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/ root / Laker / Outside / WS1 / Temperature / WS1 Temperature | Dist: 28.58 - 52.16 (°F)

/ root / Laker / Outside / WS1 / Temperature / WS1 Temperature

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 22:11:37	WARNING	Rate Spike	33.8 °F	36.98	-8.6%	0.005	-0.96	6.92	39.9%
11/02/26 07:46:35	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	33.26 °F	42.779	-22.25%	-0.49	5.61	-	99.5%

Timestamp	Severity	Type	Value	Baseline	% vs Base	Rate of Change	Z-Value	Z-Rate	Confidence
11/02/26 22:11:37	WARNING	Rate Spike	33.8 °F	36.98	-8.6%	0.005	-0.96	6.92	39.9%
11/02/26 07:46:35	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	33.26 °F	42.779	-22.25%	-0.49	5.61	-	99.5%
11/01/26 06:37:50	WARNING	Rate Spike	40.46 °F	41.99	-3.6%	0.007	-0.36	5.06	27.3%
10/30/26 02:52:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	43.88 °F	46.78	-6.2%	-0.008	-0.68	-6.62	36.9%
10/25/26 09:06:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	38.48 °F	34.88	+10.3%	0.005	1.12	5.6	34.2%
10/23/26 17:55:49	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	43.88 °F	46.24	-5.1%	-0.014	-0.46	-10.62	55.6%
10/22/26 22:40:44	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	44.96 °F	39.142	+14.86%	-2.88	2.67	-	99.5%
10/22/26 20:50:43	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	46.22 °F	40.843	+13.17%	-0.543	3.03	-	99.5%
10/22/26 19:40:42	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	46.4 °F	39.322	+18%	-2.88	4.38	-	99.5%
10/22/26 17:25:41	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	42.98 °F	54.096	-20.55%	1.863	5.18	-	99.5%
10/22/26 16:35:41	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	46.04 °F	53.419	-13.81%	-0.569	4.72	-	99.5%
10/22/26 15:55:41	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	48.02 °F	57.927	-17.1%	2.919	4.66	-	99.5%
10/22/26 11:00:41	WARNING	Rate Spike	50.18 °F	49.02	+2.4%	0.007	0.18	5.4	28%
10/21/26 07:45:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	40.46 °F	44.64	-9.4%	0.011	-0.65	6.51	36.2%
10/18/26 18:10:21	WARNING	Forecast Divergence	48.2 °F	44.302	+8.8%	-4.717	2.65	-	99.5%
10/18/26 17:10:21	CRITICAL	Forecast Divergence (Critical)	47.12 °F	58.089	-18.88%	3.4	5.73	-	99.5%
10/16/26 23:55:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	34.7 °F	35.72	-2.8%	0.01	-0.11	6.05	30.8%
10/16/26 17:55:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	43.7 °F	35.9	+21.7%	-0.007	0.86	-5.5	32.3%
10/16/26 17:50:20	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	45.86 °F	35.87	+27.8%	-0.01	1.11	-8.68	49.6%
10/11/26 16:53:31	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	49.28 °F	54.78	-10%	-0.019	-1.23	-11.29	63.3%
10/11/26 16:48:31	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	55.04 °F	54.81	+0.4%	-0.015	0.05	-10.25	51.5%
10/05/26 22:42:11	WARNING	Rate Spike	48.92 °F	51.91	-5.8%	0.01	-0.38	6.71	35.7%
10/03/26 18:17:04	WARNING	Rate Spike	61.34 °F	52.82	+16.1%	-0.01	0.83	-5.7	33.1%
10/02/26 18:22:03	WARNING	Rate Spike	56.3 °F	44.63	+26.1%	-0.008	0.99	-5.29	32%
10/01/26 18:17:01	WARNING	Rate Spike	47.12 °F	42.49	+10.9%	-0.005	2.42	-5.94	43.1%
10/01/26 18:02:01	WARNING	Rate Spike	47.3 °F	42.46	+11.4%	0.005	2.64	5.76	43.5%
10/01/26 15:57:00	WARNING	Rate Spike	46.04 °F	42.51	+8.3%	0.004	1.81	5.05	35.3%
10/01/26 14:17:00	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	43.34 °F	42.71	+1.5%	-0.005	0.3	-7.67	40%
09/29/26 08:56:57	WARNING	Rate Spike	47.84 °F	48.02	-0.4%	0.005	-0.09	5.54	28.2%
09/29/26 08:26:57	WARNING	Rate Spike	45.86 °F	48.09	-4.6%	-0.006	-1.09	-6.67	39.4%
09/29/26 08:21:57	WARNING	Rate Spike	47.66 °F	48.1	-0.9%	-0.006	-0.21	-7.25	37.4%
09/29/26 08:11:57	WARNING	Rate Spike	48.92 °F	48.09	+1.7%	0.004	0.41	5.32	28.8%
09/25/26 13:31:46	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	52.52 °F	48.11	+9.2%	-0.011	1.09	-9.58	54%
09/25/26 13:26:46	WARNING	Rate Spike	55.94 °F	48.1	+16.3%	-0.007	1.95	-6.5	43.3%
09/25/26 13:21:46	WARNING	Rate Spike	58.1 °F	48.08	+20.8%	-0.005	2.52	-5.11	39.6%
09/25/26 12:06:45	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	57.2 °F	47.82	+19.6%	-0.006	2.73	-7.61	53.2%
09/22/26 16:01:42	WARNING	Rate Spike	58.82 °F	54.83	+7.3%	-0.01	0.57	-5.19	29.1%
09/20/26 18:16:38	WARNING	Rate Spike	65.12 °F	52.36	+24.4%	-0.01	1.17	-5.05	31.8%
09/19/26 13:06:38	WARNING	Rate Spike	51.8 °F	54.8	-5.5%	-0.015	-0.49	-6.7	36.2%
09/19/26 13:01:38	WARNING	Rate Spike	56.3 °F	54.81	+2.7%	-0.013	0.24	-5.97	31.2%
09/19/26 02:56:38	WARNING	Rate Spike	49.1 °F	55.51	-11.5%	-0.011	-1.53	-6.03	38.6%
09/17/26 17:41:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	59.9 °F	56.27	+6.4%	-0.008	0.62	-5.04	28.6%
09/12/26 16:05:15	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.72 °F	63.14	+23.1%	0.011	1.35	5.01	32.5%
09/07/26 17:54:45	WARNING	Rate Spike	62.96 °F	68.13	-7.6%	-0.01	-0.85	-4.18	36.9%
09/07/26 13:44:45	WARNING	Rate Spike	76.28 °F	68.87	+10.8%	-0.008	1.09	-3.59	34.8%
09/07/26 02:39:41	WARNING	Rate Spike	60.98 °F	66.77	-8.7%	-0.008	-0.65	-3.7	31.9%
09/04/26 14:54:14	WARNING	Rate Spike	73.76 °F	65.92	+11.9%	-0.008	1.27	-4.22	40.7%
09/04/26 13:54:14	WARNING	Rate Spike	71.6 °F	65.81	+8.8%	-0.007	0.96	-3.62	33.8%
09/03/26 00:29:04	WARNING	Rate Spike	59.18 °F	62.23	-4.9%	0.008	-0.4	4.13	32.8%
09/03/26 00:19:04	WARNING	Rate Spike	57.02 °F	62.22	-8.4%	-0.007	-0.68	-3.65	31.7%
09/01/26 02:53:55	WARNING	Rate Spike	51.26 °F	58.27	-12%	-0.01	-1.08	-4.36	40.2%
08/31/26 15:18:55	WARNING	Rate Spike	62.96 °F	60.18	+4.6%	-0.011	0.39	-4.67	36.6%
08/31/26 03:08:51	WARNING	Rate Spike	55.04 °F	60.63	-9.2%	0.009	-0.87	4.25	37.6%
08/30/26 14:13:48	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	63.86 °F	64.15	-0.5%	-0.018	-0.05	-6.99	50.3%
08/30/26 02:13:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	55.76 °F	64.18	-13.1%	-0.011	-1.33	-4.3	41.8%
08/29/26 13:43:37	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	64.94 °F	64.62	+0.5%	-0.024	0.04	-9.68	69.5%
08/29/26 06:18:34	WARNING	Rate Spike	54.14 °F	63.78	-15.1%	0.009	-1.12	3.65	35.4%
08/28/26 16:58:27	WARNING	Rate Spike	69.26 °F	62.55	+10.7%	-0.009	0.72	-3.5	31%
08/28/26 16:08:27	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.72 °F	62.39	+24.6%	0.009	1.69	3.56	39.5%
08/28/26 00:58:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	58.46 °F	60.01	-2.6%	0.01	-0.2	4.28	32.2%
08/28/26 00:43:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	54.14 °F	60.01	-9.8%	0.009	-0.75	4.14	35.8%
08/27/26 16:58:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	68.18 °F	61.72	+10.5%	-0.01	0.77	-3.8	33.6%
08/27/26 15:58:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	75.02 °F	61.86	+21.3%	0.01	1.53	3.81	40%
08/26/26 18:23:12	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	59 °F	61.46	-4%	-0.019	-0.24	-7.42	55%
08/26/26 18:18:12	WARNING	Rate Spike	64.58 °F	61.48	+5%	-0.01	0.3	-3.93	30.5%
08/26/26 14:58:10	WARNING	Rate Spike	76.64 °F	61.37	+24.9%	0.009	1.47	3.57	37.8%
08/25/26 17:38:02	WARNING	Rate Spike	72.5 °F	62.51	+16%	0.011	0.87	4.11	36.6%
08/24/26 17:12:58	WARNING	Rate Spike	81.68 °F	60.94	+34%	0.009	1.96	3.92	44.3%
08/24/26 16:57:58	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	79.34 °F	60.87	+30.3%	-0.015	1.76	-7.37	67.3%
08/23/26 15:27:52	WARNING	Rate Spike	73.58 °F	64.95	+13.3%	-0.008	0.94	-3.68	34.1%
08/23/26 09:02:52	WARNING	Rate Spike	62.06 °F	65.33	-5%	0.008	-0.33	3.54	28.1%
08/23/26 02:12:52	WARNING	Rate Spike	55.94 °F	64.32	-13%	0.01	-0.76	4.49	38.4%
08/22/26 23:27:52	WARNING	Rate Spike	58.46 °F	65.16	-10.3%	-0.008	-0.64	-3.63	31.3%
08/21/26 16:02:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	77 °F	62.33	+23.5%	0.008	1.4	3.58	37.2%
08/21/26 14:42:43	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.24 °F	62.61	+28.2%	-0.01	1.62	-4.07	42.6%
08/21/26 05:27:41	WARNING	Rate Spike	50.54 °F	61.1	-17.3%	0.009	-1.06	3.91	36.8%
08/20/26 18:57:36	WARNING	Rate Spike	60.98 °F	61.92	-1.5%	-0.01	-0.1	-4.15	30.5%
08/19/26 17:02:32	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	63.32 °F	66.65	-5%	-0.036	-0.37	-13.25	97.7%
08/19/26 16:32:32	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.66 °F	66.8	+11.8%	0.013	0.85	4.81	41.4%
08/19/26 14:17:32	WARNING	Rate Spike	67.28 °F	67.7	-0.6%	0.012	-0.04	4.75	34.3%
08/19/26 14:02:32	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	66.74 °F	67.83	-1.6%	-0.016	-0.11	-6.62	48.2%
08/17/26 16:47:27	WARNING	Rate Spike	79.16 °F	61.99	+27.7%	-0.009	1.51	-3.54	37.9%
08/17/26 16:42:27	WARNING	Rate Spike	81.86 °F	61.98	+32.1%	-0.009	1.75	-3.63	40.6%
08/16/26 15:02:25	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.84 °F	61.7	+21.3%	-0.011	1.23	-4.24	40.5%
08/15/26 18:47:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	65.48 °F	61	+7.3%	-0.008	0.51	-3.77	31.2%
08/15/26 16:42:22	WARNING	Rate Spike	73.04 °F	60.58	+20.6%	-0.01	1.45	-3.55	37.5%
08/14/26 17:27:20	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	56.84 °F	60.57	-6.2%	-0.025	-0.48	-10.19	76.8%
08/14/26 17:22:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	64.4 °F	60.58	+6.3%	-0.01	0.49	-3.98	32.5%
08/14/26 15:42:20	WARNING	Rate Spike	70.52 °F	60.79	+16%	0.008	1.2	3.71	36.5%
08/14/26 15:12:18	WARNING	Rate Spike	65.66 °F	60.95	+7.7%	-0.008	0.57	-3.72	31.3%
08/14/26 13:42:18	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.66 °F	61.02	+22.3%	-0.008	1.63	-3.77	40.5%
08/14/26 13:22:18	WARNING	Rate Spike	74.12 °F	60.97	+21.6%	0.01	1.59	4.46	45.1%
08/13/26 12:12:17	WARNING	Rate Spike	68.9 °F	64.27	+7.2%	0.009	0.68	3.64	31.7%
08/12/26 16:52:15	WARNING	Rate Spike	72.68 °F	64.41	+12.8%	0.009	1.14	3.86	37.1%
08/12/26 16:02:14	WARNING	Rate Spike	66.56 °F	64.77	+2.8%	-0.011	0.23	-4.72	35.7%
08/12/26 15:57:14	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	69.8 °F	64.8	+7.7%	-0.013	0.65	-5.84	47.1%
08/12/26 15:52:14	WARNING	Rate Spike	73.58 °F	64.83	+13.5%	-0.008	1.13	-3.69	35.8%
08/12/26 13:27:13	WARNING	Rate Spike	75.56 °F	65.35	+15.6%	0.008	1.18	3.98	38.3%
08/12/26 06:22:13	WARNING	Rate Spike	60.98 °F	64.82	-5.9%	0.01	-0.42	4.7	37.1%
08/11/26 04:22:10	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	60.26 °F	67.31	-10.5%	0.012	-0.82	5.39	45.3%
08/11/26 04:17:10	WARNING	Rate Spike	56.66 °F	67.32	-15.8%	0.008	-1.25	3.88	38.1%
08/10/26 16:12:10	WARNING	Rate Spike	78.26 °F	69.59	+12.5%	-0.01	1.1	-3.96	37.5%
08/10/26 15:52:10	WARNING	Rate Spike	77.54 °F	69.68	+11.3%	0.008	0.99	3.7	34.7%
08/10/26 04:12:09	WARNING	Rate Spike	61.52 °F	68.45	-10.1%	0.009	-0.78	3.97	34.8%
08/09/26 15:17:07	WARNING	Rate Spike	80.06 °F	69.13	+15.8%	-0.009	1.11	-4.33	40.1%
08/09/26 15:12:07	WARNING	Rate Spike	82.76 °F	69.11	+19.7%	-0.008	1.38	-4.18	41.4%
08/09/26 04:16:09	WARNING	Rate Spike	60.98 °F	65.29	-6.6%	0.01	-0.45	4.74	37.6%
08/07/26 13:55:20	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	76.46 °F	68.12	+12.2%	-0.015	0.93	-5.94	50.2%
08/07/26 13:40:20	CRITICAL	Extreme Rate Spike	83.12 °F	68.08	+22.1%	-0.014	1.69	-5.81	55.6%
08/06/26 16:49:12	WARNING	Rate Spike	84.56 °F	69.99	+20.8%	0.01	1.38	4.15	41.2%
08/06/26 06:09:09	WARNING	Rate Spike	51.98 °F	57.72	-9.9%	0.005	-1.72	4.73	48.1%

/ root / Laker / Outside / WS1 / Temperature / WS1 Temperature

📈 Forecast Chart All Sensors ↗

🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)

28.03 °F (-0.55)

Target: 04:01 · 80% Cone: [26.5 – 29.56]

🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)

25.114 °F (-3.47)

Target: 07:01 · 80% Cone: [23.06 – 27.17]

🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy

81% (84 checked)

MAE: 2.812 °F · RMSE: 3.882 °F · Fit R²=0.96

🚨 Historical Failures & Drift

11 diverged ⚡ 11 anom

14 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 5.73σ

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 07:01:37 (in 3.9h)	11/03 03:03:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	28.58 °F	25.114 °F [23.06 – 27.17]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 04:01:37 (in 51m)	11/03 03:03:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	28.58 °F	28.03 °F [26.5 – 29.56]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:47:55	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	39.66 °F	42.779 °F [40.62 – 44.94]	33.26 °F	-9.519 °F	5.61σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:47:55	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	39.66 °F	39.56 °F [37.95 – 41.17]	38.3 °F	-1.26 °F	1σ	✓ Accurate

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/03/26 07:01:37 (in 3.9h)	11/03 03:03:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	28.58 °F	25.114 °F [23.06 – 27.17]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/03/26 04:01:37 (in 51m)	11/03 03:03:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	28.58 °F	28.03 °F [26.5 – 29.56]	⏳ Waiting	-	-	⏳ Pending
11/02/26 07:47:55	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	39.66 °F	42.779 °F [40.62 – 44.94]	33.26 °F	-9.519 °F	5.61σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
11/02/26 04:47:55	11/02 03:48:39	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	39.66 °F	39.56 °F [37.95 – 41.17]	38.3 °F	-1.26 °F	1σ	✓ Accurate
10/26/26 11:37:33	10/26 07:38:58	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	34.527 °F	36.414 °F [32.82 – 40.01]	41.9 °F	+5.486 °F	1.94σ	~ Minor Drift
10/26/26 08:37:33	10/26 07:38:58	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	34.527 °F	33.968 °F [31.29 – 36.65]	34.88 °F	+0.912 °F	0.43σ	✓ Accurate
10/25/26 17:51:43	10/25 13:54:50	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	48.799 °F	36.521 °F [34.08 – 38.96]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/25/26 14:51:43	10/25 13:54:50	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	48.799 °F	46.35 °F [44.53 – 48.17]	No reading	-	-	No Reading
10/23/26 19:20:48	10/23 15:24:07	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93	55.471 °F	47.777 °F [45.29 – 50.26]	44.96 °F	-2.817 °F	1.44σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 16:20:48	10/23 15:24:07	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.93	55.471 °F	54.393 °F [52.55 – 56.24]	54.68 °F	+0.287 °F	0.2σ	✓ Accurate
10/23/26 00:30:42	10/22 20:35:31	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	41.714 °F	43.042 °F [39.96 – 46.12]	39.92 °F	-3.122 °F	1.29σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 23:50:42	10/22 19:52:54	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	40.54 °F	41.933 °F [38.89 – 44.98]	42.08 °F	+0.147 °F	0.06σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 22:40:42	10/22 18:41:45	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	40.2 °F	39.142 °F [36.37 – 41.92]	44.96 °F	+5.818 °F	2.67σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 21:30:42	10/22 20:35:31	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	41.714 °F	42.086 °F [39.79 – 44.38]	44.6 °F	+2.514 °F	1.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 20:50:42	10/22 19:52:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	40.54 °F	40.843 °F [38.58 – 43.11]	46.22 °F	+5.377 °F	3.03σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 20:50:41	10/22 16:51:38	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	47.744 °F	41.135 °F [38.45 – 43.82]	46.22 °F	+5.085 °F	2.41σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 19:40:42	10/22 18:41:45	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	40.2 °F	39.322 °F [37.26 – 41.39]	46.4 °F	+7.078 °F	4.38σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 19:35:41	10/22 15:37:48	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.715 °F	47.136 °F [44.46 – 49.81]	45.5 °F	-1.636 °F	0.78σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 17:50:41	10/22 16:51:38	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	47.744 °F	45.879 °F [43.88 – 47.88]	42.62 °F	-3.259 °F	2.08σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 17:25:41	10/22 13:26:55	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.467 °F	54.096 °F [51.37 – 56.83]	42.98 °F	-11.116 °F	5.18σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 17:05:41	10/22 13:06:02	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.194 °F	55.344 °F [52.6 – 58.09]	43.88 °F	-11.464 °F	5.32σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 16:40:41	10/22 12:42:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.424 °F	56.473 °F [53.71 – 59.24]	45.14 °F	-11.333 °F	5.22σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 16:35:41	10/22 15:37:48	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.715 °F	53.419 °F [51.43 – 55.41]	46.04 °F	-7.379 °F	4.72σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 15:55:41	10/22 11:56:22	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	51.71 °F	57.927 °F [55.22 – 60.63]	48.02 °F	-9.907 °F	4.66σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 14:25:41	10/22 13:26:55	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.467 °F	56.523 °F [54.49 – 58.56]	53.6 °F	-2.923 °F	1.84σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 14:05:41	10/22 13:06:02	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.194 °F	56.661 °F [54.62 – 58.7]	53.24 °F	-3.421 °F	2.14σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 13:40:41	10/22 12:42:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.424 °F	56.275 °F [54.22 – 58.33]	53.24 °F	-3.035 °F	1.88σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 12:55:41	10/22 11:56:22	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	51.71 °F	55.001 °F [52.99 – 57.01]	53.6 °F	-1.401 °F	0.89σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 11:00:38	10/22 07:04:38	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.263 °F	51.609 °F [48.84 – 54.38]	50.18 °F	-1.429 °F	0.66σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 09:30:38	10/22 05:34:25	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.693 °F	46.815 °F [44.08 – 49.55]	43.7 °F	-3.115 °F	1.45σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 08:00:38	10/22 07:04:38	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.263 °F	43.648 °F [41.59 – 45.71]	42.98 °F	-0.668 °F	0.41σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 06:30:38	10/22 05:34:25	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.693 °F	42.883 °F [40.85 – 44.92]	42.26 °F	-0.623 °F	0.39σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 04:15:36	10/22 00:18:02	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.792 °F	41.064 °F [38.33 – 43.8]	44.96 °F	+3.896 °F	1.81σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 03:35:36	10/21 23:39:04	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.629 °F	41.453 °F [38.64 – 44.26]	44.6 °F	+3.147 °F	1.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 03:15:36	10/21 23:18:09	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	43.535 °F	41.591 °F [38.86 – 44.32]	44.96 °F	+3.369 °F	1.57σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 02:30:36	10/21 22:34:35	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.298 °F	41.879 °F [39.07 – 44.69]	46.04 °F	+4.161 °F	1.88σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 01:15:36	10/22 00:18:02	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.792 °F	43.232 °F [41.2 – 45.27]	44.78 °F	+1.548 °F	0.97σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:35:36	10/21 23:39:04	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.629 °F	43.091 °F [41 – 45.18]	44.24 °F	+1.149 °F	0.7σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:35:35	10/21 20:38:11	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	43.842 °F	40.849 °F [38.09 – 43.6]	44.24 °F	+3.391 °F	1.56σ	✓ Accurate
10/22/26 00:15:36	10/21 23:18:09	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	43.535 °F	42.98 °F [40.95 – 45.01]	44.06 °F	+1.08 °F	0.68σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 23:30:36	10/21 22:34:35	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	43.298 °F	42.678 °F [40.59 – 44.77]	43.34 °F	+0.662 °F	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:35:35	10/21 20:38:11	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	43.842 °F	41.899 °F [39.85 – 43.95]	45.32 °F	+3.421 °F	2.13σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 21:30:35	10/21 17:31:04	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	55.954 °F	44.047 °F [41.3 – 46.8]	44.96 °F	+0.913 °F	0.42σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 21:05:35	10/21 17:06:00	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	57.717 °F	45.307 °F [42.55 – 48.07]	45.32 °F	+0.013 °F	0.01σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 19:10:35	10/21 15:14:36	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	62.098 °F	51.238 °F [48.41 – 54.06]	48.56 °F	-2.678 °F	1.21σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:30:35	10/21 17:31:04	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	55.954 °F	52.384 °F [50.34 – 54.43]	49.46 °F	-2.924 °F	1.82σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 18:10:35	10/21 14:13:20	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	62.246 °F	53.902 °F [51 – 56.8]	50.9 °F	-3.002 °F	1.32σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 18:05:35	10/21 17:06:00	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	57.717 °F	54.416 °F [52.36 – 56.47]	51.44 °F	-2.976 °F	1.85σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 17:45:35	10/21 13:46:52	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	61.918 °F	55.089 °F [52.21 – 57.97]	53.24 °F	-1.849 °F	0.82σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 17:00:35	10/21 13:05:05	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	60.547 °F	56.967 °F [54.1 – 59.84]	56.48 °F	-0.487 °F	0.22σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:25:35	10/21 12:26:01	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	58.838 °F	58.184 °F [55.31 – 61.06]	58.46 °F	+0.276 °F	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 16:10:35	10/21 15:14:36	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	62.098 °F	60.852 °F [58.75 – 62.96]	59.54 °F	-1.312 °F	0.8σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 15:10:35	10/21 14:13:20	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	62.246 °F	62.073 °F [59.91 – 64.23]	62.42 °F	+0.347 °F	0.21σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:45:35	10/21 13:46:52	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	61.918 °F	62.27 °F [60.13 – 64.41]	61.34 °F	-0.93 °F	0.55σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:35:35	10/21 10:40:04	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	49.971 °F	58.587 °F [55.58 – 61.59]	61.52 °F	+2.933 °F	1.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:10:35	10/21 10:13:37	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	47.812 °F	58.026 °F [54.99 – 61.06]	60.98 °F	+2.954 °F	1.24σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 14:00:35	10/21 13:05:05	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	60.547 °F	61.854 °F [59.72 – 63.99]	60.8 °F	-1.054 °F	0.63σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:45:35	10/21 09:47:10	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	45.603 °F	56.889 °F [53.89 – 59.88]	60.62 °F	+3.731 °F	1.58σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 13:25:35	10/21 12:26:01	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	58.838 °F	60.845 °F [58.7 – 62.99]	59.9 °F	-0.945 °F	0.56σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:35:35	10/21 10:40:04	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	49.971 °F	53.486 °F [51.25 – 55.72]	55.94 °F	+2.454 °F	1.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 11:10:35	10/21 10:13:37	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	47.812 °F	51.479 °F [49.22 – 53.74]	54.14 °F	+2.661 °F	1.5σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 10:45:35	10/21 09:47:10	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	45.603 °F	49.122 °F [46.89 – 51.35]	50.9 °F	+1.778 °F	1.02σ	✓ Accurate
10/21/26 05:45:33	10/21 01:49:34	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	38.628 °F	39.229 °F [36.97 – 41.49]	36.32 °F	-2.909 °F	1.64σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 02:45:33	10/21 01:49:34	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	38.628 °F	38.871 °F [37.19 – 40.55]	37.94 °F	-0.931 °F	0.71σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 19:35:30	10/20 15:37:05	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.359 °F	47.245 °F [44.8 – 49.69]	48.02 °F	+0.775 °F	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 16:35:30	10/20 15:37:05	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.359 °F	54.161 °F [52.34 – 55.98]	55.94 °F	+1.779 °F	1.25σ	✓ Accurate
10/20/26 01:10:26	10/19 21:14:51	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	42.652 °F	41.259 °F [38.3 – 44.22]	44.24 °F	+2.981 °F	1.28σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 22:10:26	10/19 21:14:51	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	42.652 °F	41.717 °F [39.51 – 43.92]	44.24 °F	+2.523 °F	1.46σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 21:10:25	10/19 20:10:25	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	43.596 °F	41.71 °F [39.52 – 43.91]	44.78 °F	+3.07 °F	1.79σ	~ Minor Drift
10/19/26 21:10:25	10/19 17:10:25	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	54.991 °F	43.855 °F [40.95 – 46.76]	44.78 °F	+0.925 °F	0.4σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 20:10:25	10/19 19:10:25	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	46.41 °F	43.372 °F [41.16 – 45.59]	44.96 °F	+1.588 °F	0.91σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 18:10:25	10/19 17:10:25	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	54.991 °F	52.145 °F [49.98 – 54.31]	49.64 °F	-2.505 °F	1.48σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 17:10:25	10/19 13:10:25	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	56.804 °F	54.5 °F [51.66 – 57.34]	53.06 °F	-1.44 °F	0.64σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 14:10:25	10/19 13:10:25	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	56.804 °F	58.366 °F [56.25 – 60.48]	58.64 °F	-1.166 °F	0.7σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 13:10:25	10/19 09:10:25	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	42.499 °F	56.521 °F [53.75 – 59.3]	53.96 °F	-2.561 °F	1.17σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 10:10:25	10/19 09:10:25	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	42.499 °F	45.698 °F [43.63 – 47.76]	45.5 °F	-0.198 °F	0.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 09:10:23	10/19 05:10:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	36.752 °F	41.818 °F [39.02 – 44.61]	42.62 °F	+0.802 °F	0.36σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 06:10:23	10/19 05:10:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	36.752 °F	36.446 °F [34.37 – 38.53]	36.5 °F	+0.054 °F	0.03σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 05:10:23	10/19 01:10:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	39.625 °F	37.109 °F [34.26 – 39.96]	36.32 °F	-0.789 °F	0.35σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 02:10:23	10/19 01:10:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	39.625 °F	39.277 °F [37.16 – 41.4]	39.38 °F	+0.463 °F	0.28σ	✓ Accurate
10/19/26 01:10:23	10/18 21:10:23	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	40.334 °F	38.912 °F [36.1 – 41.72]	39.02 °F	+0.108 °F	0.05σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 22:10:23	10/18 21:10:23	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	40.334 °F	39.184 °F [37.09 – 41.28]	40.82 °F	+1.816 °F	1.11σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 21:10:21	10/18 17:10:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	46.839 °F	38.79 °F [36.27 – 41.31]	41.18 °F	+2.21 °F	1.12σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 18:10:21	10/18 17:10:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	46.839 °F	44.302 °F [42.43 – 46.18]	48.2 °F	+3.898 °F	2.65σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/18/26 17:10:21	10/18 13:10:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	56.075 °F	58.089 °F [55.65 – 60.52]	47.12 °F	-10.969 °F	5.73σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/18/26 14:10:21	10/18 13:10:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	56.075 °F	59.092 °F [57.28 – 60.9]	57.56 °F	-1.532 °F	1.08σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 13:10:21	10/18 09:10:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	40.666 °F	57.014 °F [54.82 – 59.21]	58.46 °F	+1.446 °F	0.84σ	✓ Accurate
10/18/26 10:10:21	10/18 09:10:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	40.666 °F	44.175 °F [42.54 – 45.81]	46.76 °F	+2.585 °F	2.02σ	~ Minor Drift

Target Time	Predicted At	Horizon	Model & R²	Start Value	Predicted (80% Cone)	Actual Reading	Error (Actual − Pred)	Z-Error	Outcome
11/02/26 07:47:55	11/02 03:48:39	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	39.66 °F	42.779 °F [40.62 – 44.94]	33.26 °F	-9.519 °F	5.61σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 22:40:42	10/22 18:41:45	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	40.2 °F	39.142 °F [36.37 – 41.92]	44.96 °F	+5.818 °F	2.67σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 20:50:42	10/22 19:52:54	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.94	40.54 °F	40.843 °F [38.58 – 43.11]	46.22 °F	+5.377 °F	3.03σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 20:50:41	10/22 16:51:38	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	47.744 °F	41.135 °F [38.45 – 43.82]	46.22 °F	+5.085 °F	2.41σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 19:40:42	10/22 18:41:45	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	40.2 °F	39.322 °F [37.26 – 41.39]	46.4 °F	+7.078 °F	4.38σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 17:50:41	10/22 16:51:38	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95	47.744 °F	45.879 °F [43.88 – 47.88]	42.62 °F	-3.259 °F	2.08σ	~ Minor Drift
10/22/26 17:25:41	10/22 13:26:55	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.467 °F	54.096 °F [51.37 – 56.83]	42.98 °F	-11.116 °F	5.18σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 17:05:41	10/22 13:06:02	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.194 °F	55.344 °F [52.6 – 58.09]	43.88 °F	-11.464 °F	5.32σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 16:40:41	10/22 12:42:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.424 °F	56.473 °F [53.71 – 59.24]	45.14 °F	-11.333 °F	5.22σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 16:35:41	10/22 15:37:48	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	53.715 °F	53.419 °F [51.43 – 55.41]	46.04 °F	-7.379 °F	4.72σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 15:55:41	10/22 11:56:22	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	51.71 °F	57.927 °F [55.22 – 60.63]	48.02 °F	-9.907 °F	4.66σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/22/26 14:05:41	10/22 13:06:02	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.96	54.194 °F	56.661 °F [54.62 – 58.7]	53.24 °F	-3.421 °F	2.14σ	~ Minor Drift
10/21/26 21:35:35	10/21 20:38:11	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.97	43.842 °F	41.899 °F [39.85 – 43.95]	45.32 °F	+3.421 °F	2.13σ	~ Minor Drift
10/18/26 18:10:21	10/18 17:10:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	46.839 °F	44.302 °F [42.43 – 46.18]	48.2 °F	+3.898 °F	2.65σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/18/26 17:10:21	10/18 13:10:21	+4h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	56.075 °F	58.089 °F [55.65 – 60.52]	47.12 °F	-10.969 °F	5.73σ	⚡ Anomaly Logged
10/18/26 10:10:21	10/18 09:10:21	+1h	Diurnal + Trend R²=0.98	40.666 °F	44.175 °F [42.54 – 45.81]	46.76 °F	+2.585 °F	2.02σ	~ Minor Drift