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/ root / Laker / Outside / Sun Room / Deep Freeze / Deep Freezer Humidity | Prevailing: 62.3° (ENE) | Steadiness: 99.9% |

/ root / Laker / Outside / Sun Room / Deep Freeze / Deep Freezer Humidity

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 07:40:00	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	62.6 %	73.344	-14.65%	1.341	8.98	-	99.5%

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 07:40:00	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	62.6 %	73.344	-14.65%	1.341	8.98	-	99.5%
11/01/26 10:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	69.32 %	48.96	+41.6%	0.002	4.53	-	50.3%
11/01/26 09:40:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	67.91 %	48.8	+39.1%	0.001	4.52	-	50.2%
11/01/26 09:30:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	67.28 %	48.73	+38.1%	0.003	4.52	-	50.3%
11/01/26 09:20:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	65.19 %	48.65	+34%	0.003	4.13	5.03	48.1%
11/01/26 09:10:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	63.15 %	48.59	+30%	0.004	3.71	5.61	48.7%
11/01/26 09:00:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	61 %	48.53	+25.7%	0.003	3.23	5.68	46.3%
11/01/26 07:20:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	52.57 %	48.1	+9.3%	0.004	1.23	7.2	42.8%
11/01/26 07:10:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	50.46 %	48.07	+5%	0.004	0.65	8.11	44.2%
10/23/26 22:20:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	89.29 %	65.31	+36.7%	0	4.73	-	52.5%
10/23/26 22:10:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	89.26 %	65.22	+36.9%	0.001	4.92	-	54.7%
10/23/26 22:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	88.79 %	65.14	+36.3%	0.001	5.04	-	56%
10/23/26 21:50:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	87.9 %	65.06	+35.1%	0.001	5.08	-	56.4%
10/23/26 21:40:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	87.57 %	64.98	+34.8%	0.003	5.24	-	58.3%
10/23/26 21:30:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.85 %	64.9	+32.3%	0.003	5.06	-	56.3%
10/23/26 21:20:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	83.83 %	64.83	+29.3%	0.002	4.76	-	52.9%
10/23/26 21:10:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.79 %	64.77	+27.8%	0.003	4.68	-	52%
10/23/26 20:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.94 %	64.38	+24.2%	-0.002	5	-	55.5%
10/23/26 19:50:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.4 %	64.32	+26.6%	-0.005	5.78	-	64.2%
10/23/26 19:40:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	84.43 %	64.24	+31.4%	0.001	7.42	-	82.4%
10/23/26 19:30:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	83.95 %	64.18	+30.8%	0.005	8	-	88.9%
10/23/26 19:20:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	80.78 %	64.12	+26%	0.003	7.32	-	81.3%
10/23/26 19:10:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	79.03 %	64.06	+23.4%	0.006	7.1	-	78.9%
10/23/26 19:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	75.65 %	64.02	+18.2%	0.005	5.82	-	64.6%
10/23/26 16:30:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	71.08 %	63.69	+11.6%	-0.001	4.8	-	53.3%
10/23/26 16:20:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	71.49 %	63.66	+12.3%	-0	5.31	-	59%
10/23/26 16:10:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	71.59 %	63.64	+12.5%	0	5.67	-	63%
10/23/26 16:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	71.58 %	63.61	+12.5%	0.003	6.02	-	66.8%
10/23/26 15:50:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	69.57 %	63.58	+9.4%	0.003	4.67	-	51.9%
10/23/26 13:20:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	68.51 %	63.47	+7.9%	0.003	4.51	-	50.1%
10/23/26 12:50:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	68.97 %	63.44	+8.7%	0.004	5.21	-	57.9%
10/23/26 12:20:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	68.38 %	63.41	+7.8%	0.003	4.94	-	54.9%
10/23/26 11:40:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	70.96 %	63.37	+12%	0.015	8.69	-	96.5%
10/08/26 12:40:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.71 %	63.31	+25.9%	0.026	4.89	-	54.3%

/ root / Laker / Outside / Sun Room / Deep Freeze / Deep Freezer Humidity

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

58.434 % (-0.16)

Target: 06:00 · 80% Cone: [57.28 – 59.59]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

58.191 % (-0.4)

Target: 09:00 · 80% Cone: [56.64 – 59.74]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

98.1% (214 checked)

MAE: 0.845 % · RMSE: 1.607 % · Fit R²=0.19

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

3 diverged ⚡ 1 anom

1 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 8.98σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 09:00:00 (in 3.9h)	11/03 05:03:26	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	58.59 %	58.191 % [56.64 – 59.74]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:00 (in 51m)	11/03 05:03:26	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	58.59 %	58.434 % [57.28 – 59.59]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	65.005 %	73.344 % [71.82 – 74.87]	62.6 %	-10.744 %	8.98σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	65.005 %	65.937 % [64.8 – 67.07]	66.92 %	+0.983 %	1.11σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 09:00:00 (in 3.9h)	11/03 05:03:26	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	58.59 %	58.191 % [56.64 – 59.74]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:00 (in 51m)	11/03 05:03:26	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	58.59 %	58.434 % [57.28 – 59.59]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	65.005 %	73.344 % [71.82 – 74.87]	62.6 %	-10.744 %	8.98σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	65.005 %	65.937 % [64.8 – 67.07]	66.92 %	+0.983 %	1.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 17:50:00	10/25 13:54:50	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.92	57.543 %	49.784 % [46.98 – 52.59]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 14:50:00	10/25 13:54:50	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.92	57.543 %	55.669 % [53.58 – 57.76]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 19:20:00	10/23 15:24:07	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	65.595 %	65.112 % [62.8 – 67.42]	80.78 %	+15.668 %	8.62σ	🚨 Diverged
10/23/26 16:20:00	10/23 15:24:07	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	65.595 %	65.406 % [63.69 – 67.13]	71.49 %	+6.084 %	4.51σ	🚨 Diverged
10/23/26 05:40:00	10/23 01:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.762 %	63.65 % [61.91 – 65.39]	63.24 %	-0.41 %	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 05:20:00	10/23 04:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.712 %	63.579 % [62.28 – 64.88]	63.53 %	-0.049 %	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 05:10:00	10/23 01:13:06	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.701 %	63.665 % [61.91 – 65.42]	62.28 %	-1.385 %	1.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 04:50:00	10/23 03:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.723 %	63.652 % [62.35 – 64.95]	63.64 %	-0.012 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 04:50:00	10/23 00:50:52	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.559 %	63.818 % [62.06 – 65.58]	63.64 %	-0.178 %	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 04:30:00	10/23 00:30:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.969 %	64.002 % [62.22 – 65.79]	64.34 %	+0.338 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 04:20:00	10/23 03:25:22	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.555 %	63.564 % [62.25 – 64.87]	63.74 %	+0.176 %	0.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 04:00:00	10/23 00:00:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.691 %	63.742 % [62.02 – 65.47]	64.42 %	+0.678 %	0.5σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 03:50:00	10/23 02:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.712 %	63.655 % [62.34 – 64.97]	63.91 %	+0.255 %	0.25σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 03:30:00	10/22 23:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.551 %	63.433 % [61.64 – 65.22]	64.42 %	+0.987 %	0.7σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 03:20:00	10/23 02:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.647 %	63.628 % [62.32 – 64.93]	64.04 %	+0.412 %	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 03:00:00	10/22 23:00:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.05	63.525 %	63.216 % [61.42 – 65.01]	64.55 %	+1.334 %	0.95σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 02:40:00	10/23 01:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.779 %	63.675 % [62.37 – 64.99]	62.44 %	-1.235 %	1.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 02:30:00	10/22 22:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.05	63.585 %	63.347 % [61.57 – 65.12]	64.62 %	+1.273 %	0.91σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 02:10:00	10/23 01:13:06	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.701 %	63.687 % [62.38 – 64.99]	62.32 %	-1.367 %	1.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 02:00:00	10/22 22:00:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.754 %	63.579 % [61.81 – 65.35]	64.63 %	+1.051 %	0.76σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 01:50:00	10/23 00:50:52	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.559 %	63.66 % [62.35 – 64.97]	64.38 %	+0.72 %	0.7σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 01:30:00	10/23 00:30:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.969 %	63.982 % [62.65 – 65.31]	63.59 %	-0.392 %	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 01:30:00	10/22 21:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.807 %	63.674 % [61.9 – 65.45]	63.59 %	-0.084 %	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 00:50:00	10/22 20:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.663 %	63.619 % [61.87 – 65.37]	64.71 %	+1.091 %	0.79σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 00:50:00	10/22 23:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.632 %	63.746 % [62.42 – 65.07]	64.71 %	+0.964 %	0.93σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 00:10:00	10/22 20:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.799 %	63.979 % [62.19 – 65.77]	63.82 %	-0.159 %	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 00:10:00	10/22 23:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.657 %	63.542 % [62.24 – 64.85]	63.82 %	+0.278 %	0.27σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 23:40:00	10/22 19:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	63.754 %	63.975 % [62.19 – 65.76]	63.98 %	+0.005 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 23:40:00	10/22 22:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.624 %	63.559 % [62.24 – 64.88]	63.98 %	+0.421 %	0.41σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 23:10:00	10/22 22:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.716 %	63.676 % [62.35 – 65]	63.48 %	-0.196 %	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 23:10:00	10/22 19:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.713 %	64.102 % [62.32 – 65.89]	63.48 %	-0.622 %	0.44σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 22:40:00	10/22 18:49:42	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.638 %	63.888 % [62.15 – 65.62]	63.62 %	-0.268 %	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 22:40:00	10/22 21:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.635 %	63.587 % [62.28 – 64.9]	63.62 %	+0.033 %	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 22:20:00	10/22 18:26:53	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.635 %	63.961 % [62.17 – 65.75]	64.49 %	+0.529 %	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 22:10:00	10/22 21:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.786 %	63.863 % [62.54 – 65.19]	63.88 %	+0.017 %	0.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 21:50:00	10/22 17:54:59	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.47 %	63.794 % [62.02 – 65.57]	64.42 %	+0.626 %	0.45σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 21:40:00	10/22 20:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.646 %	63.648 % [62.35 – 64.95]	63.89 %	+0.242 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 21:10:00	10/22 20:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.616 %	63.659 % [62.36 – 64.96]	64.73 %	+1.071 %	1.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 21:10:00	10/22 17:18:34	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.382 %	63.418 % [61.65 – 65.19]	64.73 %	+1.312 %	0.94σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 20:50:00	10/22 16:50:55	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.199 %	63.245 % [61.46 – 65.04]	63.36 %	+0.115 %	0.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 20:40:00	10/22 19:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.657 %	63.755 % [62.45 – 65.06]	64.32 %	+0.565 %	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 20:20:00	10/22 16:28:20	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	63.116 %	62.994 % [61.19 – 64.8]	63.21 %	+0.216 %	0.15σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 20:10:00	10/22 19:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.572 %	63.72 % [62.44 – 65]	64.58 %	+0.86 %	0.86σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 20:00:00	10/22 16:07:26	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.016 %	63.076 % [61.29 – 64.86]	63.57 %	+0.494 %	0.35σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 19:40:00	10/22 18:49:42	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.638 %	63.736 % [62.44 – 65.03]	64.64 %	+0.904 %	0.89σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 19:30:00	10/22 15:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.168 %	63.199 % [61.38 – 65.02]	63.6 %	+0.401 %	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 19:20:00	10/22 18:26:53	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.635 %	63.763 % [62.43 – 65.09]	62.46 %	-1.303 %	1.25σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 18:50:00	10/22 17:54:59	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.47 %	63.596 % [62.27 – 64.92]	62.68 %	-0.916 %	0.88σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 18:50:00	10/22 14:50:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	63.212 %	63.019 % [61.22 – 64.82]	62.68 %	-0.339 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 18:20:00	10/22 14:25:54	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15	63.227 %	63.157 % [61.35 – 64.97]	62.9 %	-0.257 %	0.18σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 18:10:00	10/22 17:18:34	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.382 %	63.396 % [62.08 – 64.72]	64.47 %	+1.074 %	1.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 17:50:00	10/22 16:50:55	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.199 %	63.217 % [61.89 – 64.55]	62.86 %	-0.357 %	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 17:50:00	10/22 13:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.486 %	63.467 % [61.68 – 65.25]	62.86 %	-0.607 %	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 17:20:00	10/22 16:28:20	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	63.116 %	63.069 % [61.72 – 64.41]	62.89 %	-0.179 %	0.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 17:20:00	10/22 13:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.419 %	63.234 % [61.45 – 65.02]	62.89 %	-0.344 %	0.25σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 17:00:00	10/22 16:07:26	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.016 %	63.039 % [61.71 – 64.37]	64.19 %	+1.151 %	1.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 16:50:00	10/22 12:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.612 %	63.492 % [61.73 – 65.25]	63.03 %	-0.462 %	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 16:20:00	10/22 12:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	63.616 %	63.602 % [61.83 – 65.38]	63.3 %	-0.302 %	0.22σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 16:20:00	10/22 15:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.285 %	63.149 % [61.83 – 64.47]	63.3 %	+0.151 %	0.15σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 15:50:00	10/22 14:50:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	63.212 %	63.137 % [61.8 – 64.47]	63.35 %	+0.213 %	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 15:50:00	10/22 11:59:19	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21	63.534 %	64.014 % [62.24 – 65.79]	63.35 %	-0.664 %	0.48σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 15:20:00	10/22 14:25:54	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15	63.227 %	63.199 % [61.85 – 64.55]	63.36 %	+0.161 %	0.15σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 15:20:00	10/22 11:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	63.601 %	63.644 % [61.86 – 65.43]	63.36 %	-0.284 %	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 14:50:00	10/22 10:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15	63.671 %	63.99 % [62.2 – 65.78]	63.46 %	-0.53 %	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 14:50:00	10/22 13:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.489 %	63.357 % [62.05 – 64.66]	63.46 %	+0.103 %	0.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 14:20:00	10/22 13:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	63.382 %	63.25 % [61.93 – 64.57]	63.6 %	+0.35 %	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 14:10:00	10/22 10:13:16	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.462 %	63.4 % [61.62 – 65.18]	62.01 %	-1.39 %	0.99σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 13:50:00	10/22 12:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	63.467 %	63.327 % [61.98 – 64.67]	63.71 %	+0.383 %	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 13:20:00	10/22 12:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	63.563 %	63.469 % [62.13 – 64.81]	63.75 %	+0.281 %	0.27σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 13:20:00	10/22 09:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18	63.624 %	63.915 % [62.14 – 65.69]	63.75 %	-0.165 %	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 12:50:00	10/22 08:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15	63.514 %	63.856 % [62.07 – 65.65]	63.92 %	+0.064 %	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 12:50:00	10/22 11:59:19	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21	63.534 %	63.722 % [62.4 – 65.04]	63.92 %	+0.198 %	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 12:20:00	10/22 08:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	63.467 %	63.881 % [62.08 – 65.68]	64.02 %	+0.139 %	0.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 12:20:00	10/22 11:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17	63.652 %	63.635 % [62.3 – 64.97]	64.02 %	+0.385 %	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 11:50:00	10/22 10:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.542 %	63.596 % [62.27 – 64.92]	64.48 %	+0.884 %	0.85σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 11:50:00	10/22 07:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.348 %	63.685 % [61.89 – 65.48]	64.48 %	+0.795 %	0.56σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 11:20:00	10/22 07:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17	63.295 %	63.662 % [61.87 – 65.45]	63.49 %	-0.172 %	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 11:10:00	10/22 10:13:16	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.462 %	63.437 % [62.11 – 64.76]	62.44 %	-0.997 %	0.96σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 10:50:00	10/22 06:57:40	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.426 %	63.506 % [61.69 – 65.32]	64.44 %	+0.934 %	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 10:40:00	10/22 09:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.525 %	63.554 % [62.22 – 64.89]	62.65 %	-0.904 %	0.86σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 10:20:00	10/22 06:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19	63.196 %	63.272 % [61.47 – 65.08]	64.54 %	+1.268 %	0.89σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 10:10:00	10/22 09:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.437 %	63.4 % [62.07 – 64.73]	62.84 %	-0.56 %	0.54σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 09:50:00	10/22 05:58:37	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.468 %	63.453 % [61.62 – 65.28]	64.67 %	+1.217 %	0.84σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 09:40:00	10/22 08:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.259 %	63.23 % [61.9 – 64.56]	63.63 %	+0.4 %	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 09:10:00	10/22 05:18:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.167 %	63.122 % [61.28 – 64.96]	62.96 %	-0.162 %	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 09:10:00	10/22 08:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.312 %	63.262 % [61.92 – 64.61]	62.96 %	-0.302 %	0.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 08:40:00	10/22 04:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.335 %	63.369 % [61.57 – 65.17]	63.1 %	-0.269 %	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 08:20:00	10/22 07:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17	63.295 %	63.439 % [62.11 – 64.77]	64.66 %	+1.221 %	1.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 08:10:00	10/22 04:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.502 %	63.71 % [61.9 – 65.52]	63.18 %	-0.53 %	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 07:50:00	10/22 06:57:40	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.426 %	63.457 % [62.11 – 64.81]	64.57 %	+1.113 %	1.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 07:20:00	10/22 06:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19	63.196 %	63.226 % [61.88 – 64.57]	64.41 %	+1.184 %	1.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 07:20:00	10/22 03:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18	63.401 %	63.169 % [61.37 – 64.97]	64.41 %	+1.241 %	0.87σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 06:50:00	10/22 02:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.625 %	63.645 % [61.8 – 65.49]	64.25 %	+0.605 %	0.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 06:50:00	10/22 05:58:37	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.468 %	63.462 % [62.1 – 64.83]	64.25 %	+0.788 %	0.74σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 06:20:00	10/22 02:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17	63.481 %	63.4 % [61.58 – 65.22]	63.54 %	+0.14 %	0.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 06:10:00	10/22 05:18:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.167 %	63.149 % [61.78 – 64.52]	63.61 %	+0.461 %	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 05:50:00	10/22 01:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.588 %	63.757 % [61.87 – 65.65]	62.97 %	-0.787 %	0.53σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 05:40:00	10/22 04:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.335 %	63.348 % [62.01 – 64.69]	64.06 %	+0.712 %	0.68σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 05:10:00	10/22 04:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.304 %	63.349 % [62 – 64.7]	64.19 %	+0.841 %	0.8σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 05:10:00	10/22 01:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.479 %	63.548 % [61.67 – 65.43]	64.19 %	+0.642 %	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 04:40:00	10/22 00:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.395 %	63.593 % [61.78 – 65.41]	64.21 %	+0.617 %	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 04:40:00	10/22 03:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.466 %	63.512 % [62.17 – 64.85]	64.21 %	+0.698 %	0.66σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 04:10:00	10/22 03:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.397 %	63.385 % [62 – 64.78]	64.3 %	+0.915 %	0.84σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 04:10:00	10/22 00:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.035 %	63.155 % [61.31 – 65]	64.3 %	+1.145 %	0.79σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 03:40:00	10/22 02:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.569 %	63.586 % [62.24 – 64.93]	64.55 %	+0.964 %	0.91σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 03:40:00	10/21 23:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.173 %	63.461 % [61.64 – 65.28]	64.55 %	+1.089 %	0.76σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 03:10:00	10/22 02:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.374 %	63.304 % [61.9 – 64.71]	63.37 %	+0.066 %	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 03:10:00	10/21 23:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	62.958 %	62.933 % [61.05 – 64.82]	63.37 %	+0.437 %	0.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 02:40:00	10/21 22:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	62.994 %	62.98 % [61.16 – 64.8]	63.32 %	+0.34 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 02:40:00	10/22 01:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.535 %	63.572 % [62.22 – 64.92]	63.32 %	-0.252 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 02:10:00	10/22 01:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.479 %	63.506 % [62.11 – 64.91]	62.31 %	-1.196 %	1.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 02:10:00	10/21 22:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	62.835 %	62.84 % [61 – 64.68]	62.31 %	-0.53 %	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 01:40:00	10/22 00:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.395 %	63.472 % [62.12 – 64.82]	62.32 %	-1.152 %	1.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 01:40:00	10/21 21:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	62.9 %	62.74 % [60.92 – 64.56]	62.32 %	-0.42 %	0.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 01:10:00	10/21 21:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.11 %	63.143 % [61.27 – 65.01]	62.45 %	-0.693 %	0.47σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 01:10:00	10/22 00:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.035 %	63.082 % [61.71 – 64.46]	62.45 %	-0.632 %	0.59σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:40:00	10/21 23:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	63.173 %	63.285 % [61.93 – 64.64]	62.86 %	-0.425 %	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:40:00	10/21 20:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.147 %	63.254 % [61.44 – 65.07]	62.86 %	-0.394 %	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:10:00	10/21 23:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	62.958 %	62.948 % [61.55 – 64.35]	61.85 %	-1.098 %	1σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:10:00	10/21 20:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.111 %	63.426 % [61.55 – 65.31]	61.85 %	-1.576 %	1.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:40:00	10/21 22:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	62.994 %	62.989 % [61.64 – 64.34]	62.97 %	-0.019 %	0.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:40:00	10/21 19:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.224 %	63.741 % [61.93 – 65.56]	62.97 %	-0.771 %	0.54σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:10:00	10/21 19:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	62.828 %	62.821 % [60.96 – 64.68]	62.97 %	+0.149 %	0.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:10:00	10/21 22:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	62.835 %	62.837 % [61.47 – 64.2]	62.97 %	+0.133 %	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:40:00	10/21 18:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	62.842 %	62.803 % [60.99 – 64.62]	63.09 %	+0.287 %	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:40:00	10/21 21:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	62.9 %	62.838 % [61.49 – 64.19]	63.09 %	+0.252 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:10:00	10/21 21:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.11 %	63.123 % [61.73 – 64.52]	63.16 %	+0.037 %	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:10:00	10/21 18:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	62.701 %	62.491 % [60.61 – 64.37]	63.16 %	+0.669 %	0.45σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:40:00	10/21 17:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	62.694 %	62.35 % [60.54 – 64.16]	63.26 %	+0.91 %	0.64σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:40:00	10/21 20:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.147 %	63.189 % [61.84 – 64.54]	63.26 %	+0.071 %	0.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:10:00	10/21 17:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	62.807 %	62.595 % [60.73 – 64.46]	64.34 %	+1.745 %	1.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:10:00	10/21 20:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.111 %	63.234 % [61.83 – 64.63]	64.34 %	+1.106 %	1.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 20:40:00	10/21 16:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	62.698 %	62.235 % [60.43 – 64.04]	63.79 %	+1.555 %	1.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 20:40:00	10/21 19:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	63.224 %	63.426 % [62.07 – 64.78]	63.79 %	+0.364 %	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 20:10:00	10/21 19:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	62.828 %	62.825 % [61.44 – 64.21]	64.28 %	+1.455 %	1.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 20:10:00	10/21 16:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.025 %	62.876 % [61.01 – 64.75]	64.28 %	+1.404 %	0.95σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:40:00	10/21 18:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	62.842 %	62.827 % [61.47 – 64.18]	64.34 %	+1.513 %	1.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:40:00	10/21 15:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.103 %	63.001 % [61.2 – 64.81]	64.34 %	+1.339 %	0.94σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:10:00	10/21 15:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.191 %	62.966 % [61.1 – 64.83]	61.88 %	-1.086 %	0.74σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:10:00	10/21 18:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	62.701 %	62.619 % [61.22 – 64.02]	61.88 %	-0.739 %	0.67σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:40:00	10/21 14:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.083 %	62.577 % [60.77 – 64.39]	61.97 %	-0.607 %	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:40:00	10/21 17:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	62.694 %	62.559 % [61.21 – 63.91]	61.97 %	-0.589 %	0.56σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:10:00	10/21 17:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	62.807 %	62.724 % [61.34 – 64.11]	61.7 %	-1.024 %	0.94σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:10:00	10/21 14:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.27 %	63.067 % [61.21 – 64.92]	61.7 %	-1.367 %	0.94σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 17:40:00	10/21 16:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	62.698 %	62.517 % [61.17 – 63.86]	61.75 %	-0.767 %	0.73σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 17:40:00	10/21 13:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.308 %	63.168 % [61.38 – 64.96]	61.75 %	-1.418 %	1.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 17:10:00	10/21 16:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.025 %	62.967 % [61.58 – 64.36]	63.09 %	+0.123 %	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 17:10:00	10/21 13:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.305 %	63.147 % [61.29 – 65.01]	63.09 %	-0.057 %	0.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:40:00	10/21 15:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.103 %	63.063 % [61.72 – 64.41]	63.09 %	+0.027 %	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:40:00	10/21 12:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.291 %	63.158 % [61.36 – 64.95]	63.09 %	-0.068 %	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:10:00	10/21 15:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.191 %	63.103 % [61.72 – 64.49]	64.11 %	+1.007 %	0.93σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:10:00	10/21 12:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.256 %	62.981 % [61.12 – 64.84]	64.11 %	+1.129 %	0.77σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:40:00	10/21 14:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.083 %	62.886 % [61.54 – 64.23]	64.17 %	+1.284 %	1.22σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:40:00	10/21 11:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.17 %	62.735 % [60.94 – 64.53]	64.17 %	+1.435 %	1.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:10:00	10/21 14:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.27 %	63.191 % [61.81 – 64.57]	63.12 %	-0.071 %	0.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:10:00	10/21 11:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.297 %	62.948 % [61.09 – 64.81]	63.12 %	+0.172 %	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:40:00	10/21 13:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.308 %	63.253 % [61.92 – 64.59]	61.07 %	-2.183 %	2.09σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 14:40:00	10/21 10:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.337 %	63.044 % [61.25 – 64.84]	61.07 %	-1.974 %	1.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:10:00	10/21 13:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.305 %	63.243 % [61.86 – 64.63]	62.15 %	-1.093 %	1.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:10:00	10/21 10:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.447 %	63.262 % [61.4 – 65.12]	62.15 %	-1.112 %	0.76σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:40:00	10/21 12:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.291 %	63.239 % [61.9 – 64.58]	62.23 %	-1.009 %	0.96σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:40:00	10/21 09:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.317 %	62.964 % [61.18 – 64.75]	62.23 %	-0.734 %	0.52σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:10:00	10/21 12:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.256 %	63.148 % [61.76 – 64.53]	62.28 %	-0.868 %	0.8σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:10:00	10/21 09:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.528 %	63.396 % [61.54 – 65.26]	62.28 %	-1.116 %	0.76σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:40:00	10/21 11:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.17 %	63 % [61.67 – 64.33]	62.3 %	-0.7 %	0.67σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:40:00	10/21 08:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.395 %	63.067 % [61.26 – 64.87]	62.3 %	-0.767 %	0.54σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:10:00	10/21 11:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.297 %	63.161 % [61.78 – 64.54]	62.09 %	-1.071 %	0.99σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:10:00	10/21 08:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.559 %	63.398 % [61.53 – 65.27]	62.09 %	-1.308 %	0.89σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:40:00	10/21 10:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.337 %	63.223 % [61.89 – 64.56]	62.11 %	-1.113 %	1.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:40:00	10/21 07:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.595 %	63.573 % [61.77 – 65.37]	62.11 %	-1.463 %	1.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:10:00	10/21 10:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	63.447 %	63.375 % [61.99 – 64.76]	62.16 %	-1.215 %	1.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:10:00	10/21 07:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.592 %	63.606 % [61.74 – 65.47]	62.16 %	-1.446 %	0.99σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:40:00	10/21 09:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.317 %	63.179 % [61.85 – 64.51]	62.09 %	-1.089 %	1.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:40:00	10/21 06:40:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.606 %	63.673 % [61.88 – 65.47]	62.09 %	-1.583 %	1.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:10:00	10/21 09:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.528 %	63.477 % [62.09 – 64.86]	62.36 %	-1.117 %	1.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:10:00	10/21 06:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.492 %	63.529 % [61.67 – 65.39]	62.36 %	-1.169 %	0.8σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:40:00	10/21 08:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	63.395 %	63.267 % [61.93 – 64.61]	62.3 %	-0.967 %	0.92σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:10:00	10/21 08:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.559 %	63.496 % [62.11 – 64.89]	63.33 %	-0.166 %	0.15σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:10:00	10/21 05:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.369 %	63.178 % [61.32 – 65.04]	63.33 %	+0.152 %	0.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 08:40:00	10/21 07:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	63.595 %	63.586 % [62.25 – 64.93]	63.34 %	-0.246 %	0.23σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 08:20:00	10/21 04:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	63.431 %	63.209 % [61.39 – 65.03]	64.56 %	+1.351 %	0.95σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 08:10:00	10/21 07:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.592 %	63.598 % [62.21 – 64.98]	63.35 %	-0.248 %	0.23σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:50:00	10/21 03:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.611 %	63.591 % [61.78 – 65.41]	64.79 %	+1.199 %	0.84σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:40:00	10/21 06:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	63.606 %	63.632 % [62.3 – 64.97]	63.4 %	-0.232 %	0.22σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:20:00	10/21 03:20:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	63.506 %	63.348 % [61.52 – 65.18]	64.9 %	+1.552 %	1.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:10:00	10/21 06:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.492 %	63.506 % [62.12 – 64.89]	63.51 %	+0.004 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:50:00	10/21 02:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.595 %	63.557 % [61.69 – 65.43]	64.98 %	+1.423 %	0.97σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:10:00	10/21 02:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.32	63.86 %	64.417 % [62.62 – 66.22]	63.65 %	-0.767 %	0.54σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:10:00	10/21 05:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.369 %	63.294 % [61.91 – 64.68]	63.65 %	+0.356 %	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:40:00	10/21 01:49:34	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21	63.867 %	64.471 % [62.66 – 66.29]	63.73 %	-0.741 %	0.52σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:20:00	10/21 04:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	63.431 %	63.344 % [61.99 – 64.7]	64.62 %	+1.276 %	1.21σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:10:00	10/21 01:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.595 %	64.007 % [62.13 – 65.89]	63.67 %	-0.337 %	0.23σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 04:50:00	10/21 03:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.611 %	63.603 % [62.25 – 64.95]	63.74 %	+0.137 %	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 04:20:00	10/21 03:20:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	63.506 %	63.444 % [62.08 – 64.81]	62.76 %	-0.684 %	0.64σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 03:50:00	10/21 02:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.595 %	63.58 % [62.19 – 64.97]	63.39 %	-0.19 %	0.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 03:50:00	10/20 23:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.256 %	63.045 % [61.23 – 64.87]	63.39 %	+0.345 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 03:10:00	10/21 02:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.32	63.86 %	64.077 % [62.74 – 65.42]	64.54 %	+0.463 %	0.44σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 02:50:00	10/20 22:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.48 %	63.608 % [61.74 – 65.48]	62.17 %	-1.438 %	0.98σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 02:40:00	10/21 01:49:34	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.21	63.867 %	64.103 % [62.75 – 65.45]	64.61 %	+0.507 %	0.48σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 02:10:00	10/21 01:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.595 %	63.756 % [62.36 – 65.16]	64.71 %	+0.954 %	0.87σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 01:50:00	10/20 21:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.568 %	63.957 % [62.07 – 65.85]	62.42 %	-1.537 %	1.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 01:10:00	10/20 21:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.288 %	63.48 % [61.59 – 65.37]	64.88 %	+1.4 %	0.94σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 00:50:00	10/20 23:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.256 %	63.174 % [61.82 – 64.53]	63.12 %	-0.054 %	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 23:50:00	10/20 22:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.48 %	63.53 % [62.14 – 64.92]	63.38 %	-0.15 %	0.14σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 22:50:00	10/20 21:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.568 %	63.72 % [62.32 – 65.13]	63.74 %	+0.02 %	0.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 22:50:00	10/20 18:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.237 %	63.301 % [61.44 – 65.17]	63.74 %	+0.439 %	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 22:10:00	10/20 21:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.27	63.288 %	63.363 % [61.96 – 64.77]	62 %	-1.363 %	1.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 21:50:00	10/20 17:50:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.053 %	62.872 % [60.98 – 64.77]	64.41 %	+1.538 %	1.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 21:10:00	10/20 17:10:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.16 %	63.16 % [61.27 – 65.05]	63.51 %	+0.35 %	0.23σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:50:00	10/20 18:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	63.237 %	63.262 % [61.87 – 64.65]	61.89 %	-1.372 %	1.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:30:00	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.23	63.015 %	62.646 % [60.73 – 64.56]	62.76 %	+0.114 %	0.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 18:50:00	10/20 17:50:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	63.053 %	62.983 % [61.57 – 64.39]	62.2 %	-0.783 %	0.71σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 18:10:00	10/20 17:10:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.25	63.16 %	63.16 % [61.75 – 64.57]	62.81 %	-0.35 %	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 16:30:00	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.23	63.015 %	62.871 % [61.45 – 64.3]	63.96 %	+1.089 %	0.97σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 07:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	65.005 %	73.344 % [71.82 – 74.87]	62.6 %	-10.744 %	8.98σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/23/26 19:20:00	10/23 15:24:07	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	65.595 %	65.112 % [62.8 – 67.42]	80.78 %	+15.668 %	8.62σ	🚨 Diverged
10/23/26 16:20:00	10/23 15:24:07	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.28	65.595 %	65.406 % [63.69 – 67.13]	71.49 %	+6.084 %	4.51σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 14:40:00	10/21 13:40:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	63.308 %	63.253 % [61.92 – 64.59]	61.07 %	-2.183 %	2.09σ	~ Minor Drift