/
root
/
Laker
/
Outside
/
Porch
/
Porch Temperature
|
Range:
29.66 -
52.73
(°F)
|
+6h:
26.64
°F
(-3.28)
|
|
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 22:59:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 33.43 °F | 37.46 | -10.8% | -0.011 | -1.4 | -10.61 |
60.8%
|
| 11/02/26 07:49:25 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 34.61 °F | 43.15 | -19.79% | -0.5 | 5.86 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/01/26 17:32:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.41 °F | 44.57 | +1.9% | -0.01 | 0.17 | -6.61 |
34%
|
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 22:59:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 33.43 °F | 37.46 | -10.8% | -0.011 | -1.4 | -10.61 |
60.8%
|
| 11/02/26 07:49:25 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 34.61 °F | 43.15 | -19.79% | -0.5 | 5.86 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/01/26 17:32:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.41 °F | 44.57 | +1.9% | -0.01 | 0.17 | -6.61 |
34%
|
| 10/31/26 21:02:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 40.61 °F | 43.6 | -6.8% | -0.01 | -0.84 | -5.37 |
31.6%
|
| 10/25/26 01:40:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 37.81 °F | 38.74 | -2.4% | -0.007 | -0.23 | -5.26 |
27.6%
|
| 10/23/26 17:55:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 40.8 °F | 47.02 | -13.2% | -0.022 | -1.3 | -10.57 |
60%
|
| 10/20/26 12:29:54 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 50.2 °F | 56.421 | -11.03% | 0.359 | 3.06 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/20/26 11:29:54 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 49.62 °F | 55.573 | -10.71% | 0.242 | 3 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/20/26 10:29:54 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 45.43 °F | 53.812 | -15.58% | 0.333 | 4.22 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/20/26 09:29:54 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 44.31 °F | 50.928 | -12.99% | 0.347 | 3.33 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/18/26 23:09:46 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.15 °F | 44.74 | -5.8% | -0.012 | -0.37 | -5.45 |
29.3%
|
| 10/11/26 16:46:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 50.09 °F | 55.4 | -9.6% | -0.034 | -1.2 | -16.84 |
90.8%
|
| 10/10/26 06:46:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 49.46 °F | 55.04 | -10.1% | 0.011 | -0.86 | 5.03 |
29.9%
|
| 10/06/26 23:51:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 53.53 °F | 55.82 | -4.1% | 0.015 | -0.26 | 7.29 |
37.9%
|
| 10/04/26 16:01:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 67.22 °F | 54.38 | +23.6% | -0.01 | 1.54 | -5.37 |
35.4%
|
| 10/02/26 10:36:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 54.6 °F | 42.03 | +29.9% | 0.008 | 3.19 | 5.71 |
46.3%
|
| 10/01/26 14:16:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.25 °F | 44.06 | -1.8% | -0.005 | -0.42 | -5.19 |
28.3%
|
| 10/01/26 14:11:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 44.75 °F | 44.07 | +1.5% | -0.005 | 0.35 | -5.63 |
30.1%
|
| 09/29/26 08:21:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.48 °F | 49.14 | -5.4% | -0.011 | -1.33 | -10.04 |
57.6%
|
| 09/25/26 13:26:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 53.88 °F | 49.96 | +7.8% | -0.012 | 1.11 | -6.32 |
37.8%
|
| 09/25/26 13:16:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 59.12 °F | 49.93 | +18.4% | -0.012 | 2.65 | -7.1 |
50.2%
|
| 09/15/26 03:21:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 53.12 °F | 58.93 | -9.9% | -0.011 | -1.84 | -5.61 |
38.3%
|
| 09/11/26 02:36:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 59.43 °F | 62 | -4.1% | 0.022 | -0.28 | 7.13 |
37.2%
|
| 09/09/26 12:46:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 77.07 °F | 63.41 | +21.5% | 0.013 | 1.7 | 5.3 |
36%
|
| 09/05/26 15:16:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80.04 °F | 66.14 | +21% | 0.014 | 1.84 | 3.98 |
43.8%
|
| 08/31/26 15:16:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 64.55 °F | 62.18 | +3.8% | -0.014 | 0.28 | -4.35 |
33.4%
|
| 08/31/26 13:46:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 69.96 °F | 61.89 | +13% | 0.012 | 0.97 | 3.58 |
33.7%
|
| 08/31/26 12:36:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 74.38 °F | 61.98 | +20% | 0.015 | 1.48 | 4.51 |
44.6%
|
| 08/26/26 13:49:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80 °F | 63.62 | +25.7% | -0.013 | 1.69 | -3.58 |
39.7%
|
| 08/25/26 14:49:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.07 °F | 65.9 | +18.5% | -0.013 | 1.1 | -3.91 |
37.1%
|
| 08/24/26 15:29:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 82.19 °F | 61.44 | +33.8% | 0.012 | 2.12 | 4.7 |
51.2%
|
| 08/23/26 15:19:31 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 74.91 °F | 66.53 | +12.6% | -0.016 | 0.92 | -5.59 |
47.6%
|
| 08/21/26 15:39:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 72.88 °F | 64.8 | +12.5% | -0.012 | 0.84 | -4.3 |
37.7%
|
| 08/20/26 14:04:07 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 82.23 °F | 62.67 | +31.2% | 0.014 | 2.19 | 3.75 |
45.1%
|
| 08/19/26 16:59:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 65.55 °F | 68.54 | -4.4% | -0.031 | -0.37 | -8.17 |
61.4%
|
| 08/19/26 13:59:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 67.09 °F | 68.3 | -1.8% | -0.02 | -0.15 | -5.69 |
41.9%
|
| 08/19/26 13:19:07 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80.76 °F | 67.94 | +18.9% | -0.012 | 1.59 | -3.59 |
38.9%
|
| 08/19/26 12:24:07 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 81.79 °F | 67.12 | +21.9% | -0.011 | 1.86 | -3.7 |
41.9%
|
| 08/16/26 17:00:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 70.29 °F | 62.3 | +12.8% | -0.013 | 0.99 | -3.78 |
35.3%
|
| 08/15/26 10:45:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 66.28 °F | 61.7 | +7.4% | -0.012 | 0.64 | -3.65 |
31.3%
|
| 08/14/26 17:20:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 62.65 °F | 62.71 | -0.1% | -0.015 | -0.01 | -4.38 |
31.3%
|
| 08/14/26 17:15:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 67.04 °F | 62.73 | +6.9% | -0.013 | 0.58 | -4.16 |
34.5%
|
| 08/14/26 16:55:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 72.88 °F | 62.71 | +16.2% | -0.012 | 1.37 | -3.8 |
38.5%
|
| 08/14/26 14:15:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 72.07 °F | 63.17 | +14.1% | -0.017 | 1.11 | -5.01 |
45.1%
|
| 08/13/26 13:55:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 76.58 °F | 66.29 | +15.5% | 0.018 | 1.53 | 4.93 |
48%
|
| 08/12/26 16:50:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 76.92 °F | 66.56 | +15.6% | 0.012 | 1.52 | 3.53 |
37.8%
|
| 08/12/26 15:55:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 70.53 °F | 66.94 | +5.4% | -0.012 | 0.49 | -3.51 |
29.2%
|
| 08/12/26 13:20:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 77.76 °F | 67.63 | +15% | 0.012 | 1.19 | 3.85 |
37.4%
|
| 08/11/26 16:40:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 79.02 °F | 68.8 | +14.9% | 0.011 | 1.09 | 3.59 |
34.7%
|
| 08/11/26 14:20:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 86.09 °F | 68.9 | +25% | -0.011 | 1.82 | -3.53 |
40.4%
|
| 08/11/26 13:55:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 89.39 °F | 68.78 | +30% | 0.015 | 2.23 | 4.91 |
53.7%
|
| 08/11/26 04:10:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 59.62 °F | 69.05 | -13.7% | 0.012 | -1.12 | 4.18 |
39.2%
|
| 08/08/26 13:45:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80.39 °F | 68.53 | +17.3% | -0.013 | 1.25 | -4.53 |
42.8%
|
| 08/08/26 06:50:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 55.4 °F | 68.72 | -19.4% | -0.01 | -1.38 | -3.7 |
37.9%
|
| 08/06/26 16:45:41 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 88.58 °F | 71.16 | +24.5% | 0.018 | 1.7 | 5.26 |
51.7%
|
| 08/06/26 16:35:41 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 83.7 °F | 71 | +17.9% | -0.013 | 1.24 | -3.81 |
37.5%
|
| 08/05/26 16:10:41 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80.44 °F | 67.06 | +19.9% | -0.016 | 1.35 | -4.3 |
42%
|
| 08/04/26 17:35:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 69.09 °F | 69.22 | -0.2% | -0.012 | -0.01 | -3.96 |
28.4%
|
| 08/04/26 15:06:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.1 °F | 70.3 | +11.1% | -0.012 | 0.74 | -3.63 |
32.1%
|
| 08/04/26 14:21:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 76.36 °F | 70.53 | +8.3% | -0.012 | 0.54 | -3.92 |
32.5%
|
| 08/04/26 14:01:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.18 °F | 70.63 | +10.7% | -0.012 | 0.69 | -3.82 |
33%
|
| 08/01/26 17:06:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 64.62 °F | 64.07 | +0.9% | -0.016 | 0.06 | -4.45 |
32.3%
|
| 08/01/26 17:01:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 69.37 °F | 64.06 | +8.3% | -0.014 | 0.56 | -4.11 |
34%
|
| 08/01/26 16:16:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 77.61 °F | 63.92 | +21.4% | -0.014 | 1.44 | -3.79 |
39.1%
|
| 07/31/26 18:06:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 67.91 °F | 69.4 | -2.1% | -0.016 | -0.2 | -4.34 |
32.7%
|
| 07/31/26 15:41:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 65.06 °F | 70.45 | -7.7% | -0.014 | -0.64 | -3.57 |
30.8%
|
| 07/31/26 13:51:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.76 °F | 70.61 | +11.5% | 0.014 | 0.95 | 3.73 |
34.5%
|
| 07/31/26 12:31:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 77.25 °F | 70.85 | +9% | -0.016 | 0.73 | -4.42 |
37.6%
|
| 07/31/26 12:06:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.05 °F | 70.81 | +10.2% | -0.013 | 0.83 | -3.79 |
34%
|
| 07/30/26 12:11:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.68 °F | 68.47 | +14.9% | -0.012 | 1.07 | -3.74 |
35.6%
|
| 07/28/26 17:31:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 64.9 °F | 72.05 | -9.9% | -0.012 | -0.75 | -3.6 |
32%
|
| 07/28/26 16:36:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 73.34 °F | 72.49 | +1.2% | -0.017 | 0.09 | -5.12 |
37.2%
|
| 07/27/26 16:51:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 88.15 °F | 70.42 | +25.2% | -0.013 | 1.93 | -5.07 |
52.3%
|
| 07/25/26 13:56:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 86.93 °F | 71.3 | +21.9% | 0.018 | 1.71 | 4.72 |
47.9%
|
| 07/25/26 12:46:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80.64 °F | 70.56 | +14.3% | -0.012 | 1.09 | -3.64 |
35.1%
|
| 07/25/26 11:31:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 81.96 °F | 69.58 | +17.8% | 0.013 | 1.39 | 4.01 |
40.2%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
29.114 °F
(-0.63)
Target: 04:44 · 80% Cone: [27.84 – 30.39]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
26.507 °F
(-3.24)
Target: 07:44 · 80% Cone: [24.79 – 28.22]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
91.2%
(57 checked)
MAE: 2.031 °F · RMSE: 2.787 °F · Fit R²=0.96
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
5 diverged
⚡ 5 anom
8 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 5.86σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 07:44:25 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 29.746 °F | 26.507 °F [24.79 – 28.22] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 04:44:25 (in 51m) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 29.746 °F | 29.114 °F [27.84 – 30.39] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 40.08 °F | 43.15 °F [41.3 – 45] | 34.61 °F | -8.54 °F | 5.86σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 40.08 °F | 40.019 °F [38.64 – 41.4] | 39.27 °F | -0.749 °F | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 07:44:25 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 29.746 °F | 26.507 °F [24.79 – 28.22] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 04:44:25 (in 51m) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 29.746 °F | 29.114 °F [27.84 – 30.39] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 40.08 °F | 43.15 °F [41.3 – 45] | 34.61 °F | -8.54 °F | 5.86σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 40.08 °F | 40.019 °F [38.64 – 41.4] | 39.27 °F | -0.749 °F | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/25/26 17:50:00 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 49.402 °F | 37.896 °F [35.55 – 40.25] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:50:00 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 49.402 °F | 47.106 °F [45.36 – 48.86] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 55.943 °F | 48.524 °F [46.04 – 51.01] | 45.3 °F | -3.224 °F | 1.65σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 16:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 55.943 °F | 54.958 °F [53.11 – 56.81] | 55.23 °F | +0.272 °F | 0.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:29:54 | 10/21 05:32:41 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 39.391 °F | 45.619 °F [42.9 – 48.34] | 47.64 °F | +2.021 °F | 0.94σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:29:54 | 10/21 05:32:41 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 39.391 °F | 39.81 °F [37.79 – 41.84] | 40.1 °F | +0.29 °F | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:44:54 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 41.311 °F | 40.315 °F [38.44 – 42.19] | 40.55 °F | +0.235 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:29:54 | 10/21 04:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 39.53 °F | 39.674 °F [37.75 – 41.6] | 40.11 °F | +0.436 °F | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 04:29:54 | 10/21 00:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.719 °F | 42.211 °F [39.57 – 44.86] | 40.49 °F | -1.721 °F | 0.83σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 04:29:54 | 10/21 03:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 40.043 °F | 39.803 °F [37.8 – 41.81] | 40.49 °F | +0.687 °F | 0.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 03:29:54 | 10/20 23:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 45.489 °F | 43.502 °F [40.84 – 46.16] | 40.54 °F | -2.962 °F | 1.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 03:29:54 | 10/21 02:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 40.91 °F | 40.28 °F [38.27 – 42.29] | 40.54 °F | +0.26 °F | 0.17σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:44:54 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 41.311 °F | 40.877 °F [39.48 – 42.28] | 41.9 °F | +1.023 °F | 0.93σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:29:54 | 10/20 22:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 46.246 °F | 44.701 °F [42.07 – 47.34] | 41.11 °F | -3.591 °F | 1.73σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 01:29:54 | 10/20 21:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 46.808 °F | 44.621 °F [41.88 – 47.36] | 41.3 °F | -3.321 °F | 1.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 01:29:54 | 10/21 00:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.719 °F | 44.181 °F [42.21 – 46.15] | 41.3 °F | -2.881 °F | 1.87σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 00:29:54 | 10/20 20:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 48.404 °F | 44.894 °F [42.16 – 47.63] | 42.45 °F | -2.444 °F | 1.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 00:29:54 | 10/20 23:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 45.489 °F | 45.119 °F [43.14 – 47.1] | 42.45 °F | -2.669 °F | 1.72σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 23:29:54 | 10/20 19:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 51.317 °F | 46.27 °F [43.56 – 48.98] | 45.18 °F | -1.09 °F | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 23:29:54 | 10/20 22:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 46.246 °F | 45.792 °F [43.83 – 47.75] | 45.18 °F | -0.612 °F | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 22:29:54 | 10/20 21:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 46.808 °F | 45.647 °F [43.61 – 47.68] | 47.39 °F | +1.743 °F | 1.09σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 22:29:54 | 10/20 18:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 53.247 °F | 47.007 °F [44.29 – 49.72] | 47.39 °F | +0.383 °F | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:29:54 | 10/20 20:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 48.404 °F | 46.561 °F [44.53 – 48.59] | 46.18 °F | -0.381 °F | 0.24σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:29:54 | 10/20 17:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 54.932 °F | 48.113 °F [45.41 – 50.81] | 46.18 °F | -1.933 °F | 0.91σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 20:29:54 | 10/20 19:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 51.317 °F | 49.276 °F [47.26 – 51.29] | 47.29 °F | -1.986 °F | 1.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 20:29:54 | 10/20 16:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 55.056 °F | 48.6 °F [45.89 – 51.31] | 47.29 °F | -1.31 °F | 0.61σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:34:54 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 55.508 °F | 49.403 °F [47.33 – 51.47] | 49.3 °F | -0.103 °F | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:29:54 | 10/20 18:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 53.247 °F | 51.262 °F [49.24 – 53.28] | 49.68 °F | -1.582 °F | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 18:29:54 | 10/20 14:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 53.483 °F | 50.554 °F [47.91 – 53.2] | 52.47 °F | +1.916 °F | 0.92σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 18:29:54 | 10/20 17:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 54.932 °F | 53.533 °F [51.52 – 55.54] | 52.47 °F | -1.063 °F | 0.68σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 17:29:54 | 10/20 16:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 55.056 °F | 54.369 °F [52.35 – 56.39] | 55.57 °F | +1.201 °F | 0.76σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 17:29:54 | 10/20 13:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 52.452 °F | 52.694 °F [50.02 – 55.37] | 55.57 °F | +2.876 °F | 1.37σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:34:54 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 55.508 °F | 55.451 °F [53.91 – 56.99] | 56.05 °F | +0.599 °F | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:29:54 | 10/20 12:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 50.86 °F | 54.94 °F [52.28 – 57.6] | 56.15 °F | +1.21 °F | 0.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:29:54 | 10/20 14:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 53.483 °F | 54.609 °F [52.64 – 56.58] | 56.3 °F | +1.691 °F | 1.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:29:54 | 10/20 11:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 48.496 °F | 56.308 °F [53.69 – 58.93] | 56.3 °F | -0.008 °F | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:29:54 | 10/20 10:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 45.965 °F | 56.681 °F [54.1 – 59.26] | 54.43 °F | -2.251 °F | 1.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:29:54 | 10/20 13:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 52.452 °F | 54.595 °F [52.6 – 56.59] | 54.43 °F | -0.165 °F | 0.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 13:29:54 | 10/20 09:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.903 °F | 57.255 °F [54.63 – 59.88] | 53.15 °F | -4.105 °F | 1.99σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 13:29:54 | 10/20 12:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 50.86 °F | 53.869 °F [51.89 – 55.85] | 53.15 °F | -0.719 °F | 0.46σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 12:29:54 | 10/20 08:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.139 °F | 56.421 °F [53.84 – 59.01] | 50.2 °F | -6.221 °F | 3.06σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 12:29:54 | 10/20 11:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 48.496 °F | 51.924 °F [49.98 – 53.87] | 50.2 °F | -1.724 °F | 1.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 11:29:54 | 10/20 07:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.618 °F | 55.573 °F [53.05 – 58.1] | 49.62 °F | -5.953 °F | 3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 11:29:54 | 10/20 10:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 45.965 °F | 49.185 °F [47.27 – 51.1] | 49.62 °F | +0.435 °F | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 10:29:54 | 10/20 06:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 45.201 °F | 53.812 °F [51.29 – 56.34] | 45.43 °F | -8.382 °F | 4.22σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 10:29:54 | 10/20 09:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.903 °F | 47.758 °F [45.8 – 49.71] | 45.43 °F | -2.328 °F | 1.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 09:29:54 | 10/20 05:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.956 °F | 50.928 °F [48.4 – 53.46] | 44.31 °F | -6.618 °F | 3.33σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 09:29:54 | 10/20 08:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.139 °F | 46.115 °F [44.19 – 48.04] | 44.31 °F | -1.805 °F | 1.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 08:29:54 | 10/20 07:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.618 °F | 45.801 °F [43.92 – 47.68] | 43 °F | -2.801 °F | 1.9σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 07:29:54 | 10/20 06:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 45.201 °F | 45.699 °F [43.82 – 47.58] | 43.15 °F | -2.549 °F | 1.73σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 06:29:54 | 10/20 05:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.956 °F | 44.971 °F [43.09 – 46.85] | 42.95 °F | -2.021 °F | 1.37σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 05:29:54 | 10/20 01:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 45.112 °F | 41.547 °F [38.97 – 44.12] | 44.94 °F | +3.393 °F | 1.67σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 02:29:54 | 10/20 01:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 45.112 °F | 44.512 °F [42.59 – 46.43] | 44.49 °F | -0.022 °F | 0.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 01:29:54 | 10/19 21:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 46.511 °F | 43.644 °F [41.23 – 46.06] | 45.36 °F | +1.716 °F | 0.9σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 22:29:54 | 10/19 21:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 46.511 °F | 45.83 °F [44.03 – 47.63] | 44.32 °F | -1.51 °F | 1.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:29:54 | 10/19 17:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 53.168 °F | 45.274 °F [42.91 – 47.64] | 46.44 °F | +1.166 °F | 0.63σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 18:29:54 | 10/19 17:29:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 53.168 °F | 50.568 °F [48.81 – 52.33] | 49.7 °F | -0.868 °F | 0.63σ | ✓ Accurate |
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 40.08 °F | 43.15 °F [41.3 – 45] | 34.61 °F | -8.54 °F | 5.86σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 12:29:54 | 10/20 08:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.139 °F | 56.421 °F [53.84 – 59.01] | 50.2 °F | -6.221 °F | 3.06σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 11:29:54 | 10/20 07:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.618 °F | 55.573 °F [53.05 – 58.1] | 49.62 °F | -5.953 °F | 3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 10:29:54 | 10/20 06:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 45.201 °F | 53.812 °F [51.29 – 56.34] | 45.43 °F | -8.382 °F | 4.22σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 09:29:54 | 10/20 05:29:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 44.956 °F | 50.928 °F [48.4 – 53.46] | 44.31 °F | -6.618 °F | 3.33σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |