0.926 °F | 1.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 09:30:00 | 10/20 08:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -6.988 °F | -6.984 °F [-7.89 – -6.08] | -8.05 °F | -1.066 °F | 1.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 08:30:00 | 10/20 07:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | -6.985 °F | -6.913 °F [-7.82 – -6] | -7.19 °F | -0.277 °F | 0.39σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 07:30:00 | 10/20 03:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | -7.277 °F | -7.088 °F [-8.31 – -5.87] | -6.79 °F | +0.298 °F | 0.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 04:30:00 | 10/20 03:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | -7.277 °F | -7.203 °F [-8.11 – -6.3] | -6.29 °F | +0.913 °F | 1.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 03:30:00 | 10/19 23:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.593 °F | -7.483 °F [-8.68 – -6.28] | -7.4 °F | +0.083 °F | 0.09σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 00:30:00 | 10/19 23:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.593 °F | -7.55 °F [-8.44 – -6.66] | -8.36 °F | -0.81 °F | 1.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 23:30:00 | 10/19 19:30:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.636 °F | -7.211 °F [-8.45 – -5.97] | -7.33 °F | -0.119 °F | 0.12σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 20:30:00 | 10/19 19:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.636 °F | -7.47 °F [-8.39 – -6.55] | -8.05 °F | -0.58 °F | 0.8σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.527 °F | 45.11 °F [44.41 – 45.82] | 43.97 °F | -1.14 °F | 2.06σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 19:20:00 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -7.286 °F | -7.109 °F [-8.42 – -5.8] | 28.58 °F | +35.689 °F | 34.51σ | 🚨 Diverged |
| 10/23/26 16:20:00 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | -7.286 °F | -7.217 °F [-8.2 – -6.24] | -2.92 °F | +4.297 °F | 5.6σ | 🚨 Diverged |
| 10/22/26 02:00:00 | 10/22 01:08:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.29 | -7.732 °F | -7.519 °F [-8.37 – -6.67] | -6 °F | +1.519 °F | 2.27σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 01:00:00 | 10/22 00:04:06 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.30 | -7.917 °F | -7.848 °F [-8.7 – -7] | -6.36 °F | +1.488 °F | 2.23σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 22:30:00 | 10/20 21:30:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | -7.923 °F | -7.948 °F [-8.84 – -7.05] | -6.3 °F | +1.648 °F | 2.35σ | ~ Minor Drift |