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/ root / Laker / Euler / Utilization | RoC: -3.73 - 3.77 (%/hr)

/ root / Laker / Euler / Utilization

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/03/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.07	+594.8%	0.011	5.03	-	55.9%

Volume cap: showing the latest 200 anomalies in this view. Narrow the time period to inspect earlier events.

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/03/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.07	+594.8%	0.011	5.03	-	55.9%
11/01/26 01:50:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	1.3 %/hr	1.37	-5.2%	0.6	-0.04	8.57	43%
11/01/26 01:40:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	1.4	-100%	-0.7	-0.74	-12.17	65%
11/01/26 01:30:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	1.4 %/hr	1.39	+0.5%	0.7	0	17.25	86.3%
11/01/26 01:20:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	1.41	-100%	-0.7	-0.74	-161.84	100%
10/27/26 10:10:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	1.67	-58%	-0.109	-0.23	-15.93	80.9%
10/27/26 10:00:04	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	66 %/hr	1.45	+4467.5%	0.096	30.91	23.95	100%
10/27/26 03:10:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.8 %/hr	1.09	+709.6%	0.012	5.08	-	56.4%
10/27/26 02:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.7 %/hr	1.05	+725.9%	0.002	5.25	-	58.4%
10/27/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.03	+619.4%	0.006	4.52	-	50.2%
10/27/26 01:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	9.4 %/hr	0.96	+879.8%	0.014	6.55	-	72.8%
10/27/26 00:10:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.8 %/hr	0.89	+888.8%	0.012	6.72	-	74.7%
10/26/26 23:50:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.7 %/hr	0.88	+658.2%	0.006	4.98	-	55.3%
10/20/26 03:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	1.3 %/hr	0.99	+31.8%	-0.104	0.08	-15.22	76.6%
10/20/26 03:20:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	63.8 %/hr	0.77	+8150%	0.106	47.59	34.5	100%
10/20/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	10.1 %/hr	0.73	+1277.9%	0.016	7.75	-	86.1%
10/19/26 12:50:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.77	+855.2%	0.012	5.34	-	59.4%
10/19/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.73	+833.6%	0.011	5.09	-	56.6%
10/18/26 02:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.71	+949.1%	0.012	5.04	-	56%
10/17/26 16:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.1 %/hr	0.67	+1108.4%	0.012	6	-	66.7%
10/17/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.57	+1173.3%	0.01	5.82	-	64.7%
10/16/26 14:00:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.2 %/hr	0.64	+1022.1%	0.01	5.28	-	58.6%
10/16/26 13:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.61	+1090.9%	0.007	5.66	-	62.9%
10/16/26 11:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.7 %/hr	0.6	+1016.7%	0.011	5.38	-	59.8%
10/16/26 02:30:05	WARNING	Value Deviation	8 %/hr	0.62	+1196.6%	0.012	6.7	-	74.4%
10/13/26 03:10:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	1.04	-32.5%	-0.092	-0.1	-14.56	73.3%
10/13/26 03:00:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	55.6 %/hr	0.85	+6415.6%	0.085	42.27	21.36	100%
10/13/26 02:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.83	+780.2%	0.006	5.24	-	58.2%
10/12/26 16:55:07	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	0.85	-18%	-0.046	-0.12	-16.02	80.8%
10/12/26 15:00:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.7 %/hr	0.82	+716.7%	0.006	4.91	-	54.6%
10/12/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	8 %/hr	0.83	+869.3%	0.013	6.17	-	68.6%
10/09/26 16:20:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	37 %/hr	2.2	+1578.3%	0.062	7.1	-	78.9%
10/08/26 00:30:17	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	53 %/hr	2.95	+1696.4%	0.086	7.4	-	82.2%
10/07/26 17:40:17	WARNING	Value Deviation	33.6 %/hr	2.52	+1231.9%	0.055	4.84	-	53.8%
10/06/26 21:00:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	77.1 %/hr	1.88	+4012%	0.128	13.14	11.03	100%
10/06/26 19:00:17	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	43.3 %/hr	1.67	+2488.7%	-0.013	8.06	-	89.6%
10/06/26 18:50:17	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	51.3 %/hr	1.5	+3310.9%	0.064	11.61	-	100%
10/05/26 07:00:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	1.42	-100%	-0.108	-0.33	-13.5	69.3%
10/05/26 06:50:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	64.9 %/hr	1.21	+5269.6%	0.108	27.71	21.37	100%
10/03/26 16:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	9.3 %/hr	0.89	+945.7%	0.014	4.5	-	50%
10/03/26 11:40:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	4.7 %/hr	0.84	+459.7%	-0.031	2.14	-8.29	53.3%
10/03/26 11:30:14	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	22.8 %/hr	0.77	+2868.7%	0.036	17.21	11.68	100%
10/03/26 10:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.74	+898.7%	0.012	5.45	-	60.5%
10/03/26 09:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.73	+829%	0.011	5.11	-	56.8%
10/01/26 03:40:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	32.5 %/hr	1.14	+2752.5%	0.054	7.85	-	87.2%
09/30/26 22:00:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	40.6 %/hr	0.96	+4151.3%	0.068	12.21	-	100%
09/30/26 07:20:06	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	4 %/hr	0.96	+316.7%	-0.058	0.94	-8.72	48.8%
09/30/26 07:10:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	38.8 %/hr	0.83	+4570.9%	0.065	15.87	11.88	100%
09/29/26 06:50:05	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	3.4 %/hr	0.98	+247.2%	-0.055	0.94	-10.81	59.3%
09/29/26 06:40:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	36.4 %/hr	0.86	+4142.4%	0.061	23.06	16.43	100%
09/28/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	10.7 %/hr	0.92	+1066%	0.017	6.13	-	68.1%
09/27/26 18:10:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.7 %/hr	0.85	+917.9%	0.014	5.25	-	58.3%
09/25/26 10:10:08	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	0.91	-23.2%	-0.072	-0.07	-13.42	67.5%
09/25/26 10:00:15	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	43.5 %/hr	0.77	+5573.9%	0.07	27.08	19.48	100%
09/24/26 17:50:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.9 %/hr	0.76	+934%	0.012	4.72	-	52.5%
09/24/26 12:10:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.69	+979.2%	0.008	5.1	-	56.7%
09/24/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	10.8 %/hr	0.65	+1559%	0.017	6.59	-	73.2%
09/23/26 21:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.59	+1157.1%	0.011	4.68	-	52%
09/22/26 01:20:04	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	0.91	-23.2%	-0.032	-0.09	-6.29	32%
09/22/26 01:10:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	19.6 %/hr	0.85	+2217.7%	0.033	8.85	-	98.4%
09/20/26 06:50:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	4 %/hr	0.76	+423.3%	-0.042	1.66	-12.31	70.8%
09/20/26 06:40:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	29.2 %/hr	0.67	+4247.4%	0.043	27.41	18.18	100%
09/20/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.69	+960.5%	0.012	6.03	-	67.1%
09/17/26 08:00:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	4.1 %/hr	0.98	+318.5%	-0.085	0.89	-14.67	78.3%
09/17/26 07:50:02	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	55.4 %/hr	0.8	+6868.6%	0.082	36.62	23.79	100%
09/15/26 06:00:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	15.2 %/hr	0.67	+2178.9%	0.025	11.16	-	100%
09/15/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.68	+987.2%	0.012	5.2	-	57.8%
09/15/26 01:20:05	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.67	+1005.6%	0.012	5.4	-	60%
09/14/26 23:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.7	+940.9%	0.011	5.36	-	59.6%
09/14/26 22:10:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.5 %/hr	0.71	+963.3%	0.006	5.74	-	63.8%
09/12/26 08:00:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	0.85	-100%	-0.075	-0.3	-15.65	79.9%
09/12/26 07:50:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	45.2 %/hr	0.69	+6406.7%	0.069	38.05	24.99	100%
09/12/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.69	+953.4%	0.009	5.67	-	63%
09/09/26 01:50:18	WARNING	Value Deviation	44.4 %/hr	4.86	+813%	0.07	4.71	-	52.3%
09/08/26 21:10:17	WARNING	Value Deviation	54.4 %/hr	4.46	+1120.2%	0.061	6.33	-	70.3%
09/08/26 18:10:15	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	57.2 %/hr	4.08	+1303.2%	0.086	7.34	-	81.6%
09/07/26 08:40:22	WARNING	Value Deviation	26.5 %/hr	2.91	+810.9%	0.043	3.26	-	54.3%
09/07/26 08:10:22	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	39.6 %/hr	2.78	+1327%	0.065	5.31	-	88.6%
09/07/26 07:30:23	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	51 %/hr	2.57	+1881.6%	0.085	7.67	-	100%
09/07/26 03:40:27	WARNING	Rate Spike	11.5 %/hr	2.22	+417.7%	-0.052	1.52	-4.26	43.1%
09/07/26 03:30:21	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	42.8 %/hr	2.08	+1959%	0.043	7.2	-	100%
09/07/26 03:00:21	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	26.7 %/hr	1.93	+1284.4%	0.042	4.59	-	76.5%
09/07/26 00:20:22	WARNING	Value Deviation	18.4 %/hr	1.69	+987.3%	0.011	3.23	-	53.8%
09/05/26 20:20:21	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	25.7 %/hr	1.69	+1421%	-0.044	4.81	-	80.1%
09/05/26 20:10:13	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	52.6 %/hr	1.52	+3368.1%	0.086	12.67	9.43	100%
09/05/26 19:50:24	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	20.1 %/hr	1.45	+1288.8%	0.028	4.8	-	80%
09/05/26 18:50:20	WARNING	Value Deviation	17.4 %/hr	1.37	+1168.5%	0	4.25	-	70.8%
09/05/26 18:40:21	WARNING	Value Deviation	17.3 %/hr	1.31	+1216.6%	0.028	4.37	-	72.8%
09/05/26 17:50:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	4.1 %/hr	1.28	+219.2%	-0.076	0.77	-10.65	82.5%
09/05/26 17:40:21	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	48.6 %/hr	1.12	+4230.3%	0.079	19.8	14.18	100%
09/05/26 17:10:30	WARNING	Value Deviation	11.4 %/hr	1.09	+945.2%	0.018	4.44	-	73.9%
09/05/26 16:00:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0 %/hr	1.09	-100%	-0.051	-0.47	-11.58	86.6%
09/05/26 15:50:24	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	29.7 %/hr	0.99	+2886.9%	0.046	17.97	12.91	100%
09/05/26 08:50:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.7 %/hr	1.01	+561.6%	0.011	3.5	-	58.4%
09/05/26 02:30:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	10.1 %/hr	1.01	+902%	0.017	5.77	-	96.1%
09/04/26 06:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.87	+749.6%	0.001	4.51	-	75.2%
09/04/26 06:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.86	+695.3%	0	4.22	-	70.4%
09/04/26 06:10:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.83	+714.7%	0.011	4.37	-	72.9%
09/04/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	10.1 %/hr	0.83	+1113.5%	0.017	6.49	-	100%
09/03/26 13:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.91	+713.5%	0.011	3.79	-	63.1%
09/01/26 21:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	18.3 %/hr	1.26	+1353.1%	0.03	4.44	-	74%
09/01/26 09:40:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	1.38	-49.2%	-0.102	-0.17	-14.25	100%
09/01/26 09:30:03	CRITICAL	Value & Rate Spike	61.6 %/hr	1.17	+5151.5%	0.101	34.82	24.66	100%
09/01/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.11	+569.7%	0.012	3.56	-	59.3%
08/31/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.15	+543.3%	0.007	3.32	-	55.3%
08/30/26 21:50:03	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	1.06	-34%	-0.018	-0.19	-4.18	31.4%
08/30/26 21:40:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	11.4 %/hr	1.02	+1012.9%	0.019	5.9	-	98.3%
08/30/26 20:10:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	9.4 %/hr	0.99	+852.7%	0.014	5.01	-	83.4%
08/30/26 14:20:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.8 %/hr	0.84	+941.8%	0.015	5.29	-	88.2%
08/30/26 12:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.3 %/hr	0.82	+546.1%	0.008	3.04	-	50.6%
08/30/26 06:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.7 %/hr	0.84	+700.2%	0.01	3.6	-	60%
08/30/26 05:20:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.81	+815.5%	0.012	4.21	-	70.1%
08/30/26 02:30:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.1 %/hr	0.84	+868.5%	0.013	4.64	-	77.3%
08/29/26 20:00:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.8 %/hr	0.97	+808.5%	0.015	4.4	-	73.3%
08/29/26 07:40:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.8 %/hr	1.02	+761.3%	0.015	4.35	-	72.4%
08/29/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.01	+635.3%	0.011	3.61	-	60.1%
08/28/26 10:30:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	9.4 %/hr	1.06	+788.7%	0.014	4.64	-	77.3%
08/28/26 10:10:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	10.9 %/hr	1.02	+969.3%	0.017	5.79	-	96.4%
08/28/26 08:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.5 %/hr	1	+652.5%	0.009	3.9	-	65.1%
08/28/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.97	+603.4%	0.01	3.49	-	58.2%
08/27/26 23:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.91	+712.9%	0.012	4.02	-	66.9%
08/27/26 22:20:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	0.91	-23.5%	-0.018	-0.13	-5.49	40.3%
08/27/26 22:10:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	11.4 %/hr	0.88	+1200.4%	0.004	7.02	-	100%
08/27/26 22:00:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.8 %/hr	0.85	+938.6%	0.015	5.57	-	92.8%
08/27/26 20:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.4 %/hr	0.83	+553%	0.006	3.25	-	54.2%
08/27/26 18:00:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6 %/hr	0.74	+711.9%	0.007	3.99	-	66.6%
08/27/26 16:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.7 %/hr	0.72	+551.6%	0.008	3.07	-	51.2%
08/27/26 14:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.7 %/hr	0.68	+594.9%	0.007	3.23	-	53.8%
08/27/26 13:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.6 %/hr	0.67	+589.3%	0.007	3.19	-	53.2%
08/27/26 11:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.4 %/hr	0.64	+743.7%	0.001	3.93	-	65.4%
08/27/26 11:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.7 %/hr	0.62	+652.8%	0.006	3.42	-	57.1%
08/27/26 02:40:04	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	0.63	+11.1%	-0.011	0.05	-3.97	28.8%
08/27/26 02:30:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.61	+1121.8%	0.011	5.6	-	93.3%
08/26/26 19:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.3 %/hr	0.58	+821.7%	0.009	4.1	-	68.3%
08/26/26 17:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.1 %/hr	0.57	+613.5%	0.006	3.04	-	50.6%
08/26/26 15:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.1 %/hr	0.58	+611%	0.001	3.08	-	51.3%
08/26/26 15:20:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.2 %/hr	0.57	+1350.5%	0.01	6.84	-	100%
08/26/26 10:10:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.4 %/hr	0.64	+742%	0.008	3.58	-	59.7%
08/26/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.8	+823.8%	0.011	4.19	-	69.9%
08/25/26 05:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.2 %/hr	0.99	+625.8%	0.012	3.4	-	56.7%
08/25/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.03	+621.2%	0.011	3.43	-	57.2%
08/24/26 13:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.09	+579.1%	0.011	3.32	-	55.4%
08/24/26 12:40:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	1.07	+535.9%	0.011	3.06	-	51.1%
08/24/26 11:40:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.05	+602.3%	0.012	3.45	-	57.5%
08/24/26 11:10:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.5 %/hr	1.07	+598.3%	0.012	3.31	-	55.2%
08/24/26 07:00:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.03	+620.8%	0.012	3.34	-	55.7%
08/24/26 06:10:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1.01	+635.3%	0.007	3.41	-	56.9%
08/24/26 05:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.96	+667.6%	0.011	3.52	-	58.7%
08/24/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.97	+666%	0.011	3.47	-	57.9%
08/23/26 13:10:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.97	+666.8%	0	3.48	-	58.1%
08/23/26 13:00:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.94	+685%	0.001	3.57	-	59.5%
08/23/26 12:50:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.92	+639.1%	-0.001	3.31	-	55.1%
08/23/26 12:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.9	+726.5%	0.012	3.74	-	62.4%
08/23/26 12:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.88	+741.2%	0.012	3.84	-	64%
08/23/26 10:40:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.86	+758.5%	0.012	3.91	-	65.1%
08/23/26 02:30:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.87	+751.9%	0.011	3.87	-	64.5%
08/23/26 01:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.84	+784.1%	0.011	3.98	-	66.4%
08/22/26 17:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	6 %/hr	0.77	+676.5%	0.009	3.23	-	53.9%
08/22/26 09:30:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	13.6 %/hr	0.72	+1794.2%	0.023	8.76	-	100%
08/22/26 08:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.8 %/hr	0.7	+1153.6%	0.013	5.73	-	95.4%
08/22/26 07:40:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.4 %/hr	0.68	+692.2%	0.008	3.4	-	56.6%
08/22/26 02:40:04	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	0.72	-3.4%	-0.015	-0.02	-4.31	30.9%
08/22/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	9.5 %/hr	0.69	+1270.9%	0.015	6.47	-	100%
08/21/26 21:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.66	+925.6%	0.01	4.58	-	76.4%
08/21/26 12:30:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.5 %/hr	0.77	+879.5%	0.01	4.82	-	80.3%
08/21/26 08:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.73	+831.9%	0.011	4.55	-	75.9%
08/21/26 02:30:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.77	+860.6%	0.012	4.77	-	79.5%
08/20/26 10:50:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.99	+646.7%	0.011	4.16	-	69.4%
08/20/26 10:20:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.7 %/hr	1	+569.8%	0.01	3.6	-	60%
08/20/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	1	+642.7%	0.012	4.09	-	68.1%
08/19/26 23:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6 %/hr	0.99	+504.6%	0.01	3.26	-	54.3%
08/19/26 18:10:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	6 %/hr	0.95	+528.7%	0.009	3.25	-	54.2%
08/19/26 02:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.92	+636.5%	0.007	3.59	-	59.8%
08/19/26 01:10:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.89	+734%	0.007	4.09	-	68.1%
08/18/26 14:00:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.7 %/hr	0.82	+960.1%	0.014	5.19	-	86.6%
08/18/26 09:10:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	6.1 %/hr	0.82	+643.3%	0.009	3.49	-	58.2%
08/18/26 08:50:03	WARNING	Rate Spike	1.4 %/hr	0.81	+72.1%	-0.014	0.39	-4.08	32.3%
08/18/26 08:40:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	9.5 %/hr	0.78	+1114.8%	0.015	6.11	-	100%
08/18/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.81	+814%	0.011	4.52	-	75.4%
08/17/26 19:40:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.7 %/hr	0.8	+987%	0.013	5.62	-	93.7%
08/17/26 15:30:04	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.78	+847.5%	0.011	4.91	-	81.9%
08/17/26 12:40:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.5 %/hr	0.79	+855%	-0.002	5.13	-	85.5%
08/17/26 12:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	8.7 %/hr	0.76	+1046.7%	0.014	6.47	-	100%
08/17/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.8	+823.1%	0.011	5.27	-	87.8%
08/16/26 16:40:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.8	+753.2%	0.01	4.93	-	82.2%
08/16/26 14:10:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.7 %/hr	0.78	+505.2%	0.007	3.31	-	55.1%
08/16/26 08:30:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	6 %/hr	0.78	+670.2%	0.003	4.42	-	73.7%
08/16/26 04:40:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.7 %/hr	0.78	+501.3%	0.007	3.36	-	56%
08/16/26 02:40:03	WARNING	Rate Spike	1.4 %/hr	0.81	+73.7%	-0.01	0.48	-3.68	30.3%
08/16/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.78	+844.3%	0.001	5.6	-	93.3%
08/16/26 02:20:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	6.8 %/hr	0.77	+780.4%	0.011	5.29	-	88.1%
08/15/26 02:40:04	WARNING	Rate Spike	0.7 %/hr	0.87	-19.8%	-0.011	-0.13	-3.69	27.5%
08/15/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.4 %/hr	0.85	+772%	0.011	5.09	-	84.9%
08/14/26 20:20:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	5.4 %/hr	0.83	+554.5%	0.009	3.65	-	60.8%
08/14/26 07:00:03	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.7 %/hr	0.78	+501.5%	0.005	3.09	-	51.5%
08/14/26 04:40:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.7 %/hr	0.77	+507%	0.008	3.02	-	50.4%
08/14/26 02:30:03	CRITICAL	Extreme Value Deviation	7.3 %/hr	0.79	+824.1%	0.011	4.8	-	80%
08/14/26 02:00:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	4.8 %/hr	0.77	+520.2%	0.008	3.01	-	50.2%
08/13/26 02:30:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	8.1 %/hr	0.9	+801%	0.012	4.24	-	70.6%
08/12/26 14:00:04	WARNING	Value Deviation	6 %/hr	0.84	+611.7%	0.009	3.09	-	51.5%

/ root / Laker / Euler / Utilization

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

0.56 %/hr (-0.24)

Target: 04:40 · 80% Cone: [0 – 2.42]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

0.178 %/hr (-0.63)

Target: 07:40 · 80% Cone: [0 – 2.67]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

95.7% (94 checked)

MAE: 2.793 %/hr · RMSE: 3.812 %/hr · Fit R²=0.07

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

1 diverged

7 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 3σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 07:40:04 (in 3.8h)	11/03 03:48:24	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.805 %/hr	0.178 %/hr [0 – 2.67]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 04:40:04 (in 50m)	11/03 03:48:24	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.805 %/hr	0.56 %/hr [0 – 2.42]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:03	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	2.058 %/hr	2.701 %/hr [0 – 5.41]	2 %/hr	-0.701 %/hr	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:03	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	2.058 %/hr	2.309 %/hr [0.3 – 4.32]	0.7 %/hr	-1.609 %/hr	1.02σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 07:40:04 (in 3.8h)	11/03 03:48:24	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.805 %/hr	0.178 %/hr [0 – 2.67]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 04:40:04 (in 50m)	11/03 03:48:24	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.805 %/hr	0.56 %/hr [0 – 2.42]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:40:03	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	2.058 %/hr	2.701 %/hr [0 – 5.41]	2 %/hr	-0.701 %/hr	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:40:03	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	2.058 %/hr	2.309 %/hr [0.3 – 4.32]	0.7 %/hr	-1.609 %/hr	1.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 17:50:03	10/25 13:54:50	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	1.287 %/hr	1.359 %/hr [0 – 3.83]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 14:50:03	10/25 13:54:50	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	1.287 %/hr	1.315 %/hr [0 – 3.16]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 19:20:04	10/23 15:24:07	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	0.696 %/hr	0.588 %/hr [0 – 7.74]	0.7 %/hr	+0.112 %/hr	0.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 16:20:04	10/23 15:24:07	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	0.696 %/hr	0.654 %/hr [0 – 5.98]	0 %/hr	-0.654 %/hr	0.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 10:00:03	10/23 06:03:51	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	3.49 %/hr	2.676 %/hr [0 – 9.13]	0 %/hr	-2.676 %/hr	0.53σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 09:40:03	10/23 05:43:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	3.628 %/hr	3.829 %/hr [0 – 10.66]	2 %/hr	-1.829 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 09:00:05	10/23 05:00:33	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	3.448 %/hr	5.916 %/hr [0 – 12.27]	1.3 %/hr	-4.616 %/hr	0.92σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 08:10:03	10/23 04:14:07	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	3.858 %/hr	4.82 %/hr [0 – 11.49]	0.7 %/hr	-4.12 %/hr	0.78σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 07:40:03	10/23 03:45:23	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	2.768 %/hr	1.785 %/hr [0 – 8.27]	0.7 %/hr	-1.085 %/hr	0.21σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 07:00:03	10/23 03:09:01	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	1.592 %/hr	0.06 %/hr [0 – 8.88]	0 %/hr	-0.06 %/hr	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 07:00:03	10/23 06:03:51	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12	3.49 %/hr	3.172 %/hr [0 – 7.98]	0 %/hr	-3.172 %/hr	0.84σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 06:40:03	10/23 05:43:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	3.628 %/hr	3.707 %/hr [0 – 8.79]	0.7 %/hr	-3.007 %/hr	0.75σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 06:00:05	10/23 05:00:33	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13	3.448 %/hr	4.413 %/hr [0 – 9.14]	0 %/hr	-4.413 %/hr	1.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 05:10:03	10/23 04:14:07	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	3.858 %/hr	4.234 %/hr [0 – 9.2]	13.5 %/hr	+9.266 %/hr	2.38σ	~ Minor Drift
10/23/26 04:40:03	10/23 03:45:23	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	2.768 %/hr	2.384 %/hr [0 – 7.21]	0 %/hr	-2.384 %/hr	0.63σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 04:00:03	10/23 03:09:01	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.10	1.592 %/hr	0.993 %/hr [0 – 7.56]	2.7 %/hr	+1.707 %/hr	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 02:00:04	10/22 22:00:25	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	3.575 %/hr	3.054 %/hr [0 – 11.92]	2 %/hr	-1.054 %/hr	0.15σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 01:20:06	10/22 21:20:47	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	4.767 %/hr	6.348 %/hr [0 – 15.45]	0 %/hr	-6.348 %/hr	0.89σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 23:00:04	10/22 22:00:25	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	3.575 %/hr	3.372 %/hr [0 – 9.97]	10 %/hr	+6.628 %/hr	1.28σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 22:40:03	10/22 18:42:52	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18	3.228 %/hr	1.13 %/hr [0 – 6.78]	9.5 %/hr	+8.37 %/hr	1.88σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 22:20:06	10/22 21:20:47	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	4.767 %/hr	5.385 %/hr [0 – 12.16]	2.7 %/hr	-2.685 %/hr	0.51σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 19:40:03	10/22 18:42:52	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18	3.228 %/hr	2.408 %/hr [0 – 6.61]	6.6 %/hr	+4.192 %/hr	1.27σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 17:30:03	10/22 13:33:04	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	3.33 %/hr	0.944 %/hr [0 – 9.67]	0 %/hr	-0.944 %/hr	0.14σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 14:30:03	10/22 13:33:04	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	3.33 %/hr	2.398 %/hr [0 – 8.9]	12.2 %/hr	+9.802 %/hr	1.93σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 14:10:03	10/22 10:18:10	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	3.825 %/hr	6.912 %/hr [0 – 15.28]	5.4 %/hr	-1.512 %/hr	0.23σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 11:10:03	10/22 10:18:10	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	3.825 %/hr	5.031 %/hr [0 – 11.26]	9.5 %/hr	+4.469 %/hr	0.92σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 08:50:03	10/22 04:56:19	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	3.575 %/hr	1.316 %/hr [0 – 9.73]	0.7 %/hr	-0.616 %/hr	0.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 07:20:03	10/22 03:21:38	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	5.425 %/hr	7.194 %/hr [0 – 15.47]	0 %/hr	-7.194 %/hr	1.1σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 05:50:03	10/22 04:56:19	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	3.575 %/hr	2.692 %/hr [0 – 8.95]	0 %/hr	-2.692 %/hr	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 04:20:03	10/22 03:21:38	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	5.425 %/hr	6.117 %/hr [0 – 12.28]	0.7 %/hr	-5.417 %/hr	1.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 01:40:03	10/21 21:44:36	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.22	4.38 %/hr	2.851 %/hr [0 – 7.07]	12.8 %/hr	+9.949 %/hr	3σ	🚨 Diverged
10/22/26 01:00:03	10/21 21:03:49	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	4.816 %/hr	6.079 %/hr [0 – 14.1]	0 %/hr	-6.079 %/hr	0.96σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:20:03	10/21 19:26:26	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	4.544 %/hr	3.935 %/hr [0 – 11.83]	2.7 %/hr	-1.235 %/hr	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:40:03	10/21 21:44:36	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.22	4.38 %/hr	3.782 %/hr [0.64 – 6.92]	2.7 %/hr	-1.082 %/hr	0.44σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:20:04	10/21 18:25:11	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	3.434 %/hr	4 %/hr [0 – 11.8]	0.7 %/hr	-3.3 %/hr	0.54σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 22:00:03	10/21 21:03:49	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	4.816 %/hr	5.31 %/hr [0 – 11.28]	0 %/hr	-5.31 %/hr	1.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:30:04	10/21 17:35:00	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	3.219 %/hr	5.045 %/hr [0 – 12.79]	0 %/hr	-5.045 %/hr	0.83σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 20:20:03	10/21 19:26:26	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	4.544 %/hr	4.306 %/hr [0 – 10.18]	8.1 %/hr	+3.794 %/hr	0.82σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:20:04	10/21 18:25:11	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	3.434 %/hr	3.655 %/hr [0 – 9.46]	2 %/hr	-1.655 %/hr	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:20:03	10/21 15:26:36	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	1.539 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 7.48]	2 %/hr	+2 %/hr	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:30:04	10/21 17:35:00	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	3.219 %/hr	3.932 %/hr [0 – 9.7]	12.1 %/hr	+8.168 %/hr	1.81σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 17:40:03	10/21 13:46:40	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	3.252 %/hr	2.152 %/hr [0 – 9.6]	8 %/hr	+5.848 %/hr	1σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:50:03	10/21 12:51:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	4.661 %/hr	4.028 %/hr [0.61 – 7.45]	0 %/hr	-4.028 %/hr	1.5σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:30:03	10/21 12:30:37	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	6.043 %/hr	8.289 %/hr [0.91 – 15.67]	2 %/hr	-6.289 %/hr	1.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:20:03	10/21 15:26:36	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07	1.539 %/hr	0.541 %/hr [0 – 6.11]	4.5 %/hr	+3.959 %/hr	0.91σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:20:03	10/21 11:26:08	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	5.015 %/hr	6.485 %/hr [0 – 13.81]	0 %/hr	-6.485 %/hr	1.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:00:03	10/21 11:03:37	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	4.132 %/hr	2.823 %/hr [0 – 10.1]	0.7 %/hr	-2.123 %/hr	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:40:03	10/21 13:46:40	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	3.252 %/hr	2.822 %/hr [0 – 8.37]	0 %/hr	-2.822 %/hr	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:30:03	10/21 10:36:52	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	3.909 %/hr	4.402 %/hr [0 – 11.65]	0 %/hr	-4.402 %/hr	0.77σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:50:03	10/21 12:51:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.24	4.661 %/hr	4.414 %/hr [1.87 – 6.96]	3.4 %/hr	-1.014 %/hr	0.51σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:30:03	10/21 12:30:37	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08	6.043 %/hr	6.921 %/hr [1.43 – 12.42]	2.7 %/hr	-4.221 %/hr	0.98σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:20:04	10/21 09:27:56	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	3.229 %/hr	4.46 %/hr [0 – 11.7]	3.4 %/hr	-1.06 %/hr	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:20:03	10/21 11:26:08	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06	5.015 %/hr	5.589 %/hr [0.14 – 11.04]	7.4 %/hr	+1.811 %/hr	0.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:00:03	10/21 08:05:41	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	1.535 %/hr	0.786 %/hr [0 – 7.84]	1.3 %/hr	+0.514 %/hr	0.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 12:00:03	10/21 11:03:37	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	4.132 %/hr	3.621 %/hr [0 – 9.04]	1.3 %/hr	-2.321 %/hr	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:30:04	10/21 07:30:43	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	2.441 %/hr	3.061 %/hr [0 – 10.17]	0.7 %/hr	-2.361 %/hr	0.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:30:03	10/21 10:36:52	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	3.909 %/hr	4.102 %/hr [0 – 9.5]	0.7 %/hr	-3.402 %/hr	0.8σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:20:04	10/21 09:27:56	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	3.229 %/hr	3.71 %/hr [0 – 9.1]	4.1 %/hr	+0.39 %/hr	0.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:10:03	10/21 06:14:54	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	2.304 %/hr	2.349 %/hr [0 – 9.41]	1.3 %/hr	-1.049 %/hr	0.19σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:50:03	10/21 05:52:49	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	3.081 %/hr	3.404 %/hr [1.02 – 5.79]	2.7 %/hr	-0.704 %/hr	0.35σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 09:00:03	10/21 08:05:41	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	1.535 %/hr	1.243 %/hr [0 – 6.49]	11.5 %/hr	+10.257 %/hr	2.49σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 09:00:03	10/21 05:08:56	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	2.156 %/hr	3.172 %/hr [0 – 10.18]	11.5 %/hr	+8.328 %/hr	1.51σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 08:30:04	10/21 07:30:43	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	2.441 %/hr	2.683 %/hr [0 – 7.98]	0 %/hr	-2.683 %/hr	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:30:03	10/21 03:34:11	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	1.584 %/hr	2.015 %/hr [0 – 9.08]	5.4 %/hr	+3.385 %/hr	0.61σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 07:10:03	10/21 06:14:54	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	2.304 %/hr	2.322 %/hr [0 – 7.57]	0.7 %/hr	-1.622 %/hr	0.39σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:50:03	10/21 05:52:49	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09	3.081 %/hr	3.207 %/hr [1.43 – 4.98]	0.7 %/hr	-2.507 %/hr	1.68σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 06:40:03	10/21 02:44:52	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	1.459 %/hr	2.553 %/hr [0 – 9.6]	0 %/hr	-2.553 %/hr	0.46σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:00:03	10/21 05:08:56	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	2.156 %/hr	2.553 %/hr [0 – 7.77]	3.4 %/hr	+0.847 %/hr	0.21σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:40:03	10/21 01:49:34	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	0.561 %/hr	0.353 %/hr [0 – 9.09]	4.8 %/hr	+4.447 %/hr	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 04:30:03	10/21 03:34:11	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	1.584 %/hr	1.752 %/hr [0 – 7.01]	4.7 %/hr	+2.948 %/hr	0.72σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 03:40:03	10/21 02:44:52	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	1.459 %/hr	1.887 %/hr [0 – 7.13]	1.4 %/hr	-0.487 %/hr	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 02:40:03	10/21 01:49:34	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	0.561 %/hr	0.48 %/hr [0 – 6.98]	0.7 %/hr	+0.22 %/hr	0.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:30:03	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	0.812 %/hr	0.87 %/hr [0 – 9.71]	0 %/hr	-0.87 %/hr	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 16:30:03	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04	0.812 %/hr	0.834 %/hr [0 – 7.42]	0.7 %/hr	-0.134 %/hr	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 21:10:03	10/19 20:10:03	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.597 %/hr	0.322 %/hr [0 – 2.19]	0 %/hr	-0.322 %/hr	0.22σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 21:10:02	10/19 17:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	1.211 %/hr	2.518 %/hr [0 – 5.06]	0 %/hr	-2.518 %/hr	1.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 20:10:04	10/19 19:10:04	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	1.129 %/hr	0.886 %/hr [0 – 2.71]	0.7 %/hr	-0.186 %/hr	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 18:10:02	10/19 17:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	1.211 %/hr	1.722 %/hr [0 – 3.61]	0 %/hr	-1.722 %/hr	1.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 17:10:03	10/19 13:10:03	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.875 %/hr	1.122 %/hr [0 – 3.7]	5.4 %/hr	+4.278 %/hr	2.11σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 14:10:03	10/19 13:10:03	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.875 %/hr	0.972 %/hr [0 – 2.89]	0 %/hr	-0.972 %/hr	0.65σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 13:10:03	10/19 09:10:03	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	1.466 %/hr	1.429 %/hr [0 – 3.87]	0 %/hr	-1.429 %/hr	0.74σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 10:10:03	10/19 09:10:03	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	1.466 %/hr	1.452 %/hr [0 – 3.27]	0 %/hr	-1.452 %/hr	1.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 09:10:02	10/19 05:10:02	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.477 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 2.38]	0.7 %/hr	+0.7 %/hr	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 06:10:02	10/19 05:10:02	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.477 %/hr	0.221 %/hr [0 – 1.99]	0 %/hr	-0.221 %/hr	0.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 05:10:04	10/19 01:10:04	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.574 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 2.34]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 02:10:04	10/19 01:10:04	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.574 %/hr	0.249 %/hr [0 – 1.99]	0 %/hr	-0.249 %/hr	0.18σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 01:10:03	10/18 21:10:03	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.528 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 2.35]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 22:10:03	10/18 21:10:03	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.528 %/hr	0.275 %/hr [0 – 2.02]	0 %/hr	-0.275 %/hr	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 21:10:03	10/18 17:10:03	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.639 %/hr	0.616 %/hr [0 – 2.99]	0 %/hr	-0.616 %/hr	0.33σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 18:10:03	10/18 17:10:03	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	0.639 %/hr	0.63 %/hr [0 – 2.4]	0.7 %/hr	+0.07 %/hr	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 17:10:03	10/18 13:10:03	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.588 %/hr	0 %/hr [0 – 2.43]	0 %/hr	0 %/hr	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 14:10:03	10/18 13:10:03	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.588 %/hr	0.323 %/hr [0 – 2.13]	0 %/hr	-0.323 %/hr	0.23σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 13:10:03	10/18 09:10:03	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.627 %/hr	0.866 %/hr [0 – 3.27]	0.7 %/hr	-0.166 %/hr	0.09σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 10:10:03	10/18 09:10:03	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03	0.627 %/hr	0.721 %/hr [0 – 2.51]	0.7 %/hr	-0.021 %/hr	0.02σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
10/23/26 05:10:03	10/23 04:14:07	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	3.858 %/hr	4.234 %/hr [0 – 9.2]	13.5 %/hr	+9.266 %/hr	2.38σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 01:40:03	10/21 21:44:36	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.22	4.38 %/hr	2.851 %/hr [0 – 7.07]	12.8 %/hr	+9.949 %/hr	3σ	🚨 Diverged
10/21/26 09:00:03	10/21 08:05:41	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02	1.535 %/hr	1.243 %/hr [0 – 6.49]	11.5 %/hr	+10.257 %/hr	2.49σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 17:10:03	10/19 13:10:03	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.01	0.875 %/hr	1.122 %/hr [0 – 3.7]	5.4 %/hr	+4.278 %/hr	2.11σ	~ Minor Drift