|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:39:57 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 35.708 °F | 37.576 | -4.97% | -0.051 | 4.73 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:40:02 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 35.726 °F | 36.48 | -2.07% | -0.051 | 2.57 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/01/26 12:59:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.812 °F | 35.17 | +13.2% | 0 | 4.63 | - |
51.5%
|
| 11/01/26 12:49:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.74 °F | 35.15 | +13.1% | 0 | 4.73 | - |
52.5%
|
| 11/01/26 12:39:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.65 °F | 35.13 | +12.9% | 0 | 4.81 | - |
53.4%
|
| 11/01/26 12:29:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.542 °F | 35.11 | +12.6% | 0 | 4.87 | - |
54.1%
|
| 11/01/26 12:19:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.308 °F | 35.09 | +12% | 0 | 4.78 | - |
53.1%
|
| 11/01/26 12:09:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.218 °F | 35.07 | +11.8% | 0.001 | 4.85 | - |
53.9%
|
| 11/01/26 11:59:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.876 °F | 35.05 | +10.9% | 0 | 4.59 | - |
51%
|
| 11/01/26 11:39:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.786 °F | 35.01 | +10.8% | 0.001 | 4.77 | - |
53%
|
| 11/01/26 11:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.48 °F | 34.99 | +10% | 0 | 4.52 | - |
50.2%
|
| 11/01/26 11:19:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.39 °F | 34.98 | +9.8% | 0 | 4.53 | - |
50.4%
|
| 11/01/26 11:09:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.282 °F | 34.96 | +9.5% | 0 | 4.52 | - |
50.2%
|
| 11/01/26 10:59:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.21 °F | 34.94 | +9.4% | 0.001 | 4.54 | - |
50.5%
|
Volume cap: showing the latest 200 anomalies in this view. Narrow the time period to inspect earlier events.
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:39:57 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 35.708 °F | 37.576 | -4.97% | -0.051 | 4.73 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:40:02 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 35.726 °F | 36.48 | -2.07% | -0.051 | 2.57 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/01/26 12:59:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.812 °F | 35.17 | +13.2% | 0 | 4.63 | - |
51.5%
|
| 11/01/26 12:49:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.74 °F | 35.15 | +13.1% | 0 | 4.73 | - |
52.5%
|
| 11/01/26 12:39:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.65 °F | 35.13 | +12.9% | 0 | 4.81 | - |
53.4%
|
| 11/01/26 12:29:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.542 °F | 35.11 | +12.6% | 0 | 4.87 | - |
54.1%
|
| 11/01/26 12:19:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.308 °F | 35.09 | +12% | 0 | 4.78 | - |
53.1%
|
| 11/01/26 12:09:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.218 °F | 35.07 | +11.8% | 0.001 | 4.85 | - |
53.9%
|
| 11/01/26 11:59:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.876 °F | 35.05 | +10.9% | 0 | 4.59 | - |
51%
|
| 11/01/26 11:39:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.786 °F | 35.01 | +10.8% | 0.001 | 4.77 | - |
53%
|
| 11/01/26 11:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.48 °F | 34.99 | +10% | 0 | 4.52 | - |
50.2%
|
| 11/01/26 11:19:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.39 °F | 34.98 | +9.8% | 0 | 4.53 | - |
50.4%
|
| 11/01/26 11:09:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.282 °F | 34.96 | +9.5% | 0 | 4.52 | - |
50.2%
|
| 11/01/26 10:59:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.21 °F | 34.94 | +9.4% | 0.001 | 4.54 | - |
50.5%
|
| 11/01/26 01:09:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 34.934 °F | 34.32 | +1.8% | -0.072 | 0.54 | -24.76 |
100%
|
| 11/01/26 01:00:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 35.168 °F | 34.31 | +2.5% | 0.05 | 0.75 | 257.55 |
100%
|
| 10/23/26 19:20:02 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 47.408 °F | 43.689 | +8.51% | -0.938 | 3.27 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/23/26 04:19:55 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 39.992 °F | 43.791 | -8.68% | -0.801 | 2.79 | - |
90.6%
|
| 10/23/26 01:39:53 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 40.784 °F | 44.377 | -8.1% | -0.331 | 2.67 | - |
87.8%
|
| 10/20/26 06:59:59 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 45.086 °F | 41.729 | +8.04% | 0.294 | 3.2 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/19/26 20:59:55 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 42.908 °F | 49.319 | -13% | 0.761 | 4.92 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/19/26 20:19:55 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 42.854 °F | 49.095 | -12.71% | 0.721 | 5.42 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/14/26 11:09:52 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 47.426 °F | 43.95 | +7.9% | 0.003 | 2.02 | 5.3 |
37.7%
|
| 10/13/26 17:30:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 44.798 °F | 44.24 | +1.3% | 0.004 | 0.34 | 6.46 |
34.1%
|
| 10/10/26 17:09:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.662 °F | 42.87 | +6.5% | 0.004 | 1.39 | 5.63 |
35.9%
|
| 10/06/26 14:50:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.548 °F | 47.06 | -28.7% | -0.002 | -5.17 | - |
57.4%
|
| 10/06/26 14:40:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.844 °F | 47.09 | -26% | -0.003 | -4.84 | - |
53.8%
|
| 10/06/26 14:19:57 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.842 °F | 47.14 | -21.8% | -0.009 | -4.31 | -5.97 |
53.8%
|
| 10/06/26 13:20:11 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.092 °F | 47.28 | -17.3% | -0.009 | -3.8 | -6.95 |
55.9%
|
| 10/06/26 12:59:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.34 °F | 47.3 | -8.4% | 0.009 | -1.85 | 7.48 |
47.7%
|
| 10/06/26 12:49:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.94 °F | 47.34 | -19.9% | -0.01 | -4.54 | - |
50.4%
|
| 10/06/26 12:20:26 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.344 °F | 47.36 | +2.1% | -0.006 | 0.48 | -6.77 |
36.5%
|
| 10/06/26 10:49:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 50.252 °F | 47.18 | +6.5% | 0.007 | 1.65 | 7.96 |
49%
|
| 10/04/26 17:49:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 43.97 °F | 45.98 | -4.4% | -0.008 | -1.13 | -8.89 |
50.7%
|
| 10/03/26 15:59:52 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 40.712 °F | 46.08 | -11.7% | -0.011 | -2.93 | -23.38 |
100%
|
| 09/27/26 17:59:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.466 °F | 45.6 | -4.7% | 0.004 | -1.14 | 5.23 |
32.5%
|
| 09/26/26 11:39:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.806 °F | 46.37 | -1.2% | 0.003 | -0.28 | 5.59 |
29.5%
|
| 09/26/26 11:09:51 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.4 °F | 46.4 | 0% | -0.005 | 0 | -9.96 |
49.8%
|
| 09/24/26 11:00:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 51.026 °F | 46.13 | +10.6% | 0.004 | 3.3 | 5.42 |
45.5%
|
| 09/21/26 16:49:53 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 31.424 °F | 44.39 | -29.2% | 0.01 | -3.56 | 6.12 |
50.3%
|
| 09/21/26 16:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 25.736 °F | 44.45 | -42.1% | -0.002 | -5.38 | - |
59.7%
|
| 09/21/26 16:29:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.654 °F | 44.5 | -40.1% | -0.004 | -5.37 | - |
59.6%
|
| 09/21/26 16:19:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 29.066 °F | 44.55 | -34.8% | 0.005 | -4.83 | - |
53.7%
|
| 09/21/26 16:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.33 °F | 44.61 | -41% | -0.007 | -6.04 | - |
67.1%
|
| 09/21/26 16:00:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.506 °F | 44.66 | -31.7% | 0.005 | -4.86 | - |
54%
|
| 09/21/26 15:49:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 27.554 °F | 44.71 | -38.4% | 0.003 | -6.26 | - |
69.6%
|
| 09/21/26 15:39:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 25.7 °F | 44.77 | -42.6% | -0.01 | -7.6 | - |
84.4%
|
| 09/21/26 15:29:33 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.982 °F | 44.81 | -28.6% | -0.005 | -5.35 | - |
59.4%
|
| 09/21/26 15:09:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.19 °F | 44.88 | -30.5% | 0.005 | -6.25 | - |
69.4%
|
| 09/21/26 14:59:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 28.022 °F | 44.93 | -37.6% | -0.008 | -8.61 | - |
95.7%
|
| 09/21/26 14:49:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.72 °F | 44.97 | -27.2% | -0.006 | -6.68 | - |
74.2%
|
| 09/21/26 14:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.978 °F | 45 | -20% | 0.003 | -5.12 | - |
56.9%
|
| 09/21/26 14:29:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.016 °F | 45.03 | -24.5% | -0.007 | -6.7 | - |
74.5%
|
| 09/21/26 14:09:54 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 34.736 °F | 45.08 | -22.9% | -0.011 | -6.96 | -14.68 |
100%
|
| 09/20/26 17:10:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.29 °F | 45.27 | +6.7% | 0.003 | 1.74 | 5.69 |
38.1%
|
| 09/16/26 11:09:57 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 49.424 °F | 45.38 | +8.9% | 0.003 | 2.15 | 5.24 |
38.1%
|
| 09/16/26 10:29:57 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 46.148 °F | 45.37 | +1.7% | 0.003 | 0.42 | 5.47 |
29.7%
|
| 09/10/26 14:09:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 43.772 °F | 46.2 | -5.3% | 0.009 | -0.93 | 8.24 |
46.3%
|
| 09/10/26 13:59:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 38.426 °F | 46.21 | -16.9% | 0.009 | -2.99 | 9.12 |
62.2%
|
| 09/10/26 13:50:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.188 °F | 46.25 | -28.2% | -0 | -5.23 | - |
58.1%
|
| 09/10/26 13:39:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.404 °F | 46.28 | -27.8% | -0.001 | -5.39 | - |
59.9%
|
| 09/10/26 13:30:06 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.71 °F | 46.31 | -27.2% | -0.002 | -5.52 | - |
61.4%
|
| 09/10/26 13:19:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.15 °F | 46.34 | -24.2% | -0.001 | -5.11 | - |
56.8%
|
| 09/10/26 13:10:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.78 °F | 46.37 | -22.8% | -0.004 | -5.02 | - |
55.8%
|
| 09/10/26 10:49:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 42.692 °F | 46.43 | -8% | -0.005 | -1.94 | -7.72 |
49.4%
|
| 09/06/26 16:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.576 °F | 43.82 | -25.7% | -0.003 | -3.18 | - |
53%
|
| 09/06/26 15:30:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.918 °F | 43.92 | -25% | -0.003 | -3.24 | - |
54%
|
| 09/06/26 15:09:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.116 °F | 43.98 | -24.7% | 0 | -3.29 | - |
54.9%
|
| 09/06/26 14:59:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.936 °F | 44.01 | -25.2% | -0.001 | -3.42 | - |
57.1%
|
| 09/06/26 14:49:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.422 °F | 44.05 | -24.1% | 0 | -3.35 | - |
55.8%
|
| 09/06/26 14:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.152 °F | 44.08 | -24.8% | 0.004 | -3.51 | - |
58.5%
|
| 09/06/26 14:29:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 30.938 °F | 44.12 | -29.9% | -0.002 | -4.37 | - |
72.8%
|
| 09/06/26 14:20:05 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.144 °F | 44.16 | -27.2% | 0 | -4.09 | - |
68.1%
|
| 09/06/26 14:09:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32 °F | 44.2 | -27.6% | -0.003 | -4.28 | - |
71.3%
|
| 09/06/26 14:00:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.674 °F | 44.23 | -23.9% | 0 | -3.79 | - |
63.1%
|
| 09/06/26 13:49:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.584 °F | 44.26 | -24.1% | 0.002 | -3.93 | - |
65.5%
|
| 09/06/26 13:40:05 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 32.306 °F | 44.3 | -27.1% | -0.001 | -4.56 | - |
76.1%
|
| 09/06/26 13:29:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 32.846 °F | 44.34 | -25.9% | 0.004 | -4.52 | - |
75.3%
|
| 09/06/26 13:20:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 30.65 °F | 44.38 | -30.9% | -0.005 | -5.68 | - |
94.7%
|
| 09/06/26 13:09:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 33.782 °F | 44.42 | -23.9% | -0.001 | -4.55 | - |
75.8%
|
| 09/06/26 12:59:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.394 °F | 44.45 | -22.6% | 0.002 | -4.44 | - |
73.9%
|
| 09/06/26 12:49:52 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 33.098 °F | 44.48 | -25.6% | 0.001 | -5.24 | - |
87.4%
|
| 09/06/26 12:39:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 32.63 °F | 44.52 | -26.7% | -0.002 | -5.77 | - |
96.2%
|
| 09/06/26 12:29:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 33.836 °F | 44.55 | -24% | -0.001 | -5.45 | - |
90.9%
|
| 09/06/26 12:19:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 34.322 °F | 44.58 | -23% | -0.004 | -5.47 | - |
91.2%
|
| 09/06/26 12:10:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 36.428 °F | 44.6 | -18.3% | -0.003 | -4.51 | - |
75.1%
|
| 09/06/26 11:59:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.246 °F | 44.62 | -14.3% | -0 | -3.58 | - |
59.7%
|
| 09/06/26 11:49:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.354 °F | 44.64 | -14.1% | -0.002 | -3.61 | - |
60.1%
|
| 09/06/26 10:39:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.45 °F | 44.68 | -7.2% | -0.007 | -1.92 | -7.88 |
72.3%
|
| 09/05/26 19:19:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.432 °F | 43.49 | -4.7% | 0.005 | -0.81 | 6.11 |
50.3%
|
| 09/05/26 15:49:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 44.384 °F | 43.27 | +2.6% | 0.003 | 0.4 | 4.01 |
32%
|
| 09/03/26 10:49:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 41.738 °F | 42.62 | -2.1% | -0.004 | -0.22 | -3.67 |
28.1%
|
| 09/02/26 19:59:57 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 35.87 °F | 43.99 | -18.5% | 0.004 | -2.11 | 4.38 |
48.8%
|
| 09/02/26 19:49:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 33.314 °F | 44.02 | -24.3% | 0.003 | -2.81 | 3.64 |
49.4%
|
| 09/02/26 19:39:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.244 °F | 44.06 | -29.1% | -0 | -3.43 | - |
57.2%
|
| 09/02/26 19:30:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.352 °F | 44.1 | -28.9% | -0 | -3.48 | - |
58.1%
|
| 09/02/26 19:19:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.37 °F | 44.14 | -28.9% | -0.001 | -3.56 | - |
59.3%
|
| 09/02/26 19:09:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.874 °F | 44.17 | -27.8% | -0 | -3.5 | - |
58.3%
|
| 09/02/26 19:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.036 °F | 44.22 | -27.5% | -0.001 | -3.54 | - |
58.9%
|
| 09/02/26 18:49:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.63 °F | 44.26 | -26.3% | -0.003 | -3.44 | - |
57.4%
|
| 09/02/26 18:29:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.99 °F | 44.33 | -25.6% | -0 | -3.47 | - |
57.9%
|
| 09/02/26 18:20:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.242 °F | 44.37 | -25.1% | -0.001 | -3.47 | - |
57.9%
|
| 09/02/26 18:09:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.782 °F | 44.42 | -23.9% | -0 | -3.38 | - |
56.3%
|
| 09/02/26 17:59:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.962 °F | 44.46 | -23.6% | 0.002 | -3.4 | - |
56.6%
|
| 09/02/26 17:49:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 32.684 °F | 44.5 | -26.6% | -0.001 | -3.92 | - |
65.3%
|
| 09/02/26 17:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.044 °F | 44.54 | -25.8% | -0.003 | -3.91 | - |
65.1%
|
| 09/02/26 17:29:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.916 °F | 44.58 | -21.7% | 0.002 | -3.34 | - |
55.7%
|
| 09/02/26 17:19:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 33.764 °F | 44.62 | -24.3% | -0.003 | -3.85 | - |
64.1%
|
| 09/02/26 17:09:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.456 °F | 44.65 | -20.6% | 0.001 | -3.32 | - |
55.3%
|
| 09/02/26 17:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.88 °F | 44.68 | -21.9% | -0.002 | -3.61 | - |
60.2%
|
| 09/02/26 16:49:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.212 °F | 44.71 | -19% | 0.002 | -3.18 | - |
53.1%
|
| 09/02/26 16:39:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.294 °F | 44.74 | -21.1% | -0.002 | -3.62 | - |
60.3%
|
| 09/02/26 16:29:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.41 °F | 44.77 | -18.7% | -0 | -3.25 | - |
54.2%
|
| 09/02/26 16:20:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.446 °F | 44.79 | -18.6% | 0.003 | -3.31 | - |
55.1%
|
| 09/02/26 16:09:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 34.898 °F | 44.82 | -22.1% | -0.005 | -4.04 | - |
67.3%
|
| 09/02/26 15:49:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.446 °F | 44.86 | -18.8% | -0.001 | -3.54 | - |
59%
|
| 09/02/26 15:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.112 °F | 44.89 | -17.3% | 0.002 | -3.32 | - |
55.4%
|
| 09/02/26 15:29:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.87 °F | 44.91 | -20.1% | -0 | -3.95 | - |
65.9%
|
| 09/02/26 15:19:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.014 °F | 44.93 | -19.8% | 0.003 | -4 | - |
66.6%
|
| 09/02/26 15:09:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 34.25 °F | 44.96 | -23.8% | -0.001 | -4.99 | - |
83.2%
|
| 09/02/26 15:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 34.592 °F | 44.99 | -23.1% | 0.001 | -5.04 | - |
84%
|
| 09/02/26 14:49:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 34.232 °F | 45.02 | -24% | -0.002 | -5.48 | - |
91.4%
|
| 09/02/26 14:39:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 35.402 °F | 45.05 | -21.4% | -0.001 | -5.11 | - |
85.1%
|
| 09/02/26 14:29:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 35.87 °F | 45.07 | -20.4% | -0.002 | -5.07 | - |
84.5%
|
| 09/02/26 14:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.346 °F | 45.09 | -17.2% | 0 | -4.4 | - |
73.3%
|
| 09/02/26 14:09:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 37.166 °F | 45.11 | -17.6% | -0.001 | -4.66 | - |
77.7%
|
| 09/02/26 13:59:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 37.652 °F | 45.13 | -16.6% | -0.001 | -4.54 | - |
75.6%
|
| 09/02/26 13:50:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.066 °F | 45.15 | -15.7% | -0.003 | -4.43 | - |
73.8%
|
| 09/02/26 13:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.578 °F | 45.17 | -12.4% | 0.001 | -3.56 | - |
59.4%
|
| 09/02/26 13:29:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.164 °F | 45.19 | -13.3% | -0 | -3.94 | - |
65.7%
|
| 09/02/26 13:19:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.326 °F | 45.21 | -13% | -0 | -3.94 | - |
65.7%
|
| 09/02/26 13:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.398 °F | 45.23 | -12.9% | -0.001 | -4.01 | - |
66.9%
|
| 09/02/26 13:00:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 39.704 °F | 45.24 | -12.2% | -0.006 | -3.91 | -7.53 |
86.3%
|
| 09/01/26 18:19:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 44.474 °F | 45.28 | -1.8% | -0.006 | -0.63 | -9.56 |
73.5%
|
| 09/01/26 17:39:53 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.11 °F | 45.25 | +6.3% | 0.003 | 2.34 | 4.71 |
53.1%
|
| 08/31/26 17:09:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.16 °F | 44.42 | -2.8% | -0.003 | -1.3 | -4.08 |
40%
|
| 08/31/26 13:39:53 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.556 °F | 44.17 | -1.4% | 0.003 | -0.48 | 3.63 |
30%
|
| 08/30/26 14:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.688 °F | 42.35 | +10.2% | 0.005 | 2.34 | 7.51 |
73.1%
|
| 08/28/26 21:59:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 41.18 °F | 43.63 | -5.6% | -0.003 | -1.03 | -3.52 |
33.8%
|
| 08/27/26 17:40:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.356 °F | 44.97 | +0.8% | 0.004 | 0.18 | 3.6 |
27.2%
|
| 08/27/26 12:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.444 °F | 45.01 | -14.6% | -0.001 | -3.12 | - |
52%
|
| 08/27/26 10:10:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.458 °F | 45.2 | -6.1% | -0.004 | -1.41 | -3.85 |
39.3%
|
| 08/26/26 13:29:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 44.042 °F | 44.88 | -1.9% | 0.009 | -0.42 | 7.99 |
60.6%
|
| 08/26/26 13:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.966 °F | 44.91 | -13.2% | -0.002 | -3.03 | - |
50.5%
|
| 08/23/26 16:20:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 44.024 °F | 44.94 | -2% | 0.006 | -0.4 | 5.96 |
45.9%
|
| 08/22/26 23:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 48.884 °F | 44.51 | +9.8% | 0.005 | 2.25 | 5.47 |
57.9%
|
| 08/22/26 21:09:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.476 °F | 44.62 | -4.8% | 0.003 | -1.08 | 3.81 |
36.3%
|
| 08/22/26 16:09:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.296 °F | 44.78 | -5.5% | -0.003 | -1.4 | -3.51 |
36.8%
|
| 08/21/26 20:29:57 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 44.24 °F | 45.37 | -2.5% | 0.004 | -0.52 | 4.91 |
39.4%
|
| 08/21/26 19:19:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.592 °F | 45.48 | -4.2% | 0.003 | -0.87 | 3.67 |
33.5%
|
| 08/19/26 16:59:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 47.318 °F | 44.8 | +5.6% | 0.011 | 0.68 | 7.49 |
59.1%
|
| 08/19/26 16:29:58 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 44.636 °F | 44.75 | -0.3% | -0.005 | -0.03 | -3.6 |
26%
|
| 08/19/26 12:29:57 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.178 °F | 44.04 | -2% | -0.006 | -0.23 | -4.53 |
34.3%
|
| 08/19/26 10:59:53 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 45.608 °F | 43.95 | +3.8% | 0.005 | 0.46 | 4.32 |
34.7%
|
| 08/18/26 17:39:57 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 38.93 °F | 44.82 | -13.1% | -0.005 | -1.67 | -4.16 |
43.7%
|
| 08/18/26 16:59:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.054 °F | 44.9 | -8.6% | -0.009 | -1.09 | -8.24 |
68%
|
| 08/18/26 16:49:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 46.418 °F | 44.88 | +3.4% | -0.005 | 0.44 | -4.44 |
35.3%
|
| 08/17/26 15:20:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 35.636 °F | 47.11 | -24.4% | -0.002 | -3.06 | - |
51%
|
| 08/17/26 14:49:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.122 °F | 47.18 | -23.4% | -0.001 | -3.05 | - |
50.9%
|
| 08/17/26 13:39:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.112 °F | 47.39 | -21.7% | 0.001 | -3.09 | - |
51.5%
|
| 08/17/26 13:29:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.644 °F | 47.43 | -22.7% | -0 | -3.3 | - |
55.1%
|
| 08/17/26 13:19:51 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.932 °F | 47.46 | -22.2% | 0 | -3.28 | - |
54.7%
|
| 08/17/26 13:09:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.68 °F | 47.5 | -22.8% | -0.003 | -3.44 | - |
57.3%
|
| 08/17/26 12:49:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.796 °F | 47.58 | -20.6% | -0.001 | -3.2 | - |
53.4%
|
| 08/16/26 14:59:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.94 °F | 48.07 | -2.4% | 0.008 | -0.4 | 6.18 |
47.5%
|
| 08/16/26 14:49:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.846 °F | 48.09 | -13% | 0.008 | -2.22 | 6.39 |
64.1%
|
| 08/16/26 14:39:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 36.914 °F | 48.12 | -23.3% | -0.002 | -4.09 | - |
68.2%
|
| 08/16/26 14:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 38.336 °F | 48.15 | -20.4% | 0.005 | -3.66 | - |
61%
|
| 08/16/26 14:19:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 35.186 °F | 48.19 | -27% | -0.002 | -5.05 | - |
84.1%
|
| 08/16/26 14:09:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 36.59 °F | 48.22 | -24.1% | -0.001 | -4.67 | - |
77.9%
|
| 08/16/26 13:59:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 37.202 °F | 48.26 | -22.9% | 0 | -4.59 | - |
76.5%
|
| 08/16/26 13:50:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 37.076 °F | 48.29 | -23.2% | -0.005 | -4.83 | - |
80.5%
|
| 08/16/26 13:39:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.812 °F | 48.31 | -17.6% | -0.007 | -3.75 | - |
62.4%
|
| 08/16/26 13:19:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 39.884 °F | 48.34 | -17.5% | -0.005 | -3.84 | - |
63.9%
|
| 08/16/26 13:10:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.71 °F | 48.36 | -11.7% | -0.005 | -2.59 | -4.97 |
57%
|
| 08/16/26 11:19:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 42.494 °F | 48.47 | -12.3% | -0.001 | -3 | - |
50%
|
| 08/16/26 11:09:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.196 °F | 48.48 | -10.9% | -0.003 | -2.68 | -3.58 |
47.9%
|
| 08/16/26 10:49:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 41.72 °F | 48.5 | -14% | -0.005 | -3.52 | - |
58.6%
|
| 08/15/26 18:49:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 49.802 °F | 47.95 | +3.9% | 0.004 | 1 | 4.95 |
43.7%
|
| 08/15/26 14:09:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 41.306 °F | 47.85 | -13.7% | 0.001 | -3.44 | - |
57.3%
|
| 08/15/26 13:59:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 40.91 °F | 47.87 | -14.5% | -0.001 | -3.74 | - |
62.3%
|
| 08/15/26 13:49:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 41.666 °F | 47.89 | -13% | 0.001 | -3.4 | - |
56.7%
|
| 08/15/26 13:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 41.072 °F | 47.91 | -14.3% | -0.002 | -3.83 | - |
63.9%
|
| 08/15/26 13:29:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 42.53 °F | 47.92 | -11.3% | -0.002 | -3.07 | - |
51.2%
|
| 08/15/26 13:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 42.764 °F | 47.95 | -10.8% | -0.001 | -3.03 | - |
50.5%
|
| 08/13/26 17:49:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 50.216 °F | 43.78 | +14.7% | 0.001 | 3.08 | - |
51.3%
|
| 08/11/26 19:29:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.12 °F | 40.36 | +16.7% | 0.002 | 3.12 | - |
52%
|
| 08/11/26 19:09:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.39 °F | 40.31 | +17.6% | 0 | 3.36 | - |
56%
|
| 08/11/26 18:59:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.372 °F | 40.28 | +17.6% | -0.001 | 3.43 | - |
57.1%
|
| 08/11/26 18:49:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.894 °F | 40.25 | +19% | 0.001 | 3.77 | - |
62.9%
|
| 08/11/26 18:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.534 °F | 40.21 | +18.2% | -0 | 3.68 | - |
61.3%
|
| 08/11/26 18:29:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.624 °F | 40.18 | +18.5% | 0.003 | 3.82 | - |
63.6%
|
| 08/11/26 18:09:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 46.4 °F | 40.12 | +15.7% | 0.002 | 3.29 | - |
54.9%
|
| 08/10/26 15:09:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 43.232 °F | 38.03 | +13.7% | 0.001 | 3.26 | - |
54.3%
|
| 08/10/26 14:59:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 42.836 °F | 38.01 | +12.7% | 0.005 | 3.06 | - |
51.1%
|
| 08/09/26 18:09:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 35.42 °F | 37.27 | -5% | -0.006 | -0.89 | -5.59 |
47.4%
|
| 08/09/26 17:59:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 38.804 °F | 37.25 | +4.2% | -0.007 | 0.74 | -7.35 |
58.7%
|
| 08/09/26 17:39:58 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.422 °F | 37.18 | +14.1% | 0.004 | 2.52 | 3.88 |
48.7%
|
| 08/08/26 19:10:03 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.32 °F | 38.84 | -6.5% | -0.004 | -0.87 | -4.46 |
39.1%
|
| 08/06/26 17:09:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.998 °F | 45.32 | -5.1% | 0.005 | -0.58 | 4.93 |
40.1%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
34.053 °F
(-0.32)
Target: 23:10 · 80% Cone: [33.72 – 34.38]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
33.104 °F
(-1.27)
Target: 02:10 · 80% Cone: [32.66 – 33.55]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
85.3%
(109 checked)
MAE: 1.267 °F · RMSE: 1.691 °F · Fit R²=0.84
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
7 diverged
⚡ 7 anom
22 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 4.92σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 02:10:00 (in 3.7h) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 34.37 °F | 33.104 °F [32.66 – 33.55] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 23:10:00 (in 44m) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 34.37 °F | 34.053 °F [33.72 – 34.38] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 36.343 °F | 37.576 °F [37.15 – 38] | 35.708 °F | -1.868 °F | 4.73σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 36.343 °F | 36.48 °F [36.16 – 36.8] | 35.726 °F | -0.754 °F | 2.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 02:10:00 (in 3.7h) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 34.37 °F | 33.104 °F [32.66 – 33.55] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 23:10:00 (in 44m) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 34.37 °F | 34.053 °F [33.72 – 34.38] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 36.343 °F | 37.576 °F [37.15 – 38] | 35.708 °F | -1.868 °F | 4.73σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 36.343 °F | 36.48 °F [36.16 – 36.8] | 35.726 °F | -0.754 °F | 2.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/27/26 16:59:57 | 10/27 13:00:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 31.887 °F | 33.27 °F [32.97 – 33.58] | 33.458 °F | +0.188 °F | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 13:59:57 | 10/27 13:00:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 31.887 °F | 32.331 °F [32.1 – 32.56] | 32.45 °F | +0.119 °F | 0.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/25/26 17:50:01 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 35.307 °F | 31.49 °F [30.58 – 32.4] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:50:01 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 35.307 °F | 34.418 °F [33.74 – 35.1] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 44.768 °F | 43.689 °F [42.24 – 45.14] | 47.408 °F | +3.719 °F | 3.27σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 16:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 44.768 °F | 44.18 °F [43.1 – 45.26] | 44.78 °F | +0.6 °F | 0.71σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 09:09:58 | 10/23 05:17:08 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 40.577 °F | 45.179 °F [43.46 – 46.9] | 45.662 °F | +0.483 °F | 0.36σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 08:49:52 | 10/23 04:50:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 40.653 °F | 45.255 °F [43.51 – 47] | 45.734 °F | +0.479 °F | 0.35σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 07:39:55 | 10/23 03:46:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 40.903 °F | 45.322 °F [43.63 – 47.02] | 45.734 °F | +0.412 °F | 0.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 06:59:54 | 10/23 03:05:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 41.079 °F | 45.135 °F [43.39 – 46.89] | 44.942 °F | -0.193 °F | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 06:19:54 | 10/23 02:29:22 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 40.96 °F | 44.244 °F [42.51 – 45.98] | 43.25 °F | -0.994 °F | 0.73σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 06:09:58 | 10/23 05:17:08 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 40.577 °F | 41.598 °F [40.32 – 42.88] | 43.304 °F | +1.706 °F | 1.7σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 05:59:59 | 10/23 02:08:44 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 41.095 °F | 43.91 °F [42.15 – 45.67] | 43.304 °F | -0.606 °F | 0.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 05:49:52 | 10/23 04:50:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 40.653 °F | 41.598 °F [40.3 – 42.9] | 42.674 °F | +1.076 °F | 1.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:39:55 | 10/23 03:46:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 40.903 °F | 41.707 °F [40.44 – 42.97] | 40.226 °F | -1.481 °F | 1.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:19:53 | 10/23 00:26:58 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 43.083 °F | 43.791 °F [42.06 – 45.52] | 39.992 °F | -3.799 °F | 2.79σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 03:59:54 | 10/23 03:05:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 41.079 °F | 41.77 °F [40.47 – 43.07] | 40.154 °F | -1.616 °F | 1.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:30:00 | 10/22 23:30:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 43.725 °F | 43.866 °F [42.15 – 45.58] | 40.514 °F | -3.352 °F | 2.48σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 03:19:54 | 10/23 02:29:22 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 40.96 °F | 41.269 °F [39.98 – 42.56] | 40.856 °F | -0.413 °F | 0.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 02:59:59 | 10/23 02:08:44 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 41.095 °F | 41.225 °F [39.92 – 42.54] | 41.972 °F | +0.747 °F | 0.73σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 01:39:52 | 10/22 21:41:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 44.561 °F | 44.377 °F [42.67 – 46.09] | 40.784 °F | -3.593 °F | 2.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 01:19:53 | 10/23 00:26:58 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 43.083 °F | 42.941 °F [41.65 – 44.23] | 40.892 °F | -2.049 °F | 2.03σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 00:30:00 | 10/22 23:30:47 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 43.725 °F | 43.662 °F [42.38 – 44.94] | 42.224 °F | -1.438 °F | 1.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:20:02 | 10/22 20:28:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 45.312 °F | 45.277 °F [43.55 – 47] | 42.62 °F | -2.657 °F | 1.96σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 23:19:57 | 10/22 19:28:56 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 45.879 °F | 45.902 °F [44.17 – 47.63] | 43.718 °F | -2.184 °F | 1.6σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:39:57 | 10/22 18:41:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 46.551 °F | 46.715 °F [45.01 – 48.42] | 44.654 °F | -2.061 °F | 1.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:39:52 | 10/22 21:41:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 44.561 °F | 44.772 °F [43.5 – 46.04] | 44.654 °F | -0.118 °F | 0.12σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:29:58 | 10/22 17:35:37 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 47.085 °F | 47.625 °F [45.91 – 49.34] | 44.978 °F | -2.647 °F | 1.96σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 21:20:02 | 10/22 20:28:47 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 45.312 °F | 45.606 °F [44.32 – 46.89] | 44.96 °F | -0.646 °F | 0.64σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:09:54 | 10/22 17:10:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 47.194 °F | 47.823 °F [46.12 – 49.53] | 44.996 °F | -2.827 °F | 2.11σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 20:19:57 | 10/22 19:28:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 45.879 °F | 46.014 °F [44.72 – 47.3] | 44.978 °F | -1.036 °F | 1.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 19:39:57 | 10/22 18:41:35 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 46.551 °F | 46.693 °F [45.43 – 47.96] | 45.752 °F | -0.941 °F | 0.95σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 18:29:58 | 10/22 17:35:37 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 47.085 °F | 47.184 °F [45.91 – 48.46] | 45.464 °F | -1.72 °F | 1.72σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 18:20:00 | 10/22 14:23:20 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 46.403 °F | 47.484 °F [45.78 – 49.19] | 45.212 °F | -2.272 °F | 1.7σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 18:09:54 | 10/22 17:10:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 47.194 °F | 47.288 °F [46.02 – 48.56] | 45.788 °F | -1.5 °F | 1.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:20:00 | 10/22 14:23:20 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 46.403 °F | 46.472 °F [45.21 – 47.74] | 47.246 °F | +0.774 °F | 0.78σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:09:56 | 10/22 10:16:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 47.736 °F | 46.979 °F [45.28 – 48.68] | 46.796 °F | -0.183 °F | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:19:52 | 10/22 07:27:26 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 48.418 °F | 49.711 °F [48.08 – 51.34] | 47.156 °F | -2.555 °F | 2σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 11:09:56 | 10/22 10:16:47 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 47.736 °F | 47.751 °F [46.49 – 49.02] | 47.192 °F | -0.559 °F | 0.56σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:29:59 | 10/22 04:31:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 43.814 °F | 47.016 °F [45.44 – 48.6] | 46.922 °F | -0.094 °F | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:19:52 | 10/22 07:27:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 48.418 °F | 49.349 °F [48.14 – 50.56] | 47.066 °F | -2.283 °F | 2.41σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 06:19:55 | 10/22 02:25:36 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 43.631 °F | 45.225 °F [43.6 – 46.85] | 48.182 °F | +2.957 °F | 2.31σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 05:29:59 | 10/22 04:31:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 43.814 °F | 44.233 °F [43.06 – 45.41] | 46.364 °F | +2.131 °F | 2.32σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 05:29:52 | 10/22 01:34:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 43.834 °F | 44.337 °F [42.74 – 45.94] | 46.364 °F | +2.027 °F | 1.61σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 03:19:55 | 10/22 02:25:36 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 43.631 °F | 43.479 °F [42.27 – 44.69] | 44.024 °F | +0.545 °F | 0.57σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:29:52 | 10/22 01:34:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 43.834 °F | 43.427 °F [42.24 – 44.62] | 43.754 °F | +0.327 °F | 0.35σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:39:57 | 10/21 16:49:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 45.64 °F | 46.772 °F [45.07 – 48.47] | 46.904 °F | +0.132 °F | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:20:02 | 10/21 16:28:56 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 45.544 °F | 46.519 °F [44.82 – 48.22] | 46.904 °F | +0.385 °F | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 19:29:59 | 10/21 15:38:31 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.50 | 46.344 °F | 45.375 °F [42.56 – 48.19] | 46.958 °F | +1.583 °F | 0.72σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:39:57 | 10/21 16:49:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 45.64 °F | 45.655 °F [44.39 – 46.92] | 46.886 °F | +1.231 °F | 1.24σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:20:02 | 10/21 16:28:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 45.544 °F | 45.4 °F [44.13 – 46.67] | 46.472 °F | +1.072 °F | 1.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 16:29:59 | 10/21 15:38:31 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.50 | 46.344 °F | 45.965 °F [43.87 – 48.06] | 46.346 °F | +0.381 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:39:57 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 44.15 °F | 43.339 °F [42.03 – 44.64] | 43.07 °F | -0.269 °F | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:39:57 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 44.15 °F | 43.423 °F [42.45 – 44.39] | 43.484 °F | +0.061 °F | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 00:59:55 | 10/20 21:09:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.57 | 44.926 °F | 47.76 °F [44.19 – 51.33] | 44.78 °F | -2.98 °F | 1.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:59:55 | 10/20 21:09:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.57 | 44.926 °F | 46.033 °F [43.38 – 48.69] | 46.508 °F | +0.475 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 21:00:03 | 10/20 17:00:03 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.441 °F | 46.332 °F [44.47 – 48.19] | 47.138 °F | +0.806 °F | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 20:59:59 | 10/20 19:59:59 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.58 | 43.137 °F | 43.543 °F [40.96 – 46.13] | 47.138 °F | +3.595 °F | 1.78σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 19:59:58 | 10/20 15:59:58 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.354 °F | 46.551 °F [44.66 – 48.44] | 45.644 °F | -0.907 °F | 0.61σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:59:54 | 10/20 18:59:54 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.58 | 42.586 °F | 42.268 °F [39.69 – 44.85] | 45.644 °F | +3.376 °F | 1.67σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 19:30:00 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 44.058 °F | 44.122 °F [42.85 – 45.4] | 42.818 °F | -1.304 °F | 1.3σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 18:59:58 | 10/20 17:59:58 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.969 °F | 44.349 °F [42.95 – 45.75] | 42.62 °F | -1.729 °F | 1.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 18:59:52 | 10/20 14:59:52 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.889 °F | 45.793 °F [43.91 – 47.68] | 42.62 °F | -3.173 °F | 2.14σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 18:00:03 | 10/20 17:00:03 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.441 °F | 44.844 °F [43.46 – 46.23] | 42.512 °F | -2.332 °F | 2.15σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 17:59:57 | 10/20 13:59:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.654 °F | 44.903 °F [42.98 – 46.83] | 42.512 °F | -2.391 °F | 1.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 17:00:01 | 10/20 13:00:01 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.617 °F | 44.061 °F [42.13 – 45.99] | 43.34 °F | -0.721 °F | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:59:58 | 10/20 15:59:58 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.354 °F | 44.641 °F [43.23 – 46.05] | 43.34 °F | -1.301 °F | 1.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:30:00 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 44.058 °F | 43.979 °F [43.03 – 44.93] | 43.844 °F | -0.135 °F | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:59:57 | 10/20 11:59:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.076 °F | 43.528 °F [41.61 – 45.45] | 44.564 °F | +1.036 °F | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:59:52 | 10/20 14:59:52 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.889 °F | 43.93 °F [42.53 – 45.33] | 44.564 °F | +0.634 °F | 0.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 15:00:01 | 10/20 11:00:01 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.566 °F | 43.358 °F [41.43 – 45.29] | 43.988 °F | +0.63 °F | 0.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:59:57 | 10/20 13:59:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.654 °F | 43.509 °F [42.08 – 44.94] | 43.988 °F | +0.479 °F | 0.43σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 14:00:01 | 10/20 13:00:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.617 °F | 43.441 °F [42.01 – 44.88] | 43.952 °F | +0.511 °F | 0.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 13:59:56 | 10/20 09:59:56 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 45.167 °F | 43.6 °F [41.68 – 45.52] | 43.952 °F | +0.352 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 13:00:00 | 10/20 09:00:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 45.718 °F | 44.93 °F [43.02 – 46.84] | 44.69 °F | -0.24 °F | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 12:59:57 | 10/20 11:59:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.076 °F | 43.897 °F [42.47 – 45.33] | 44.69 °F | +0.793 °F | 0.71σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 12:00:01 | 10/20 11:00:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.566 °F | 44.482 °F [43.05 – 45.92] | 43.988 °F | -0.494 °F | 0.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 11:59:54 | 10/20 07:59:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.89 | 45.308 °F | 46.52 °F [44.65 – 48.39] | 43.988 °F | -2.532 °F | 1.72σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 10:59:59 | 10/20 06:59:59 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.89 | 43.223 °F | 46.493 °F [44.63 – 48.36] | 45.122 °F | -1.371 °F | 0.93σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 10:59:56 | 10/20 09:59:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 45.167 °F | 45.103 °F [43.67 – 46.53] | 45.122 °F | +0.019 °F | 0.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 10:00:00 | 10/20 09:00:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 45.718 °F | 46.177 °F [44.76 – 47.6] | 44.042 °F | -2.135 °F | 1.92σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 09:59:54 | 10/20 05:59:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 40.735 °F | 44.805 °F [43.01 – 46.6] | 44.042 °F | -0.763 °F | 0.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 08:59:59 | 10/20 04:59:59 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 40.808 °F | 44.88 °F [43.1 – 46.66] | 44.294 °F | -0.586 °F | 0.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 08:59:54 | 10/20 07:59:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.89 | 45.308 °F | 46.603 °F [45.21 – 48] | 44.294 °F | -2.309 °F | 2.12σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 07:59:59 | 10/20 06:59:59 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.89 | 43.223 °F | 44.838 °F [43.45 – 46.23] | 45.14 °F | +0.302 °F | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 07:59:53 | 10/20 03:59:53 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 41.187 °F | 44.815 °F [43.05 – 46.58] | 45.14 °F | +0.325 °F | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 06:59:58 | 10/20 02:59:58 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 41.422 °F | 44.163 °F [42.4 – 45.92] | 45.086 °F | +0.923 °F | 0.67σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 06:59:54 | 10/20 05:59:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 40.735 °F | 41.729 °F [40.39 – 43.07] | 45.086 °F | +3.357 °F | 3.2σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 05:59:59 | 10/20 04:59:59 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 40.808 °F | 41.438 °F [40.11 – 42.77] | 41.342 °F | -0.096 °F | 0.09σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 05:59:52 | 10/20 01:59:52 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.73 | 41.755 °F | 41.01 °F [38.02 – 44] | 41.342 °F | +0.332 °F | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 04:59:58 | 10/20 00:59:58 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.74 | 42.175 °F | 41.734 °F [38.77 – 44.7] | 39.812 °F | -1.922 °F | 0.82σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 04:59:53 | 10/20 03:59:53 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 41.187 °F | 41.517 °F [40.2 – 42.83] | 39.812 °F | -1.705 °F | 1.65σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 04:00:02 | 10/20 00:00:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.75 | 42.328 °F | 41.941 °F [39 – 44.89] | 40.388 °F | -1.553 °F | 0.67σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 03:59:58 | 10/20 02:59:58 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 41.422 °F | 41.462 °F [40.15 – 42.77] | 40.388 °F | -1.074 °F | 1.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 02:59:56 | 10/19 22:59:56 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.75 | 42.408 °F | 41.904 °F [38.98 – 44.83] | 41.072 °F | -0.832 °F | 0.36σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 02:59:52 | 10/20 01:59:52 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.73 | 41.755 °F | 41.464 °F [39.24 – 43.69] | 41.072 °F | -0.392 °F | 0.22σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 02:00:01 | 10/19 22:00:01 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.76 | 42.629 °F | 42.006 °F [39.11 – 44.9] | 41.396 °F | -0.61 °F | 0.27σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 01:59:58 | 10/20 00:59:58 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.74 | 42.175 °F | 42.003 °F [39.79 – 44.21] | 41.396 °F | -0.607 °F | 0.35σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 01:00:02 | 10/20 00:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.75 | 42.328 °F | 42.176 °F [39.98 – 44.37] | 42.026 °F | -0.15 °F | 0.09σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 00:59:55 | 10/19 20:59:55 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.77 | 42.958 °F | 42.181 °F [39.31 – 45.05] | 42.026 °F | -0.155 °F | 0.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 23:59:56 | 10/19 22:59:56 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.75 | 42.408 °F | 42.211 °F [40.04 – 44.39] | 42.44 °F | +0.229 °F | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 23:00:01 | 10/19 22:00:01 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.76 | 42.629 °F | 42.386 °F [40.23 – 44.54] | 42.494 °F | +0.108 °F | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:59:55 | 10/19 20:59:55 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.77 | 42.958 °F | 42.655 °F [40.52 – 44.79] | 42.764 °F | +0.109 °F | 0.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 20:59:54 | 10/19 16:59:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 44.827 °F | 49.319 °F [47.66 – 50.98] | 42.908 °F | -6.411 °F | 4.92σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/19/26 17:59:54 | 10/19 16:59:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 44.827 °F | 45.883 °F [44.65 – 47.12] | 44.078 °F | -1.805 °F | 1.87σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 16:59:52 | 10/19 12:59:52 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 44.079 °F | 44.659 °F [43.01 – 46.31] | 43.916 °F | -0.743 °F | 0.57σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 13:59:52 | 10/19 12:59:52 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 44.079 °F | 43.62 °F [42.39 – 44.85] | 43.106 °F | -0.514 °F | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 12:59:54 | 10/19 08:59:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 45.172 °F | 44.302 °F [42.71 – 45.9] | 43.772 °F | -0.53 °F | 0.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 09:59:54 | 10/19 08:59:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 45.172 °F | 45.905 °F [44.72 – 47.09] | 44.546 °F | -1.359 °F | 1.46σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 36.343 °F | 37.576 °F [37.15 – 38] | 35.708 °F | -1.868 °F | 4.73σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 36.343 °F | 36.48 °F [36.16 – 36.8] | 35.726 °F | -0.754 °F | 2.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 19:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 44.768 °F | 43.689 °F [42.24 – 45.14] | 47.408 °F | +3.719 °F | 3.27σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 04:19:53 | 10/23 00:26:58 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 43.083 °F | 43.791 °F [42.06 – 45.52] | 39.992 °F | -3.799 °F | 2.79σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 03:30:00 | 10/22 23:30:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 43.725 °F | 43.866 °F [42.15 – 45.58] | 40.514 °F | -3.352 °F | 2.48σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 01:39:52 | 10/22 21:41:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 44.561 °F | 44.377 °F [42.67 – 46.09] | 40.784 °F | -3.593 °F | 2.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 01:19:53 | 10/23 00:26:58 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 43.083 °F | 42.941 °F [41.65 – 44.23] | 40.892 °F | -2.049 °F | 2.03σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 21:09:54 | 10/22 17:10:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 47.194 °F | 47.823 °F [46.12 – 49.53] | 44.996 °F | -2.827 °F | 2.11σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 11:19:52 | 10/22 07:27:26 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 48.418 °F | 49.711 °F [48.08 – 51.34] | 47.156 °F | -2.555 °F | 2σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 08:19:52 | 10/22 07:27:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.82 | 48.418 °F | 49.349 °F [48.14 – 50.56] | 47.066 °F | -2.283 °F | 2.41σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 06:19:55 | 10/22 02:25:36 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 43.631 °F | 45.225 °F [43.6 – 46.85] | 48.182 °F | +2.957 °F | 2.31σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 05:29:59 | 10/22 04:31:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 43.814 °F | 44.233 °F [43.06 – 45.41] | 46.364 °F | +2.131 °F | 2.32σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 18:59:52 | 10/20 14:59:52 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 43.889 °F | 45.793 °F [43.91 – 47.68] | 42.62 °F | -3.173 °F | 2.14σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 18:00:03 | 10/20 17:00:03 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 44.441 °F | 44.844 °F [43.46 – 46.23] | 42.512 °F | -2.332 °F | 2.15σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 08:59:54 | 10/20 07:59:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.89 | 45.308 °F | 46.603 °F [45.21 – 48] | 44.294 °F | -2.309 °F | 2.12σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 06:59:54 | 10/20 05:59:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 40.735 °F | 41.729 °F [40.39 – 43.07] | 45.086 °F | +3.357 °F | 3.2σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/19/26 20:59:54 | 10/19 16:59:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93 | 44.827 °F | 49.319 °F [47.66 – 50.98] | 42.908 °F | -6.411 °F | 4.92σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |