|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:39:57 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 378 ppb/hr | 97.098 | +289.3% | -1.607 | 3.71 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:40:02 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 73 ppb/hr | 209.663 | -65.18% | -1.607 | 2.44 | - |
99.5%
|
Volume cap: showing the latest 200 anomalies in this view. Narrow the time period to inspect earlier events.
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:39:57 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 378 ppb/hr | 97.098 | +289.3% | -1.607 | 3.71 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:40:02 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 73 ppb/hr | 209.663 | -65.18% | -1.607 | 2.44 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/01/26 01:20:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 860 ppb/hr | 813.65 | +5.7% | -24.6 | 0.13 | -13.47 |
85.1%
|
| 11/01/26 01:09:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 859 ppb/hr | 811.91 | +5.8% | -27.5 | 0.13 | -30.92 |
100%
|
| 11/01/26 01:00:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 916 ppb/hr | 810.3 | +13% | 15.4 | 0.29 | 250.6 |
100%
|
| 10/31/26 02:19:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 951 ppb/hr | 884.22 | +7.6% | -0.414 | 0.22 | -6.65 |
43.2%
|
| 10/27/26 16:49:56 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 654 ppb/hr | 973.952 | -32.85% | 103.259 | 3.7 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/24/26 10:39:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3137 ppb/hr | 657.08 | +377.4% | 0.144 | 3.53 | - |
50.5%
|
| 10/24/26 10:19:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3175 ppb/hr | 638.57 | +397.2% | 0.302 | 3.77 | - |
53.9%
|
| 10/24/26 10:10:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2996 ppb/hr | 629.64 | +375.8% | -0.63 | 3.59 | - |
51.3%
|
| 10/24/26 09:59:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3375 ppb/hr | 619.49 | +444.8% | -0.594 | 4.31 | - |
61.6%
|
| 10/24/26 09:49:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3733 ppb/hr | 608.21 | +513.8% | -0.615 | 5.09 | - |
72.7%
|
| 10/24/26 09:39:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4103 ppb/hr | 595.77 | +588.7% | -0.541 | 6.05 | - |
86.5%
|
| 10/24/26 09:30:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4424 ppb/hr | 582.31 | +659.7% | -0.161 | 7.17 | - |
100%
|
| 10/24/26 09:19:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4521 ppb/hr | 568.77 | +694.9% | 0.075 | 8.16 | - |
100%
|
| 10/24/26 09:09:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4476 ppb/hr | 555.53 | +705.7% | 1.462 | 9.15 | - |
100%
|
| 10/24/26 08:59:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3596 ppb/hr | 545.25 | +559.5% | -0.774 | 7.81 | - |
100%
|
| 10/24/26 08:50:00 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 4055 ppb/hr | 533.42 | +660.2% | 5.045 | 10.56 | 36.14 |
100%
|
| 10/22/26 01:39:55 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 743 ppb/hr | 2006.567 | -62.97% | 173.446 | 3.64 | - |
98.5%
|
| 10/22/26 00:40:00 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 1021 ppb/hr | 2409.344 | -57.62% | 500.147 | 4.6 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 23:39:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2904 ppb/hr | 748.5 | +288% | 0.62 | 3.65 | - |
52.1%
|
| 10/21/26 23:09:56 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 2227 ppb/hr | 708.178 | +214.47% | -24.935 | 5.72 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 22:50:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1993 ppb/hr | 717.18 | +177.9% | 0.92 | 2.29 | 5.26 |
49.2%
|
| 10/21/26 22:10:01 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 905 ppb/hr | 1838.6 | -50.78% | 233.006 | 2.7 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 21:09:56 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 572 ppb/hr | 1702.34 | -66.4% | 114.757 | 3.27 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 20:10:01 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 562 ppb/hr | 1222.997 | -54.05% | 168.428 | 2.56 | - |
98.7%
|
| 10/20/26 21:19:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2774 ppb/hr | 710.08 | +290.7% | -0.357 | 3.61 | - |
51.6%
|
| 10/20/26 21:09:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2989 ppb/hr | 702.95 | +325.2% | -0.076 | 4.11 | - |
58.8%
|
| 10/20/26 20:59:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3035 ppb/hr | 695.41 | +336.4% | 0.418 | 4.34 | - |
62%
|
| 10/20/26 20:49:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2783 ppb/hr | 690.73 | +302.9% | -0.1 | 3.97 | - |
56.8%
|
| 10/20/26 20:40:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2842 ppb/hr | 685.98 | +314.3% | 1.541 | 4.2 | 8.63 |
84%
|
| 10/20/26 19:59:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1637 ppb/hr | 683.31 | +139.6% | 1.316 | 1.88 | 8.17 |
64.5%
|
| 10/18/26 15:39:57 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 2533 ppb/hr | 1244.809 | +103.49% | 324.541 | 3.67 | - |
86%
|
| 10/18/26 15:20:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 3567 ppb/hr | 787.58 | +352.9% | -7.153 | 3.9 | -11.13 |
77.3%
|
| 10/18/26 15:10:00 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 7880 ppb/hr | 763.25 | +932.4% | 10.517 | 12.21 | 47.44 |
100%
|
| 10/17/26 22:29:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2632 ppb/hr | 901.99 | +191.8% | 1.425 | 1.46 | 5.43 |
35.3%
|
| 10/15/26 20:59:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7141 ppb/hr | 782.89 | +812.1% | -1.235 | 5.18 | - |
57.6%
|
| 10/15/26 20:50:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7872 ppb/hr | 763 | +931.7% | -1.809 | 6.14 | - |
68.2%
|
| 10/15/26 20:39:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8963 ppb/hr | 739.47 | +1112.1% | -0.894 | 7.77 | - |
86.3%
|
| 10/15/26 20:29:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 9502 ppb/hr | 713.51 | +1231.7% | -1.354 | 9.44 | - |
100%
|
| 10/15/26 20:19:52 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 10317 ppb/hr | 684.81 | +1406.6% | 1.307 | 12.87 | - |
100%
|
| 10/15/26 20:10:00 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 9543 ppb/hr | 659.26 | +1347.5% | 13.871 | 16.17 | 62.13 |
100%
|
| 10/12/26 19:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4671 ppb/hr | 878.63 | +431.6% | 0.088 | 5.22 | - |
58%
|
| 10/12/26 18:49:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4618 ppb/hr | 864.43 | +434.2% | 0.58 | 5.41 | - |
60.1%
|
| 10/12/26 18:39:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4268 ppb/hr | 851.43 | +401.3% | 1.041 | 5.13 | - |
57%
|
| 10/11/26 16:49:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1276 ppb/hr | 549.85 | +132.1% | -4.36 | 1.2 | -10.4 |
58.7%
|
| 10/11/26 16:39:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 3901 ppb/hr | 537.26 | +626.1% | 5.797 | 5.85 | 22.67 |
100%
|
| 10/11/26 05:39:58 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1552 ppb/hr | 472.99 | +228.1% | -1.349 | 1.84 | -5.68 |
38.6%
|
| 10/11/26 05:29:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2364 ppb/hr | 466.1 | +407.2% | 2.794 | 3.3 | 15.77 |
97.2%
|
| 10/10/26 21:49:58 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2570 ppb/hr | 439 | +485.4% | -1.109 | 3.92 | -6.57 |
54.6%
|
| 10/10/26 21:39:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3239 ppb/hr | 429.83 | +653.6% | 1.124 | 5.41 | - |
60.2%
|
| 10/10/26 21:09:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2874 ppb/hr | 407.32 | +605.6% | 0.148 | 5.26 | - |
58.4%
|
| 10/10/26 20:59:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2785 ppb/hr | 398.71 | +598.5% | -0.046 | 5.32 | - |
59.1%
|
| 10/10/26 20:49:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2813 ppb/hr | 389.84 | +621.6% | 0.177 | 5.68 | - |
63.1%
|
| 10/10/26 20:40:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2708 ppb/hr | 381.31 | +610.2% | 0.599 | 5.74 | - |
63.8%
|
| 10/10/26 20:29:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2347 ppb/hr | 373.9 | +527.7% | 0.533 | 5.07 | - |
56.4%
|
| 10/10/26 20:00:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1677 ppb/hr | 356.84 | +370% | 0.799 | 3.65 | 5.85 |
49.5%
|
| 10/08/26 22:59:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2055 ppb/hr | 409.26 | +402.1% | 0.385 | 4.55 | - |
50.5%
|
| 10/08/26 22:39:52 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1591 ppb/hr | 400.04 | +297.7% | 1.284 | 3.45 | 9.46 |
66.5%
|
| 10/06/26 22:30:02 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1324 ppb/hr | 447.24 | +196% | 1.018 | 2.21 | 5.28 |
38.7%
|
| 10/06/26 06:29:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1900 ppb/hr | 417.66 | +354.9% | 2.149 | 4 | 15.54 |
99.9%
|
| 10/06/26 01:09:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1908 ppb/hr | 367.05 | +419.8% | -0.223 | 4.69 | - |
52.1%
|
| 10/06/26 01:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2040 ppb/hr | 361.25 | +464.7% | -0.181 | 5.35 | - |
59.4%
|
| 10/06/26 00:49:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2149 ppb/hr | 355.11 | +505.2% | 0.441 | 6.05 | - |
67.3%
|
| 10/06/26 00:39:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1883 ppb/hr | 349.86 | +438.2% | 0.032 | 5.42 | - |
60.2%
|
| 10/06/26 00:29:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1864 ppb/hr | 344.67 | +440.8% | 0.15 | 5.65 | - |
62.8%
|
| 10/06/26 00:20:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1775 ppb/hr | 339.8 | +422.4% | 0.239 | 5.61 | - |
62.3%
|
| 10/06/26 00:09:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1631 ppb/hr | 335.42 | +386.3% | 0.123 | 5.3 | - |
58.9%
|
| 10/05/26 23:59:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1557 ppb/hr | 331.32 | +369.9% | 0.277 | 5.23 | - |
58.2%
|
| 10/05/26 23:49:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1390 ppb/hr | 327.74 | +324.1% | 0.264 | 4.7 | - |
52.2%
|
| 10/05/26 23:40:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1234 ppb/hr | 324.74 | +280% | 0.831 | 4.14 | 7.72 |
61.6%
|
| 10/05/26 23:29:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 733 ppb/hr | 323.44 | +126.6% | 0.622 | 1.87 | 6.15 |
41.1%
|
| 10/05/26 00:29:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1322 ppb/hr | 327.4 | +303.8% | -0.378 | 4.92 | - |
54.7%
|
| 10/05/26 00:19:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1550 ppb/hr | 323.09 | +379.7% | 0.252 | 6.48 | - |
72%
|
| 10/05/26 00:10:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1401 ppb/hr | 319.33 | +338.7% | -0.076 | 6.05 | - |
67.2%
|
| 10/04/26 23:59:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1447 ppb/hr | 315.51 | +358.6% | 0.027 | 6.8 | - |
75.6%
|
| 10/04/26 23:49:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1431 ppb/hr | 311.83 | +358.9% | 0.486 | 7.3 | - |
81.1%
|
| 10/04/26 23:39:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1138 ppb/hr | 309.14 | +268.1% | -0.192 | 5.69 | - |
63.2%
|
| 10/04/26 23:30:10 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1250 ppb/hr | 306.08 | +308.4% | 0.401 | 6.99 | - |
77.6%
|
| 10/04/26 23:19:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1004 ppb/hr | 303.86 | +230.4% | 0.056 | 5.43 | - |
60.3%
|
| 10/04/26 23:09:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 970 ppb/hr | 301.79 | +221.4% | 0.776 | 5.43 | - |
60.3%
|
| 10/04/26 17:49:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 117 ppb/hr | 312.92 | -62.6% | -0.445 | -1.72 | -5.88 |
38.9%
|
| 10/04/26 10:19:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 693 ppb/hr | 323.26 | +114.4% | 0.628 | 2.88 | 7.58 |
53.9%
|
| 10/03/26 05:49:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 689 ppb/hr | 295.14 | +133.5% | 0.751 | 3.67 | 11.49 |
77.8%
|
| 10/02/26 14:09:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 696 ppb/hr | 291.14 | +139.1% | -0.08 | 4.67 | - |
51.8%
|
| 10/02/26 13:59:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 744 ppb/hr | 289.61 | +156.9% | 0.007 | 5.49 | - |
61%
|
| 10/02/26 13:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 740 ppb/hr | 288.13 | +156.8% | -0.101 | 5.76 | - |
64%
|
| 10/02/26 13:39:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 801 ppb/hr | 286.55 | +179.5% | -0.101 | 7.08 | - |
78.6%
|
| 10/02/26 13:29:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 862 ppb/hr | 284.81 | +202.7% | 0.061 | 8.92 | - |
99.2%
|
| 10/02/26 13:19:53 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 825 ppb/hr | 283.23 | +191.3% | 0.811 | 9.55 | 17.81 |
100%
|
| 10/02/26 11:09:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 560 ppb/hr | 278.6 | +101% | 0.326 | 5.57 | - |
61.9%
|
| 09/30/26 06:39:52 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 676 ppb/hr | 292.16 | +131.4% | 0.647 | 5.18 | 10.98 |
83.7%
|
| 09/29/26 14:10:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 708 ppb/hr | 285.53 | +148% | 0.642 | 4.62 | 10.04 |
75.8%
|
| 09/28/26 16:59:58 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 416 ppb/hr | 311.33 | +33.6% | 0.387 | 1.03 | 5.81 |
34.8%
|
| 09/25/26 04:09:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7425 ppb/hr | 1022.78 | +626% | 0.291 | 4.79 | - |
53.3%
|
| 09/25/26 03:59:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7250 ppb/hr | 1001.54 | +623.9% | -0.32 | 4.86 | - |
54%
|
| 09/25/26 03:49:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7440 ppb/hr | 979.78 | +659.4% | -0.927 | 5.25 | - |
58.3%
|
| 09/25/26 03:39:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7999 ppb/hr | 956.67 | +736.1% | -1.746 | 6.06 | - |
67.4%
|
| 09/25/26 03:29:54 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 9050 ppb/hr | 931.96 | +871.1% | 4.573 | 7.64 | 12.26 |
100%
|
| 09/25/26 03:20:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6338 ppb/hr | 915.04 | +592.6% | 1.111 | 5.34 | - |
59.3%
|
| 09/25/26 03:09:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5669 ppb/hr | 900.98 | +529.2% | -0.403 | 4.87 | - |
54.1%
|
| 09/25/26 02:59:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5912 ppb/hr | 886.14 | +567.2% | -0.633 | 5.37 | - |
59.7%
|
| 09/25/26 02:49:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6294 ppb/hr | 870.8 | +622.8% | -0.039 | 6.15 | - |
68.3%
|
| 09/25/26 02:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6317 ppb/hr | 856.22 | +637.8% | 0.515 | 6.61 | - |
73.4%
|
| 09/25/26 02:29:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6007 ppb/hr | 842.16 | +613.3% | -1.13 | 6.68 | - |
74.3%
|
| 09/25/26 02:20:06 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6677 ppb/hr | 826.24 | +708.1% | 2.843 | 8.39 | - |
93.2%
|
| 09/25/26 02:09:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4937 ppb/hr | 816.31 | +504.8% | 1.162 | 6.25 | - |
69.5%
|
| 09/25/26 02:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4248 ppb/hr | 807.8 | +425.9% | 0.708 | 5.46 | - |
60.6%
|
| 09/25/26 01:49:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3822 ppb/hr | 800.86 | +377.2% | -0.075 | 4.97 | - |
55.2%
|
| 09/25/26 01:39:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3867 ppb/hr | 791.78 | +388.4% | 0.33 | 5.28 | - |
58.7%
|
| 09/25/26 01:29:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3668 ppb/hr | 783.24 | +368.3% | 0.769 | 5.17 | - |
57.4%
|
| 09/25/26 01:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3212 ppb/hr | 776.54 | +313.6% | 0.048 | 4.5 | - |
50%
|
| 09/25/26 01:09:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3183 ppb/hr | 769.66 | +313.6% | 0.672 | 4.62 | - |
51.3%
|
| 09/24/26 07:19:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1257 ppb/hr | 625.49 | +101% | -2.39 | 1.37 | -8.68 |
51%
|
| 09/24/26 07:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2672 ppb/hr | 617.13 | +333% | 3.481 | 4.59 | 18.26 |
100%
|
| 09/18/26 16:29:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8899 ppb/hr | 689.29 | +1191% | -2.748 | 5.16 | - |
57.3%
|
| 09/18/26 16:19:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10553 ppb/hr | 654.52 | +1512.3% | -10.078 | 6.66 | - |
74%
|
| 09/18/26 16:09:52 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 16620 ppb/hr | 599.5 | +2672.3% | -4.686 | 13.78 | - |
100%
|
| 09/18/26 15:59:59 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 19399 ppb/hr | 535.22 | +3524.5% | 31.635 | 46.17 | 129.2 |
100%
|
| 09/18/26 11:09:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1643 ppb/hr | 497.89 | +230% | 2.246 | 2.87 | 11.11 |
71.5%
|
| 09/16/26 22:30:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1389 ppb/hr | 484.55 | +186.7% | 1.399 | 1.98 | 6.46 |
43.3%
|
| 09/16/26 00:39:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1215 ppb/hr | 466.13 | +160.7% | -0.995 | 1.62 | -5.1 |
34.5%
|
| 09/15/26 23:59:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2526 ppb/hr | 447.42 | +464.6% | -0.29 | 4.93 | - |
54.8%
|
| 09/15/26 23:49:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2701 ppb/hr | 440.13 | +513.7% | 0.177 | 5.64 | - |
62.7%
|
| 09/15/26 23:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2596 ppb/hr | 433.36 | +499% | -0.677 | 5.68 | - |
63.1%
|
| 09/15/26 23:29:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3004 ppb/hr | 425.16 | +606.6% | -0.005 | 7.36 | - |
81.8%
|
| 09/15/26 23:20:06 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 3007 ppb/hr | 417.39 | +620.4% | 1.716 | 8.16 | 10.48 |
97.7%
|
| 09/15/26 23:09:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1955 ppb/hr | 411.47 | +375.1% | -0.046 | 5.07 | - |
56.3%
|
| 09/15/26 23:00:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1982 ppb/hr | 405.62 | +388.6% | 0.118 | 5.42 | - |
60.2%
|
| 09/15/26 22:49:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1911 ppb/hr | 401.15 | +376.4% | 0.379 | 5.43 | - |
60.4%
|
| 09/15/26 22:39:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1683 ppb/hr | 396.27 | +324.7% | 0.295 | 4.8 | - |
53.4%
|
| 09/15/26 00:49:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1483 ppb/hr | 295.66 | +401.6% | 0.598 | 4.79 | - |
53.3%
|
| 09/14/26 23:09:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 784 ppb/hr | 271.76 | +188.5% | 0.963 | 2.41 | 7.74 |
52.1%
|
| 09/12/26 00:20:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2712 ppb/hr | 466 | +482% | 0.842 | 4.15 | 5.53 |
50.7%
|
| 09/11/26 22:39:56 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1048 ppb/hr | 418.03 | +150.7% | 0.713 | 1.29 | 5.68 |
35.6%
|
| 09/08/26 22:50:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3971 ppb/hr | 441.75 | +798.9% | -1.324 | 5.21 | - |
57.9%
|
| 09/08/26 22:40:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4756 ppb/hr | 426.82 | +1014.3% | 1.019 | 6.88 | - |
76.4%
|
| 09/08/26 22:29:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4122 ppb/hr | 414.11 | +895.4% | -0.444 | 6.26 | - |
69.6%
|
| 09/08/26 22:19:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4390 ppb/hr | 399.91 | +997.8% | -0.311 | 7.31 | - |
81.2%
|
| 09/08/26 22:10:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4571 ppb/hr | 384.96 | +1087.4% | 0.486 | 8.55 | - |
95%
|
| 09/08/26 22:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4273 ppb/hr | 371.02 | +1051.7% | 1.366 | 8.97 | - |
99.6%
|
| 09/08/26 21:50:19 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3478 ppb/hr | 359.86 | +866.5% | 1.384 | 7.87 | - |
87.4%
|
| 09/08/26 21:39:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2616 ppb/hr | 351.53 | +644.2% | 1.166 | 6.05 | - |
67.2%
|
| 09/08/26 21:29:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1914 ppb/hr | 345.56 | +453.9% | 1.553 | 4.31 | 5.42 |
51.1%
|
| 09/08/26 21:20:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 993 ppb/hr | 342.64 | +189.8% | 1.483 | 1.8 | 5.44 |
37.2%
|
| 09/07/26 21:50:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2391 ppb/hr | 487.68 | +390.3% | -0.381 | 3.42 | - |
57%
|
| 09/07/26 21:39:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2621 ppb/hr | 483.69 | +441.9% | 0.213 | 3.92 | - |
65.3%
|
| 09/07/26 21:29:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2493 ppb/hr | 480.79 | +418.5% | 2.355 | 3.74 | 8.1 |
89.1%
|
| 09/06/26 00:39:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2179 ppb/hr | 555.42 | +292.3% | -0.108 | 3.16 | - |
52.6%
|
| 09/06/26 00:29:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2244 ppb/hr | 552.64 | +306.1% | -0.667 | 3.33 | - |
55.6%
|
| 09/06/26 00:20:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2639 ppb/hr | 549.03 | +380.7% | 1.391 | 4.21 | - |
70.2%
|
| 09/05/26 20:19:59 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1118 ppb/hr | 484.73 | +130.6% | 1.695 | 1.4 | 5.03 |
47.6%
|
| 09/05/26 19:50:21 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 587 ppb/hr | 484.19 | +21.2% | -1.345 | 0.23 | -4.14 |
31.5%
|
| 09/05/26 07:19:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1803 ppb/hr | 426.58 | +322.7% | -1.394 | 3.14 | - |
52.3%
|
| 09/05/26 07:09:56 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 2642 ppb/hr | 419.29 | +530.1% | 3.042 | 5.3 | 10.54 |
100%
|
| 09/04/26 23:59:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1707 ppb/hr | 400.44 | +326.3% | -0.066 | 3.11 | - |
51.9%
|
| 09/04/26 23:49:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1747 ppb/hr | 395.65 | +341.6% | -0.176 | 3.28 | - |
54.6%
|
| 09/04/26 23:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1851 ppb/hr | 390.49 | +374% | -0.595 | 3.62 | - |
60.3%
|
| 09/04/26 23:29:58 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 2210 ppb/hr | 384.04 | +475.5% | 2.47 | 4.68 | 9 |
100%
|
| 09/03/26 15:29:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 684 ppb/hr | 500.87 | +36.6% | -1.701 | 0.34 | -5.58 |
42.7%
|
| 09/03/26 15:19:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1710 ppb/hr | 496.42 | +244.5% | 2.633 | 2.29 | 9.92 |
89.9%
|
| 09/03/26 00:10:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1466 ppb/hr | 500.17 | +193.1% | 1.889 | 2 | 7.45 |
69.8%
|
| 09/02/26 02:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2259 ppb/hr | 567.07 | +298.4% | -0.456 | 3.36 | - |
55.9%
|
| 09/02/26 02:29:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2534 ppb/hr | 569.05 | +345.3% | 0.108 | 3.83 | - |
63.8%
|
| 09/02/26 02:19:56 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2469 ppb/hr | 571.5 | +332% | -0.103 | 3.62 | - |
60.4%
|
| 09/02/26 02:09:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2531 ppb/hr | 574.14 | +340.8% | -0.806 | 3.65 | - |
60.9%
|
| 09/02/26 02:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3008 ppb/hr | 572.78 | +425.2% | 1.663 | 4.6 | - |
76.6%
|
| 09/02/26 01:39:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2304 ppb/hr | 568.56 | +305.2% | -0.258 | 3.34 | - |
55.7%
|
| 09/02/26 01:30:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2457 ppb/hr | 565.34 | +334.6% | 1.008 | 3.7 | - |
61.7%
|
| 09/02/26 01:09:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2340 ppb/hr | 559.2 | +318.5% | 1.186 | 3.58 | - |
59.7%
|
| 09/02/26 00:59:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1625 ppb/hr | 556.76 | +191.9% | 1.252 | 2.16 | 4.93 |
53.2%
|
| 09/01/26 18:19:53 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 133 ppb/hr | 556.07 | -76.1% | -0.953 | -0.84 | -3.81 |
34.3%
|
| 08/31/26 07:59:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2024 ppb/hr | 449.34 | +350.4% | 2.201 | 3.08 | 10.47 |
100%
|
| 08/31/26 01:10:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1831 ppb/hr | 362.77 | +404.7% | -0.75 | 3.16 | - |
52.7%
|
| 08/31/26 00:59:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2283 ppb/hr | 356.05 | +541.2% | -0.791 | 4.27 | - |
71.2%
|
| 08/31/26 00:49:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 2760 ppb/hr | 347.6 | +694% | -0.272 | 5.62 | - |
93.7%
|
| 08/31/26 00:39:52 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 2924 ppb/hr | 338.57 | +763.6% | -0.345 | 6.42 | - |
100%
|
| 08/31/26 00:30:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3128 ppb/hr | 328.91 | +851% | -0.129 | 7.59 | - |
100%
|
| 08/31/26 00:19:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3206 ppb/hr | 318.83 | +905.6% | -0.191 | 8.78 | - |
100%
|
| 08/31/26 00:09:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3321 ppb/hr | 308.37 | +977% | 1.194 | 10.78 | - |
100%
|
| 08/30/26 23:59:52 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 2601 ppb/hr | 300.55 | +765.4% | 1.856 | 9.36 | 12.41 |
100%
|
| 08/30/26 23:50:00 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1502 ppb/hr | 296.78 | +406.1% | -0.063 | 5.11 | - |
85.2%
|
| 08/30/26 23:39:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1540 ppb/hr | 292.86 | +425.8% | 0.08 | 5.55 | - |
92.6%
|
| 08/30/26 23:29:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1492 ppb/hr | 289.11 | +416.1% | 0.223 | 5.63 | - |
93.9%
|
| 08/30/26 23:19:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1358 ppb/hr | 285.69 | +375.3% | 0.621 | 5.25 | - |
87.4%
|
| 08/30/26 23:10:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 990 ppb/hr | 283.53 | +249.2% | 0.163 | 3.53 | - |
58.8%
|
| 08/30/26 22:59:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 892 ppb/hr | 281.6 | +216.8% | -0.154 | 3.1 | - |
51.6%
|
| 08/30/26 22:49:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 985 ppb/hr | 279.34 | +252.6% | -0.083 | 3.66 | - |
60.9%
|
| 08/30/26 22:40:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1034 ppb/hr | 276.95 | +273.3% | -0.02 | 4.03 | - |
67.1%
|
| 08/30/26 22:29:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 1046 ppb/hr | 274.42 | +281.2% | -0.241 | 4.23 | - |
70.4%
|
| 08/30/26 22:19:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1191 ppb/hr | 271.45 | +338.8% | 0.506 | 5.26 | - |
87.7%
|
| 08/30/26 22:09:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 886 ppb/hr | 269.47 | +228.8% | 0.341 | 3.6 | - |
60.1%
|
| 08/30/26 00:39:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 756 ppb/hr | 245.81 | +207.6% | -0.569 | 3.38 | - |
56.4%
|
| 08/30/26 00:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1093 ppb/hr | 242.62 | +350.5% | 0.383 | 5.96 | - |
99.3%
|
| 08/30/26 00:19:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 862 ppb/hr | 240.19 | +258.9% | -0.216 | 4.5 | - |
75%
|
| 08/30/26 00:09:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 992 ppb/hr | 237.3 | +318% | -0.3 | 5.75 | - |
95.8%
|
| 08/29/26 23:59:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1173 ppb/hr | 233.83 | +401.6% | 0.113 | 7.84 | - |
100%
|
| 08/29/26 23:50:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 1106 ppb/hr | 230.61 | +379.6% | 0.375 | 8.05 | - |
100%
|
| 08/29/26 23:39:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 880 ppb/hr | 228.16 | +285.7% | 0.329 | 6.38 | - |
100%
|
| 08/29/26 23:29:56 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 682 ppb/hr | 226.42 | +201.2% | 0.252 | 4.61 | - |
76.9%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
661.33 ppb/hr
(-34.09)
Target: 23:10 · 80% Cone: [606.02 – 716.64]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
494.296 ppb/hr
(-201.12)
Target: 02:10 · 80% Cone: [419.99 – 568.6]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
73.4%
(64 checked)
MAE: 501.017 ppb/hr · RMSE: 731.789 ppb/hr · Fit R²=0.62
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
16 diverged
⚡ 16 anom
4 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 6.82σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 02:10:00 (in 3.7h) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 695.42 ppb/hr | 494.296 ppb/hr [419.99 – 568.6] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 23:10:00 (in 43m) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 695.42 ppb/hr | 661.33 ppb/hr [606.02 – 716.64] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 169.838 ppb/hr | 97.098 ppb/hr [0.92 – 193.28] | 378 ppb/hr | +280.902 ppb/hr | 3.71σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 169.838 ppb/hr | 209.663 ppb/hr [138.07 – 281.25] | 73 ppb/hr | -136.663 ppb/hr | 2.44σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 02:10:00 (in 3.7h) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 695.42 ppb/hr | 494.296 ppb/hr [419.99 – 568.6] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 23:10:00 (in 43m) | 11/02 22:18:17 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 695.42 ppb/hr | 661.33 ppb/hr [606.02 – 716.64] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 169.838 ppb/hr | 97.098 ppb/hr [0.92 – 193.28] | 378 ppb/hr | +280.902 ppb/hr | 3.71σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 169.838 ppb/hr | 209.663 ppb/hr [138.07 – 281.25] | 73 ppb/hr | -136.663 ppb/hr | 2.44σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/27/26 16:59:57 | 10/27 13:00:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 497.286 ppb/hr | 973.952 ppb/hr [863.88 – 1084.02] | 654 ppb/hr | -319.952 ppb/hr | 3.7σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/27/26 13:59:57 | 10/27 13:00:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 497.286 ppb/hr | 596.394 ppb/hr [514.46 – 678.33] | 522 ppb/hr | -74.394 ppb/hr | 1.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/25/26 17:50:01 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 1190.978 ppb/hr | 1241.458 ppb/hr [461.83 – 2021.09] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:50:01 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 1190.978 ppb/hr | 1184.974 ppb/hr [604.66 – 1765.29] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 97.327 ppb/hr | 215.568 ppb/hr [-146.86 – 578] | 371 ppb/hr | +155.432 ppb/hr | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 16:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 97.327 ppb/hr | -0.327 ppb/hr [-270.1 – 269.45] | 182 ppb/hr | +182.327 ppb/hr | 0.86σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:40:00 | 10/22 00:40:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 2147.08 ppb/hr | 2006.567 ppb/hr [1563.14 – 2450] | 743 ppb/hr | -1263.567 ppb/hr | 3.64σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 01:10:02 | 10/22 00:10:02 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 2615.671 ppb/hr | 2617.546 ppb/hr [2219.93 – 3015.16] | 732 ppb/hr | -1885.546 ppb/hr | 6.05σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 00:39:54 | 10/21 23:39:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 2341.197 ppb/hr | 2409.344 ppb/hr [2023.87 – 2794.82] | 1021 ppb/hr | -1388.344 ppb/hr | 4.6σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 23:39:59 | 10/21 22:39:59 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 926.084 ppb/hr | 1051.669 ppb/hr [704.92 – 1398.42] | 2904 ppb/hr | +1852.331 ppb/hr | 6.82σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 23:39:53 | 10/21 19:39:53 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 863.889 ppb/hr | 1369.516 ppb/hr [923.51 – 1815.53] | 2904 ppb/hr | +1534.484 ppb/hr | 4.37σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 23:10:01 | 10/21 22:10:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 609.034 ppb/hr | 708.178 ppb/hr [369.59 – 1046.77] | 2227 ppb/hr | +1518.822 ppb/hr | 5.72σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 22:39:54 | 10/21 21:39:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 480.735 ppb/hr | 570.167 ppb/hr [234.95 – 905.39] | 1439 ppb/hr | +868.833 ppb/hr | 3.31σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 22:10:00 | 10/21 18:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 868.096 ppb/hr | 1838.6 ppb/hr [1398.6 – 2278.6] | 905 ppb/hr | -933.6 ppb/hr | 2.7σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 21:40:03 | 10/21 17:40:03 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 652.259 ppb/hr | 1716.151 ppb/hr [1277.42 – 2154.88] | 656 ppb/hr | -1060.151 ppb/hr | 3.07σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 21:09:54 | 10/21 17:09:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.86 | 587.891 ppb/hr | 1702.34 ppb/hr [1263.09 – 2141.59] | 572 ppb/hr | -1130.34 ppb/hr | 3.27σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 20:39:57 | 10/21 16:42:09 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 576.264 ppb/hr | 1393.264 ppb/hr [808.72 – 1977.81] | 541 ppb/hr | -852.264 ppb/hr | 1.85σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 20:10:00 | 10/21 16:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.86 | 460.708 ppb/hr | 1545.899 ppb/hr [1106.78 – 1985.02] | 562 ppb/hr | -983.899 ppb/hr | 2.85σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 20:09:55 | 10/21 19:09:55 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 955.678 ppb/hr | 1222.997 ppb/hr [893.11 – 1552.88] | 562 ppb/hr | -660.997 ppb/hr | 2.56σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 17:39:57 | 10/21 16:42:09 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 576.264 ppb/hr | 711.039 ppb/hr [275.93 – 1146.15] | 634 ppb/hr | -77.039 ppb/hr | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:39:59 | 10/21 09:42:05 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 500.066 ppb/hr | 441.043 ppb/hr [0 – 1542.29] | 481 ppb/hr | +39.957 ppb/hr | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:10:01 | 10/21 09:16:39 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 501.319 ppb/hr | 430.868 ppb/hr [0 – 1559.02] | 504 ppb/hr | +73.132 ppb/hr | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:49:56 | 10/21 08:56:37 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 492.755 ppb/hr | 410.516 ppb/hr [0 – 1532.25] | 480 ppb/hr | +69.484 ppb/hr | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:39:59 | 10/21 07:41:23 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 453.741 ppb/hr | 361.309 ppb/hr [0 – 1465.61] | 439 ppb/hr | +77.691 ppb/hr | 0.09σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:10:01 | 10/21 07:18:43 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 436.624 ppb/hr | 349.513 ppb/hr [0 – 1479.49] | 312 ppb/hr | -37.513 ppb/hr | 0.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:39:59 | 10/21 09:42:05 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 500.066 ppb/hr | 477 ppb/hr [0 – 1296.71] | 363 ppb/hr | -114 ppb/hr | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:39:53 | 10/21 06:40:59 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 405.906 ppb/hr | 306.767 ppb/hr [0 – 1411.61] | 363 ppb/hr | +56.233 ppb/hr | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:10:01 | 10/21 09:16:39 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 501.319 ppb/hr | 473.787 ppb/hr [0 – 1313.53] | 491 ppb/hr | +17.213 ppb/hr | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:49:56 | 10/21 08:56:37 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 492.755 ppb/hr | 460.616 ppb/hr [0 – 1295.58] | 512 ppb/hr | +51.384 ppb/hr | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:39:58 | 10/21 05:47:05 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 339.319 ppb/hr | 164.816 ppb/hr [0 – 1269.21] | 528 ppb/hr | +363.184 ppb/hr | 0.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:59:57 | 10/21 05:09:10 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 322.82 ppb/hr | 56.009 ppb/hr [0 – 1188.22] | 525 ppb/hr | +468.991 ppb/hr | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:39:59 | 10/21 07:41:23 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 453.741 ppb/hr | 417.619 ppb/hr [0 – 1239.61] | 529 ppb/hr | +111.381 ppb/hr | 0.17σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:39:52 | 10/21 04:48:10 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 349.279 ppb/hr | 48.79 ppb/hr [0 – 1150.6] | 529 ppb/hr | +480.21 ppb/hr | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:10:01 | 10/21 07:18:43 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 436.624 ppb/hr | 402.581 ppb/hr [0 – 1243.68] | 555 ppb/hr | +152.419 ppb/hr | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:39:57 | 10/21 03:48:44 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.41 | 546.782 ppb/hr | 98.16 ppb/hr [0 – 1194.23] | 533 ppb/hr | +434.84 ppb/hr | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:39:53 | 10/21 06:40:59 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 405.906 ppb/hr | 367.163 ppb/hr [0 – 1189.55] | 533 ppb/hr | +165.837 ppb/hr | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:39:58 | 10/21 05:47:05 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 339.319 ppb/hr | 271.124 ppb/hr [0 – 1093.18] | 607 ppb/hr | +335.876 ppb/hr | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:59:57 | 10/21 05:09:10 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 322.82 ppb/hr | 218.551 ppb/hr [0 – 1061.31] | 649 ppb/hr | +430.449 ppb/hr | 0.65σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:39:57 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 841.452 ppb/hr | 95.315 ppb/hr [0 – 608.45] | 664 ppb/hr | +568.685 ppb/hr | 1.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:39:52 | 10/21 04:48:10 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.40 | 349.279 ppb/hr | 231.848 ppb/hr [0 – 1051.98] | 664 ppb/hr | +432.152 ppb/hr | 0.67σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 04:39:57 | 10/21 03:48:44 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.41 | 546.782 ppb/hr | 371.462 ppb/hr [0 – 1187.32] | 590 ppb/hr | +218.538 ppb/hr | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:39:57 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 841.452 ppb/hr | 577.484 ppb/hr [195.53 – 959.44] | 709 ppb/hr | +131.516 ppb/hr | 0.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:30:00 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 338.168 ppb/hr | 637.13 ppb/hr [343.49 – 930.77] | 457 ppb/hr | -180.13 ppb/hr | 0.78σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:30:00 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 338.168 ppb/hr | 332.855 ppb/hr [114.29 – 551.42] | 355 ppb/hr | +22.145 ppb/hr | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 22:40:00 | 10/19 18:40:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 810.914 ppb/hr | 1387.409 ppb/hr [651.93 – 2122.89] | 1540 ppb/hr | +152.591 ppb/hr | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 22:39:56 | 10/19 21:39:56 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 501.372 ppb/hr | 474.011 ppb/hr [0 – 1308] | 1540 ppb/hr | +1065.989 ppb/hr | 1.63σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 21:40:00 | 10/19 20:40:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 578.182 ppb/hr | 526.493 ppb/hr [0 – 1366.6] | 582 ppb/hr | +55.507 ppb/hr | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 19:40:00 | 10/19 18:40:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 810.914 ppb/hr | 1020.626 ppb/hr [473.17 – 1568.08] | 470 ppb/hr | -550.626 ppb/hr | 1.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 18:39:59 | 10/19 14:39:59 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.41 | 423.413 ppb/hr | 343.16 ppb/hr [0 – 1483.4] | 648 ppb/hr | +304.84 ppb/hr | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 15:39:59 | 10/19 14:39:59 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.41 | 423.413 ppb/hr | 392.05 ppb/hr [0 – 1240.79] | 556 ppb/hr | +163.95 ppb/hr | 0.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 14:40:00 | 10/19 10:40:00 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.42 | 458.715 ppb/hr | 424.84 ppb/hr [0 – 1564.4] | 387 ppb/hr | -37.84 ppb/hr | 0.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 11:40:00 | 10/19 10:40:00 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.42 | 458.715 ppb/hr | 445.477 ppb/hr [0 – 1293.71] | 522 ppb/hr | +76.523 ppb/hr | 0.12σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 10:39:58 | 10/19 06:39:58 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.42 | 396.848 ppb/hr | 341.848 ppb/hr [0 – 1502.61] | 400 ppb/hr | +58.152 ppb/hr | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 07:39:58 | 10/19 06:39:58 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.42 | 396.848 ppb/hr | 375.354 ppb/hr [0 – 1239.36] | 503 ppb/hr | +127.646 ppb/hr | 0.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 06:39:57 | 10/19 02:39:57 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 384.98 ppb/hr | 0 ppb/hr [0 – 1180.07] | 495 ppb/hr | +495 ppb/hr | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 03:39:57 | 10/19 02:39:57 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 384.98 ppb/hr | 154.565 ppb/hr [0 – 1032.95] | 508 ppb/hr | +353.435 ppb/hr | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 02:39:55 | 10/18 22:39:55 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.47 | 2125.367 ppb/hr | 2680.8 ppb/hr [1504.95 – 3856.65] | 584 ppb/hr | -2096.8 ppb/hr | 2.27σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/18/26 23:39:55 | 10/18 22:39:55 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.47 | 2125.367 ppb/hr | 2342.429 ppb/hr [1467.19 – 3217.67] | 1461 ppb/hr | -881.429 ppb/hr | 1.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 22:39:53 | 10/18 18:39:53 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.47 | 1532.394 ppb/hr | 838.619 ppb/hr [0 – 1993.44] | 1971 ppb/hr | +1132.381 ppb/hr | 1.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 19:39:53 | 10/18 18:39:53 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.47 | 1532.394 ppb/hr | 1261.268 ppb/hr [401.68 – 2120.85] | 1234 ppb/hr | -27.268 ppb/hr | 0.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 18:40:02 | 10/18 14:40:02 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 1180.141 ppb/hr | 1432.333 ppb/hr [830.69 – 2033.97] | 1416 ppb/hr | -16.333 ppb/hr | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 15:40:02 | 10/18 14:40:02 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 1180.141 ppb/hr | 1244.809 ppb/hr [796.98 – 1692.64] | 2533 ppb/hr | +1288.191 ppb/hr | 3.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/18/26 14:40:01 | 10/18 10:40:01 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 507.126 ppb/hr | 219.382 ppb/hr [0 – 783.78] | 1105 ppb/hr | +885.618 ppb/hr | 2σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/18/26 11:40:01 | 10/18 10:40:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 507.126 ppb/hr | 508.099 ppb/hr [87.99 – 928.21] | 406 ppb/hr | -102.099 ppb/hr | 0.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 169.838 ppb/hr | 97.098 ppb/hr [0.92 – 193.28] | 378 ppb/hr | +280.902 ppb/hr | 3.71σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:40:00 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98 | 169.838 ppb/hr | 209.663 ppb/hr [138.07 – 281.25] | 73 ppb/hr | -136.663 ppb/hr | 2.44σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/27/26 16:59:57 | 10/27 13:00:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.99 | 497.286 ppb/hr | 973.952 ppb/hr [863.88 – 1084.02] | 654 ppb/hr | -319.952 ppb/hr | 3.7σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 01:40:00 | 10/22 00:40:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 2147.08 ppb/hr | 2006.567 ppb/hr [1563.14 – 2450] | 743 ppb/hr | -1263.567 ppb/hr | 3.64σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 01:10:02 | 10/22 00:10:02 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 2615.671 ppb/hr | 2617.546 ppb/hr [2219.93 – 3015.16] | 732 ppb/hr | -1885.546 ppb/hr | 6.05σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 00:39:54 | 10/21 23:39:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 2341.197 ppb/hr | 2409.344 ppb/hr [2023.87 – 2794.82] | 1021 ppb/hr | -1388.344 ppb/hr | 4.6σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 23:39:59 | 10/21 22:39:59 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 926.084 ppb/hr | 1051.669 ppb/hr [704.92 – 1398.42] | 2904 ppb/hr | +1852.331 ppb/hr | 6.82σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 23:39:53 | 10/21 19:39:53 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 863.889 ppb/hr | 1369.516 ppb/hr [923.51 – 1815.53] | 2904 ppb/hr | +1534.484 ppb/hr | 4.37σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 23:10:01 | 10/21 22:10:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 609.034 ppb/hr | 708.178 ppb/hr [369.59 – 1046.77] | 2227 ppb/hr | +1518.822 ppb/hr | 5.72σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 22:39:54 | 10/21 21:39:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 480.735 ppb/hr | 570.167 ppb/hr [234.95 – 905.39] | 1439 ppb/hr | +868.833 ppb/hr | 3.31σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 22:10:00 | 10/21 18:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 868.096 ppb/hr | 1838.6 ppb/hr [1398.6 – 2278.6] | 905 ppb/hr | -933.6 ppb/hr | 2.7σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 21:40:03 | 10/21 17:40:03 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 652.259 ppb/hr | 1716.151 ppb/hr [1277.42 – 2154.88] | 656 ppb/hr | -1060.151 ppb/hr | 3.07σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 21:09:54 | 10/21 17:09:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.86 | 587.891 ppb/hr | 1702.34 ppb/hr [1263.09 – 2141.59] | 572 ppb/hr | -1130.34 ppb/hr | 3.27σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 20:10:00 | 10/21 16:10:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.86 | 460.708 ppb/hr | 1545.899 ppb/hr [1106.78 – 1985.02] | 562 ppb/hr | -983.899 ppb/hr | 2.85σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 20:09:55 | 10/21 19:09:55 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 955.678 ppb/hr | 1222.997 ppb/hr [893.11 – 1552.88] | 562 ppb/hr | -660.997 ppb/hr | 2.56σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/19/26 02:39:55 | 10/18 22:39:55 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.47 | 2125.367 ppb/hr | 2680.8 ppb/hr [1504.95 – 3856.65] | 584 ppb/hr | -2096.8 ppb/hr | 2.27σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/18/26 15:40:02 | 10/18 14:40:02 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 1180.141 ppb/hr | 1244.809 ppb/hr [796.98 – 1692.64] | 2533 ppb/hr | +1288.191 ppb/hr | 3.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/18/26 14:40:01 | 10/18 10:40:01 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 507.126 ppb/hr | 219.382 ppb/hr [0 – 783.78] | 1105 ppb/hr | +885.618 ppb/hr | 2σ | ~ Minor Drift |