|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 22:59:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 79.49 % | 84.46 | -5.9% | 0.038 | -1.21 | 8.72 |
50.3%
|
| 11/02/26 07:49:26 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 88.42 % | 100 | -11.58% | 3.326 | 3.3 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:49:26 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 87.26 % | 95.674 | -8.79% | 3.326 | 3.23 | - |
99.5%
|
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 22:59:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 79.49 % | 84.46 | -5.9% | 0.038 | -1.21 | 8.72 |
50.3%
|
| 11/02/26 07:49:26 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 88.42 % | 100 | -11.58% | 3.326 | 3.3 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:49:26 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 87.26 % | 95.674 | -8.79% | 3.326 | 3.23 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/30/26 12:52:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 44.06 % | 49.89 | -11.7% | -0.031 | -0.46 | -6.1 |
33.1%
|
| 10/28/26 18:37:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.35 % | 48.02 | -24.3% | 0.024 | -1.05 | 6.04 |
36%
|
| 10/25/26 11:20:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 72.3 % | 88.83 | -18.6% | -0.018 | -2.44 | -5.26 |
39.9%
|
| 10/25/26 09:25:00 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 88.14 % | 88.87 | -0.8% | 0.016 | -0.11 | 5.13 |
26.2%
|
| 10/22/26 20:04:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 89.08 % | 84.15 | +5.9% | 0.035 | 0.94 | 5.84 |
34.4%
|
| 10/22/26 11:14:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 81.35 % | 72.65 | +12% | 0.031 | 0.45 | 5.66 |
30.8%
|
| 10/22/26 06:29:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 81.6 % | 70.56 | +15.6% | -0.026 | 0.6 | -5.17 |
29.2%
|
| 10/21/26 21:34:54 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 83.46 % | 66.859 | +24.83% | 6.056 | 3.7 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 20:59:54 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 86.97 % | 63.26 | +37.48% | 4.371 | 5.3 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 18:34:54 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 66.25 % | 56.092 | +18.11% | 6.056 | 3.05 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/21/26 17:59:54 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 61.31 % | 50.316 | +21.85% | 4.371 | 3.32 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/20/26 19:34:54 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 53.19 % | 71.758 | -25.88% | -4.231 | 4.64 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/19/26 22:19:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.37 % | 59.91 | +30.8% | 0.034 | 2.05 | 7.31 |
48%
|
| 10/18/26 17:14:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 63.46 % | 27.63 | +129.7% | 0.003 | 4.69 | - |
52.1%
|
| 10/18/26 17:09:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 62.59 % | 27.5 | +127.6% | -0.003 | 4.76 | - |
52.9%
|
| 10/18/26 17:04:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 63.58 % | 27.36 | +132.4% | 0.005 | 5.12 | - |
56.9%
|
| 10/18/26 16:59:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 61.98 % | 27.23 | +127.6% | 0.001 | 5.12 | - |
56.9%
|
| 10/18/26 16:54:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 61.63 % | 27.1 | +127.4% | 0.006 | 5.32 | - |
59.1%
|
| 10/18/26 16:49:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 59.81 % | 26.97 | +121.7% | -0.01 | 5.28 | - |
58.7%
|
| 10/18/26 16:44:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 62.73 % | 26.84 | +133.7% | -0.001 | 6.12 | - |
68%
|
| 10/18/26 16:39:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 63.08 % | 26.71 | +136.2% | 0.022 | 6.63 | - |
73.7%
|
| 10/18/26 16:34:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 56.44 % | 26.6 | +112.2% | 0.02 | 5.73 | - |
63.7%
|
| 10/18/26 16:29:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 50.58 % | 26.51 | +90.8% | 0.01 | 4.79 | - |
53.3%
|
| 10/18/26 16:19:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 48.82 % | 26.34 | +85.3% | 0.007 | 4.78 | - |
53.1%
|
| 10/18/26 16:04:46 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 40.89 % | 26.14 | +56.4% | 0.047 | 3.4 | 11.42 |
76%
|
| 10/14/26 03:39:46 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 81.17 % | 62.77 | +29.3% | 0.039 | 3.43 | 10.55 |
71.8%
|
| 10/11/26 16:46:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 75.2 % | 58.93 | +27.6% | 0.102 | 1.45 | 28.42 |
100%
|
| 10/10/26 06:46:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 57.83 % | 45.24 | +27.8% | -0.022 | 0.92 | -5.86 |
34.4%
|
| 10/10/26 06:31:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 62.01 % | 45.18 | +37.2% | 0.023 | 1.23 | 6.64 |
40.1%
|
| 10/06/26 23:51:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 40.95 % | 52.18 | -21.5% | -0.028 | -0.53 | -6.98 |
37.9%
|
| 10/03/26 23:51:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 62.13 % | 59.46 | +4.5% | 0.024 | 0.15 | 5.85 |
30.1%
|
| 10/02/26 10:46:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 47.38 % | 82.64 | -42.7% | -0.025 | -5.59 | - |
62.1%
|
| 10/02/26 10:41:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 54.92 % | 82.74 | -33.6% | -0.012 | -4.56 | - |
50.7%
|
| 10/02/26 10:31:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 53.35 % | 82.94 | -35.7% | -0.005 | -5.2 | - |
57.7%
|
| 10/02/26 10:26:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 54.99 % | 83.04 | -33.8% | -0.018 | -5.14 | - |
57.1%
|
| 10/02/26 09:46:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 63.22 % | 83.64 | -24.4% | -0.003 | -4.59 | - |
51%
|
| 10/02/26 09:41:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 64.03 % | 83.71 | -23.5% | 0.002 | -4.57 | - |
50.8%
|
| 10/02/26 09:36:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 63.28 % | 83.79 | -24.5% | -0.014 | -4.95 | - |
55%
|
| 10/02/26 09:21:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 62.67 % | 84 | -25.4% | -0.024 | -5.72 | - |
63.5%
|
| 09/29/26 08:21:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 87.8 % | 83.94 | +4.6% | 0.053 | 0.39 | 13.29 |
68.6%
|
| 09/25/26 13:26:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 72.42 % | 85.02 | -14.8% | 0.04 | -1.78 | 11.88 |
69.3%
|
| 09/25/26 13:21:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 60.29 % | 85.07 | -29.1% | 0.018 | -3.58 | 5.47 |
47.2%
|
| 09/25/26 13:11:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 54.28 % | 85.23 | -36.3% | -0.006 | -4.77 | - |
53%
|
| 09/25/26 13:06:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 56.01 % | 85.3 | -34.3% | 0.002 | -4.66 | - |
51.8%
|
| 09/25/26 13:01:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 55.29 % | 85.38 | -35.2% | -0.011 | -4.98 | - |
55.3%
|
| 09/25/26 12:56:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 58.48 % | 85.45 | -31.6% | -0.005 | -4.61 | - |
51.2%
|
| 09/25/26 12:51:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 59.89 % | 85.51 | -30% | -0.008 | -4.51 | - |
50.2%
|
| 09/25/26 11:46:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 67.04 % | 86.15 | -22.2% | -0.004 | -4.59 | - |
51%
|
| 09/25/26 11:36:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 67.48 % | 86.25 | -21.8% | -0.001 | -4.82 | - |
53.6%
|
| 09/25/26 11:31:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 67.92 % | 86.31 | -21.3% | -0.006 | -4.91 | - |
54.5%
|
| 09/25/26 11:26:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 69.68 % | 86.36 | -19.3% | -0.011 | -4.6 | - |
51.2%
|
| 09/25/26 11:11:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 74.44 % | 86.48 | -13.9% | -0.019 | -3.56 | -6.68 |
53.2%
|
| 09/22/26 16:01:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 56.1 % | 56.89 | -1.4% | 0.041 | -0.05 | 6.85 |
34.5%
|
| 09/21/26 17:36:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 42.05 % | 52.54 | -20% | 0.045 | -0.37 | 9.49 |
49.5%
|
| 09/21/26 17:31:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 28.55 % | 52.52 | -45.6% | 0.027 | -0.85 | 6.01 |
34.8%
|
| 09/19/26 13:01:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 67.13 % | 63.24 | +6.1% | 0.054 | 0.4 | 9.66 |
50.5%
|
| 09/18/26 02:01:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 74.83 % | 74.3 | +0.7% | -0.041 | 0.04 | -8.44 |
42.4%
|
| 09/15/26 07:46:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 68.81 % | 64.25 | +7.1% | -0.036 | 0.49 | -6.68 |
36.1%
|
| 09/13/26 04:56:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 47.69 % | 43.94 | +8.5% | -0.02 | 0.29 | -5.07 |
26.9%
|
| 09/13/26 04:11:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 57.1 % | 43.54 | +31.1% | 0.021 | 1.05 | 5.87 |
35.2%
|
| 09/12/26 15:31:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 28.17 % | 29.64 | -4.9% | 0.019 | -0.15 | 8.55 |
43.6%
|
| 09/10/26 14:46:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 42.73 % | 59.47 | -28.2% | 0.068 | -0.77 | 10.39 |
56.2%
|
| 09/10/26 13:56:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 38.53 % | 59.27 | -35% | 0.052 | -0.95 | 10.08 |
55.7%
|
| 09/07/26 19:16:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 53.26 % | 41.63 | +27.9% | 0.029 | 0.98 | 6.14 |
52%
|
| 09/07/26 17:51:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 53.98 % | 39.84 | +35.5% | 0.017 | 1.11 | 3.81 |
36.4%
|
| 09/07/26 17:41:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 46.59 % | 39.64 | +17.5% | 0.022 | 0.54 | 5.23 |
41.9%
|
| 09/07/26 16:31:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 46.51 % | 38.45 | +21% | 0.034 | 0.59 | 10.43 |
79.4%
|
| 09/07/26 16:16:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 36.33 % | 38.25 | -5% | 0.018 | -0.14 | 5.79 |
42.5%
|
| 09/07/26 06:56:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 50.29 % | 36.03 | +39.6% | -0.013 | 0.91 | -4.11 |
36.9%
|
| 09/07/26 06:51:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 54.19 % | 36.03 | +50.4% | -0.014 | 1.16 | -4.45 |
41.5%
|
| 09/07/26 06:26:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 61.68 % | 35.95 | +71.6% | -0.012 | 1.65 | -4.25 |
44.2%
|
| 09/07/26 05:06:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 60.53 % | 35.45 | +70.7% | 0.011 | 1.7 | 3.8 |
41.3%
|
| 09/07/26 01:06:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 41.5 % | 35 | +18.6% | 0.016 | 0.46 | 6.43 |
49.7%
|
| 09/06/26 09:36:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.9 % | 41.87 | -4.7% | 0.011 | -0.18 | 3.52 |
26.7%
|
| 09/06/26 09:01:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.41 % | 42.43 | -14.2% | -0.013 | -0.55 | -3.95 |
32.8%
|
| 09/05/26 19:16:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 32.91 % | 47.65 | -30.9% | 0.011 | -0.94 | 3.53 |
33%
|
| 09/05/26 07:51:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 61.53 % | 50.45 | +22% | -0.018 | 0.91 | -4.9 |
42.6%
|
| 09/04/26 17:11:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.94 % | 41.95 | +4.7% | -0.012 | 0.23 | -3.65 |
28%
|
| 09/04/26 17:01:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 45.32 % | 41.81 | +8.4% | 0.018 | 0.4 | 5.66 |
43.8%
|
| 09/04/26 15:21:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 35.77 % | 41.08 | -12.9% | -0.022 | -0.55 | -8.07 |
62.2%
|
| 09/04/26 15:01:24 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 40.04 % | 40.89 | -2.1% | 0.018 | -0.09 | 7.25 |
52.5%
|
| 09/02/26 07:31:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 57.32 % | 61.98 | -7.5% | -0.028 | -0.41 | -3.59 |
29.1%
|
| 09/02/26 02:41:23 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 63.06 % | 63.25 | -0.3% | -0.043 | -0.02 | -7.41 |
53%
|
| 09/01/26 02:51:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80.58 % | 51.5 | +56.5% | 0.025 | 1.99 | 3.65 |
42.6%
|
| 08/31/26 23:36:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 62.77 % | 51.23 | +22.5% | -0.025 | 0.81 | -3.78 |
33.7%
|
| 08/31/26 21:16:23 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 73.12 % | 49.9 | +46.5% | 0.047 | 1.88 | 8.24 |
74.5%
|
| 08/31/26 20:41:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 63.68 % | 49.94 | +27.5% | -0.021 | 1.11 | -3.74 |
35.9%
|
| 08/31/26 15:16:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 52.42 % | 52.77 | -0.7% | 0.023 | -0.03 | 5.1 |
36.6%
|
| 08/31/26 15:06:23 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.94 % | 52.89 | -18.8% | 0.018 | -0.77 | 4.31 |
37.2%
|
| 08/31/26 13:36:23 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 51.82 % | 53.12 | -2.4% | 0.037 | -0.1 | 9.21 |
66.6%
|
| 08/25/26 18:54:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 50.45 % | 49.91 | +1.1% | 0.017 | 0.03 | 3.63 |
26.2%
|
| 08/25/26 09:54:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 38.25 % | 50.97 | -24.9% | -0.017 | -0.79 | -3.6 |
32.3%
|
| 08/25/26 08:44:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 59.15 % | 51.99 | +13.8% | -0.017 | 0.43 | -3.72 |
30.2%
|
| 08/24/26 20:19:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 53.46 % | 59.29 | -9.8% | 0.018 | -0.25 | 3.92 |
30.1%
|
| 08/24/26 10:14:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.25 % | 63.93 | -24.5% | -0.02 | -0.86 | -4.67 |
40.5%
|
| 08/23/26 09:04:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 59.1 % | 50.29 | +17.5% | -0.028 | 0.41 | -4.5 |
35.6%
|
| 08/23/26 04:59:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 77.6 % | 49.15 | +57.9% | 0.021 | 1.41 | 3.81 |
39%
|
| 08/23/26 02:04:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 78.85 % | 47.94 | +64.5% | -0.017 | 1.64 | -3.6 |
39.4%
|
| 08/22/26 23:24:31 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 68.89 % | 44.68 | +54.2% | 0.038 | 1.54 | 9.88 |
83.4%
|
| 08/22/26 22:24:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.63 % | 44.23 | +10% | 0.018 | 0.28 | 4.44 |
34%
|
| 08/21/26 21:39:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 40.39 % | 47.2 | -14.4% | 0.021 | -0.48 | 3.55 |
29.4%
|
| 08/21/26 15:59:31 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 32.1 % | 48.59 | -33.9% | -0.033 | -1.11 | -5.56 |
49%
|
| 08/21/26 15:39:31 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.24 % | 48.48 | -19.1% | 0.029 | -0.62 | 5.24 |
42.6%
|
| 08/20/26 18:49:12 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 54.11 % | 58.44 | -7.4% | 0.029 | -0.23 | 5.54 |
41.5%
|
| 08/20/26 18:34:12 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 40.59 % | 58.6 | -30.7% | 0.024 | -0.97 | 4.99 |
43.7%
|
| 08/19/26 16:59:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 53.65 % | 51.58 | +4% | 0.086 | 0.09 | 10.34 |
74.6%
|
| 08/19/26 16:24:07 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 41.04 % | 51.49 | -20.3% | -0.035 | -0.46 | -4.47 |
35.8%
|
| 08/19/26 13:59:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 65.15 % | 50.28 | +29.6% | 0.06 | 0.65 | 8.59 |
66.7%
|
| 08/19/26 13:04:07 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 35.47 % | 51.08 | -30.6% | -0.024 | -0.68 | -3.55 |
31%
|
| 08/19/26 12:54:07 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 34.94 % | 51.27 | -31.9% | 0.025 | -0.71 | 4.09 |
35.2%
|
| 08/19/26 10:59:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 42.14 % | 54.6 | -22.8% | 0.041 | -0.53 | 7.52 |
58.1%
|
| 08/19/26 09:44:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 40.39 % | 57.28 | -29.5% | -0.034 | -0.7 | -6.5 |
52.3%
|
| 08/19/26 03:09:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 78.16 % | 57.87 | +35.1% | 0.05 | 0.84 | 11.94 |
92.2%
|
| 08/16/26 14:50:31 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 36.42 % | 67.03 | -45.7% | 0.049 | -1.57 | 6.83 |
61.9%
|
| 08/15/26 10:15:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 58.89 % | 68.74 | -14.3% | -0.033 | -0.59 | -4.8 |
39.2%
|
| 08/15/26 09:05:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 75.31 % | 68.48 | +10% | -0.025 | 0.41 | -3.89 |
31.2%
|
| 08/14/26 17:20:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 62.17 % | 62.09 | +0.1% | 0.033 | 0.01 | 5.82 |
41.6%
|
| 08/14/26 15:05:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 59.97 % | 60.99 | -1.7% | 0.031 | -0.07 | 6 |
43.4%
|
| 08/14/26 14:15:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.54 % | 60.5 | -19.8% | 0.023 | -0.79 | 4.43 |
38.2%
|
| 08/12/26 15:55:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 36.77 % | 45.43 | -19.1% | 0.028 | -0.8 | 5.31 |
44.6%
|
| 08/12/26 14:45:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 34.43 % | 45.01 | -23.5% | -0.028 | -0.91 | -5.62 |
47.7%
|
| 08/11/26 18:00:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 45.69 % | 39.29 | +16.3% | 0.025 | 0.54 | 6.55 |
51.3%
|
| 08/11/26 16:05:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 34.33 % | 38.86 | -11.7% | -0.013 | -0.38 | -3.57 |
28.6%
|
| 08/11/26 16:00:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 38.19 % | 38.86 | -1.7% | 0.024 | -0.06 | 7.25 |
52.2%
|
| 08/11/26 04:10:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 51.36 % | 35.91 | +43% | -0.016 | 1.44 | -4.29 |
42.7%
|
| 08/10/26 15:05:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 32.94 % | 28.13 | +17.1% | -0.013 | 0.58 | -3.58 |
30.4%
|
| 08/10/26 14:50:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 37.34 % | 27.92 | +33.7% | 0.043 | 1.12 | 16.66 |
100%
|
| 08/10/26 14:10:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 21.36 % | 27.71 | -22.9% | 0.013 | -0.74 | 5.41 |
44.8%
|
| 08/10/26 07:00:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.31 % | 27.92 | +55.1% | 0.011 | 1.85 | 4.56 |
48%
|
| 08/08/26 16:45:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 17.66 % | 31.12 | -43.2% | 0.014 | -0.97 | 3.64 |
34.1%
|
| 08/08/26 13:10:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 16.13 % | 31.98 | -49.6% | -0.014 | -1.2 | -3.56 |
35.4%
|
| 08/08/26 08:30:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 42.79 % | 32.6 | +31.3% | -0.032 | 0.76 | -9.25 |
72.5%
|
| 08/08/26 06:50:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 57.37 % | 31.94 | +79.6% | 0.022 | 2.08 | 6.96 |
67%
|
| 08/08/26 06:40:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 53.09 % | 31.89 | +66.5% | -0.012 | 1.74 | -4.22 |
44.6%
|
| 08/07/26 13:50:42 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 19.04 % | 31.47 | -39.5% | 0.015 | -0.91 | 4.51 |
39.8%
|
| 08/06/26 17:10:41 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 16.38 % | 38.91 | -57.9% | 0.026 | -1.09 | 5.06 |
45.2%
|
| 08/06/26 07:00:41 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 53.6 % | 56.4 | -5% | -0.018 | -0.15 | -3.7 |
27.7%
|
| 08/05/26 16:10:41 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 33.39 % | 52.8 | -36.8% | 0.02 | -1.09 | 3.67 |
35.3%
|
| 08/05/26 15:50:41 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 24.83 % | 52.83 | -53% | 0.035 | -1.58 | 6.94 |
62.7%
|
| 08/05/26 13:40:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.99 % | 55.61 | -74.8% | -0 | -3.02 | - |
50.4%
|
| 08/05/26 13:35:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.14 % | 55.78 | -74.7% | 0 | -3.07 | - |
51.1%
|
| 08/05/26 13:30:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.13 % | 55.96 | -74.7% | - | -3.13 | - |
52.1%
|
| 08/04/26 17:35:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 57.19 % | 44.59 | +28.2% | 0.032 | 0.69 | 7.75 |
61.2%
|
| 08/04/26 11:41:40 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 38.27 % | 39.01 | -1.9% | 0.03 | -0.03 | 8.9 |
63.9%
|
| 08/04/26 10:26:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.55 % | 38.94 | +1.6% | -0.016 | 0.03 | -4.98 |
35.8%
|
| 08/04/26 09:21:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 57.38 % | 38.37 | +49.6% | -0.011 | 0.88 | -3.85 |
34.8%
|
| 08/04/26 08:16:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 73.94 % | 37.32 | +98.1% | -0.012 | 1.77 | -4.23 |
44.9%
|
| 08/03/26 01:51:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.53 % | 40.58 | -2.6% | 0.011 | -0.06 | 3.54 |
25.8%
|
| 08/03/26 01:31:40 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.58 % | 40.87 | -10.5% | -0.016 | -0.26 | -4.97 |
37.6%
|
| 08/01/26 17:01:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 46.93 % | 62.55 | -25% | 0.026 | -0.97 | 3.82 |
35.3%
|
| 07/31/26 20:26:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 82.25 % | 58.47 | +40.7% | 0.045 | 2.19 | 8.59 |
79.6%
|
| 07/31/26 18:06:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 59.26 % | 55.88 | +6.1% | 0.023 | 0.29 | 4.18 |
32.2%
|
| 07/31/26 15:41:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 66.05 % | 53.04 | +24.5% | 0.028 | 0.89 | 5.33 |
45.5%
|
| 07/31/26 15:26:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 49.69 % | 52.76 | -5.8% | 0.021 | -0.21 | 4.03 |
30.5%
|
| 07/31/26 13:26:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 56.28 % | 51.53 | +9.2% | 0.017 | 0.29 | 3.62 |
28.3%
|
| 07/31/26 12:31:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 43.02 % | 51.05 | -15.7% | 0.017 | -0.49 | 3.76 |
30.9%
|
| 07/30/26 16:46:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 35.41 % | 54.44 | -35% | 0.034 | -0.9 | 7.76 |
62.9%
|
| 07/29/26 01:51:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 71.92 % | 62.08 | +15.9% | 0.026 | 0.6 | 3.7 |
31.4%
|
| 07/29/26 01:31:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 72.65 % | 62.22 | +16.8% | 0.029 | 0.63 | 4.38 |
36.5%
|
| 07/28/26 23:26:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 65 % | 62.94 | +3.3% | -0.023 | 0.12 | -3.58 |
26.6%
|
| 07/28/26 17:31:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 69.87 % | 53.92 | +29.6% | 0.038 | 0.86 | 6.81 |
55.8%
|
| 07/28/26 17:26:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 58.45 % | 53.81 | +8.6% | 0.034 | 0.25 | 6.46 |
48.2%
|
| 07/28/26 17:21:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 48.31 % | 53.74 | -10.1% | 0.023 | -0.29 | 4.47 |
34.3%
|
| 07/28/26 16:36:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 48.59 % | 53.25 | -8.8% | 0.03 | -0.24 | 6.54 |
48.7%
|
| 07/28/26 11:21:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 38.33 % | 52.99 | -27.7% | 0.026 | -0.76 | 6.25 |
50.9%
|
| 07/28/26 11:01:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 32.92 % | 53.14 | -38% | -0.015 | -1.05 | -3.7 |
35.2%
|
| 07/27/26 22:56:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 66.81 % | 51.18 | +30.5% | 0.015 | 0.89 | 3.58 |
33%
|
| 07/26/26 16:01:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 39.29 % | 47.34 | -17% | 0.014 | -0.73 | 3.97 |
34.5%
|
| 07/25/26 17:16:24 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 36.02 % | 44.6 | -19.2% | 0.025 | -0.55 | 4.43 |
36.2%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
87.993 %
(-0.36)
Target: 04:44 · 80% Cone: [83.06 – 92.93]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
87.427 %
(-0.93)
Target: 07:44 · 80% Cone: [80.8 – 94.06]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
80.4%
(46 checked)
MAE: 6.111 % · RMSE: 7.909 % · Fit R²=0.92
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
7 diverged
⚡ 7 anom
7 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 5.3σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 07:44:25 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 88.356 % | 87.427 % [80.8 – 94.06] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 04:44:25 (in 50m) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 88.356 % | 87.993 % [83.06 – 92.93] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 90.846 % | 100 % [95.54 – 100] | 88.42 % | -11.58 % | 3.3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 90.846 % | 95.674 % [92.35 – 99] | 87.26 % | -8.414 % | 3.23σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 07:44:25 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 88.356 % | 87.427 % [80.8 – 94.06] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 04:44:25 (in 50m) | 11/03 03:48:24 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.39 | 88.356 % | 87.993 % [83.06 – 92.93] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 90.846 % | 100 % [95.54 – 100] | 88.42 % | -11.58 % | 3.3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 90.846 % | 95.674 % [92.35 – 99] | 87.26 % | -8.414 % | 3.23σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/25/26 17:50:00 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.91 | 52.599 % | 75.852 % [70.22 – 81.49] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:50:00 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.91 | 52.599 % | 54.848 % [50.65 – 59.04] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 55.125 % | 70.263 % [64.98 – 75.55] | 73.71 % | +3.447 % | 0.83σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 16:19:54 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 55.125 % | 55.678 % [51.74 – 59.61] | 57.22 % | +1.542 % | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 07:34:54 | 10/23 03:38:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 85.883 % | 95.251 % [88.15 – 100] | 88.64 % | -6.611 % | 1.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:34:54 | 10/23 03:38:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 85.883 % | 88.178 % [82.89 – 93.47] | 79.36 % | -8.818 % | 2.13σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 01:14:54 | 10/22 21:19:41 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 86.872 % | 89.621 % [82.53 – 96.71] | 86.75 % | -2.871 % | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:19:54 | 10/22 18:20:49 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 92.424 % | 94.028 % [87.08 – 100] | 88.71 % | -5.318 % | 0.97σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:14:54 | 10/22 21:19:41 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 86.872 % | 87.981 % [82.71 – 93.26] | 88.71 % | +0.729 % | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 19:19:54 | 10/22 18:20:49 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 92.424 % | 92.437 % [87.27 – 97.61] | 84.61 % | -7.827 % | 1.93σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 05:04:54 | 10/22 01:09:32 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 87.303 % | 83.691 % [77.64 – 89.74] | 86.69 % | +2.999 % | 0.63σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:04:54 | 10/22 01:09:32 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 87.303 % | 84.329 % [79.83 – 88.83] | 81.68 % | -2.649 % | 0.75σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:34:54 | 10/21 17:39:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 50.637 % | 66.859 % [61.15 – 72.57] | 83.46 % | +16.601 % | 3.7σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 20:59:54 | 10/21 17:01:49 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.316 % | 63.26 % [57.58 – 68.94] | 86.97 % | +23.71 % | 5.3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 18:34:54 | 10/21 17:39:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 50.637 % | 56.092 % [51.84 – 60.34] | 66.25 % | +10.158 % | 3.05σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 17:59:54 | 10/21 17:01:49 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.316 % | 50.316 % [46.09 – 54.55] | 61.31 % | +10.994 % | 3.32σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 13:54:54 | 10/21 09:57:10 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 69.617 % | 50.582 % [42.5 – 58.67] | 38 % | -12.582 % | 1.98σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 10:54:54 | 10/21 09:57:10 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 69.617 % | 64.529 % [58.51 – 70.55] | 58.37 % | -6.159 % | 1.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:44:54 | 10/21 05:45:31 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 76.392 % | 74.749 % [66.49 – 83.01] | 66.54 % | -8.209 % | 1.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:44:54 | 10/21 05:45:31 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 76.392 % | 78.958 % [72.81 – 85.11] | 80.2 % | +1.242 % | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:44:54 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 69.141 % | 81.675 % [76.77 – 86.58] | 74.48 % | -7.195 % | 1.86σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 02:44:54 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 69.141 % | 71.996 % [68.35 – 75.65] | 68.56 % | -3.436 % | 1.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:34:54 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 49.491 % | 71.758 % [66.67 – 76.85] | 53.19 % | -18.568 % | 4.64σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 16:34:54 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 49.491 % | 50.818 % [47.03 – 54.61] | 45.14 % | -5.678 % | 1.91σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/20/26 12:34:54 | 10/20 08:38:42 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 85.91 % | 69.818 % [61.73 – 77.91] | 66.46 % | -3.358 % | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 09:34:54 | 10/20 08:38:42 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 85.91 % | 83.172 % [77.15 – 89.2] | 88.55 % | +5.378 % | 1.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 08:34:54 | 10/20 04:34:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 84.208 % | 81.033 % [72.81 – 89.26] | 86.97 % | +5.937 % | 0.92σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 08:34:54 | 10/20 07:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 86.638 % | 84.556 % [78.62 – 90.49] | 86.97 % | +2.414 % | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 07:34:54 | 10/20 06:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 87.601 % | 86.545 % [80.49 – 92.6] | 86.49 % | -0.055 % | 0.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 05:34:54 | 10/20 04:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96 | 84.208 % | 84.818 % [78.7 – 90.94] | 84.19 % | -0.628 % | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 04:34:54 | 10/20 00:34:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 76.494 % | 75.424 % [66.88 – 83.97] | 83.89 % | +8.466 % | 1.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 01:34:54 | 10/20 00:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 76.494 % | 75.652 % [69.29 – 82.01] | 77.66 % | -0.822 % | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 00:34:54 | 10/19 20:34:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 71.827 % | 71.09 % [62.78 – 79.4] | 73.27 % | +2.42 % | 0.37σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:34:54 | 10/19 20:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 71.827 % | 74.522 % [68.34 – 80.71] | 68.28 % | -6.242 % | 1.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 20:34:54 | 10/19 16:34:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 44.963 % | 67.49 % [59.35 – 75.63] | 67.2 % | -0.29 % | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 17:34:54 | 10/19 16:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 44.963 % | 50.726 % [44.66 – 56.79] | 53.91 % | +3.184 % | 0.67σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 16:34:54 | 10/19 12:34:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 47.817 % | 57.743 % [49.96 – 65.53] | 46.06 % | -11.683 % | 1.91σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 13:34:54 | 10/19 12:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 47.817 % | 46.936 % [41.14 – 52.73] | 46.19 % | -0.746 % | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 12:34:54 | 10/19 08:34:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 66.829 % | 55.629 % [47.9 – 63.36] | 50.98 % | -4.649 % | 0.77σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 09:34:54 | 10/19 08:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 66.829 % | 64.594 % [58.84 – 70.35] | 61.87 % | -2.724 % | 0.6σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 08:34:54 | 10/19 04:34:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 63.73 % | 59.664 % [52.02 – 67.31] | 65.51 % | +5.846 % | 0.97σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 05:34:54 | 10/19 04:34:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 63.73 % | 62.872 % [57.18 – 68.56] | 65.56 % | +2.688 % | 0.6σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 04:34:46 | 10/19 00:34:46 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 65.636 % | 52.717 % [45.17 – 60.26] | 64.9 % | +12.183 % | 2.05σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 01:34:46 | 10/19 00:34:46 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 65.636 % | 60.897 % [55.28 – 66.51] | 62.35 % | +1.453 % | 0.33σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 00:34:46 | 10/18 20:34:46 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87 | 67.504 % | 72.378 % [63.1 – 81.66] | 62.67 % | -8.368 % | 1.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 21:34:46 | 10/18 20:34:46 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.87 | 67.504 % | 69.409 % [62.5 – 76.32] | 65.16 % | -4.249 % | 0.78σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 90.846 % | 100 % [95.54 – 100] | 88.42 % | -11.58 % | 3.3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:30 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 90.846 % | 95.674 % [92.35 – 99] | 87.26 % | -8.414 % | 3.23σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 04:34:54 | 10/23 03:38:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 85.883 % | 88.178 % [82.89 – 93.47] | 79.36 % | -8.818 % | 2.13σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 21:34:54 | 10/21 17:39:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 50.637 % | 66.859 % [61.15 – 72.57] | 83.46 % | +16.601 % | 3.7σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 20:59:54 | 10/21 17:01:49 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.316 % | 63.26 % [57.58 – 68.94] | 86.97 % | +23.71 % | 5.3σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 18:34:54 | 10/21 17:39:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 50.637 % | 56.092 % [51.84 – 60.34] | 66.25 % | +10.158 % | 3.05σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 17:59:54 | 10/21 17:01:49 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 45.316 % | 50.316 % [46.09 – 54.55] | 61.31 % | +10.994 % | 3.32σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/20/26 19:34:54 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97 | 49.491 % | 71.758 % [66.67 – 76.85] | 53.19 % | -18.568 % | 4.64σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/19/26 04:34:46 | 10/19 00:34:46 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94 | 65.636 % | 52.717 % [45.17 – 60.26] | 64.9 % | +12.183 % | 2.05σ | ~ Minor Drift |