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/ root / Lilac / Electronics / Galois / Galois Temp | Dist: 36 - 40 (C)

/ root / Lilac / Electronics / Galois / Galois Temp

No anomalies occurred in the selected time period — showing the most recent historical anomalies for this sensor.

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/01/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	36 C	38.33	-6.1%	-4	-2.97	-69.08	100%
11/01/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	39 C	38.32	+1.8%	1	0.87	584.48	100%
10/27/26 17:20:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	47 C	37.89	+24%	0.015	12.45	-	100%
09/07/26 22:20:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	42 C	38.54	+9%	0.005	4.4	-	73.4%
09/07/26 07:00:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.64	-6.8%	-0.003	-3.39	-	56.4%
09/07/26 00:30:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.66	-6.9%	-0.003	-3.44	-	57.3%
09/06/26 17:00:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.67	+6%	0.001	3.01	-	50.1%
09/03/26 07:20:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.66	-6.9%	-0.007	-3.01	-	50.2%
09/02/26 04:30:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	44 C	38.6	+14%	0.01	6.51	-	100%
09/01/26 21:00:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.58	+6.3%	0.002	3.01	-	50.2%
09/01/26 20:20:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.58	-6.7%	-0.005	-3.28	-	54.7%
09/01/26 08:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.58	+6.3%	0.003	3.12	-	52.1%
08/31/26 12:20:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.67	+6%	0.003	3.02	-	50.3%
08/28/26 05:40:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.5	-6.5%	-0.003	-3.13	-	52.2%
08/28/26 03:20:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.51	-6.5%	-0.005	-3.16	-	52.7%
08/27/26 15:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.53	-6.6%	-0.005	-3.16	-	52.7%
08/26/26 03:50:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.45	+6.6%	0.005	3.26	-	54.4%
08/23/26 21:10:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.67	-6.9%	-0.003	-3.45	-	57.5%
08/20/26 05:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.67	+6%	0.003	3.01	-	50.1%
08/19/26 05:50:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.63	+6.1%	0.005	3.05	-	50.9%
08/19/26 03:20:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.63	+6.1%	0.002	3.07	-	51.2%
08/18/26 01:00:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.51	-6.5%	-0.005	-3.25	-	54.2%
08/15/26 20:00:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	42 C	38.51	+9.1%	0.007	4.47	-	74.4%
08/14/26 08:20:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	41 C	38.58	+6.3%	0.003	3.12	-	52.1%
08/11/26 02:10:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	42 C	38.43	+9.3%	0.007	4.65	-	77.5%
08/10/26 05:20:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.36	-6.2%	-0.005	-3.08	-	51.3%
08/03/26 03:30:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	40 C	38.22	+4.6%	-0.013	1.82	-6.27	59.9%
08/03/26 03:20:01	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	48 C	38.19	+25.7%	0.017	12.26	8.72	100%
07/30/26 12:40:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.48	-6.4%	-0.007	-3.06	-	50.9%
07/30/26 11:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.48	-6.4%	-0.005	-3.15	-	52.6%
07/26/26 10:40:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	36 C	38.56	-6.6%	-0.003	-3.17	-	52.8%

/ root / Lilac / Electronics / Galois / Galois Temp

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

38.406 C (+0.14)

Target: 18:40 · 80% Cone: [37.19 – 39.62]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

38.632 C (+0.37)

Target: 21:40 · 80% Cone: [37 – 40.26]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

98.2% (56 checked)

MAE: 0.897 C · RMSE: 1.535 C · Fit R²=0.09

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

1 diverged

3 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 11.65σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 21:40:01 (in 3.8h)	11/02 17:48:11	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	38.261 C	38.632 C [37 – 40.26]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 18:40:01 (in 50m)	11/02 17:48:11	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	38.261 C	38.406 C [37.19 – 39.62]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:01	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	38.651 C	39.419 C [37.77 – 41.07]	38 C	-1.419 C	1.09σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:01	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	38.651 C	38.951 C [37.72 – 40.18]	38 C	-0.951 C	0.99σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 21:40:01 (in 3.8h)	11/02 17:48:11	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	38.261 C	38.632 C [37 – 40.26]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 18:40:01 (in 50m)	11/02 17:48:11	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	38.261 C	38.406 C [37.19 – 39.62]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:01	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	38.651 C	39.419 C [37.77 – 41.07]	38 C	-1.419 C	1.09σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:01	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	38.651 C	38.951 C [37.72 – 40.18]	38 C	-0.951 C	0.99σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 08:00:01	10/30 04:02:08	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	38.055 C	38.978 C [37.47 – 40.48]	38 C	-0.978 C	0.83σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 05:00:01	10/30 04:02:08	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	38.055 C	38.415 C [37.29 – 39.54]	38 C	-0.415 C	0.47σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 04:10:01	10/30 00:17:04	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	38.114 C	37.926 C [36.35 – 39.5]	38 C	+0.074 C	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 01:10:01	10/30 00:17:04	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	38.114 C	38.041 C [36.87 – 39.21]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 18:30:01	10/28 14:31:21	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	38.031 C	38.192 C [36.28 – 40.1]	38 C	-0.192 C	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 15:30:01	10/28 14:31:21	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	38.031 C	38.094 C [36.67 – 39.52]	37 C	-1.094 C	0.98σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 20:20:01	10/27 16:30:54	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.868 C	37.352 C [35.98 – 38.73]	37 C	-0.352 C	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 18:00:01	10/27 14:00:51	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	38.552 C	39.28 C [37.89 – 40.67]	38 C	-1.28 C	1.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 17:20:01	10/27 16:30:54	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.868 C	37.666 C [36.64 – 38.69]	47 C	+9.334 C	11.65σ	🚨 Diverged
10/27/26 15:00:01	10/27 14:00:51	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	38.552 C	38.837 C [37.8 – 39.87]	38 C	-0.837 C	1.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 10:00:02	10/27 09:00:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	37.617 C	37.624 C [36.51 – 38.74]	38 C	+0.376 C	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 10:00:01	10/27 06:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	37.55 C	37.057 C [35.57 – 38.54]	38 C	+0.943 C	0.81σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 09:00:02	10/27 08:00:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	37.517 C	37.506 C [36.38 – 38.63]	37 C	-0.506 C	0.57σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 09:00:01	10/27 05:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	37.915 C	37.549 C [36.05 – 39.05]	37 C	-0.549 C	0.46σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 08:00:01	10/27 07:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	37.528 C	37.456 C [36.34 – 38.57]	38 C	+0.544 C	0.62σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 08:00:01	10/27 04:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	38.563 C	38.928 C [37.47 – 40.38]	38 C	-0.928 C	0.81σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 07:00:01	10/27 03:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	38.538 C	39.428 C [37.96 – 40.89]	38 C	-1.428 C	1.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 07:00:01	10/27 06:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	37.55 C	37.358 C [36.25 – 38.46]	38 C	+0.642 C	0.74σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 06:00:01	10/27 05:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	37.915 C	37.772 C [36.65 – 38.89]	37 C	-0.772 C	0.88σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 06:00:01	10/27 02:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.908 C	38.444 C [37.03 – 39.86]	37 C	-1.444 C	1.3σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 05:00:01	10/27 01:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	37.295 C	37.043 C [35.6 – 38.49]	39 C	+1.957 C	1.72σ	~ Minor Drift
10/27/26 05:00:01	10/27 04:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	38.563 C	38.706 C [37.62 – 39.79]	39 C	+0.294 C	0.35σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 04:00:01	10/27 03:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	38.538 C	38.886 C [37.8 – 39.98]	38 C	-0.886 C	1.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 04:00:01	10/27 00:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.365 C	36.923 C [35.46 – 38.39]	38 C	+1.077 C	0.93σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 03:00:01	10/27 02:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.908 C	38.117 C [37.06 – 39.17]	39 C	+0.883 C	1.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 03:00:01	10/26 23:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.405 C	36.749 C [35.27 – 38.23]	39 C	+2.251 C	1.93σ	~ Minor Drift
10/27/26 02:00:02	10/26 22:00:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	38.344 C	38.865 C [37.42 – 40.31]	38 C	-0.865 C	0.76σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 02:00:01	10/27 01:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	37.295 C	37.196 C [36.12 – 38.27]	38 C	+0.804 C	0.95σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 01:00:01	10/26 21:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.855 C	37.991 C [36.53 – 39.46]	38 C	+0.009 C	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 01:00:01	10/27 00:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.365 C	37.192 C [36.1 – 38.28]	38 C	+0.808 C	0.95σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 00:00:01	10/26 20:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.738 C	37.548 C [36.04 – 39.06]	38 C	+0.452 C	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 00:00:01	10/26 23:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.405 C	37.149 C [36.04 – 38.25]	38 C	+0.851 C	0.98σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 23:00:02	10/26 22:00:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	38.344 C	38.547 C [37.47 – 39.62]	37 C	-1.547 C	1.83σ	~ Minor Drift
10/26/26 22:40:02	10/26 18:45:31	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	37.671 C	37.08 C [35.53 – 38.63]	36 C	-1.08 C	0.88σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 22:00:02	10/26 18:00:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	37.857 C	37.217 C [35.63 – 38.8]	38 C	+0.783 C	0.63σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 22:00:01	10/26 21:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.855 C	37.908 C [36.82 – 39]	38 C	+0.092 C	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 21:00:01	10/26 20:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.738 C	37.664 C [36.54 – 38.79]	38 C	+0.336 C	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 21:00:01	10/26 17:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	38.217 C	37.937 C [36.32 – 39.56]	38 C	+0.063 C	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 20:00:01	10/26 16:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	38.573 C	38.895 C [37.31 – 40.48]	38 C	-0.895 C	0.72σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 19:40:02	10/26 18:45:31	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	37.671 C	37.44 C [36.28 – 38.6]	38 C	+0.56 C	0.62σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 19:00:02	10/26 18:00:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	37.857 C	37.607 C [36.43 – 38.79]	38 C	+0.393 C	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 19:00:01	10/26 15:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	38.594 C	39.209 C [37.57 – 40.85]	38 C	-1.209 C	0.94σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 18:00:01	10/26 17:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	38.217 C	38.107 C [36.9 – 39.31]	38 C	-0.107 C	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 18:00:01	10/26 14:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	38.037 C	38.166 C [36.52 – 39.81]	38 C	-0.166 C	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 17:00:01	10/26 16:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	38.573 C	38.699 C [37.52 – 39.88]	39 C	+0.301 C	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 17:00:01	10/26 13:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	38.187 C	38.531 C [36.93 – 40.13]	39 C	+0.469 C	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 16:00:01	10/26 12:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.05	38.089 C	38.419 C [36.72 – 40.12]	39 C	+0.581 C	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 16:00:01	10/26 15:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	38.594 C	38.835 C [37.61 – 40.06]	39 C	+0.165 C	0.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 15:00:01	10/26 14:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	38.037 C	38.087 C [36.86 – 39.31]	38 C	-0.087 C	0.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 15:00:01	10/26 11:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	38.078 C	38.538 C [36.7 – 40.37]	38 C	-0.538 C	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 14:00:01	10/26 10:00:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	37.141 C	35.992 C [34.33 – 37.66]	38 C	+2.008 C	1.53σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 14:00:01	10/26 13:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	38.187 C	38.321 C [37.13 – 39.51]	38 C	-0.321 C	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 13:00:01	10/26 12:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.05	38.089 C	38.218 C [36.95 – 39.48]	39 C	+0.782 C	0.79σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 12:00:01	10/26 11:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	38.078 C	38.258 C [36.89 – 39.62]	38 C	-0.258 C	0.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 11:00:01	10/26 10:00:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	37.141 C	36.692 C [35.45 – 37.93]	38 C	+1.308 C	1.35σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
10/27/26 17:20:01	10/27 16:30:54	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11	37.868 C	37.666 C [36.64 – 38.69]	47 C	+9.334 C	11.65σ	🚨 Diverged