|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 22:40:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.93 /hr | 2.2 | -12.1% | -0.038 | -0.17 | -13.41 |
68%
|
| 11/10/26 22:30:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 24.5 /hr | 2.12 | +1054.5% | 0.037 | 27.1 | 20.22 |
100%
|
| 11/10/26 18:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.81 /hr | 2.11 | +222.8% | 0.008 | 5.76 | - |
64%
|
| 11/10/26 17:20:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.94 /hr | 2.1 | +40.1% | -0.01 | 1.03 | -5.64 |
34%
|
| 11/10/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.77 /hr | 2.08 | +322.6% | 0.012 | 9.32 | - |
100%
|
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 22:40:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.93 /hr | 2.2 | -12.1% | -0.038 | -0.17 | -13.41 |
68%
|
| 11/10/26 22:30:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 24.5 /hr | 2.12 | +1054.5% | 0.037 | 27.1 | 20.22 |
100%
|
| 11/10/26 18:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.81 /hr | 2.11 | +222.8% | 0.008 | 5.76 | - |
64%
|
| 11/10/26 17:20:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.94 /hr | 2.1 | +40.1% | -0.01 | 1.03 | -5.64 |
34%
|
| 11/10/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.77 /hr | 2.08 | +322.6% | 0.012 | 9.32 | - |
100%
|
| 11/08/26 06:40:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 4.16 /hr | 2.48 | +68% | -0.148 | 0.32 | -16.94 |
86.5%
|
| 11/08/26 06:30:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 92.73 /hr | 2.17 | +4169.3% | 0.148 | 109.87 | 85.58 |
100%
|
| 11/07/26 12:20:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 11.71 /hr | 2.12 | +451.4% | 0.015 | 13.25 | - |
100%
|
| 11/07/26 08:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.2 /hr | 2.1 | +195.1% | 0.008 | 5.56 | - |
61.7%
|
| 11/05/26 06:40:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.78 /hr | 2.1 | +175.6% | 0.005 | 5.98 | - |
66.5%
|
| 11/05/26 01:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.05 /hr | 2.07 | +143.9% | 0.005 | 4.95 | - |
54.9%
|
| 11/03/26 08:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.28 /hr | 2 | +164.3% | 0.006 | 4.84 | - |
53.8%
|
| 11/03/26 03:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.16 /hr | 1.98 | +160.5% | 0.006 | 5.06 | - |
56.2%
|
| 11/02/26 15:40:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.44 /hr | 1.95 | +331.9% | 0.008 | 12.89 | - |
100%
|
| 11/02/26 04:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.61 /hr | 1.92 | +140% | 0.003 | 4.85 | - |
53.9%
|
| 11/01/26 01:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.09 /hr | 1.35 | +55% | -0.53 | 0.92 | -393.99 |
100%
|
| 10/31/26 04:50:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.8 /hr | 0.91 | +536% | 0.008 | 7.37 | - |
81.9%
|
| 10/31/26 01:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.53 /hr | 0.9 | +516.2% | 0.009 | 7.32 | - |
81.3%
|
| 10/27/26 01:40:02 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.42 /hr | 2.11 | +14.8% | -0.01 | 0.33 | -5.83 |
31%
|
| 10/27/26 01:30:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.65 /hr | 2.09 | +314.8% | 0.011 | 7.53 | - |
83.7%
|
| 10/26/26 17:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.16 /hr | 2.02 | +303.3% | 0.009 | 7.92 | - |
88%
|
| 10/25/26 14:50:02 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 2.63 /hr | -0.261 | +1107.66% | -1.99 | 2.59 | - |
46.7%
|
| 10/25/26 12:20:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.63 /hr | 2.05 | +223% | 0.007 | 6.43 | - |
71.4%
|
| 10/23/26 05:50:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.08 /hr | 2.05 | +148% | 0 | 4.51 | - |
50.1%
|
| 10/23/26 05:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.09 /hr | 2.02 | +151.4% | 0.005 | 4.86 | - |
54%
|
| 10/22/26 17:20:02 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.7 /hr | 2 | +35% | -0.009 | 1.01 | -6.59 |
38.6%
|
| 10/22/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.02 /hr | 1.98 | +304.8% | 0.008 | 10.1 | - |
100%
|
| 10/19/26 10:10:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.67 /hr | 2.12 | +26.2% | -0.011 | 0.59 | -6.7 |
36.8%
|
| 10/19/26 10:00:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 9.35 /hr | 2.1 | +345.6% | 0.01 | 8.5 | - |
94.5%
|
| 10/15/26 17:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.92 /hr | 2.07 | -7.3% | -0.017 | -0.14 | -7.91 |
40.3%
|
| 10/15/26 17:20:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 11.96 /hr | 2.04 | +486.6% | 0.008 | 10.69 | - |
100%
|
| 10/15/26 17:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.36 /hr | 2.02 | +264.2% | 0.009 | 6.1 | - |
67.7%
|
| 10/14/26 17:20:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.82 /hr | 2.06 | +37% | -0.016 | 0.86 | -9.58 |
52.7%
|
| 10/14/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 12.46 /hr | 2.02 | +516% | 0.018 | 16.21 | 13.01 |
100%
|
| 10/13/26 07:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.25 /hr | 2.11 | +149.3% | 0.006 | 4.7 | - |
52.2%
|
| 10/10/26 06:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.46 /hr | 2.03 | +168.5% | 0.004 | 4.63 | - |
51.4%
|
| 10/09/26 17:20:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.31 /hr | 2.06 | +12.4% | -0.013 | 0.32 | -7.45 |
39%
|
| 10/09/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 9.81 /hr | 2.03 | +383% | 0.014 | 11.79 | - |
100%
|
| 10/08/26 14:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.47 /hr | 2.05 | +264% | 0.009 | 8.73 | - |
97%
|
| 10/07/26 18:10:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.78 /hr | 2.04 | -12.7% | -0.009 | -0.38 | -6.51 |
34.6%
|
| 10/07/26 18:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.45 /hr | 2.02 | +268.8% | 0.01 | 8.99 | - |
99.9%
|
| 10/06/26 17:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.12 /hr | 2.01 | +155.2% | 0.005 | 5.03 | - |
55.9%
|
| 10/05/26 09:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6.82 /hr | 2.01 | +239.5% | 0.009 | 7.02 | - |
78%
|
| 10/04/26 08:00:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.03 /hr | 1.94 | +4.7% | -0.014 | 0.13 | -9.87 |
50.1%
|
| 10/04/26 07:50:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 10.21 /hr | 1.91 | +433.6% | 0.014 | 16.56 | 13.1 |
100%
|
| 10/04/26 04:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.1 /hr | 1.88 | +118.6% | 0.004 | 4.81 | - |
53.5%
|
| 10/03/26 18:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.45 /hr | 1.86 | +138.9% | 0.004 | 5.91 | - |
65.7%
|
| 10/03/26 14:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.64 /hr | 1.84 | +151.8% | 0.005 | 6.7 | - |
74.4%
|
| 09/29/26 18:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.02 /hr | 2.48 | +627.9% | 0.018 | 6.28 | - |
69.8%
|
| 09/29/26 17:40:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 22.77 /hr | 2.39 | +853% | 0.024 | 9.43 | - |
100%
|
| 09/29/26 17:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 8.41 /hr | 2.37 | +255.1% | -0.047 | 2.83 | -13.02 |
80.8%
|
| 09/29/26 17:20:03 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 36.75 /hr | 2.25 | +1532.1% | 0.056 | 45.21 | 32.25 |
100%
|
| 09/29/26 15:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.11 /hr | 2.24 | +217.2% | 0.007 | 6.83 | - |
75.9%
|
| 09/28/26 10:40:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 9.93 /hr | 2.17 | +357.9% | 0.014 | 12.63 | 11.91 |
100%
|
| 09/27/26 19:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.59 /hr | 2.18 | +156.5% | 0.006 | 5.5 | - |
61.1%
|
| 09/26/26 17:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.7 /hr | 2.23 | +155.4% | 0.006 | 5.41 | - |
60.2%
|
| 09/25/26 01:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.01 /hr | 2.12 | +184.1% | 0.005 | 6.61 | - |
73.4%
|
| 09/22/26 17:20:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.13 /hr | 2.1 | +1.4% | -0.021 | 0.02 | -10.9 |
54.6%
|
| 09/22/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 14.96 /hr | 2.06 | +627.8% | 0.022 | 13.35 | 14.85 |
100%
|
| 09/20/26 17:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.56 /hr | 2.21 | +287.6% | -0.003 | 5.89 | - |
65.4%
|
| 09/20/26 16:50:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 10.08 /hr | 2.18 | +362.4% | 0.002 | 8.08 | - |
89.8%
|
| 09/20/26 16:40:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.71 /hr | 2.16 | +303.8% | 0.01 | 7.27 | - |
80.7%
|
| 09/18/26 06:40:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 13.12 /hr | 1.91 | +588.1% | -0.094 | 2.72 | -13.08 |
80.5%
|
| 09/18/26 06:30:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 69.2 /hr | 1.68 | +4024.1% | 0.113 | 50.45 | 36.89 |
100%
|
| 09/16/26 17:20:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.59 /hr | 1.78 | +45.3% | -0.032 | 0.58 | -13.21 |
69.3%
|
| 09/16/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 21.83 /hr | 1.71 | +1173.4% | 0.034 | 26.8 | 22.86 |
100%
|
| 09/15/26 17:40:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.47 /hr | 1.78 | -17.2% | -0.011 | -0.41 | -8.5 |
44.8%
|
| 09/15/26 17:30:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.03 /hr | 1.76 | +357.3% | 0.002 | 9.77 | - |
100%
|
| 09/15/26 17:20:06 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6.56 /hr | 1.74 | +276.8% | 0.01 | 8.32 | - |
92.5%
|
| 09/15/26 06:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.69 /hr | 1.76 | +167.2% | 0.004 | 4.9 | - |
54.4%
|
| 09/14/26 22:10:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.29 /hr | 1.74 | +147.2% | 0.002 | 4.52 | - |
50.2%
|
| 09/14/26 21:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.15 /hr | 1.71 | +200.5% | 0.006 | 6.52 | - |
72.4%
|
| 09/13/26 10:50:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.29 /hr | 1.65 | +159.9% | 0.004 | 5.19 | - |
57.6%
|
| 09/13/26 07:40:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.15 /hr | 1.65 | +152.1% | 0.005 | 4.98 | - |
55.3%
|
| 09/13/26 06:00:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.61 /hr | 1.64 | -1.8% | -0.006 | -0.06 | -6.01 |
30.4%
|
| 09/13/26 05:50:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.45 /hr | 1.63 | +234.9% | 0.006 | 8.41 | - |
93.4%
|
| 09/10/26 17:20:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2 /hr | 1.67 | +20.1% | -0.017 | 0.43 | -11.54 |
60.1%
|
| 09/10/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 12.03 /hr | 1.63 | +638.3% | 0.016 | 20.62 | 14.14 |
100%
|
| 09/10/26 06:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.5 /hr | 1.72 | +161.2% | 0.005 | 4.93 | - |
54.7%
|
| 09/07/26 10:50:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.96 /hr | 1.77 | +180.1% | 0.004 | 5.15 | - |
85.8%
|
| 09/06/26 22:50:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.97 /hr | 1.75 | +126.8% | 0.004 | 3.6 | - |
60%
|
| 09/06/26 19:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.19 /hr | 1.8 | +133.1% | 0.004 | 3.62 | - |
60.3%
|
| 09/06/26 18:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.04 /hr | 1.8 | +124.6% | 0.004 | 3.44 | - |
57.4%
|
| 09/06/26 16:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.04 /hr | 1.81 | +123.5% | 0.005 | 3.45 | - |
57.5%
|
| 09/06/26 08:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.22 /hr | 1.85 | +291% | 0.009 | 8.76 | - |
100%
|
| 09/06/26 06:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.92 /hr | 1.84 | +112.7% | 0.003 | 3.44 | - |
57.3%
|
| 09/05/26 18:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.35 /hr | 1.82 | +138.9% | 0.005 | 4.03 | - |
67.2%
|
| 09/03/26 10:50:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.31 /hr | 1.74 | +32.5% | -0.058 | 0.27 | -16.52 |
100%
|
| 09/03/26 10:40:17 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 35.96 /hr | 1.63 | +2109.8% | 0.055 | 50.82 | 37.06 |
100%
|
| 08/30/26 15:50:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 44.37 /hr | 3.3 | +1244.3% | 0.07 | 3.69 | - |
61.5%
|
| 08/30/26 15:00:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 8.91 /hr | 3.27 | +172.2% | -0.091 | 0.51 | -3.97 |
32.6%
|
| 08/30/26 14:50:06 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 63.11 /hr | 3.07 | +1957.4% | 0.029 | 5.68 | - |
94.7%
|
| 08/30/26 14:40:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 45.64 /hr | 2.92 | +1463.2% | 0.06 | 4.16 | - |
69.3%
|
| 08/30/26 11:10:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 63.35 /hr | 2.48 | +2451.2% | 0.054 | 6.36 | - |
100%
|
| 08/30/26 11:00:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.09 /hr | 2.38 | +1203.7% | -0.011 | 3.05 | - |
50.8%
|
| 08/30/26 10:50:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 37.86 /hr | 2.26 | +1572.9% | 0.031 | 3.87 | - |
64.5%
|
| 08/30/26 06:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.87 /hr | 1.99 | -5.8% | -0.262 | -0.01 | -17.58 |
100%
|
| 08/30/26 06:00:08 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 157.74 /hr | 1.46 | +10677.8% | 0.259 | 309.31 | 221.19 |
100%
|
| 08/30/26 05:40:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.19 /hr | 1.46 | +187.8% | 0.005 | 5.7 | - |
95%
|
| 08/28/26 20:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.81 /hr | 1.61 | +199.1% | 0.005 | 5.09 | - |
84.9%
|
| 08/27/26 20:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.58 /hr | 1.69 | +171.7% | 0.005 | 4.56 | - |
76%
|
| 08/27/26 17:10:08 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.46 /hr | 1.72 | +218.2% | 0.006 | 6.16 | - |
100%
|
| 08/27/26 14:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.78 /hr | 1.71 | +121.6% | 0.005 | 3.46 | - |
57.7%
|
| 08/27/26 10:30:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.05 /hr | 1.69 | +199.2% | 0.007 | 5.93 | - |
98.9%
|
| 08/27/26 05:20:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.59 /hr | 1.71 | +110.3% | 0.003 | 3.42 | - |
56.9%
|
| 08/27/26 03:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.81 /hr | 1.71 | +180.8% | 0.006 | 5.74 | - |
95.6%
|
| 08/26/26 20:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.45 /hr | 1.74 | +155.4% | 0.005 | 5.07 | - |
84.4%
|
| 08/26/26 12:10:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.66 /hr | 1.77 | +106.4% | 0.003 | 3.53 | - |
58.9%
|
| 08/26/26 10:00:02 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.73 /hr | 1.76 | -1.7% | -0.004 | -0.06 | -4.16 |
30.2%
|
| 08/26/26 09:50:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.34 /hr | 1.75 | +148.1% | 0.005 | 5.02 | - |
83.7%
|
| 08/26/26 01:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.55 /hr | 1.77 | +101% | 0.002 | 3.47 | - |
57.8%
|
| 08/25/26 17:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.95 /hr | 1.73 | +128% | 0.004 | 4.37 | - |
72.8%
|
| 08/25/26 05:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.39 /hr | 1.75 | +93.3% | 0.001 | 3.24 | - |
54%
|
| 08/25/26 02:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.31 /hr | 1.74 | +90% | 0.003 | 3.17 | - |
52.9%
|
| 08/25/26 01:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.39 /hr | 1.73 | +95.4% | 0.003 | 3.39 | - |
56.5%
|
| 08/24/26 20:20:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.56 /hr | 1.7 | +109.3% | 0.003 | 3.82 | - |
63.6%
|
| 08/24/26 17:20:02 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.43 /hr | 1.68 | -14.9% | -0.005 | -0.52 | -4.67 |
37.7%
|
| 08/24/26 17:10:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.19 /hr | 1.67 | +150.4% | 0.003 | 5.46 | - |
91%
|
| 08/22/26 10:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6.3 /hr | 1.73 | +264.3% | 0.007 | 4.66 | - |
77.7%
|
| 08/22/26 09:20:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.68 /hr | 1.72 | +55.4% | -0.022 | 0.98 | -13.22 |
100%
|
| 08/22/26 09:10:01 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 15.62 /hr | 1.68 | +830.3% | 0.021 | 25.03 | 18.53 |
100%
|
| 08/22/26 08:00:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.17 /hr | 1.66 | +151.1% | 0.002 | 4.76 | - |
79.3%
|
| 08/21/26 06:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.6 /hr | 1.62 | +122.8% | 0.003 | 3.75 | - |
62.4%
|
| 08/20/26 20:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.31 /hr | 1.62 | +166% | 0.006 | 5.49 | - |
91.4%
|
| 08/20/26 12:20:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.28 /hr | 1.69 | +153.9% | 0.004 | 3.57 | - |
59.5%
|
| 08/18/26 17:20:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.54 /hr | 1.72 | +47.5% | -0.014 | 1.19 | -11.13 |
89.4%
|
| 08/18/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 10.95 /hr | 1.69 | +547.4% | 0.016 | 21.58 | 18 |
100%
|
| 08/18/26 16:10:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.7 /hr | 1.69 | +0.5% | -0.003 | 0.02 | -3.86 |
27.7%
|
| 08/18/26 16:00:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3.67 /hr | 1.69 | +117.8% | 0.002 | 4.81 | - |
80.2%
|
| 08/18/26 12:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.17 /hr | 1.67 | +89.6% | 0.001 | 3.72 | - |
62.1%
|
| 08/17/26 17:10:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.49 /hr | 1.72 | -13.4% | -0.003 | -0.56 | -3.89 |
32.5%
|
| 08/17/26 17:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.32 /hr | 1.72 | +93.5% | 0.002 | 4.01 | - |
66.9%
|
| 08/17/26 11:30:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 3.64 /hr | 1.73 | +110.5% | 0.003 | 4.8 | - |
80.1%
|
| 08/16/26 20:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.26 /hr | 1.71 | +90.2% | 0.003 | 3.55 | - |
59.1%
|
| 08/16/26 06:40:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.33 /hr | 1.71 | +95.1% | 0.003 | 3.35 | - |
55.8%
|
| 08/15/26 20:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.39 /hr | 1.69 | +101.1% | 0.003 | 3.48 | - |
58.1%
|
| 08/13/26 17:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.61 /hr | 1.77 | -9.3% | -0.015 | -0.22 | -11.49 |
83.9%
|
| 08/13/26 17:20:06 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 10.31 /hr | 1.74 | +491.1% | 0.013 | 14.72 | 12.3 |
100%
|
| 08/13/26 12:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.57 /hr | 1.72 | +107.2% | 0.002 | 3.23 | - |
53.8%
|
| 08/13/26 10:40:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.42 /hr | 1.68 | +163.7% | 0.003 | 5.24 | - |
87.3%
|
| 08/12/26 23:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.62 /hr | 1.6 | +126.1% | 0.004 | 4.02 | - |
67%
|
| 08/12/26 20:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.89 /hr | 1.6 | +143% | 0.004 | 4.44 | - |
74.1%
|
| 08/11/26 17:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.36 /hr | 1.59 | -14.4% | -0.007 | -0.43 | -6.35 |
48.9%
|
| 08/11/26 17:20:05 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.3 /hr | 1.58 | +236.2% | 0.004 | 7.54 | - |
100%
|
| 08/11/26 17:10:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.08 /hr | 1.57 | +96.2% | 0.002 | 3.1 | - |
51.7%
|
| 08/11/26 08:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.46 /hr | 1.59 | -8% | -0.006 | -0.26 | -5.74 |
43.1%
|
| 08/11/26 08:20:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.88 /hr | 1.58 | +208.7% | 0.006 | 7.1 | - |
100%
|
| 08/10/26 21:20:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.26 /hr | 1.6 | +103.3% | 0.002 | 3.47 | - |
57.8%
|
| 08/10/26 21:00:02 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.94 /hr | 1.6 | +21.1% | -0.004 | 0.71 | -3.82 |
33.2%
|
| 08/10/26 20:50:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.16 /hr | 1.59 | +161.1% | 0.002 | 5.66 | - |
94.3%
|
| 08/10/26 13:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.28 /hr | 1.57 | +108.3% | 0.003 | 3.93 | - |
65.5%
|
| 08/10/26 08:20:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.13 /hr | 1.58 | +98.4% | 0.002 | 3.62 | - |
60.4%
|
| 08/10/26 07:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.26 /hr | 1.57 | +107.4% | 0.001 | 4.06 | - |
67.7%
|
| 08/09/26 20:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.33 /hr | 1.61 | +107.4% | 0.002 | 3.93 | - |
65.5%
|
| 08/09/26 01:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.01 /hr | 1.63 | +84.8% | 0.002 | 3.1 | - |
51.6%
|
| 08/08/26 20:40:02 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.8 /hr | 1.64 | +9.8% | -0.004 | 0.34 | -3.59 |
28.5%
|
| 08/08/26 20:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.06 /hr | 1.63 | +149.2% | 0.005 | 5.33 | - |
88.8%
|
| 08/08/26 07:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.24 /hr | 1.67 | +94.3% | 0.003 | 3.18 | - |
53%
|
| 08/07/26 22:20:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.33 /hr | 1.68 | +158.4% | 0.004 | 4.79 | - |
79.8%
|
| 08/07/26 20:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.66 /hr | 1.65 | +121.4% | 0.004 | 3.68 | - |
61.4%
|
| 08/07/26 17:20:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.66 /hr | 1.64 | +1.2% | -0.005 | 0.04 | -4.04 |
29.2%
|
| 08/07/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.37 /hr | 1.63 | +168% | 0.005 | 5.18 | - |
86.3%
|
| 08/06/26 20:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.38 /hr | 1.6 | +173.8% | 0.005 | 5.01 | - |
83.5%
|
| 08/06/26 00:20:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.16 /hr | 1.6 | +160.6% | 0.005 | 3.16 | - |
52.7%
|
| 08/05/26 20:40:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.12 /hr | 1.6 | +220.2% | 0.002 | 4.38 | - |
73.1%
|
| 08/05/26 20:30:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.22 /hr | 1.59 | +165.4% | 0.005 | 3.33 | - |
55.6%
|
| 08/04/26 17:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 1.76 /hr | 1.61 | +9.1% | -0.016 | 0.18 | -13.17 |
95.6%
|
| 08/04/26 17:20:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 11.29 /hr | 1.58 | +614.9% | 0.008 | 16.72 | 7.27 |
100%
|
| 08/04/26 17:10:02 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 6.4 /hr | 1.56 | +309.5% | 0.008 | 9.5 | 7.85 |
100%
|
| 08/03/26 20:40:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.34 /hr | 1.55 | +51.3% | -0.004 | 1.61 | -4.06 |
42.4%
|
| 08/03/26 20:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.66 /hr | 1.54 | +203.3% | 0.006 | 6.79 | - |
100%
|
| 08/03/26 15:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.15 /hr | 1.53 | +106.3% | 0.001 | 3.6 | - |
60%
|
| 08/03/26 12:10:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 2.86 /hr | 1.52 | +87.7% | 0.002 | 3.04 | - |
50.7%
|
| 08/03/26 11:20:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.29 /hr | 1.53 | +114.4% | 0.003 | 3.86 | - |
64.3%
|
| 08/03/26 07:40:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.44 /hr | 1.58 | +118.3% | 0.004 | 3.49 | - |
58.2%
|
| 08/02/26 17:20:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.21 /hr | 1.48 | -18% | -0.003 | -0.42 | -3.66 |
29.7%
|
| 08/01/26 07:10:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.35 /hr | 1.64 | +164.7% | 0.003 | 3.37 | - |
56.2%
|
| 07/31/26 09:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.43 /hr | 1.8 | +146.1% | 0.004 | 3.69 | - |
61.4%
|
| 07/31/26 00:00:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.55 /hr | 1.8 | +153.2% | 0.005 | 4.04 | - |
67.3%
|
| 07/30/26 20:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.71 /hr | 1.83 | +212.8% | 0.008 | 5.31 | - |
88.4%
|
| 07/30/26 14:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6.14 /hr | 1.86 | +229.9% | 0.007 | 5.89 | - |
98.1%
|
| 07/29/26 20:30:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.78 /hr | 1.88 | +207.4% | 0.008 | 5.68 | - |
94.7%
|
| 07/29/26 02:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.03 /hr | 1.91 | +111.2% | 0.004 | 3.04 | - |
50.6%
|
| 07/28/26 20:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.68 /hr | 1.89 | +147.4% | 0.003 | 3.93 | - |
65.5%
|
| 07/28/26 20:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.17 /hr | 1.87 | +283.6% | 0.009 | 8.29 | - |
100%
|
| 07/28/26 17:20:06 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.68 /hr | 1.84 | +208.8% | 0.006 | 6.29 | - |
100%
|
| 07/27/26 18:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.62 /hr | 1.78 | +103.8% | 0.003 | 3.04 | - |
50.7%
|
| 07/27/26 15:00:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.17 /hr | 1.77 | +135.7% | 0.003 | 4.05 | - |
67.5%
|
| 07/27/26 13:00:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.15 /hr | 1.76 | +22.5% | -0.005 | 0.67 | -4.14 |
35.1%
|
| 07/27/26 12:50:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.89 /hr | 1.75 | +180% | 0.005 | 5.6 | - |
93.3%
|
| 07/26/26 20:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 5.07 /hr | 1.73 | +192.8% | 0.006 | 5.9 | - |
98.3%
|
| 07/26/26 08:50:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.82 /hr | 1.78 | +114.8% | 0.003 | 3.55 | - |
59.2%
|
| 07/26/26 08:30:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.56 /hr | 1.77 | +100.7% | 0.001 | 3.15 | - |
52.4%
|
| 07/25/26 20:30:02 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.58 /hr | 1.75 | +161.9% | 0.004 | 4.94 | - |
82.3%
|
| 07/25/26 09:10:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.1 /hr | 1.82 | +124.9% | 0.004 | 3.78 | - |
63%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
2.211 /hr
(+0.07)
Target: 17:20 · 80% Cone: [0 – 4.8]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
2.323 /hr
(+0.18)
Target: 20:20 · 80% Cone: [0 – 5.81]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
90%
(60 checked)
MAE: 0.955 /hr · RMSE: 1.499 /hr · Fit R²=0.10
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
2 diverged
⚡ 1 anom
5 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 6.49σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 20:20:02 (in 3.7h) | 11/11 16:22:49 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02 | 2.139 /hr | 2.323 /hr [0 – 5.81] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/11/26 17:20:02 (in 43m) | 11/11 16:22:49 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02 | 2.139 /hr | 2.211 /hr [0 – 4.8] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 20:20:02 (in 3.7h) | 11/11 16:22:49 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02 | 2.139 /hr | 2.323 /hr [0 – 5.81] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/11/26 17:20:02 (in 43m) | 11/11 16:22:49 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.02 | 2.139 /hr | 2.211 /hr [0 – 4.8] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/07/26 06:10:02 | 11/07 02:20:27 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | 1.726 /hr | 1.661 /hr [0.38 – 2.94] | 2.31 /hr | +0.649 /hr | 0.65σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/07/26 03:10:02 | 11/07 02:20:27 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16 | 1.726 /hr | 1.701 /hr [0.75 – 2.65] | 2.23 /hr | +0.529 /hr | 0.71σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 07:40:02 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 1.581 /hr | 1.585 /hr [0.68 – 2.49] | 2.33 /hr | +0.745 /hr | 1.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 04:40:02 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 1.581 /hr | 1.583 /hr [0.91 – 2.26] | 2.39 /hr | +0.807 /hr | 1.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/30/26 08:00:01 | 10/30 04:02:08 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 1.241 /hr | 1.93 /hr [0.59 – 3.27] | 0.77 /hr | -1.16 /hr | 1.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/30/26 05:00:01 | 10/30 04:02:08 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 1.241 /hr | 1.51 /hr [0.51 – 2.51] | 2.35 /hr | +0.84 /hr | 1.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/30/26 04:10:01 | 10/30 00:17:04 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 0.937 /hr | 0.817 /hr [0 – 2.15] | 2.18 /hr | +1.363 /hr | 1.3σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/30/26 01:10:01 | 10/30 00:17:04 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 0.937 /hr | 0.89 /hr [0 – 1.89] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/28/26 18:30:01 | 10/28 14:31:21 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | 1.765 /hr | 1.789 /hr [0.52 – 3.06] | 1.93 /hr | +0.141 /hr | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/28/26 15:30:01 | 10/28 14:31:21 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | 1.765 /hr | 1.774 /hr [0.83 – 2.72] | 0.81 /hr | -0.964 /hr | 1.3σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/28/26 05:00:02 | 10/28 01:01:05 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 1.879 /hr | 1.96 /hr [0.12 – 3.81] | 1.91 /hr | -0.05 /hr | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/28/26 02:00:02 | 10/28 01:01:05 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 1.879 /hr | 1.911 /hr [0.54 – 3.28] | 1.16 /hr | -0.751 /hr | 0.7σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 21:00:01 | 10/27 17:20:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 1.889 /hr | 2.278 /hr [0.42 – 4.14] | 2.32 /hr | +0.042 /hr | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 20:20:02 | 10/27 16:30:54 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07 | 1.867 /hr | 2.027 /hr [0.22 – 3.83] | 2.68 /hr | +0.653 /hr | 0.46σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 18:00:01 | 10/27 14:00:51 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 1.659 /hr | 1.139 /hr [-0.7 – 2.98] | 2.72 /hr | +1.581 /hr | 1.09σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 18:00:01 | 10/27 17:20:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 1.889 /hr | 2.041 /hr [0.66 – 3.42] | 2.72 /hr | +0.679 /hr | 0.63σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 17:20:02 | 10/27 16:30:54 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07 | 1.867 /hr | 1.929 /hr [0.58 – 3.28] | 1.59 /hr | -0.339 /hr | 0.32σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/27/26 15:00:01 | 10/27 14:00:51 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 1.659 /hr | 1.456 /hr [0.09 – 2.83] | 1.76 /hr | +0.304 /hr | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/26/26 22:40:02 | 10/26 18:45:31 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.947 /hr | 5.452 /hr [3.47 – 7.43] | 2.07 /hr | -3.382 /hr | 2.17σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/26/26 19:40:02 | 10/26 18:45:31 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.947 /hr | 4.535 /hr [3.06 – 6.01] | 2.07 /hr | -2.465 /hr | 2.14σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/25/26 17:50:02 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Local LOESS R²=0.30 | 1.42 /hr | -2.882 /hr [-4.8 – -0.97] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:50:02 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Local LOESS R²=0.30 | 1.42 /hr | -0.261 /hr [-1.69 – 1.16] | 2.63 /hr | +2.891 /hr | 2.59σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 19:30:01 | 10/23 16:08:59 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06 | 2.707 /hr | 3.841 /hr [2.34 – 5.34] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:20:01 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06 | 2.727 /hr | 4.005 /hr [2.52 – 5.5] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 16:30:01 | 10/23 16:08:59 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06 | 2.707 /hr | 3.15 /hr [2.03 – 4.27] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 16:20:01 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06 | 2.727 /hr | 3.227 /hr [2.12 – 4.34] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 02:20:01 | 10/22 22:27:55 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06 | 1.978 /hr | 1.955 /hr [0.73 – 3.18] | 1.74 /hr | -0.215 /hr | 0.22σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 23:20:01 | 10/22 22:27:55 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.06 | 1.978 /hr | 1.969 /hr [1.06 – 2.88] | 2.34 /hr | +0.371 /hr | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:00:01 | 10/22 05:00:55 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03 | 1.748 /hr | 1.723 /hr [0.25 – 3.19] | 3.25 /hr | +1.527 /hr | 1.32σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:00:01 | 10/22 05:00:55 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03 | 1.748 /hr | 1.738 /hr [0.64 – 2.83] | 3.04 /hr | +1.302 /hr | 1.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:20:01 | 10/22 01:29:04 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 2.222 /hr | 2.519 /hr [1.37 – 3.67] | 2.83 /hr | +0.311 /hr | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:20:01 | 10/22 01:29:04 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.08 | 2.222 /hr | 2.338 /hr [1.48 – 3.19] | 1.62 /hr | -0.718 /hr | 1.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:40:01 | 10/21 21:40:04 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03 | 2.218 /hr | 2.287 /hr [0.81 – 3.77] | 1.69 /hr | -0.597 /hr | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 22:40:01 | 10/21 21:40:04 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03 | 2.218 /hr | 2.245 /hr [1.15 – 3.35] | 1.83 /hr | -0.415 /hr | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:50:01 | 10/21 17:56:09 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 2.246 /hr | 2.247 /hr [0.78 – 3.71] | 1.98 /hr | -0.267 /hr | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:00:01 | 10/21 16:01:39 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03 | 1.943 /hr | 1.916 /hr [0.47 – 3.36] | 3.34 /hr | +1.424 /hr | 1.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:50:01 | 10/21 17:56:09 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 2.246 /hr | 2.246 /hr [1.16 – 3.34] | 1.83 /hr | -0.416 /hr | 0.49σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:00:01 | 10/21 16:01:39 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.03 | 1.943 /hr | 1.932 /hr [0.85 – 3.01] | 2.31 /hr | +0.378 /hr | 0.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:00:01 | 10/21 09:06:50 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 2.258 /hr | 2.046 /hr [0.53 – 3.56] | 1.81 /hr | -0.236 /hr | 0.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:00:01 | 10/21 09:06:50 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.04 | 2.258 /hr | 2.175 /hr [1.05 – 3.3] | 2.44 /hr | +0.265 /hr | 0.3σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:40:01 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07 | 1.994 /hr | 2.054 /hr [0.85 – 3.26] | 3.11 /hr | +1.056 /hr | 1.12σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:40:01 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.07 | 1.994 /hr | 2.018 /hr [1.12 – 2.91] | 1.24 /hr | -0.778 /hr | 1.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:30:01 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09 | 2.551 /hr | 2.931 /hr [1.41 – 4.46] | 1.52 /hr | -1.411 /hr | 1.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:30:01 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.09 | 2.551 /hr | 2.699 /hr [1.56 – 3.84] | 1.41 /hr | -1.289 /hr | 1.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 10:00:01 | 10/20 06:08:27 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11 | 1.549 /hr | 1.555 /hr [-0.09 – 3.2] | 1.95 /hr | +0.395 /hr | 0.3σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 07:00:01 | 10/20 06:08:27 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11 | 1.549 /hr | 1.552 /hr [0.33 – 2.78] | 1.61 /hr | +0.058 /hr | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 06:00:02 | 10/20 02:00:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11 | 2.151 /hr | 2.094 /hr [0.46 – 3.73] | 2.18 /hr | +0.086 /hr | 0.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 06:00:02 | 10/20 05:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.12 | 1.649 /hr | 1.69 /hr [0.42 – 2.96] | 2.18 /hr | +0.49 /hr | 0.49σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 05:00:02 | 10/20 04:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14 | 1.634 /hr | 1.519 /hr [0.43 – 2.61] | 2.1 /hr | +0.581 /hr | 0.68σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 03:00:02 | 10/20 02:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.11 | 2.151 /hr | 2.128 /hr [0.91 – 3.35] | 1.56 /hr | -0.568 /hr | 0.6σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 02:00:02 | 10/19 22:00:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | 2.061 /hr | 2.783 /hr [1.26 – 4.31] | 1.52 /hr | -1.263 /hr | 1.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 23:00:02 | 10/19 22:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.15 | 2.061 /hr | 2.343 /hr [1.21 – 3.48] | 1.87 /hr | -0.473 /hr | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 22:00:01 | 10/19 18:00:01 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | 1.69 /hr | 1.564 /hr [-0.13 – 3.26] | 3.56 /hr | +1.996 /hr | 1.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 19:00:01 | 10/19 18:00:01 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | 1.69 /hr | 1.641 /hr [0.38 – 2.9] | 1.71 /hr | +0.069 /hr | 0.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 18:00:01 | 10/19 14:00:01 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | 1.787 /hr | 1.94 /hr [0.22 – 3.66] | 1.9 /hr | -0.04 /hr | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 15:00:01 | 10/19 14:00:01 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.13 | 1.787 /hr | 1.847 /hr [0.57 – 3.13] | 3.74 /hr | +1.893 /hr | 1.88σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 14:00:02 | 10/19 10:00:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.386 /hr | 5.695 /hr [4 – 7.39] | 2.87 /hr | -2.825 /hr | 2.11σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 11:00:02 | 10/19 10:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.386 /hr | 4.288 /hr [3.02 – 5.55] | 2.22 /hr | -2.068 /hr | 2.09σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 10:00:01 | 10/19 06:00:01 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | 1.484 /hr | 1.594 /hr [0.07 – 3.11] | 9.35 /hr | +7.756 /hr | 6.49σ | 🚨 Diverged |
| 10/19/26 07:00:01 | 10/19 06:00:01 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | 1.484 /hr | 1.527 /hr [0.4 – 2.66] | 2.18 /hr | +0.653 /hr | 0.74σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 06:00:01 | 10/19 02:00:01 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | 1.917 /hr | 1.921 /hr [0.36 – 3.48] | 2.58 /hr | +0.659 /hr | 0.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 03:00:01 | 10/19 02:00:01 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | 1.917 /hr | 1.919 /hr [0.76 – 3.08] | 1.29 /hr | -0.629 /hr | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 02:00:01 | 10/18 22:00:01 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | 1.884 /hr | 2.283 /hr [0.68 – 3.89] | 1.9 /hr | -0.383 /hr | 0.3σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 23:00:01 | 10/18 22:00:01 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.18 | 1.884 /hr | 2.04 /hr [0.85 – 3.23] | 1.72 /hr | -0.32 /hr | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 22:00:02 | 10/18 18:00:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | 1.908 /hr | 2.055 /hr [0.39 – 3.72] | 2.4 /hr | +0.345 /hr | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 19:00:02 | 10/18 18:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.17 | 1.908 /hr | 1.965 /hr [0.73 – 3.21] | 1.55 /hr | -0.415 /hr | 0.43σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26/26 22:40:02 | 10/26 18:45:31 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.947 /hr | 5.452 /hr [3.47 – 7.43] | 2.07 /hr | -3.382 /hr | 2.17σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/26/26 19:40:02 | 10/26 18:45:31 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.947 /hr | 4.535 /hr [3.06 – 6.01] | 2.07 /hr | -2.465 /hr | 2.14σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/25/26 14:50:02 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Local LOESS R²=0.30 | 1.42 /hr | -0.261 /hr [-1.69 – 1.16] | 2.63 /hr | +2.891 /hr | 2.59σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/19/26 14:00:02 | 10/19 10:00:02 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.386 /hr | 5.695 /hr [4 – 7.39] | 2.87 /hr | -2.825 /hr | 2.11σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 11:00:02 | 10/19 10:00:02 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.19 | 3.386 /hr | 4.288 /hr [3.02 – 5.55] | 2.22 /hr | -2.068 /hr | 2.09σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 10:00:01 | 10/19 06:00:01 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20 | 1.484 /hr | 1.594 /hr [0.07 – 3.11] | 9.35 /hr | +7.756 /hr | 6.49σ | 🚨 Diverged |