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/ root / Laker / Bluetti / S1 Energy In | Total: 2 kwh | Avg: 1.3 / day

/ root / Laker / Bluetti / S1 Energy In

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+6h)

0 kwh (+0)

Target: 06:00 · 80% Cone: [0 – 1.37]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+24h)

0 kwh (+0)

Target: 00:00 · 80% Cone: [0 – 1.98]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

100% (18 checked)

MAE: 1.559 kwh · RMSE: 3.275 kwh · Fit R²=0.67

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

0 diverged

1 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 1.92σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/04/26 00:00:00 (in 20.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	0 kwh [0 – 1.98]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:00 (in 2.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	0 kwh [0 – 1.37]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 00:00:00	11/02 00:03:34	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	0 kwh [0 – 2.87]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 06:00:00	11/02 00:03:34	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	0 kwh [0 – 2]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/02/26 00:00:00	11/01 00:03:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	0 kwh [0 – 2.71]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/04/26 00:00:00 (in 20.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 1.98]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 06:00:00 (in 2.1h)	11/03 00:03:20	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.94	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 1.37]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 00:00:00	11/02 00:03:34	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.87]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/02/26 06:00:00	11/02 00:03:34	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/02/26 00:00:00	11/01 00:03:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.71]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
11/01/26 06:00:00	11/01 00:03:03	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.93	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 1.89]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
11/01/26 00:00:00	10/31 00:02:34	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.89]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/31/26 06:00:00	10/31 00:02:34	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.01]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/31/26 00:00:00	10/30 00:02:04	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.95]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/30/26 06:00:00	10/30 00:02:04	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.92	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.06]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/30/26 00:00:00	10/29 00:01:33	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 3.01]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/29/26 06:00:00	10/29 00:01:33	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.91	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.1]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/29/26 00:00:00	10/28 00:01:03	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 3.38]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/28/26 06:00:00	10/28 00:01:03	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.89	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.35]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/28/26 00:00:00	10/27 00:00:36	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 3.3]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/27/26 06:00:00	10/27 00:00:36	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.90	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.3]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/27/26 00:00:00	10/26 07:46:04	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.85	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 3.7]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 00:00:00	10/25 00:09:35	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.82	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 3.66]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 06:00:00	10/25 00:09:35	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.82	0 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 2.54]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 00:00:00	10/24 00:09:09	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.73	0.681 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 3.67]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 00:00:00	10/24 05:06:37	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.73	0.681 kwh	0 kwh [0 – 3.67]	0 kwh	0 kwh	0σ	✓ Accurate
10/24/26 06:00:00	10/24 00:09:09	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.73	0.681 kwh	0.108 kwh [0 – 2.66]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/24/26 06:00:00	10/24 05:06:37	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.73	0.681 kwh	0.108 kwh [0 – 2.66]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/24/26 00:00:00	10/23 03:40:16	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.44	4.289 kwh	2.116 kwh [-1.98 – 6.22]	0 kwh	-2.116 kwh	0.37σ	✓ Accurate
10/24/26 00:00:00	10/23 15:15:12	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39	5.061 kwh	3.246 kwh [-0.59 – 7.09]	0 kwh	-3.246 kwh	0.61σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 06:00:00	10/23 03:40:16	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.44	4.289 kwh	3.281 kwh [0.43 – 6.14]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 00:00:00	10/22 21:54:29	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20	7.152 kwh	6.331 kwh [2.84 – 9.83]	2.022 kwh	-4.309 kwh	0.89σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 06:00:00	10/22 21:54:29	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.20	7.152 kwh	6.771 kwh [4.34 – 9.2]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/22/26 00:00:00	10/21 00:04:32	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.56	2.379 kwh	0.16 kwh [0 – 4.43]	8.906 kwh	+8.746 kwh	1.48σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:00:00	10/21 21:37:17	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	8.561 kwh	9.202 kwh [5.72 – 12.69]	8.906 kwh	-0.296 kwh	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 06:00:00	10/21 00:04:32	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.56	2.379 kwh	1.35 kwh [0 – 4.32]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/21/26 06:00:00	10/21 21:37:17	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.14	8.561 kwh	8.858 kwh [6.43 – 11.29]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/21/26 00:00:00	10/20 00:06:13	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.46	3.039 kwh	0.242 kwh [0 – 5.08]	0 kwh	-0.242 kwh	0.04σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 06:00:00	10/20 00:06:13	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.46	3.039 kwh	1.742 kwh [0 – 5.11]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/20/26 00:00:00	10/19 20:33:19	+24h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	8.323 kwh	9.101 kwh [5.67 – 12.54]	0 kwh	-9.101 kwh	1.92σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 06:00:00	10/19 20:33:19	+6h	Adaptive LOESS R²=0.16	8.323 kwh	8.684 kwh [6.29 – 11.08]	No reading	-	-	No Reading

✓ Zero forecast failures or divergences recorded for this sensor!

All 18 evaluated predictions stayed within the expected confidence cone.