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/ root / Lilac / Bedrooms / Master / Master Bedroom Temperature | Prevailing: 72.6° (ENE) | Steadiness: 99.9%

/ root / Lilac / Bedrooms / Master / Master Bedroom Temperature

No anomalies occurred in the selected time period — showing the most recent historical anomalies for this sensor.

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/01/26 01:05:32	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	71.6 °F	73.68	-2.8%	-0.27	-1.16	-30.91	100%
11/01/26 01:00:32	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	71.6 °F	73.68	-2.8%	-0.144	-1.15	-54.59	100%
10/27/26 17:22:26	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	74.84 °F	78.276	-4.39%	0.696	3.26	-	99.5%
10/26/26 16:48:43	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	73.22 °F	74.64	-1.9%	-0.01	-0.74	-7.77	42.9%
10/25/26 10:10:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	71.42 °F	75.99	-6%	0.005	-2.41	5.21	39.5%
10/25/26 09:30:19	WARNING	Rate Spike	71.96 °F	76.1	-5.4%	0.005	-2.38	7.35	50%
10/25/26 09:20:18	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	70.34 °F	76.14	-7.6%	-0.008	-3.47	-13.54	87%
10/25/26 09:10:18	WARNING	Rate Spike	72.32 °F	76.16	-5%	0.004	-2.34	6.64	46.2%
10/25/26 09:05:17	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	71.24 °F	76.17	-6.5%	0.004	-3.05	8.72	60.5%
10/25/26 09:00:17	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	69.98 °F	76.19	-8.2%	-0.005	-3.93	-12.27	83.2%
10/19/26 07:03:32	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	73.76 °F	72.629	+1.56%	-0.412	2.86	-	99.5%
10/13/26 19:08:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	85.64 °F	85.37	+0.3%	0.008	0.16	5.47	28.2%
10/13/26 18:12:56	WARNING	Rate Spike	86.18 °F	85.35	+1%	0.007	0.49	5.27	29%
10/13/26 18:02:56	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	84.38 °F	85.36	-1.1%	-0.01	-0.57	-7.66	41.5%
10/13/26 17:17:52	WARNING	Rate Spike	85.64 °F	85.32	+0.4%	0.008	0.19	6.76	34.9%
10/13/26 16:22:48	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	85.64 °F	85.27	+0.4%	0.008	0.22	8.69	44.6%
10/13/26 16:12:47	WARNING	Rate Spike	85.1 °F	85.27	-0.2%	-0.005	-0.1	-7.06	35.9%
10/13/26 15:22:44	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	85.28 °F	85.2	+0.1%	0.008	0.05	14.35	72%
10/13/26 15:17:43	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	82.76 °F	85.21	-2.9%	-0.008	-1.44	-21.05	100%
10/13/26 15:12:43	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	85.1 °F	85.2	-0.1%	-0.004	-0.06	-11.77	59.2%
09/02/26 16:02:32	WARNING	Value Deviation	86.54 °F	81.08	+6.7%	0.001	3.02	-	50.4%
09/02/26 15:42:31	WARNING	Value Deviation	86.36 °F	81.01	+6.6%	0.001	3.14	-	52.3%
09/02/26 15:17:29	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.82 °F	80.94	+6%	0.001	3.02	-	50.3%
09/02/26 15:02:27	WARNING	Value Deviation	85.82 °F	80.89	+6.1%	0.001	3.04	-	50.7%
09/01/26 11:35:02	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.32 °F	86.52	-6%	-0.002	-3.01	-	50.1%
09/01/26 03:49:11	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	86.36 °F	86.74	-0.4%	0.008	-0.22	7.54	55.7%
08/19/26 16:07:21	WARNING	Rate Spike	81.5 °F	87.64	-7%	0.003	-2.22	4.41	50%
08/19/26 14:52:15	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.14 °F	88.01	-7.8%	-0.001	-3	-	50.1%
08/19/26 14:42:15	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.32 °F	88.06	-7.6%	0	-3.03	-	50.6%
08/19/26 14:37:14	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.32 °F	88.08	-7.7%	-0.001	-3.09	-	51.5%
08/19/26 14:32:14	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.5 °F	88.1	-7.5%	0	-3.07	-	51.1%
08/19/26 14:27:13	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.5 °F	88.12	-7.5%	0	-3.12	-	52.1%
08/19/26 14:22:13	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.5 °F	88.14	-7.5%	0	-3.19	-	53.1%
08/19/26 14:17:12	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.5 °F	88.16	-7.6%	-0.001	-3.25	-	54.2%
08/19/26 14:12:12	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.68 °F	88.18	-7.4%	0	-3.23	-	53.8%
08/19/26 14:07:12	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.68 °F	88.2	-7.4%	-0.001	-3.29	-	54.9%
08/19/26 14:02:11	WARNING	Value Deviation	81.86 °F	88.22	-7.2%	-0.001	-3.27	-	54.5%
08/19/26 13:57:11	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.04 °F	88.23	-7%	-0.001	-3.24	-	54%
08/19/26 13:52:10	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.22 °F	88.25	-6.8%	0	-3.2	-	53.4%
08/19/26 13:47:10	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.22 °F	88.27	-6.8%	-0.001	-3.27	-	54.4%
08/19/26 13:42:10	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.4 °F	88.28	-6.7%	0	-3.23	-	53.8%
08/19/26 13:37:09	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.4 °F	88.3	-6.7%	-0.001	-3.29	-	54.9%
08/19/26 13:32:09	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.58 °F	88.31	-6.5%	0	-3.24	-	54.1%
08/19/26 13:27:08	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.58 °F	88.33	-6.5%	-0.001	-3.25	-	54.2%
08/19/26 13:22:08	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.76 °F	88.34	-6.3%	-0.001	-3.16	-	52.6%
08/19/26 13:17:08	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.94 °F	88.35	-6.1%	0	-3.06	-	51%
08/19/26 13:12:07	WARNING	Value Deviation	82.94 °F	88.36	-6.1%	-0.001	-3.07	-	51.2%
08/19/26 12:37:05	WARNING	Rate Spike	84.02 °F	88.44	-5%	-0.003	-2.5	-4.32	51.7%
08/19/26 12:02:02	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	85.46 °F	88.48	-3.4%	-0.004	-1.71	-6.77	62.6%
08/09/26 14:25:38	WARNING	Rate Spike	84.74 °F	84.09	+0.8%	-0.003	0.39	-3.6	28.9%
08/09/26 13:55:35	WARNING	Rate Spike	84.56 °F	84.05	+0.6%	-0.003	0.3	-3.73	29.2%
08/09/26 11:40:25	WARNING	Rate Spike	84.02 °F	84	0%	-0.004	0.01	-4.55	32.6%
08/08/26 22:09:24	WARNING	Rate Spike	81.5 °F	86.45	-5.7%	-0.006	-1.94	-4.64	49.3%
08/03/26 17:38:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	89.24 °F	86.91	+2.7%	0.002	1.34	3.59	36.8%
08/02/26 23:17:15	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	87.44 °F	86.33	+1.3%	-0.004	0.54	-5.89	46.6%
08/02/26 21:16:54	WARNING	Rate Spike	88.16 °F	86.44	+2%	-0.002	0.79	-4.08	35.7%
08/01/26 22:14:56	WARNING	Rate Spike	89.24 °F	88.76	+0.5%	0.003	0.27	4.01	30.8%
08/01/26 02:28:09	WARNING	Rate Spike	88.34 °F	88.86	-0.6%	-0.003	-0.29	-3.95	30.6%

/ root / Lilac / Bedrooms / Master / Master Bedroom Temperature

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

73.442 °F (-0.41)

Target: 17:58 · 80% Cone: [72.06 – 74.83]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

71.751 °F (-2.1)

Target: 20:58 · 80% Cone: [69.89 – 73.62]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

90.6% (32 checked)

MAE: 0.67 °F · RMSE: 1.049 °F · Fit R²=0.90

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

2 diverged ⚡ 2 anom

3 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 3.26σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 20:58:32 (in 3.8h)	11/02 17:03:11	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82	73.849 °F	71.751 °F [69.89 – 73.62]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 17:58:32 (in 45m)	11/02 17:03:11	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82	73.849 °F	73.442 °F [72.06 – 74.83]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:47:32	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87	68.937 °F	70.77 °F [69.25 – 72.3]	72.68 °F	+1.91 °F	1.59σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:47:32	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87	68.937 °F	69.202 °F [68.07 – 70.34]	68.9 °F	-0.302 °F	0.34σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 20:58:32 (in 3.8h)	11/02 17:03:11	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82	73.849 °F	71.751 °F [69.89 – 73.62]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 17:58:32 (in 45m)	11/02 17:03:11	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82	73.849 °F	73.442 °F [72.06 – 74.83]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:47:32	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87	68.937 °F	70.77 °F [69.25 – 72.3]	72.68 °F	+1.91 °F	1.59σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 04:47:32	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.87	68.937 °F	69.202 °F [68.07 – 70.34]	68.9 °F	-0.302 °F	0.34σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 07:59:50	10/30 04:02:08	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.50	70.568 °F	72.626 °F [70.33 – 74.92]	72.86 °F	+0.234 °F	0.13σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 04:59:50	10/30 04:02:08	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.50	70.568 °F	71.16 °F [69.46 – 72.87]	68.9 °F	-2.26 °F	1.69σ	~ Minor Drift
10/30/26 04:13:35	10/30 00:17:04	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.39	70.918 °F	72.165 °F [69.8 – 74.53]	71.42 °F	-0.745 °F	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 01:13:35	10/30 00:17:04	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.39	70.918 °F	71.08 °F [69.32 – 72.84]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 18:34:00	10/28 14:46:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85	74.591 °F	75.32 °F [73.24 – 77.4]	76.64 °F	+1.32 °F	0.81σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 15:34:00	10/28 14:46:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85	74.591 °F	75.024 °F [73.48 – 76.57]	75.92 °F	+0.896 °F	0.74σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 20:21:30	10/27 16:30:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90	78.42 °F	74.889 °F [73.08 – 76.7]	74.48 °F	-0.409 °F	0.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 17:21:30	10/27 16:30:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90	78.42 °F	78.276 °F [76.93 – 79.62]	74.84 °F	-3.436 °F	3.26σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/26/26 22:43:56	10/26 18:45:31	+4h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.81	73.117 °F	70.881 °F [68.9 – 72.86]	69.98 °F	-0.901 °F	0.58σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 19:43:56	10/26 18:45:31	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.81	73.117 °F	72.243 °F [70.77 – 73.72]	74.84 °F	+2.597 °F	2.25σ	~ Minor Drift
10/25/26 17:50:54	10/25 13:54:50	+4h	Local LOESS R²=0.95	77.578 °F	80.898 °F [79.81 – 81.99]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 14:50:54	10/25 13:54:50	+1h	Local LOESS R²=0.95	77.578 °F	78.875 °F [78.06 – 79.69]	78.08 °F	-0.795 °F	1.25σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:41:52	10/20 16:03:47	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	77.907 °F	79.429 °F [79.19 – 79.67]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 19:36:50	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	77.888 °F	79.462 °F [79.22 – 79.7]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 16:41:52	10/20 16:03:47	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	77.907 °F	78.681 °F [78.5 – 78.86]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 16:36:50	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	77.888 °F	78.68 °F [78.5 – 78.86]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 15:01:32	10/20 14:01:32	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	76.124 °F	77.031 °F [76.82 – 77.24]	77.18 °F	+0.149 °F	0.51σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 15:01:09	10/20 11:01:09	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	73.964 °F	76.619 °F [76.34 – 76.9]	77.18 °F	+0.561 °F	1.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 14:01:27	10/20 13:01:27	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	75.077 °F	75.827 °F [75.62 – 76.04]	76.28 °F	+0.453 °F	1.55σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 12:01:09	10/20 11:01:09	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	73.964 °F	74.199 °F [73.99 – 74.41]	74.12 °F	-0.079 °F	0.27σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 11:05:32	10/20 07:05:32	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	74.276 °F	73.492 °F [73.21 – 73.78]	73.76 °F	+0.268 °F	0.68σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 08:05:32	10/20 07:05:32	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	74.276 °F	73.786 °F [73.58 – 74]	73.94 °F	+0.154 °F	0.53σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 07:05:14	10/20 03:05:14	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	76.044 °F	73.83 °F [73.55 – 74.11]	74.48 °F	+0.65 °F	1.64σ	~ Minor Drift
10/20/26 04:05:14	10/20 03:05:14	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	76.044 °F	75.56 °F [75.35 – 75.77]	75.56 °F	0 °F	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 03:04:56	10/19 23:04:56	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	77.489 °F	75.907 °F [75.63 – 76.19]	75.92 °F	+0.013 °F	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 00:04:56	10/19 23:04:56	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	77.489 °F	77.13 °F [76.92 – 77.34]	77.36 °F	+0.23 °F	0.78σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 23:04:37	10/19 19:04:37	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	78.366 °F	77.479 °F [77.2 – 77.76]	77.54 °F	+0.061 °F	0.15σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 20:04:37	10/19 19:04:37	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	78.366 °F	78.46 °F [78.25 – 78.67]	78.26 °F	-0.2 °F	0.68σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 19:04:19	10/19 15:04:19	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	76.223 °F	78.613 °F [78.34 – 78.89]	78.26 °F	-0.353 °F	0.89σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 16:04:19	10/19 15:04:19	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	76.223 °F	77.166 °F [76.96 – 77.37]	77.18 °F	+0.014 °F	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 15:03:50	10/19 11:03:50	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	72.927 °F	75.722 °F [75.45 – 76]	76.28 °F	+0.558 °F	1.41σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 12:03:50	10/19 11:03:50	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	72.927 °F	73.162 °F [72.96 – 73.37]	73.4 °F	+0.238 °F	0.81σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 11:03:32	10/19 07:03:32	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	73.699 °F	72.575 °F [72.3 – 72.85]	72.86 °F	+0.285 °F	0.72σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 08:03:32	10/19 07:03:32	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	73.699 °F	73.088 °F [72.88 – 73.29]	73.04 °F	-0.048 °F	0.16σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 07:03:14	10/19 03:03:14	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	75.496 °F	72.629 °F [72.35 – 72.9]	73.76 °F	+1.131 °F	2.86σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/19/26 04:03:14	10/19 03:03:14	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	75.496 °F	74.837 °F [74.63 – 75.04]	75.02 °F	+0.183 °F	0.62σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
10/27/26 17:21:30	10/27 16:30:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90	78.42 °F	78.276 °F [76.93 – 79.62]	74.84 °F	-3.436 °F	3.26σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/26/26 19:43:56	10/26 18:45:31	+1h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.81	73.117 °F	72.243 °F [70.77 – 73.72]	74.84 °F	+2.597 °F	2.25σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 07:03:14	10/19 03:03:14	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=1.00	75.496 °F	72.629 °F [72.35 – 72.9]	73.76 °F	+1.131 °F	2.86σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged