/
root
/
Lilac
/
Bedrooms
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Master
/
Master Bedroom Temperature
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Prevailing:
72.6° (ENE)
|
Steadiness: 99.9%
No anomalies recorded in this time window.
No anomalies occurred in the selected time period — showing the most recent historical anomalies for this sensor.
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 01:05:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 71.6 °F | 73.68 | -2.8% | -0.27 | -1.16 | -30.91 |
100%
|
| 11/01/26 01:00:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 71.6 °F | 73.68 | -2.8% | -0.144 | -1.15 | -54.59 |
100%
|
| 10/27/26 17:22:26 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 74.84 °F | 78.276 | -4.39% | 0.696 | 3.26 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/26/26 16:48:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 73.22 °F | 74.64 | -1.9% | -0.01 | -0.74 | -7.77 |
42.9%
|
| 10/25/26 10:10:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 71.42 °F | 75.99 | -6% | 0.005 | -2.41 | 5.21 |
39.5%
|
| 10/25/26 09:30:19 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 71.96 °F | 76.1 | -5.4% | 0.005 | -2.38 | 7.35 |
50%
|
| 10/25/26 09:20:18 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 70.34 °F | 76.14 | -7.6% | -0.008 | -3.47 | -13.54 |
87%
|
| 10/25/26 09:10:18 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 72.32 °F | 76.16 | -5% | 0.004 | -2.34 | 6.64 |
46.2%
|
| 10/25/26 09:05:17 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 71.24 °F | 76.17 | -6.5% | 0.004 | -3.05 | 8.72 |
60.5%
|
| 10/25/26 09:00:17 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 69.98 °F | 76.19 | -8.2% | -0.005 | -3.93 | -12.27 |
83.2%
|
| 10/19/26 07:03:32 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 73.76 °F | 72.629 | +1.56% | -0.412 | 2.86 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/13/26 19:08:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 85.64 °F | 85.37 | +0.3% | 0.008 | 0.16 | 5.47 |
28.2%
|
| 10/13/26 18:12:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 86.18 °F | 85.35 | +1% | 0.007 | 0.49 | 5.27 |
29%
|
| 10/13/26 18:02:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 84.38 °F | 85.36 | -1.1% | -0.01 | -0.57 | -7.66 |
41.5%
|
| 10/13/26 17:17:52 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 85.64 °F | 85.32 | +0.4% | 0.008 | 0.19 | 6.76 |
34.9%
|
| 10/13/26 16:22:48 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 85.64 °F | 85.27 | +0.4% | 0.008 | 0.22 | 8.69 |
44.6%
|
| 10/13/26 16:12:47 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 85.1 °F | 85.27 | -0.2% | -0.005 | -0.1 | -7.06 |
35.9%
|
| 10/13/26 15:22:44 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 85.28 °F | 85.2 | +0.1% | 0.008 | 0.05 | 14.35 |
72%
|
| 10/13/26 15:17:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 82.76 °F | 85.21 | -2.9% | -0.008 | -1.44 | -21.05 |
100%
|
| 10/13/26 15:12:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 85.1 °F | 85.2 | -0.1% | -0.004 | -0.06 | -11.77 |
59.2%
|
| 09/02/26 16:02:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 86.54 °F | 81.08 | +6.7% | 0.001 | 3.02 | - |
50.4%
|
| 09/02/26 15:42:31 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 86.36 °F | 81.01 | +6.6% | 0.001 | 3.14 | - |
52.3%
|
| 09/02/26 15:17:29 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 85.82 °F | 80.94 | +6% | 0.001 | 3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 09/02/26 15:02:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 85.82 °F | 80.89 | +6.1% | 0.001 | 3.04 | - |
50.7%
|
| 09/01/26 11:35:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.32 °F | 86.52 | -6% | -0.002 | -3.01 | - |
50.1%
|
| 09/01/26 03:49:11 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 86.36 °F | 86.74 | -0.4% | 0.008 | -0.22 | 7.54 |
55.7%
|
| 08/19/26 16:07:21 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 81.5 °F | 87.64 | -7% | 0.003 | -2.22 | 4.41 |
50%
|
| 08/19/26 14:52:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.14 °F | 88.01 | -7.8% | -0.001 | -3 | - |
50.1%
|
| 08/19/26 14:42:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.32 °F | 88.06 | -7.6% | 0 | -3.03 | - |
50.6%
|
| 08/19/26 14:37:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.32 °F | 88.08 | -7.7% | -0.001 | -3.09 | - |
51.5%
|
| 08/19/26 14:32:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.5 °F | 88.1 | -7.5% | 0 | -3.07 | - |
51.1%
|
| 08/19/26 14:27:13 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.5 °F | 88.12 | -7.5% | 0 | -3.12 | - |
52.1%
|
| 08/19/26 14:22:13 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.5 °F | 88.14 | -7.5% | 0 | -3.19 | - |
53.1%
|
| 08/19/26 14:17:12 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.5 °F | 88.16 | -7.6% | -0.001 | -3.25 | - |
54.2%
|
| 08/19/26 14:12:12 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.68 °F | 88.18 | -7.4% | 0 | -3.23 | - |
53.8%
|
| 08/19/26 14:07:12 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.68 °F | 88.2 | -7.4% | -0.001 | -3.29 | - |
54.9%
|
| 08/19/26 14:02:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 81.86 °F | 88.22 | -7.2% | -0.001 | -3.27 | - |
54.5%
|
| 08/19/26 13:57:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.04 °F | 88.23 | -7% | -0.001 | -3.24 | - |
54%
|
| 08/19/26 13:52:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.22 °F | 88.25 | -6.8% | 0 | -3.2 | - |
53.4%
|
| 08/19/26 13:47:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.22 °F | 88.27 | -6.8% | -0.001 | -3.27 | - |
54.4%
|
| 08/19/26 13:42:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.4 °F | 88.28 | -6.7% | 0 | -3.23 | - |
53.8%
|
| 08/19/26 13:37:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.4 °F | 88.3 | -6.7% | -0.001 | -3.29 | - |
54.9%
|
| 08/19/26 13:32:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.58 °F | 88.31 | -6.5% | 0 | -3.24 | - |
54.1%
|
| 08/19/26 13:27:08 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.58 °F | 88.33 | -6.5% | -0.001 | -3.25 | - |
54.2%
|
| 08/19/26 13:22:08 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.76 °F | 88.34 | -6.3% | -0.001 | -3.16 | - |
52.6%
|
| 08/19/26 13:17:08 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.94 °F | 88.35 | -6.1% | 0 | -3.06 | - |
51%
|
| 08/19/26 13:12:07 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 82.94 °F | 88.36 | -6.1% | -0.001 | -3.07 | - |
51.2%
|
| 08/19/26 12:37:05 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 84.02 °F | 88.44 | -5% | -0.003 | -2.5 | -4.32 |
51.7%
|
| 08/19/26 12:02:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 85.46 °F | 88.48 | -3.4% | -0.004 | -1.71 | -6.77 |
62.6%
|
| 08/09/26 14:25:38 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 84.74 °F | 84.09 | +0.8% | -0.003 | 0.39 | -3.6 |
28.9%
|
| 08/09/26 13:55:35 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 84.56 °F | 84.05 | +0.6% | -0.003 | 0.3 | -3.73 |
29.2%
|
| 08/09/26 11:40:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 84.02 °F | 84 | 0% | -0.004 | 0.01 | -4.55 |
32.6%
|
| 08/08/26 22:09:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 81.5 °F | 86.45 | -5.7% | -0.006 | -1.94 | -4.64 |
49.3%
|
| 08/03/26 17:38:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 89.24 °F | 86.91 | +2.7% | 0.002 | 1.34 | 3.59 |
36.8%
|
| 08/02/26 23:17:15 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 87.44 °F | 86.33 | +1.3% | -0.004 | 0.54 | -5.89 |
46.6%
|
| 08/02/26 21:16:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 88.16 °F | 86.44 | +2% | -0.002 | 0.79 | -4.08 |
35.7%
|
| 08/01/26 22:14:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 89.24 °F | 88.76 | +0.5% | 0.003 | 0.27 | 4.01 |
30.8%
|
| 08/01/26 02:28:09 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 88.34 °F | 88.86 | -0.6% | -0.003 | -0.29 | -3.95 |
30.6%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
73.442 °F
(-0.41)
Target: 17:58 · 80% Cone: [72.06 – 74.83]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
71.751 °F
(-2.1)
Target: 20:58 · 80% Cone: [69.89 – 73.62]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
90.6%
(32 checked)
MAE: 0.67 °F · RMSE: 1.049 °F · Fit R²=0.90
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
2 diverged
⚡ 2 anom
3 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 3.26σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 20:58:32 (in 3.8h) | 11/02 17:03:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 73.849 °F | 71.751 °F [69.89 – 73.62] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 17:58:32 (in 46m) | 11/02 17:03:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 73.849 °F | 73.442 °F [72.06 – 74.83] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:32 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87 | 68.937 °F | 70.77 °F [69.25 – 72.3] | 72.68 °F | +1.91 °F | 1.59σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 04:47:32 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87 | 68.937 °F | 69.202 °F [68.07 – 70.34] | 68.9 °F | -0.302 °F | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 20:58:32 (in 3.8h) | 11/02 17:03:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 73.849 °F | 71.751 °F [69.89 – 73.62] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 17:58:32 (in 46m) | 11/02 17:03:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 73.849 °F | 73.442 °F [72.06 – 74.83] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:32 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87 | 68.937 °F | 70.77 °F [69.25 – 72.3] | 72.68 °F | +1.91 °F | 1.59σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 04:47:32 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87 | 68.937 °F | 69.202 °F [68.07 – 70.34] | 68.9 °F | -0.302 °F | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/30/26 07:59:50 | 10/30 04:02:08 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.50 | 70.568 °F | 72.626 °F [70.33 – 74.92] | 72.86 °F | +0.234 °F | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/30/26 04:59:50 | 10/30 04:02:08 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.50 | 70.568 °F | 71.16 °F [69.46 – 72.87] | 68.9 °F | -2.26 °F | 1.69σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/30/26 04:13:35 | 10/30 00:17:04 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.39 | 70.918 °F | 72.165 °F [69.8 – 74.53] | 71.42 °F | -0.745 °F | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/30/26 01:13:35 | 10/30 00:17:04 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.39 | 70.918 °F | 71.08 °F [69.32 – 72.84] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/28/26 18:34:00 | 10/28 14:46:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 74.591 °F | 75.32 °F [73.24 – 77.4] | 76.64 °F | +1.32 °F | 0.81σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/28/26 15:34:00 | 10/28 14:46:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 74.591 °F | 75.024 °F [73.48 – 76.57] | 75.92 °F | +0.896 °F | 0.74σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 20:21:30 | 10/27 16:30:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 78.42 °F | 74.889 °F [73.08 – 76.7] | 74.48 °F | -0.409 °F | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 17:21:30 | 10/27 16:30:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 78.42 °F | 78.276 °F [76.93 – 79.62] | 74.84 °F | -3.436 °F | 3.26σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/26/26 22:43:56 | 10/26 18:45:31 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.81 | 73.117 °F | 70.881 °F [68.9 – 72.86] | 69.98 °F | -0.901 °F | 0.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/26/26 19:43:56 | 10/26 18:45:31 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.81 | 73.117 °F | 72.243 °F [70.77 – 73.72] | 74.84 °F | +2.597 °F | 2.25σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/25/26 17:50:54 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Local LOESS R²=0.95 | 77.578 °F | 80.898 °F [79.81 – 81.99] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:50:54 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Local LOESS R²=0.95 | 77.578 °F | 78.875 °F [78.06 – 79.69] | 78.08 °F | -0.795 °F | 1.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:41:52 | 10/20 16:03:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 77.907 °F | 79.429 °F [79.19 – 79.67] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/20/26 19:36:50 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 77.888 °F | 79.462 °F [79.22 – 79.7] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/20/26 16:41:52 | 10/20 16:03:47 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 77.907 °F | 78.681 °F [78.5 – 78.86] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/20/26 16:36:50 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 77.888 °F | 78.68 °F [78.5 – 78.86] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/20/26 15:01:32 | 10/20 14:01:32 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 76.124 °F | 77.031 °F [76.82 – 77.24] | 77.18 °F | +0.149 °F | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:01:09 | 10/20 11:01:09 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 73.964 °F | 76.619 °F [76.34 – 76.9] | 77.18 °F | +0.561 °F | 1.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:01:27 | 10/20 13:01:27 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 75.077 °F | 75.827 °F [75.62 – 76.04] | 76.28 °F | +0.453 °F | 1.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 12:01:09 | 10/20 11:01:09 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 73.964 °F | 74.199 °F [73.99 – 74.41] | 74.12 °F | -0.079 °F | 0.27σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 11:05:32 | 10/20 07:05:32 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 74.276 °F | 73.492 °F [73.21 – 73.78] | 73.76 °F | +0.268 °F | 0.68σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 08:05:32 | 10/20 07:05:32 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 74.276 °F | 73.786 °F [73.58 – 74] | 73.94 °F | +0.154 °F | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 07:05:14 | 10/20 03:05:14 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 76.044 °F | 73.83 °F [73.55 – 74.11] | 74.48 °F | +0.65 °F | 1.64σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 04:05:14 | 10/20 03:05:14 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 76.044 °F | 75.56 °F [75.35 – 75.77] | 75.56 °F | 0 °F | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 03:04:56 | 10/19 23:04:56 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 77.489 °F | 75.907 °F [75.63 – 76.19] | 75.92 °F | +0.013 °F | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 00:04:56 | 10/19 23:04:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 77.489 °F | 77.13 °F [76.92 – 77.34] | 77.36 °F | +0.23 °F | 0.78σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 23:04:37 | 10/19 19:04:37 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 78.366 °F | 77.479 °F [77.2 – 77.76] | 77.54 °F | +0.061 °F | 0.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 20:04:37 | 10/19 19:04:37 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 78.366 °F | 78.46 °F [78.25 – 78.67] | 78.26 °F | -0.2 °F | 0.68σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 19:04:19 | 10/19 15:04:19 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 76.223 °F | 78.613 °F [78.34 – 78.89] | 78.26 °F | -0.353 °F | 0.89σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 16:04:19 | 10/19 15:04:19 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 76.223 °F | 77.166 °F [76.96 – 77.37] | 77.18 °F | +0.014 °F | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 15:03:50 | 10/19 11:03:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 72.927 °F | 75.722 °F [75.45 – 76] | 76.28 °F | +0.558 °F | 1.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 12:03:50 | 10/19 11:03:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 72.927 °F | 73.162 °F [72.96 – 73.37] | 73.4 °F | +0.238 °F | 0.81σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 11:03:32 | 10/19 07:03:32 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 73.699 °F | 72.575 °F [72.3 – 72.85] | 72.86 °F | +0.285 °F | 0.72σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 08:03:32 | 10/19 07:03:32 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 73.699 °F | 73.088 °F [72.88 – 73.29] | 73.04 °F | -0.048 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 07:03:14 | 10/19 03:03:14 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 75.496 °F | 72.629 °F [72.35 – 72.9] | 73.76 °F | +1.131 °F | 2.86σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/19/26 04:03:14 | 10/19 03:03:14 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 75.496 °F | 74.837 °F [74.63 – 75.04] | 75.02 °F | +0.183 °F | 0.62σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/27/26 17:21:30 | 10/27 16:30:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 78.42 °F | 78.276 °F [76.93 – 79.62] | 74.84 °F | -3.436 °F | 3.26σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/26/26 19:43:56 | 10/26 18:45:31 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.81 | 73.117 °F | 72.243 °F [70.77 – 73.72] | 74.84 °F | +2.597 °F | 2.25σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 07:03:14 | 10/19 03:03:14 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00 | 75.496 °F | 72.629 °F [72.35 – 72.9] | 73.76 °F | +1.131 °F | 2.86σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |