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/ root / Lilac / Electronics / Galois / Utilization | RoC: -2.27 - 2.23 (%/hr)

/ root / Lilac / Electronics / Galois / Utilization

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.35	+1679.7%	0.009	9.47	-	100%

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.35	+1679.7%	0.009	9.47	-	100%
11/01/26 01:50:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.37	+36.6%	0.5	0.22	17.18	87.1%
11/01/26 01:40:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.37	-100%	-0.5	-0.6	-370.07	100%
11/01/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.34	+1726.1%	0.01	11.53	-	100%
10/31/26 11:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.1 %/hr	0.35	+784%	0.004	5.35	-	59.5%
10/31/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.9 %/hr	0.37	+1761.5%	0.011	13.06	-	100%
10/29/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.46	+1158.1%	0.009	6.95	-	77.2%
10/28/26 15:20:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.1 %/hr	0.42	+875.4%	0.001	5.04	-	56%
10/28/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.7 %/hr	0.44	+1408.1%	0.011	8.72	-	96.9%
10/27/26 04:50:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.2 %/hr	0.41	+1177.2%	0.008	6.33	-	70.4%
10/27/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.35	+1845.6%	0.01	12.9	-	100%
10/26/26 11:00:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	4 %/hr	0.45	+784.2%	0.007	7.1	-	78.8%
09/07/26 07:30:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.57	-11.6%	-0.062	-0.03	-15.93	100%
09/07/26 07:20:01	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	37.4 %/hr	0.44	+8348.8%	0.062	53.24	40.13	100%
09/07/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.46	+1167.3%	0.009	7.24	-	100%
09/06/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.6 %/hr	0.42	+753.1%	0.004	3.52	-	58.6%
09/06/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.41	+1328.6%	0.009	6.36	-	100%
09/05/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.38	+1796.1%	0.011	8.66	-	100%
09/04/26 01:40:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	8.5 %/hr	0.41	+1953.1%	0.014	9.98	7.59	100%
09/04/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.41	+21.3%	-0.012	0.11	-6.62	48.2%
09/04/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	7.4 %/hr	0.39	+1808.9%	0.012	9.98	7.13	100%
09/03/26 08:20:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3 %/hr	0.38	+680.6%	0.004	3.76	-	62.7%
09/03/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.4	+1364.6%	0.01	7.75	-	100%
09/02/26 15:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.6 %/hr	0.39	+559.3%	0.004	3.25	-	54.2%
09/02/26 05:20:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.41	+21.7%	-0.007	0.13	-4.82	35.5%
09/02/26 05:10:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	4.8 %/hr	0.39	+1115.2%	0.006	6.93	-	100%
09/02/26 04:30:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	3.7 %/hr	0.38	+871.1%	0.005	5.48	-	91.3%
09/02/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.41	+21.4%	-0.01	0.13	-7.05	51.4%
09/02/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	6.7 %/hr	0.39	+1619.4%	0.01	10.7	7.68	100%
09/01/26 01:10:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.42	+19.4%	-0.009	0.1	-5.1	37.3%
09/01/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.4	+1352.4%	0.009	7.54	-	100%
08/31/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.38	+1562.3%	0.01	7.51	-	100%
08/30/26 20:50:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.36	+1643.5%	0.01	8.37	-	100%
08/30/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.35	+2005.8%	0.011	9.95	-	100%
08/29/26 17:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.36	+40.1%	-0.009	0.2	-5.39	40.2%
08/29/26 16:50:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.34	+1609.2%	0.01	8.74	-	100%
08/29/26 03:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.1 %/hr	0.38	+715.1%	0.004	3.89	-	64.9%
08/29/26 01:00:01	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	6.3 %/hr	0.36	+1661.4%	0.011	9.76	7.11	100%
08/28/26 08:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.6 %/hr	0.37	+598.3%	0.004	3.62	-	60.4%
08/28/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.4	-100%	-0.011	-0.58	-7.54	58.7%
08/28/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	6.8 %/hr	0.38	+1702.1%	0.011	11.08	8.34	100%
08/27/26 11:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.5 %/hr	0.38	+564.9%	0.002	3.68	-	61.4%
08/27/26 01:10:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.4	+25.5%	-0.009	0.12	-4.73	34.8%
08/27/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.9 %/hr	0.38	+1451.3%	0.01	7.19	-	100%
08/26/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.36	+1524.6%	0.01	7.01	-	100%
08/25/26 06:40:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.36	+38%	-0.014	0.17	-8.2	60%
08/25/26 06:30:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	8.9 %/hr	0.33	+2562%	0.015	13.71	9.99	100%
08/25/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	6.3 %/hr	0.33	+1793.8%	0.01	9.59	7.18	100%
08/24/26 01:10:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.39	+29%	-0.01	0.14	-5.1	37.6%
08/24/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.37	+1602.7%	0.01	7.9	-	100%
08/23/26 15:30:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	4.2 %/hr	0.37	+1042.3%	0.006	5.31	-	88.5%
08/23/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.36	+1637.1%	0.01	8.43	-	100%
08/22/26 13:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.2 %/hr	0.36	+786.4%	0.004	3.68	-	61.4%
08/22/26 07:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.6 %/hr	0.36	+902.8%	0.006	4.33	-	72.2%
08/22/26 04:10:01	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.2 %/hr	0.35	+814.3%	0.005	3.91	-	65.1%
08/22/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.35	-100%	-0.014	-0.48	-9.25	70.1%
08/22/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	8.5 %/hr	0.32	+2542.5%	0.014	14.7	10.89	100%
08/20/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.34	+45.5%	-0.008	0.24	-5.42	40.7%
08/20/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.3 %/hr	0.33	+1525.8%	0.009	8.48	-	100%
08/19/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.37	-100%	-0.01	-0.55	-7.39	57.4%
08/19/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.35	+1684.7%	0.009	10.23	-	100%
08/18/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.38	+1419.7%	0.01	8.82	-	100%
08/17/26 23:10:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.7 %/hr	0.38	+618.1%	0.004	3.88	-	64.6%
08/17/26 01:10:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.6 %/hr	0.43	+739.8%	-0.003	3.52	-	58.7%
08/17/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.2 %/hr	0.41	+1159.1%	0.009	5.59	-	93.1%
08/16/26 01:10:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.43	+16.3%	-0.01	0.07	-4.44	32.4%
08/16/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.41	+1440.3%	0.01	6.65	-	100%
08/15/26 20:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.4	+26.4%	-0.018	0.12	-9.75	70.6%
08/15/26 20:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	11.1 %/hr	0.36	+2994.8%	0.018	17.07	11.73	100%
08/15/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.35	+1560.3%	0.009	8.33	-	100%
08/14/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.37	-100%	-0.013	-0.5	-8.24	63%
08/14/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	7.8 %/hr	0.34	+2178.5%	0.013	12.42	9.33	100%
08/13/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	1 %/hr	0.4	+150.6%	-0.01	0.78	-5.52	45.9%
08/13/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.38	+1706.9%	0.01	9.43	-	100%
08/12/26 01:10:01	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.42	+17.8%	-0.009	0.1	-4.89	35.8%
08/12/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.7 %/hr	0.41	+1294.8%	0.01	7.6	-	100%
08/11/26 23:10:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.6 %/hr	0.42	+526%	0.004	3.09	-	51.6%
08/11/26 02:20:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.43	+16%	-0.01	0.08	-5.01	36.5%
08/11/26 02:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.2 %/hr	0.41	+1411%	0.01	7.54	-	100%
08/11/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.39	+1497.6%	0.01	8.59	-	100%
08/10/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.7 %/hr	0.4	+1313.2%	0.009	7.55	-	100%
08/09/26 22:40:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.1 %/hr	0.38	+716.5%	0.005	4	-	66.7%
08/09/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.4	+26.4%	-0.013	0.14	-8.37	61%
08/09/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	8.4 %/hr	0.37	+2174.4%	0.013	13.86	9.51	100%
08/08/26 15:20:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.6 %/hr	0.36	+624.9%	0.004	3.98	-	66.3%
08/08/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	6.3 %/hr	0.35	+1689.8%	0.01	10.28	7.61	100%
08/07/26 01:10:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	1 %/hr	0.36	+177%	-0.007	1.06	-5.05	44.9%
08/07/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.2 %/hr	0.35	+1405.8%	0.009	9.08	-	100%
08/06/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.37	+1723.1%	0.011	9.2	-	100%
08/04/26 02:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.49	+1.4%	-0.013	0.01	-5.8	41.5%
08/04/26 02:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.4 %/hr	0.47	+1706.5%	0.014	8.44	-	100%
08/04/26 01:10:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.47	+7.5%	-0.01	0.04	-4.71	34%
08/04/26 01:00:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.44	+1318.9%	0.01	6.67	-	100%
08/03/26 06:10:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	3.1 %/hr	0.4	+666.7%	0.005	3.29	-	54.8%
08/03/26 03:30:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	1.6 %/hr	0.4	+297.4%	-0.012	1.46	-7.3	64.3%
08/03/26 03:20:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	9 %/hr	0.37	+2315%	0.015	13.27	9.74	100%
08/03/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.39	-100%	-0.013	-0.56	-9.42	71.9%
08/03/26 01:00:01	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	7.9 %/hr	0.36	+2064.4%	0.011	13.69	8.49	100%
08/02/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.7 %/hr	0.37	+1437.8%	0.009	9.64	-	100%
08/01/26 01:00:01	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.2 %/hr	0.33	+1472.6%	0.008	8.79	-	100%
07/31/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.32	+57.9%	-0.009	0.3	-6.41	48.3%
07/31/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.3	+1850.7%	0.009	10.34	-	100%
07/30/26 23:50:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.1 %/hr	0.3	+607.1%	0.003	3.43	-	57.1%
07/30/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.33	-100%	-0.01	-0.55	-7.35	57.1%
07/30/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	5.8 %/hr	0.31	+1771%	0.01	10.78	8.08	100%
07/29/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.3 %/hr	0.36	+1360.1%	0.009	8.76	-	100%
07/28/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.2 %/hr	0.36	+1352.5%	0.008	8.08	-	100%
07/27/26 22:10:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	2.9 %/hr	0.35	+735.7%	0.005	4.38	-	72.9%
07/27/26 20:40:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	3 %/hr	0.33	+799.1%	0.004	4.76	-	79.3%
07/27/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	5.8 %/hr	0.31	+1747.1%	0.009	9.65	-	100%
07/26/26 01:10:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.5 %/hr	0.39	+29.2%	-0.01	0.17	-6.48	47.7%
07/26/26 01:00:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.3 %/hr	0.37	+1621.3%	0.01	10.03	-	100%

/ root / Lilac / Electronics / Galois / Utilization

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

0.519 %/hr (+0.03)

Target: 19:10 · 80% Cone: [0 – 1.36]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

0.564 %/hr (+0.07)

Target: 22:10 · 80% Cone: [0 – 1.7]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

98.4% (64 checked)

MAE: 0.32 %/hr · RMSE: 0.463 %/hr · Fit R²=0.02

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

0 diverged

2 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 2.36σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 22:10:02 (in 3.7h)	11/02 18:18:12	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.49 %/hr	0.564 %/hr [0 – 1.7]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 19:10:02 (in 44m)	11/02 18:18:12	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.49 %/hr	0.519 %/hr [0 – 1.36]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:02	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.195 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.31]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:02	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.195 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 0.97]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 02:10:02	11/01 22:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.324 %/hr	0.316 %/hr [0 – 1.51]	0 %/hr	-0.316 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 02:10:02	11/02 01:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.957 %/hr	1.48 %/hr [0.49 – 2.47]	0 %/hr	-1.48 %/hr	1.91σ	~ Minor Drift
11/02/26 01:10:02	11/01 21:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.399 %/hr	0.468 %/hr [0 – 1.65]	0.5 %/hr	+0.032 %/hr	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 01:10:02	11/02 00:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.222 %/hr	0.23 %/hr [0 – 1.11]	0.5 %/hr	+0.27 %/hr	0.39σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 00:10:02	11/01 23:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.19 %/hr	0.118 %/hr [0 – 1]	0.5 %/hr	+0.382 %/hr	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 00:10:01	11/01 20:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.00	0.306 %/hr	0.239 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0.5 %/hr	+0.261 %/hr	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 23:10:02	11/01 19:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.463 %/hr [0 – 1.46]	0 %/hr	-0.463 %/hr	0.59σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 23:10:02	11/01 22:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.324 %/hr	0.321 %/hr [0 – 1.21]	0 %/hr	-0.321 %/hr	0.46σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 22:10:02	11/01 18:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.4 %/hr	0.279 %/hr [0 – 1.28]	0.5 %/hr	+0.221 %/hr	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 22:10:02	11/01 21:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.399 %/hr	0.426 %/hr [0 – 1.31]	0.5 %/hr	+0.074 %/hr	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 21:10:02	11/01 17:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.471 %/hr	0.33 %/hr [0 – 1.52]	0.5 %/hr	+0.17 %/hr	0.18σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 21:10:01	11/01 20:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.00	0.306 %/hr	0.28 %/hr [0 – 1.16]	0.5 %/hr	+0.22 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 20:10:02	11/01 19:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.418 %/hr [0 – 1.16]	0 %/hr	-0.418 %/hr	0.72σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 20:10:01	11/01 16:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.51 %/hr	0.721 %/hr [0 – 1.91]	0 %/hr	-0.721 %/hr	0.77σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 19:10:02	11/01 15:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.382 %/hr	0.528 %/hr [0 – 1.71]	0.5 %/hr	-0.028 %/hr	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 19:10:02	11/01 18:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.4 %/hr	0.353 %/hr [0 – 1.1]	0.5 %/hr	+0.147 %/hr	0.25σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 18:10:02	11/01 14:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.281 %/hr	0.239 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0.5 %/hr	+0.261 %/hr	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 18:10:02	11/01 17:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.471 %/hr	0.416 %/hr [0 – 1.3]	0.5 %/hr	+0.084 %/hr	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 17:10:02	11/01 13:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.362 %/hr	0.293 %/hr [0 – 1.49]	0 %/hr	-0.293 %/hr	0.31σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 17:10:01	11/01 16:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.51 %/hr	0.592 %/hr [0 – 1.48]	0 %/hr	-0.592 %/hr	0.86σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 16:10:02	11/01 15:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.382 %/hr	0.439 %/hr [0 – 1.32]	0 %/hr	-0.439 %/hr	0.64σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 16:10:01	11/01 12:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.328 %/hr	0.129 %/hr [0 – 1.32]	0 %/hr	-0.129 %/hr	0.14σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 15:10:02	11/01 11:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.475 %/hr	0.561 %/hr [0 – 1.76]	0.5 %/hr	-0.061 %/hr	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 15:10:02	11/01 14:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.281 %/hr	0.265 %/hr [0 – 1.15]	0.5 %/hr	+0.235 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 14:10:02	11/01 10:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.574 %/hr [0 – 1.78]	0 %/hr	-0.574 %/hr	0.61σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 14:10:02	11/01 13:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.362 %/hr	0.335 %/hr [0 – 1.23]	0 %/hr	-0.335 %/hr	0.48σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 13:10:02	11/01 09:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.232 %/hr	0.218 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0.5 %/hr	+0.282 %/hr	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 13:10:01	11/01 12:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.328 %/hr	0.25 %/hr [0 – 1.13]	0.5 %/hr	+0.25 %/hr	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 12:10:02	11/01 11:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.475 %/hr	0.508 %/hr [0 – 1.4]	0 %/hr	-0.508 %/hr	0.73σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 12:10:01	11/01 08:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.277 %/hr	0.305 %/hr [0 – 1.52]	0 %/hr	-0.305 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 11:10:02	11/01 07:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.211 %/hr	0.289 %/hr [0 – 1.52]	0 %/hr	-0.289 %/hr	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 11:10:02	11/01 10:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.462 %/hr [0 – 1.36]	0 %/hr	-0.462 %/hr	0.66σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 10:10:02	11/01 06:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.09 %/hr	0.08 %/hr [0 – 1.32]	0 %/hr	-0.08 %/hr	0.08σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 10:10:02	11/01 09:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.232 %/hr	0.226 %/hr [0 – 1.13]	0 %/hr	-0.226 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 09:10:02	11/01 05:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.24]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 09:10:01	11/01 08:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.277 %/hr	0.288 %/hr [0 – 1.2]	0 %/hr	-0.288 %/hr	0.41σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 08:10:02	11/01 07:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.211 %/hr	0.242 %/hr [0 – 1.16]	0 %/hr	-0.242 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 08:10:02	11/01 04:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.007 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.25]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 07:10:02	11/01 03:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.193 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.26]	0.5 %/hr	+0.5 %/hr	0.5σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 07:10:02	11/01 06:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.09 %/hr	0.086 %/hr [0 – 1.01]	0.5 %/hr	+0.414 %/hr	0.58σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 22:10:02 (in 3.7h)	11/02 18:18:12	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.49 %/hr	0.564 %/hr [0 – 1.7]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 19:10:02 (in 44m)	11/02 18:18:12	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.49 %/hr	0.519 %/hr [0 – 1.36]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:02	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.195 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.31]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:02	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.195 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 0.97]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 02:10:02	11/01 22:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.324 %/hr	0.316 %/hr [0 – 1.51]	0 %/hr	-0.316 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 02:10:02	11/02 01:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.957 %/hr	1.48 %/hr [0.49 – 2.47]	0 %/hr	-1.48 %/hr	1.91σ	~ Minor Drift
11/02/26 01:10:02	11/01 21:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.399 %/hr	0.468 %/hr [0 – 1.65]	0.5 %/hr	+0.032 %/hr	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 01:10:02	11/02 00:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.222 %/hr	0.23 %/hr [0 – 1.11]	0.5 %/hr	+0.27 %/hr	0.39σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 00:10:02	11/01 23:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.19 %/hr	0.118 %/hr [0 – 1]	0.5 %/hr	+0.382 %/hr	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 00:10:01	11/01 20:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.00	0.306 %/hr	0.239 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0.5 %/hr	+0.261 %/hr	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 23:10:02	11/01 19:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.463 %/hr [0 – 1.46]	0 %/hr	-0.463 %/hr	0.59σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 23:10:02	11/01 22:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.324 %/hr	0.321 %/hr [0 – 1.21]	0 %/hr	-0.321 %/hr	0.46σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 22:10:02	11/01 18:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.4 %/hr	0.279 %/hr [0 – 1.28]	0.5 %/hr	+0.221 %/hr	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 22:10:02	11/01 21:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.399 %/hr	0.426 %/hr [0 – 1.31]	0.5 %/hr	+0.074 %/hr	0.11σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 21:10:02	11/01 17:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.471 %/hr	0.33 %/hr [0 – 1.52]	0.5 %/hr	+0.17 %/hr	0.18σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 21:10:01	11/01 20:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.00	0.306 %/hr	0.28 %/hr [0 – 1.16]	0.5 %/hr	+0.22 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 20:10:02	11/01 19:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.418 %/hr [0 – 1.16]	0 %/hr	-0.418 %/hr	0.72σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 20:10:01	11/01 16:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.51 %/hr	0.721 %/hr [0 – 1.91]	0 %/hr	-0.721 %/hr	0.77σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 19:10:02	11/01 15:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.382 %/hr	0.528 %/hr [0 – 1.71]	0.5 %/hr	-0.028 %/hr	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 19:10:02	11/01 18:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.4 %/hr	0.353 %/hr [0 – 1.1]	0.5 %/hr	+0.147 %/hr	0.25σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 18:10:02	11/01 14:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.281 %/hr	0.239 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0.5 %/hr	+0.261 %/hr	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 18:10:02	11/01 17:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.471 %/hr	0.416 %/hr [0 – 1.3]	0.5 %/hr	+0.084 %/hr	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 17:10:02	11/01 13:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.362 %/hr	0.293 %/hr [0 – 1.49]	0 %/hr	-0.293 %/hr	0.31σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 17:10:01	11/01 16:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.51 %/hr	0.592 %/hr [0 – 1.48]	0 %/hr	-0.592 %/hr	0.86σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 16:10:02	11/01 15:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.382 %/hr	0.439 %/hr [0 – 1.32]	0 %/hr	-0.439 %/hr	0.64σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 16:10:01	11/01 12:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.328 %/hr	0.129 %/hr [0 – 1.32]	0 %/hr	-0.129 %/hr	0.14σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 15:10:02	11/01 11:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.475 %/hr	0.561 %/hr [0 – 1.76]	0.5 %/hr	-0.061 %/hr	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 15:10:02	11/01 14:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.281 %/hr	0.265 %/hr [0 – 1.15]	0.5 %/hr	+0.235 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 14:10:02	11/01 10:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.574 %/hr [0 – 1.78]	0 %/hr	-0.574 %/hr	0.61σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 14:10:02	11/01 13:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.362 %/hr	0.335 %/hr [0 – 1.23]	0 %/hr	-0.335 %/hr	0.48σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 13:10:02	11/01 09:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.232 %/hr	0.218 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0.5 %/hr	+0.282 %/hr	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 13:10:01	11/01 12:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.328 %/hr	0.25 %/hr [0 – 1.13]	0.5 %/hr	+0.25 %/hr	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 12:10:02	11/01 11:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.475 %/hr	0.508 %/hr [0 – 1.4]	0 %/hr	-0.508 %/hr	0.73σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 12:10:01	11/01 08:10:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.277 %/hr	0.305 %/hr [0 – 1.52]	0 %/hr	-0.305 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 11:10:02	11/01 07:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.211 %/hr	0.289 %/hr [0 – 1.52]	0 %/hr	-0.289 %/hr	0.3σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 11:10:02	11/01 10:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.39 %/hr	0.462 %/hr [0 – 1.36]	0 %/hr	-0.462 %/hr	0.66σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 10:10:02	11/01 06:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.09 %/hr	0.08 %/hr [0 – 1.32]	0 %/hr	-0.08 %/hr	0.08σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 10:10:02	11/01 09:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.232 %/hr	0.226 %/hr [0 – 1.13]	0 %/hr	-0.226 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 09:10:02	11/01 05:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.24]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 09:10:01	11/01 08:10:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.277 %/hr	0.288 %/hr [0 – 1.2]	0 %/hr	-0.288 %/hr	0.41σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 08:10:02	11/01 07:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.211 %/hr	0.242 %/hr [0 – 1.16]	0 %/hr	-0.242 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 08:10:02	11/01 04:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.007 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.25]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 07:10:02	11/01 03:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.193 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.26]	0.5 %/hr	+0.5 %/hr	0.5σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 07:10:02	11/01 06:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.09 %/hr	0.086 %/hr [0 – 1.01]	0.5 %/hr	+0.414 %/hr	0.58σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 06:10:02	11/01 02:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.554 %/hr	0.368 %/hr [0 – 1.64]	0 %/hr	-0.368 %/hr	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 06:10:02	11/01 05:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 0.92]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 05:10:02	11/01 04:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.007 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 0.93]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 04:10:02	11/01 03:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.193 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 0.94]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 03:10:02	11/01 02:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.554 %/hr	0.482 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0 %/hr	-0.482 %/hr	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 02:10:02	10/31 22:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.361 %/hr	0.41 %/hr [0 – 1.51]	0.5 %/hr	+0.09 %/hr	0.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 23:10:02	10/31 22:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.361 %/hr	0.38 %/hr [0 – 1.2]	0.5 %/hr	+0.12 %/hr	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 22:10:02	10/31 18:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.263 %/hr	0.283 %/hr [0 – 1.43]	0 %/hr	-0.283 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 19:10:02	10/31 18:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.263 %/hr	0.271 %/hr [0 – 1.12]	0.5 %/hr	+0.229 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 18:10:02	10/31 14:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.165 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.19]	0.5 %/hr	+0.5 %/hr	0.53σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 15:10:02	10/31 14:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.165 %/hr	0.058 %/hr [0 – 0.94]	0 %/hr	-0.058 %/hr	0.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 08:00:01	10/30 04:02:08	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	0.247 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 1.07]	0.5 %/hr	+0.5 %/hr	0.59σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 05:00:01	10/30 04:02:08	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	0.247 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 0.8]	1 %/hr	+1 %/hr	1.6σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 04:10:01	10/30 00:17:04	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.05	0.271 %/hr	0.374 %/hr [0 – 1.56]	0 %/hr	-0.374 %/hr	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 01:10:01	10/30 00:17:04	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.05	0.271 %/hr	0.311 %/hr [0 – 1.19]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 18:30:02	10/28 14:31:21	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.387 %/hr	0.28 %/hr [0 – 1.68]	0.5 %/hr	+0.22 %/hr	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 15:30:02	10/28 14:31:21	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.387 %/hr	0.345 %/hr [0 – 1.39]	0.5 %/hr	+0.155 %/hr	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 20:20:02	10/27 16:30:54	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.569 %/hr	0.769 %/hr [0 – 2.26]	0 %/hr	-0.769 %/hr	0.66σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 18:00:02	10/27 14:00:51	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.249 %/hr	0.026 %/hr [0 – 1.55]	0 %/hr	-0.026 %/hr	0.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 17:20:02	10/27 16:30:54	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.569 %/hr	0.647 %/hr [0 – 1.76]	2.7 %/hr	+2.053 %/hr	2.36σ	~ Minor Drift
10/27/26 15:00:02	10/27 14:00:51	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.249 %/hr	0.162 %/hr [0 – 1.3]	0.5 %/hr	+0.338 %/hr	0.38σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 22:40:02	10/26 18:45:31	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	0.317 %/hr	0.274 %/hr [0 – 1.37]	0 %/hr	-0.274 %/hr	0.32σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 19:40:02	10/26 18:45:31	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	0.317 %/hr	0.3 %/hr [0 – 1.12]	0 %/hr	-0.3 %/hr	0.47σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
10/27/26 17:20:02	10/27 16:30:54	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.569 %/hr	0.647 %/hr [0 – 1.76]	2.7 %/hr	+2.053 %/hr	2.36σ	~ Minor Drift