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/ root / Laker / Inside / Kitchen / Fridge Humidity | Prevailing: 13.3° (NNE) | Steadiness: 100%

/ root / Laker / Inside / Kitchen / Fridge Humidity

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/01/26 22:30:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	22.6 %	13.8	+63.8%	0.016	5.24	-	58.2%

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/01/26 22:30:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	22.6 %	13.8	+63.8%	0.016	5.24	-	58.2%
11/01/26 06:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	22.04 %	13.82	+59.5%	0.015	4.84	-	53.8%
10/30/26 22:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	22.83 %	14.12	+61.7%	0.016	4.58	-	50.9%
10/30/26 06:40:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	22.78 %	14.02	+62.4%	0.016	5.03	-	55.9%
10/29/26 15:10:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	21.75 %	14.03	+55%	0.015	4.56	-	50.7%
10/28/26 21:10:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	25.32 %	14.16	+78.8%	0.021	6.16	11.02	89.3%
10/27/26 10:20:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	23.58 %	16.46	+43.2%	0.018	1.96	5.33	37.5%
10/22/26 17:40:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	69.95 %	25.65	+172.7%	-0.004	4.58	-	50.9%
10/22/26 17:30:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	72.49 %	25.48	+184.5%	0.024	5.06	-	56.2%
10/21/26 11:00:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	73.54 %	25.94	+183.5%	0.012	5.32	-	59.1%
10/21/26 10:50:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	66.27 %	25.8	+156.9%	0.071	4.68	-	52%
10/05/26 17:30:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	79.92 %	26.98	+196.3%	0.006	4.71	-	52.4%
10/05/26 17:20:00	WARNING	Value Deviation	76.23 %	26.65	+186%	0.083	4.71	-	52.3%

/ root / Laker / Inside / Kitchen / Fridge Humidity

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

12.778 % (+0.29)

Target: 23:40 · 80% Cone: [11.32 – 14.23]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

12.995 % (+0.5)

Target: 02:40 · 80% Cone: [11.04 – 14.95]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

84.7% (59 checked)

MAE: 10.856 % · RMSE: 15.466 % · Fit R²=0.13

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

7 diverged

5 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 3.32σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 02:40:00 (in 3.7h)	11/02 22:48:18	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.52	12.49 %	12.995 % [11.04 – 14.95]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 23:40:00 (in 39m)	11/02 22:48:18	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.52	12.49 %	12.778 % [11.32 – 14.23]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.37	13.301 %	11.706 % [9.03 – 14.38]	12.87 %	+1.164 %	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.37	13.301 %	12.678 % [10.69 – 14.67]	14.67 %	+1.992 %	1.28σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 02:40:00 (in 3.7h)	11/02 22:48:18	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.52	12.49 %	12.995 % [11.04 – 14.95]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 23:40:00 (in 39m)	11/02 22:48:18	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.52	12.49 %	12.778 % [11.32 – 14.23]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.37	13.301 %	11.706 % [9.03 – 14.38]	12.87 %	+1.164 %	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:00	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.37	13.301 %	12.678 % [10.69 – 14.67]	14.67 %	+1.992 %	1.28σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 17:50:00	10/25 13:54:50	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	16.794 %	15.718 % [5.19 – 26.25]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 14:50:00	10/25 13:54:50	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.26	16.794 %	16.373 % [8.53 – 24.21]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 19:20:00	10/23 15:24:07	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	16.078 %	12.601 % [0 – 33.26]	24.3 %	+11.699 %	0.72σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 16:20:00	10/23 15:24:07	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	16.078 %	14.719 % [0 – 30.09]	44.9 %	+30.181 %	2.51σ	🚨 Diverged
10/22/26 05:30:00	10/22 01:31:53	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	21.21 %	21.134 % [2.1 – 40.17]	42.61 %	+21.476 %	1.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 02:30:00	10/22 01:31:53	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	21.21 %	21.18 % [7.01 – 35.35]	17.9 %	-3.28 %	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 01:30:00	10/21 21:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	29.693 %	32.654 % [13.82 – 51.49]	28.6 %	-4.054 %	0.27σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 01:30:00	10/22 00:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	22.02 %	21.395 % [8.15 – 34.64]	28.6 %	+7.205 %	0.69σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:30:00	10/21 23:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	23.301 %	21.362 % [7.19 – 35.54]	21.3 %	-0.062 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:30:00	10/21 20:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	28.86 %	27.795 % [8.25 – 47.34]	21.3 %	-6.495 %	0.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:30:00	10/21 22:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	25.97 %	25.687 % [11.36 – 40.02]	23.87 %	-1.817 %	0.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:30:00	10/21 19:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	29.339 %	26.402 % [7.29 – 45.51]	23.87 %	-2.532 %	0.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:30:00	10/21 21:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	29.693 %	30.85 % [16.83 – 44.87]	29.05 %	-1.8 %	0.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:30:00	10/21 18:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	27.641 %	29.559 % [11.02 – 48.1]	29.05 %	-0.509 %	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:30:00	10/21 17:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	25.89 %	30.353 % [11.88 – 48.83]	22.92 %	-7.433 %	0.51σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:30:00	10/21 20:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	28.86 %	28.444 % [13.89 – 42.99]	22.92 %	-5.524 %	0.48σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 20:30:00	10/21 19:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	29.339 %	28.191 % [13.97 – 42.42]	51.68 %	+23.489 %	2.11σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 20:30:00	10/21 16:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	22.459 %	18.754 % [0.4 – 37.1]	51.68 %	+32.926 %	2.28σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 19:30:00	10/21 18:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	27.641 %	28.391 % [14.59 – 42.19]	21.05 %	-7.341 %	0.68σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:30:00	10/21 15:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	25.783 %	22.088 % [3.59 – 40.59]	21.05 %	-1.038 %	0.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:30:00	10/21 17:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	25.89 %	27.634 % [13.88 – 41.39]	21.96 %	-5.674 %	0.53σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:30:00	10/21 14:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	28.34 %	18.778 % [0.22 – 37.33]	21.96 %	+3.182 %	0.22σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 17:30:00	10/21 16:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	22.459 %	21.011 % [7.35 – 34.67]	56.55 %	+35.539 %	3.32σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 17:30:00	10/21 13:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	36.413 %	29.289 % [10.71 – 47.87]	56.55 %	+27.261 %	1.87σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 16:30:00	10/21 15:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	25.783 %	24.339 % [10.57 – 38.11]	20.22 %	-4.119 %	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:30:00	10/21 12:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	40.741 %	42.135 % [23.56 – 60.71]	20.22 %	-21.915 %	1.5σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:30:00	10/21 14:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	28.34 %	24.603 % [10.79 – 38.42]	21.05 %	-3.553 %	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:30:00	10/21 11:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	43.162 %	60.064 % [41.8 – 78.33]	21.05 %	-39.014 %	2.72σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 14:30:00	10/21 13:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	36.413 %	33.629 % [19.8 – 47.46]	25.51 %	-8.119 %	0.75σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:30:00	10/21 10:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	25.652 %	26.283 % [9.15 – 43.42]	25.51 %	-0.773 %	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:30:00	10/21 12:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	40.741 %	41.286 % [27.46 – 55.11]	32.79 %	-8.496 %	0.78σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:30:00	10/21 09:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	26.472 %	28.628 % [11.49 – 45.77]	32.79 %	+4.162 %	0.31σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:30:00	10/21 11:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	43.162 %	49.767 % [36.17 – 63.36]	20.84 %	-28.927 %	2.72σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 12:30:00	10/21 08:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	27.003 %	30.504 % [13.24 – 47.77]	20.84 %	-9.664 %	0.71σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:30:00	10/21 10:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	25.652 %	25.899 % [13.14 – 38.65]	44.88 %	+18.981 %	1.9σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 11:30:00	10/21 07:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	23.703 %	22.057 % [4.83 – 39.28]	44.88 %	+22.823 %	1.68σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 10:30:00	10/21 09:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	26.472 %	27.314 % [14.56 – 40.07]	23.42 %	-3.894 %	0.39σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:30:00	10/21 06:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	26.281 %	30.318 % [12.99 – 47.64]	23.42 %	-6.898 %	0.51σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:30:00	10/21 08:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	27.003 %	28.371 % [15.52 – 41.22]	24.35 %	-4.021 %	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:30:00	10/21 05:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	20.105 %	18.506 % [1.47 – 35.54]	24.35 %	+5.844 %	0.44σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 08:30:00	10/21 04:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	21.871 %	23.83 % [6.65 – 41.01]	32.62 %	+8.79 %	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 08:30:00	10/21 07:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	23.703 %	23.06 % [10.24 – 35.88]	32.62 %	+9.56 %	0.95σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:30:00	10/21 06:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	26.281 %	27.859 % [14.96 – 40.76]	23.18 %	-4.679 %	0.46σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:30:00	10/21 03:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	19.815 %	18.08 % [0.76 – 35.4]	23.18 %	+5.1 %	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:30:00	10/21 02:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	21.791 %	20.578 % [3.1 – 38.06]	25.37 %	+4.792 %	0.35σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:30:00	10/21 05:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	20.105 %	19.48 % [6.8 – 32.16]	25.37 %	+5.89 %	0.59σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:40:00	10/21 01:49:34	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	22.573 %	21.923 % [5.97 – 37.87]	54.39 %	+32.467 %	2.59σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 05:30:00	10/21 04:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	21.871 %	22.637 % [9.85 – 35.43]	21.22 %	-1.417 %	0.14σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 04:30:00	10/21 03:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	19.815 %	19.137 % [6.24 – 32.03]	21.52 %	+2.383 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 03:30:00	10/21 02:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	21.791 %	21.317 % [8.31 – 34.33]	18.87 %	-2.447 %	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 02:40:00	10/21 01:49:34	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	22.573 %	22.319 % [10.45 – 34.19]	18.25 %	-4.069 %	0.44σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 01:30:00	10/20 21:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	22.197 %	19.055 % [0.82 – 37.29]	24.8 %	+5.745 %	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 22:30:00	10/20 21:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	22.197 %	20.969 % [7.4 – 34.54]	24.85 %	+3.881 %	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 21:30:00	10/20 17:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	30.041 %	38.218 % [19.93 – 56.51]	20.18 %	-18.038 %	1.25σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:30:00	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	18.061 %	8.458 % [0 – 26.99]	46.41 %	+37.952 %	2.6σ	🚨 Diverged
10/20/26 18:30:00	10/20 17:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	30.041 %	33.236 % [19.62 – 46.85]	18.58 %	-14.656 %	1.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 17:30:00	10/20 13:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	31.344 %	27.97 % [9.57 – 46.37]	29.14 %	+1.17 %	0.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 16:30:00	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	18.061 %	14.308 % [0.52 – 28.1]	46.35 %	+32.042 %	2.96σ	🚨 Diverged
10/20/26 14:30:00	10/20 13:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	31.344 %	30.025 % [16.33 – 43.72]	19.48 %	-10.545 %	0.98σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
10/23/26 16:20:00	10/23 15:24:07	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	16.078 %	14.719 % [0 – 30.09]	44.9 %	+30.181 %	2.51σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 20:30:00	10/21 19:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	29.339 %	28.191 % [13.97 – 42.42]	51.68 %	+23.489 %	2.11σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 20:30:00	10/21 16:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	22.459 %	18.754 % [0.4 – 37.1]	51.68 %	+32.926 %	2.28σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 17:30:00	10/21 16:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	22.459 %	21.011 % [7.35 – 34.67]	56.55 %	+35.539 %	3.32σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 15:30:00	10/21 11:30:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	43.162 %	60.064 % [41.8 – 78.33]	21.05 %	-39.014 %	2.72σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 12:30:00	10/21 11:30:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	43.162 %	49.767 % [36.17 – 63.36]	20.84 %	-28.927 %	2.72σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 05:40:00	10/21 01:49:34	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	22.573 %	21.923 % [5.97 – 37.87]	54.39 %	+32.467 %	2.59σ	🚨 Diverged
10/20/26 19:30:00	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	18.061 %	8.458 % [0 – 26.99]	46.41 %	+37.952 %	2.6σ	🚨 Diverged
10/20/26 16:30:00	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	18.061 %	14.308 % [0.52 – 28.1]	46.35 %	+32.042 %	2.96σ	🚨 Diverged