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/ root / Laker / Outside / Porch / Porch Temperature | RoC: -6.52 - 2.78 (°F/hr)

/ root / Laker / Outside / Porch / Porch Temperature

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 22:59:25	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	33.43 °F/hr	37.46	-10.8%	-0.011	-1.4	-10.61	60.8%
11/02/26 07:49:25	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	34.61 °F/hr	43.15	-19.79%	-0.5	5.86	-	99.5%
11/01/26 17:32:30	WARNING	Rate Spike	45.41 °F/hr	44.57	+1.9%	-0.01	0.17	-6.61	34%

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 22:59:25	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	33.43 °F/hr	37.46	-10.8%	-0.011	-1.4	-10.61	60.8%
11/02/26 07:49:25	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	34.61 °F/hr	43.15	-19.79%	-0.5	5.86	-	99.5%
11/01/26 17:32:30	WARNING	Rate Spike	45.41 °F/hr	44.57	+1.9%	-0.01	0.17	-6.61	34%
10/31/26 21:02:30	WARNING	Rate Spike	40.61 °F/hr	43.6	-6.8%	-0.01	-0.84	-5.37	31.6%
10/25/26 01:40:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	37.81 °F/hr	38.74	-2.4%	-0.007	-0.23	-5.26	27.6%
10/23/26 17:55:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	40.8 °F/hr	47.02	-13.2%	-0.022	-1.3	-10.57	60%
10/20/26 12:29:54	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	50.2 °F/hr	56.421	-11.03%	0.359	3.06	-	99.5%
10/20/26 11:29:54	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	49.62 °F/hr	55.573	-10.71%	0.242	3	-	99.5%
10/20/26 10:29:54	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	45.43 °F/hr	53.812	-15.58%	0.333	4.22	-	99.5%
10/20/26 09:29:54	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	44.31 °F/hr	50.928	-12.99%	0.347	3.33	-	99.5%
10/18/26 23:09:46	WARNING	Rate Spike	42.15 °F/hr	44.74	-5.8%	-0.012	-0.37	-5.45	29.3%
10/11/26 16:46:22	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	50.09 °F/hr	55.4	-9.6%	-0.034	-1.2	-16.84	90.8%
10/10/26 06:46:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	49.46 °F/hr	55.04	-10.1%	0.011	-0.86	5.03	29.9%
10/06/26 23:51:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	53.53 °F/hr	55.82	-4.1%	0.015	-0.26	7.29	37.9%
10/04/26 16:01:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	67.22 °F/hr	54.38	+23.6%	-0.01	1.54	-5.37	35.4%
10/02/26 10:36:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	54.6 °F/hr	42.03	+29.9%	0.008	3.19	5.71	46.3%
10/01/26 14:16:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	43.25 °F/hr	44.06	-1.8%	-0.005	-0.42	-5.19	28.3%
10/01/26 14:11:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	44.75 °F/hr	44.07	+1.5%	-0.005	0.35	-5.63	30.1%
09/29/26 08:21:22	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	46.48 °F/hr	49.14	-5.4%	-0.011	-1.33	-10.04	57.6%
09/25/26 13:26:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	53.88 °F/hr	49.96	+7.8%	-0.012	1.11	-6.32	37.8%
09/25/26 13:16:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	59.12 °F/hr	49.93	+18.4%	-0.012	2.65	-7.1	50.2%
09/15/26 03:21:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	53.12 °F/hr	58.93	-9.9%	-0.011	-1.84	-5.61	38.3%
09/11/26 02:36:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	59.43 °F/hr	62	-4.1%	0.022	-0.28	7.13	37.2%
09/09/26 12:46:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.07 °F/hr	63.41	+21.5%	0.013	1.7	5.3	36%
09/05/26 15:16:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.04 °F/hr	66.14	+21%	0.014	1.84	3.98	43.8%
08/31/26 15:16:23	WARNING	Rate Spike	64.55 °F/hr	62.18	+3.8%	-0.014	0.28	-4.35	33.4%
08/31/26 13:46:23	WARNING	Rate Spike	69.96 °F/hr	61.89	+13%	0.012	0.97	3.58	33.7%
08/31/26 12:36:23	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.38 °F/hr	61.98	+20%	0.015	1.48	4.51	44.6%
08/26/26 13:49:31	WARNING	Rate Spike	80 °F/hr	63.62	+25.7%	-0.013	1.69	-3.58	39.7%
08/25/26 14:49:31	WARNING	Rate Spike	78.07 °F/hr	65.9	+18.5%	-0.013	1.1	-3.91	37.1%
08/24/26 15:29:31	WARNING	Rate Spike	82.19 °F/hr	61.44	+33.8%	0.012	2.12	4.7	51.2%
08/23/26 15:19:31	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	74.91 °F/hr	66.53	+12.6%	-0.016	0.92	-5.59	47.6%
08/21/26 15:39:30	WARNING	Rate Spike	72.88 °F/hr	64.8	+12.5%	-0.012	0.84	-4.3	37.7%
08/20/26 14:04:07	WARNING	Rate Spike	82.23 °F/hr	62.67	+31.2%	0.014	2.19	3.75	45.1%
08/19/26 16:59:07	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	65.55 °F/hr	68.54	-4.4%	-0.031	-0.37	-8.17	61.4%
08/19/26 13:59:07	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	67.09 °F/hr	68.3	-1.8%	-0.02	-0.15	-5.69	41.9%
08/19/26 13:19:07	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.76 °F/hr	67.94	+18.9%	-0.012	1.59	-3.59	38.9%
08/19/26 12:24:07	WARNING	Rate Spike	81.79 °F/hr	67.12	+21.9%	-0.011	1.86	-3.7	41.9%
08/16/26 17:00:31	WARNING	Rate Spike	70.29 °F/hr	62.3	+12.8%	-0.013	0.99	-3.78	35.3%
08/15/26 10:45:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	66.28 °F/hr	61.7	+7.4%	-0.012	0.64	-3.65	31.3%
08/14/26 17:20:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	62.65 °F/hr	62.71	-0.1%	-0.015	-0.01	-4.38	31.3%
08/14/26 17:15:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	67.04 °F/hr	62.73	+6.9%	-0.013	0.58	-4.16	34.5%
08/14/26 16:55:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	72.88 °F/hr	62.71	+16.2%	-0.012	1.37	-3.8	38.5%
08/14/26 14:15:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	72.07 °F/hr	63.17	+14.1%	-0.017	1.11	-5.01	45.1%
08/13/26 13:55:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	76.58 °F/hr	66.29	+15.5%	0.018	1.53	4.93	48%
08/12/26 16:50:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	76.92 °F/hr	66.56	+15.6%	0.012	1.52	3.53	37.8%
08/12/26 15:55:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	70.53 °F/hr	66.94	+5.4%	-0.012	0.49	-3.51	29.2%
08/12/26 13:20:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.76 °F/hr	67.63	+15%	0.012	1.19	3.85	37.4%
08/11/26 16:40:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	79.02 °F/hr	68.8	+14.9%	0.011	1.09	3.59	34.7%
08/11/26 14:20:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	86.09 °F/hr	68.9	+25%	-0.011	1.82	-3.53	40.4%
08/11/26 13:55:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	89.39 °F/hr	68.78	+30%	0.015	2.23	4.91	53.7%
08/11/26 04:10:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	59.62 °F/hr	69.05	-13.7%	0.012	-1.12	4.18	39.2%
08/08/26 13:45:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.39 °F/hr	68.53	+17.3%	-0.013	1.25	-4.53	42.8%
08/08/26 06:50:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	55.4 °F/hr	68.72	-19.4%	-0.01	-1.38	-3.7	37.9%
08/06/26 16:45:41	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	88.58 °F/hr	71.16	+24.5%	0.018	1.7	5.26	51.7%
08/06/26 16:35:41	WARNING	Rate Spike	83.7 °F/hr	71	+17.9%	-0.013	1.24	-3.81	37.5%
08/05/26 16:10:41	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.44 °F/hr	67.06	+19.9%	-0.016	1.35	-4.3	42%
08/04/26 17:35:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	69.09 °F/hr	69.22	-0.2%	-0.012	-0.01	-3.96	28.4%
08/04/26 15:06:40	WARNING	Rate Spike	78.1 °F/hr	70.3	+11.1%	-0.012	0.74	-3.63	32.1%
08/04/26 14:21:40	WARNING	Rate Spike	76.36 °F/hr	70.53	+8.3%	-0.012	0.54	-3.92	32.5%
08/04/26 14:01:40	WARNING	Rate Spike	78.18 °F/hr	70.63	+10.7%	-0.012	0.69	-3.82	33%
08/01/26 17:06:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	64.62 °F/hr	64.07	+0.9%	-0.016	0.06	-4.45	32.3%
08/01/26 17:01:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	69.37 °F/hr	64.06	+8.3%	-0.014	0.56	-4.11	34%
08/01/26 16:16:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.61 °F/hr	63.92	+21.4%	-0.014	1.44	-3.79	39.1%
07/31/26 18:06:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	67.91 °F/hr	69.4	-2.1%	-0.016	-0.2	-4.34	32.7%
07/31/26 15:41:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	65.06 °F/hr	70.45	-7.7%	-0.014	-0.64	-3.57	30.8%
07/31/26 13:51:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	78.76 °F/hr	70.61	+11.5%	0.014	0.95	3.73	34.5%
07/31/26 12:31:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.25 °F/hr	70.85	+9%	-0.016	0.73	-4.42	37.6%
07/31/26 12:06:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	78.05 °F/hr	70.81	+10.2%	-0.013	0.83	-3.79	34%
07/30/26 12:11:25	WARNING	Rate Spike	78.68 °F/hr	68.47	+14.9%	-0.012	1.07	-3.74	35.6%
07/28/26 17:31:25	WARNING	Rate Spike	64.9 °F/hr	72.05	-9.9%	-0.012	-0.75	-3.6	32%
07/28/26 16:36:25	WARNING	Rate Spike	73.34 °F/hr	72.49	+1.2%	-0.017	0.09	-5.12	37.2%
07/27/26 16:51:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	88.15 °F/hr	70.42	+25.2%	-0.013	1.93	-5.07	52.3%
07/25/26 13:56:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	86.93 °F/hr	71.3	+21.9%	0.018	1.71	4.72	47.9%
07/25/26 12:46:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.64 °F/hr	70.56	+14.3%	-0.012	1.09	-3.64	35.1%
07/25/26 11:31:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	81.96 °F/hr	69.58	+17.8%	0.013	1.39	4.01	40.2%

/ root / Laker / Outside / Porch / Porch Temperature

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

29.114 °F/hr (-0.63)

Target: 04:44 · 80% Cone: [27.84 – 30.39]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

26.507 °F/hr (-3.24)

Target: 07:44 · 80% Cone: [24.79 – 28.22]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

91.2% (57 checked)

MAE: 2.031 °F/hr · RMSE: 2.787 °F/hr · Fit R²=0.96

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

5 diverged ⚡ 5 anom

8 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 5.86σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 07:44:25 (in 3.9h)	11/03 03:48:24	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	29.746 °F/hr	26.507 °F/hr [24.79 – 28.22]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 04:44:25 (in 53m)	11/03 03:48:24	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	29.746 °F/hr	29.114 °F/hr [27.84 – 30.39]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:47:30	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	40.08 °F/hr	43.15 °F/hr [41.3 – 45]	34.61 °F/hr	-8.54 °F/hr	5.86σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:47:30	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	40.08 °F/hr	40.019 °F/hr [38.64 – 41.4]	39.27 °F/hr	-0.749 °F/hr	0.69σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 07:44:25 (in 3.9h)	11/03 03:48:24	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	29.746 °F/hr	26.507 °F/hr [24.79 – 28.22]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 04:44:25 (in 53m)	11/03 03:48:24	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	29.746 °F/hr	29.114 °F/hr [27.84 – 30.39]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:47:30	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	40.08 °F/hr	43.15 °F/hr [41.3 – 45]	34.61 °F/hr	-8.54 °F/hr	5.86σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:47:30	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	40.08 °F/hr	40.019 °F/hr [38.64 – 41.4]	39.27 °F/hr	-0.749 °F/hr	0.69σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 17:50:00	10/25 13:54:50	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	49.402 °F/hr	37.896 °F/hr [35.55 – 40.25]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 14:50:00	10/25 13:54:50	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	49.402 °F/hr	47.106 °F/hr [45.36 – 48.86]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 19:19:54	10/23 15:24:07	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93	55.943 °F/hr	48.524 °F/hr [46.04 – 51.01]	45.3 °F/hr	-3.224 °F/hr	1.65σ	~ Minor Drift
10/23/26 16:19:54	10/23 15:24:07	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93	55.943 °F/hr	54.958 °F/hr [53.11 – 56.81]	55.23 °F/hr	+0.272 °F/hr	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:29:54	10/21 05:32:41	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	39.391 °F/hr	45.619 °F/hr [42.9 – 48.34]	47.64 °F/hr	+2.021 °F/hr	0.94σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:29:54	10/21 05:32:41	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	39.391 °F/hr	39.81 °F/hr [37.79 – 41.84]	40.1 °F/hr	+0.29 °F/hr	0.18σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:44:54	10/21 01:49:34	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	41.311 °F/hr	40.315 °F/hr [38.44 – 42.19]	40.55 °F/hr	+0.235 °F/hr	0.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:29:54	10/21 04:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	39.53 °F/hr	39.674 °F/hr [37.75 – 41.6]	40.11 °F/hr	+0.436 °F/hr	0.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 04:29:54	10/21 00:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.719 °F/hr	42.211 °F/hr [39.57 – 44.86]	40.49 °F/hr	-1.721 °F/hr	0.83σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 04:29:54	10/21 03:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	40.043 °F/hr	39.803 °F/hr [37.8 – 41.81]	40.49 °F/hr	+0.687 °F/hr	0.44σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 03:29:54	10/20 23:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	45.489 °F/hr	43.502 °F/hr [40.84 – 46.16]	40.54 °F/hr	-2.962 °F/hr	1.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 03:29:54	10/21 02:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	40.91 °F/hr	40.28 °F/hr [38.27 – 42.29]	40.54 °F/hr	+0.26 °F/hr	0.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 02:44:54	10/21 01:49:34	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	41.311 °F/hr	40.877 °F/hr [39.48 – 42.28]	41.9 °F/hr	+1.023 °F/hr	0.93σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 02:29:54	10/20 22:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	46.246 °F/hr	44.701 °F/hr [42.07 – 47.34]	41.11 °F/hr	-3.591 °F/hr	1.73σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 01:29:54	10/20 21:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	46.808 °F/hr	44.621 °F/hr [41.88 – 47.36]	41.3 °F/hr	-3.321 °F/hr	1.54σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 01:29:54	10/21 00:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.719 °F/hr	44.181 °F/hr [42.21 – 46.15]	41.3 °F/hr	-2.881 °F/hr	1.87σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 00:29:54	10/20 20:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	48.404 °F/hr	44.894 °F/hr [42.16 – 47.63]	42.45 °F/hr	-2.444 °F/hr	1.14σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 00:29:54	10/20 23:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	45.489 °F/hr	45.119 °F/hr [43.14 – 47.1]	42.45 °F/hr	-2.669 °F/hr	1.72σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 23:29:54	10/20 19:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	51.317 °F/hr	46.27 °F/hr [43.56 – 48.98]	45.18 °F/hr	-1.09 °F/hr	0.51σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 23:29:54	10/20 22:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	46.246 °F/hr	45.792 °F/hr [43.83 – 47.75]	45.18 °F/hr	-0.612 °F/hr	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 22:29:54	10/20 21:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	46.808 °F/hr	45.647 °F/hr [43.61 – 47.68]	47.39 °F/hr	+1.743 °F/hr	1.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 22:29:54	10/20 18:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.247 °F/hr	47.007 °F/hr [44.29 – 49.72]	47.39 °F/hr	+0.383 °F/hr	0.18σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 21:29:54	10/20 20:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	48.404 °F/hr	46.561 °F/hr [44.53 – 48.59]	46.18 °F/hr	-0.381 °F/hr	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 21:29:54	10/20 17:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.932 °F/hr	48.113 °F/hr [45.41 – 50.81]	46.18 °F/hr	-1.933 °F/hr	0.91σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 20:29:54	10/20 19:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	51.317 °F/hr	49.276 °F/hr [47.26 – 51.29]	47.29 °F/hr	-1.986 °F/hr	1.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 20:29:54	10/20 16:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	55.056 °F/hr	48.6 °F/hr [45.89 – 51.31]	47.29 °F/hr	-1.31 °F/hr	0.61σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:34:54	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	55.508 °F/hr	49.403 °F/hr [47.33 – 51.47]	49.3 °F/hr	-0.103 °F/hr	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:29:54	10/20 18:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.247 °F/hr	51.262 °F/hr [49.24 – 53.28]	49.68 °F/hr	-1.582 °F/hr	1σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 18:29:54	10/20 14:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.483 °F/hr	50.554 °F/hr [47.91 – 53.2]	52.47 °F/hr	+1.916 °F/hr	0.92σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 18:29:54	10/20 17:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.932 °F/hr	53.533 °F/hr [51.52 – 55.54]	52.47 °F/hr	-1.063 °F/hr	0.68σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 17:29:54	10/20 16:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	55.056 °F/hr	54.369 °F/hr [52.35 – 56.39]	55.57 °F/hr	+1.201 °F/hr	0.76σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 17:29:54	10/20 13:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	52.452 °F/hr	52.694 °F/hr [50.02 – 55.37]	55.57 °F/hr	+2.876 °F/hr	1.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 16:34:54	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	55.508 °F/hr	55.451 °F/hr [53.91 – 56.99]	56.05 °F/hr	+0.599 °F/hr	0.5σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 16:29:54	10/20 12:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	50.86 °F/hr	54.94 °F/hr [52.28 – 57.6]	56.15 °F/hr	+1.21 °F/hr	0.58σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 15:29:54	10/20 14:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.483 °F/hr	54.609 °F/hr [52.64 – 56.58]	56.3 °F/hr	+1.691 °F/hr	1.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 15:29:54	10/20 11:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	48.496 °F/hr	56.308 °F/hr [53.69 – 58.93]	56.3 °F/hr	-0.008 °F/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 14:29:54	10/20 10:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	45.965 °F/hr	56.681 °F/hr [54.1 – 59.26]	54.43 °F/hr	-2.251 °F/hr	1.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 14:29:54	10/20 13:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	52.452 °F/hr	54.595 °F/hr [52.6 – 56.59]	54.43 °F/hr	-0.165 °F/hr	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 13:29:54	10/20 09:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.903 °F/hr	57.255 °F/hr [54.63 – 59.88]	53.15 °F/hr	-4.105 °F/hr	1.99σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 13:29:54	10/20 12:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	50.86 °F/hr	53.869 °F/hr [51.89 – 55.85]	53.15 °F/hr	-0.719 °F/hr	0.46σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 12:29:54	10/20 08:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.139 °F/hr	56.421 °F/hr [53.84 – 59.01]	50.2 °F/hr	-6.221 °F/hr	3.06σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 12:29:54	10/20 11:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	48.496 °F/hr	51.924 °F/hr [49.98 – 53.87]	50.2 °F/hr	-1.724 °F/hr	1.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 11:29:54	10/20 07:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.618 °F/hr	55.573 °F/hr [53.05 – 58.1]	49.62 °F/hr	-5.953 °F/hr	3σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 11:29:54	10/20 10:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	45.965 °F/hr	49.185 °F/hr [47.27 – 51.1]	49.62 °F/hr	+0.435 °F/hr	0.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 10:29:54	10/20 06:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	45.201 °F/hr	53.812 °F/hr [51.29 – 56.34]	45.43 °F/hr	-8.382 °F/hr	4.22σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 10:29:54	10/20 09:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.903 °F/hr	47.758 °F/hr [45.8 – 49.71]	45.43 °F/hr	-2.328 °F/hr	1.52σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 09:29:54	10/20 05:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.956 °F/hr	50.928 °F/hr [48.4 – 53.46]	44.31 °F/hr	-6.618 °F/hr	3.33σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 09:29:54	10/20 08:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.139 °F/hr	46.115 °F/hr [44.19 – 48.04]	44.31 °F/hr	-1.805 °F/hr	1.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 08:29:54	10/20 07:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.618 °F/hr	45.801 °F/hr [43.92 – 47.68]	43 °F/hr	-2.801 °F/hr	1.9σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 07:29:54	10/20 06:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	45.201 °F/hr	45.699 °F/hr [43.82 – 47.58]	43.15 °F/hr	-2.549 °F/hr	1.73σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 06:29:54	10/20 05:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.956 °F/hr	44.971 °F/hr [43.09 – 46.85]	42.95 °F/hr	-2.021 °F/hr	1.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 05:29:54	10/20 01:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	45.112 °F/hr	41.547 °F/hr [38.97 – 44.12]	44.94 °F/hr	+3.393 °F/hr	1.67σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 02:29:54	10/20 01:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	45.112 °F/hr	44.512 °F/hr [42.59 – 46.43]	44.49 °F/hr	-0.022 °F/hr	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 01:29:54	10/19 21:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	46.511 °F/hr	43.644 °F/hr [41.23 – 46.06]	45.36 °F/hr	+1.716 °F/hr	0.9σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 22:29:54	10/19 21:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	46.511 °F/hr	45.83 °F/hr [44.03 – 47.63]	44.32 °F/hr	-1.51 °F/hr	1.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 21:29:54	10/19 17:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	53.168 °F/hr	45.274 °F/hr [42.91 – 47.64]	46.44 °F/hr	+1.166 °F/hr	0.63σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 18:29:54	10/19 17:29:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	53.168 °F/hr	50.568 °F/hr [48.81 – 52.33]	49.7 °F/hr	-0.868 °F/hr	0.63σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 07:47:30	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	40.08 °F/hr	43.15 °F/hr [41.3 – 45]	34.61 °F/hr	-8.54 °F/hr	5.86σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 12:29:54	10/20 08:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.139 °F/hr	56.421 °F/hr [53.84 – 59.01]	50.2 °F/hr	-6.221 °F/hr	3.06σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 11:29:54	10/20 07:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.618 °F/hr	55.573 °F/hr [53.05 – 58.1]	49.62 °F/hr	-5.953 °F/hr	3σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 10:29:54	10/20 06:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	45.201 °F/hr	53.812 °F/hr [51.29 – 56.34]	45.43 °F/hr	-8.382 °F/hr	4.22σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/20/26 09:29:54	10/20 05:29:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	44.956 °F/hr	50.928 °F/hr [48.4 – 53.46]	44.31 °F/hr	-6.618 °F/hr	3.33σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged