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/ root / Laker / Euler / Disks / euler / | Prevailing: 23.9° (NNE) | Steadiness: 100%

/ root / Laker / Euler / Disks / euler /

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 00:00:03	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	23.77 %	34.885	-31.86%	0	3.39	-	99.5%

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 00:00:03	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	23.77 %	34.885	-31.86%	0	3.39	-	99.5%
10/22/26 00:00:03	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	27.91 %	22.854	+22.12%	0.005	6.4	-	99.5%

/ root / Laker / Euler / Disks / euler /

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+6h)

23.519 % (-0.25)

Target: 06:00 · 80% Cone: [20.61 – 26.43]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+24h)

23.229 % (-0.54)

Target: 00:00 · 80% Cone: [19.04 – 27.42]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

88% (25 checked)

MAE: 1.065 % · RMSE: 2.681 % · Fit R²=0.96

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

3 diverged ⚡ 3 anom

0 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 6.4σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/04/26 00:00:04 (in 20.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88	23.77 %	23.229 % [19.04 – 27.42]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:04 (in 2.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88	23.77 %	23.519 % [20.61 – 26.43]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 00:00:03	11/02 00:03:18	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87	27.336 %	23.844 % [19.32 – 28.37]	23.93 %	+0.086 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 06:00:03	11/02 00:03:18	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87	27.336 %	25.717 % [22.57 – 28.86]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/02/26 00:00:04	11/01 00:03:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.88 %	34.885 % [32.51 – 37.26]	23.77 %	-11.115 %	3.39σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/04/26 00:00:04 (in 20.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88	23.77 %	23.229 % [19.04 – 27.42]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:04 (in 2.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88	23.77 %	23.519 % [20.61 – 26.43]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 00:00:03	11/02 00:03:18	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87	27.336 %	23.844 % [19.32 – 28.37]	23.93 %	+0.086 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 06:00:03	11/02 00:03:18	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87	27.336 %	25.717 % [22.57 – 28.86]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/02/26 00:00:04	11/01 00:03:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.88 %	34.885 % [32.51 – 37.26]	23.77 %	-11.115 %	3.39σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/01/26 06:00:04	11/01 00:03:03	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.88 %	34.882 % [33.23 – 36.54]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/01/26 00:00:02	10/31 00:02:34	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.87 %	34.891 % [32.51 – 37.28]	34.88 %	-0.011 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 06:00:02	10/31 00:02:34	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.87 %	34.88 % [33.22 – 36.54]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/31/26 00:00:04	10/30 00:02:04	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.824 %	34.837 % [32.45 – 37.23]	34.88 %	+0.043 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 00:00:04	10/30 06:17:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.824 %	34.837 % [32.45 – 37.23]	34.88 %	+0.043 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 06:00:04	10/30 00:02:04	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.824 %	34.83 % [33.17 – 36.49]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/30/26 00:00:03	10/29 00:01:33	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.782 %	34.791 % [32.4 – 37.18]	34.82 %	+0.029 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 00:00:03	10/29 06:20:02	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.782 %	34.791 % [32.4 – 37.18]	34.82 %	+0.029 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 06:00:03	10/29 00:01:33	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.782 %	34.786 % [33.12 – 36.45]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 00:01:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.744 % [32.35 – 37.14]	34.79 %	+0.046 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 01:47:24	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.744 % [32.35 – 37.14]	34.79 %	+0.046 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 11:46:02	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.744 % [32.35 – 37.14]	34.79 %	+0.046 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 16:49:28	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.744 % [32.35 – 37.14]	34.79 %	+0.046 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 17:30:19	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.744 % [32.35 – 37.14]	34.79 %	+0.046 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 21:08:37	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.744 % [32.35 – 37.14]	34.79 %	+0.046 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 21:49:51	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.744 % [32.35 – 37.14]	34.79 %	+0.046 %	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 06:00:03	10/28 00:01:03	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.74 % [33.08 – 36.41]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 06:00:03	10/28 01:47:24	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.98	34.737 %	34.74 % [33.08 – 36.41]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 00:00:02	10/27 00:00:36	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.814 %	34.857 % [32.47 – 37.25]	34.77 %	-0.087 %	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 00:00:02	10/27 16:33:27	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.814 %	34.857 % [32.47 – 37.25]	34.77 %	-0.087 %	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 07:40:04	10/26 07:46:04	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	35.372 %	35.441 % [33 – 37.89]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/27/26 07:40:04	10/26 10:23:39	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	35.372 %	35.441 % [33 – 37.89]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/27/26 06:00:02	10/27 00:00:36	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.814 %	34.834 % [33.17 – 36.5]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/26/26 13:40:04	10/26 07:46:04	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	35.372 %	35.404 % [33.7 – 37.11]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/26/26 13:40:04	10/26 10:23:39	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	35.372 %	35.404 % [33.7 – 37.11]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/26/26 00:00:02	10/25 00:09:35	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	36.253 %	36.627 % [34.08 – 39.18]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/26/26 00:00:02	10/25 01:11:05	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	36.253 %	36.627 % [34.08 – 39.18]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/26/26 00:00:02	10/25 02:09:59	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	36.253 %	36.627 % [34.08 – 39.18]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 06:00:02	10/25 00:09:35	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	36.253 %	36.427 % [34.65 – 38.2]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 06:00:02	10/25 01:11:05	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	36.253 %	36.427 % [34.65 – 38.2]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 06:00:02	10/25 02:09:59	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	36.253 %	36.427 % [34.65 – 38.2]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 00:00:03	10/24 00:09:09	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	35.607 %	36.529 % [34.38 – 38.67]	34.84 %	-1.689 %	0.57σ	✓ Accurate
10/24/26 06:00:03	10/24 00:09:09	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	35.607 %	36.035 % [34.54 – 37.53]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/24/26 00:00:03	10/23 00:21:22	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	32.039 %	34.051 % [32.01 – 36.09]	34.78 %	+0.729 %	0.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/24/26 00:00:03	10/23 02:09:52	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	32.039 %	34.051 % [32.01 – 36.09]	34.78 %	+0.729 %	0.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/24/26 00:00:03	10/23 03:31:48	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	32.039 %	34.051 % [32.01 – 36.09]	34.78 %	+0.729 %	0.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/24/26 00:00:03	10/23 06:29:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	32.039 %	34.051 % [32.01 – 36.09]	34.78 %	+0.729 %	0.26σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 06:00:03	10/23 00:21:22	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	32.039 %	32.972 % [31.55 – 34.39]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 06:00:03	10/23 02:09:52	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	32.039 %	32.972 % [31.55 – 34.39]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 06:00:03	10/23 03:31:48	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	32.039 %	32.972 % [31.55 – 34.39]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/22/26 00:00:03	10/21 00:04:32	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	22.805 %	22.854 % [22.67 – 23.04]	27.91 %	+5.056 %	6.4σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 00:00:03	10/21 10:55:45	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	22.805 %	22.854 % [22.67 – 23.04]	27.91 %	+5.056 %	6.4σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/21/26 06:00:03	10/21 00:04:32	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	22.805 %	22.828 % [22.7 – 22.96]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/21/26 06:00:03	10/21 10:55:45	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	22.805 %	22.828 % [22.7 – 22.96]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/21/26 00:00:03	10/20 00:06:13	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.95	22.746 %	22.785 % [22.6 – 22.97]	22.76 %	-0.025 %	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 06:00:03	10/20 00:06:13	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.95	22.746 %	22.764 % [22.63 – 22.9]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 00:00:02	10/19 20:33:19	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	22.594 %	22.692 % [22.53 – 22.85]	22.66 %	-0.032 %	0.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 06:00:02	10/19 20:33:19	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	22.594 %	22.64 % [22.53 – 22.75]	No reading	-	-	No Reading

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 00:00:04	11/01 00:03:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.97	34.88 %	34.885 % [32.51 – 37.26]	23.77 %	-11.115 %	3.39σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 00:00:03	10/21 00:04:32	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	22.805 %	22.854 % [22.67 – 23.04]	27.91 %	+5.056 %	6.4σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 00:00:03	10/21 10:55:45	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.96	22.805 %	22.854 % [22.67 – 23.04]	27.91 %	+5.056 %	6.4σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged