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data

/ root / Laker / Euler / Disks / euler /mnt/media | Dist: 8.15 - 8.15 (%)

/ root / Laker / Euler / Disks / euler /mnt/media

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+6h)

8.15 % (+0)

Target: 06:00 · 80% Cone: [8.09 – 8.21]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+24h)

8.15 % (+0)

Target: 00:00 · 80% Cone: [8.06 – 8.24]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

100% (20 checked)

MAE: 0.035 % · RMSE: 0.082 % · Fit R²=0.90

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

0 diverged

0 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 0.31σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/04/26 00:00:04 (in 19.5h)	11/03 00:03:20	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.69	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.06 – 8.24]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:04 (in 1.5h)	11/03 00:03:20	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.69	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.09 – 8.21]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 00:00:03	11/02 00:03:34	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.86	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.07 – 8.23]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 06:00:03	11/02 00:03:34	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.86	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.09 – 8.21]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/02/26 00:00:04	11/01 00:03:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.06 – 8.24]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/04/26 00:00:04 (in 19.5h)	11/03 00:03:20	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.69	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.06 – 8.24]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:04 (in 1.5h)	11/03 00:03:20	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.69	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.09 – 8.21]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 00:00:03	11/02 00:03:34	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.86	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.07 – 8.23]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 06:00:03	11/02 00:03:34	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.86	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.09 – 8.21]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/02/26 00:00:04	11/01 00:03:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.06 – 8.24]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 06:00:04	11/01 00:03:03	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.88	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.09 – 8.21]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/01/26 00:00:02	10/31 00:02:34	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.06 – 8.24]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 06:00:02	10/31 00:02:34	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.09 – 8.22]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/31/26 00:00:04	10/30 00:02:04	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.06 – 8.24]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 06:00:04	10/30 00:02:04	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.09 – 8.22]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/30/26 00:00:04	10/29 00:01:33	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.01 – 8.3]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 00:00:04	10/29 15:52:38	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.01 – 8.3]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 00:00:04	10/29 20:44:08	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.01 – 8.3]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 06:00:04	10/29 00:01:33	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.05 – 8.25]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/29/26 00:00:03	10/28 00:01:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.01 – 8.29]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 06:00:03	10/28 00:01:03	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.05 – 8.25]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 00:00:02	10/27 00:00:36	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.15 %	8.15 % [8 – 8.3]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 00:00:02	10/27 13:22:49	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.15 %	8.15 % [8 – 8.3]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 00:00:02	10/27 20:10:30	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.15 %	8.15 % [8 – 8.3]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 00:00:02	10/27 20:59:36	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.15 %	8.15 % [8 – 8.3]	8.15 %	0 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 07:40:04	10/26 07:46:04	+24h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93	8.12 %	8.183 % [8.03 – 8.34]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/27/26 06:00:02	10/27 00:00:36	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.15 %	8.15 % [8.05 – 8.25]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/26/26 13:40:04	10/26 07:46:04	+6h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93	8.12 %	8.175 % [8.07 – 8.28]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/26/26 00:00:02	10/25 00:09:35	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	8.17 %	8.173 % [8.03 – 8.32]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 06:00:02	10/25 00:09:35	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	8.17 %	8.171 % [8.07 – 8.28]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 00:00:03	10/24 00:09:09	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.192 %	8.202 % [8.05 – 8.35]	8.15 %	-0.052 %	0.07σ	✓ Accurate
10/24/26 06:00:03	10/24 00:09:09	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.192 %	8.197 % [8.09 – 8.3]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/24/26 00:00:03	10/23 05:53:56	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.168 %	8.181 % [8.04 – 8.32]	8.15 %	-0.031 %	0.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 06:00:03	10/23 05:53:56	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	8.168 %	8.174 % [8.08 – 8.27]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 00:00:03	10/22 14:05:36	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	8.07 %	8.149 % [8 – 8.3]	8.15 %	+0.001 %	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 06:00:03	10/22 14:05:36	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	8.07 %	8.107 % [8 – 8.21]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/22/26 00:00:03	10/21 00:19:33	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	7.901 %	7.901 % [7.78 – 8.02]	8.15 %	+0.249 %	0.31σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:00:03	10/21 14:15:05	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	7.901 %	7.901 % [7.78 – 8.02]	8.15 %	+0.249 %	0.31σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:00:03	10/21 00:19:33	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	7.901 %	7.901 % [7.82 – 7.98]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/21/26 06:00:03	10/21 14:15:05	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	7.901 %	7.901 % [7.82 – 7.98]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/21/26 00:00:03	10/20 00:06:13	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	7.925 %	7.929 % [7.81 – 8.05]	7.9 %	-0.029 %	0.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 00:00:03	10/20 23:55:17	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	7.925 %	7.929 % [7.81 – 8.05]	7.9 %	-0.029 %	0.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 06:00:03	10/20 00:06:13	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	7.925 %	7.927 % [7.84 – 8.01]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 06:00:03	10/20 23:55:17	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	7.925 %	7.927 % [7.84 – 8.01]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 00:00:02	10/19 20:33:19	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	7.952 %	7.964 % [7.84 – 8.09]	7.9 %	-0.064 %	0.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 06:00:02	10/19 20:33:19	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	7.952 %	7.958 % [7.87 – 8.05]	No reading	-	-	No Reading

✓ Zero forecast failures or divergences recorded for this sensor!

All 20 evaluated predictions stayed within the expected confidence cone.