/
root
/
Laker
/
Outside
/
WS1
/
Solar
/
WS1 Solar Irradiance
|
Prevailing:
13.7° (NNE)
|
Steadiness: 71.1%
No anomalies recorded in this time window.
No anomalies occurred in the selected time period — showing the most recent historical anomalies for this sensor.
Volume cap: showing the latest 200 anomalies in this view. Narrow the time period to inspect earlier events.
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/26 13:02:48 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 478.79 W/m² | 93.86 | +410.1% | 1.312 | 2.38 | 6.06 |
43.5%
|
| 10/31/26 12:27:48 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 187.53 W/m² | 93.09 | +101.5% | -0.988 | 0.6 | -5.55 |
31%
|
| 10/31/26 11:27:48 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 447.87 W/m² | 84.82 | +428% | 1.008 | 2.49 | 7.59 |
51.8%
|
| 10/30/26 14:37:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 91.74 W/m² | 107.7 | -14.8% | -0.973 | -0.1 | -10.51 |
53.1%
|
| 10/29/26 13:02:38 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 461.09 W/m² | 100.6 | +358.3% | 0.456 | 2.27 | 5.02 |
37.7%
|
| 10/29/26 11:07:37 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 379.91 W/m² | 74.19 | +412.1% | 0.69 | 2.35 | 11.63 |
71.2%
|
| 10/28/26 14:42:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 267.98 W/m² | 95.52 | +180.6% | -0.24 | 1.1 | -5 |
31.1%
|
| 10/28/26 12:22:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 365.55 W/m² | 98.2 | +272.2% | 0.467 | 1.65 | 7.66 |
47.4%
|
| 10/28/26 12:17:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 225.53 W/m² | 98.9 | +128% | 0.42 | 0.77 | 7.54 |
42%
|
| 10/27/26 12:02:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 457.36 W/m² | 110.79 | +312.8% | 0.681 | 1.96 | 5.02 |
36%
|
| 10/27/26 11:02:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 287.14 W/m² | 96.23 | +198.4% | 0.797 | 1.15 | 6.64 |
39.6%
|
| 10/25/26 12:56:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 240.99 W/m² | 36.42 | +561.6% | -1.501 | 2.48 | -8.41 |
55.8%
|
| 10/25/26 12:51:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 691.34 W/m² | 34.45 | +1907% | 0.317 | 8.98 | - |
99.8%
|
| 10/25/26 12:46:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 596.3 W/m² | 32.82 | +1716.6% | 1.187 | 8.58 | - |
95.3%
|
| 10/25/26 12:36:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 373.38 W/m² | 31.66 | +1079.4% | 0.659 | 5.51 | - |
61.2%
|
| 10/25/26 12:11:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 339.95 W/m² | 30.62 | +1010.3% | 0.305 | 5.29 | - |
58.8%
|
| 10/25/26 12:01:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 115.2 W/m² | 30.52 | +277.4% | -1.235 | 1.46 | -10.1 |
58.6%
|
| 10/25/26 11:56:43 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 485.73 W/m² | 29.32 | +1556.7% | 1.294 | 8.79 | 13.31 |
100%
|
| 10/25/26 11:46:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 321.29 W/m² | 28.63 | +1022.4% | -0.137 | 5.93 | - |
65.9%
|
| 10/25/26 11:41:43 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 362.48 W/m² | 27.72 | +1207.8% | 0.496 | 7.35 | - |
81.7%
|
| 10/25/26 11:31:43 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 379.42 W/m² | 26.03 | +1357.7% | 0.901 | 9 | 16.26 |
100%
|
| 10/24/26 17:00:50 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 80.02 W/m² | 31.94 | +150.6% | -0.387 | 0.89 | -5.01 |
30%
|
| 10/23/26 14:15:48 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 408.3 W/m² | 93.23 | +338% | 1.13 | 1.98 | 5.31 |
37.5%
|
| 10/23/26 11:35:47 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 578.78 W/m² | 69.97 | +727.1% | 0.272 | 4.51 | - |
50.1%
|
| 10/23/26 11:25:47 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 365.25 W/m² | 67.95 | +437.5% | 0.856 | 2.73 | 7.57 |
53%
|
| 10/21/26 15:50:35 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 66.6 W/m² | 323.161 | -79.39% | -30.925 | 3.1 | - |
97.2%
|
| 10/21/26 12:05:35 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 458.86 W/m² | 184.741 | +148.38% | 17.824 | 3.19 | - |
96%
|
| 10/19/26 16:20:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 114.82 W/m² | 81.9 | +40.2% | -0.896 | 0.22 | -5.52 |
28.8%
|
| 10/19/26 13:20:25 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 572.57 W/m² | 290.182 | +97.31% | 37.419 | 2.64 | - |
82.6%
|
| 10/19/26 11:55:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 294.8 W/m² | 80.69 | +265.4% | -0.712 | 1.36 | -5.31 |
34.1%
|
| 10/19/26 11:35:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 498.07 W/m² | 74.43 | +569.2% | 1.424 | 2.85 | 13.31 |
82.4%
|
| 10/18/26 17:20:21 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 51.52 W/m² | 313.674 | -83.58% | 96.256 | 2.96 | - |
99.5%
|
| 10/18/26 14:40:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 159.16 W/m² | 112.79 | +41.1% | -0.898 | 0.26 | -9.68 |
49.9%
|
| 10/18/26 11:35:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 381.93 W/m² | 96.3 | +296.6% | 0.895 | 1.76 | 14.27 |
81.2%
|
| 10/17/26 11:35:20 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 244.4 W/m² | 93.38 | +161.7% | 0.664 | 0.92 | 7.1 |
40.6%
|
| 10/16/26 12:10:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 476.92 W/m² | 44.06 | +982.5% | -0.002 | 4.53 | - |
50.3%
|
| 10/16/26 12:05:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 477.44 W/m² | 42.61 | +1020.5% | 0.001 | 4.72 | - |
52.4%
|
| 10/16/26 12:00:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 477.24 W/m² | 41.17 | +1059.2% | 0 | 4.92 | - |
54.6%
|
| 10/16/26 11:55:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 477.15 W/m² | 39.69 | +1102.2% | -0.002 | 5.15 | - |
57.2%
|
| 10/16/26 11:50:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 477.66 W/m² | 38.2 | +1150.3% | -0.005 | 5.42 | - |
60.2%
|
| 10/16/26 11:45:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 479.1 W/m² | 36.71 | +1205% | 0 | 5.74 | - |
63.8%
|
| 10/16/26 11:40:17 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 479.04 W/m² | 35.23 | +1259.8% | 1.48 | 6.11 | - |
67.9%
|
| 10/15/26 15:35:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 429.93 W/m² | 35.55 | +1109.5% | 0.343 | 5.75 | - |
63.9%
|
| 10/15/26 15:15:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 339.33 W/m² | 32.47 | +945.2% | 0.552 | 5.03 | - |
55.8%
|
| 10/15/26 11:45:11 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 200.35 W/m² | 43.7 | +358.4% | -1.566 | 1.84 | -7.61 |
48.2%
|
| 10/15/26 11:40:11 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 670.28 W/m² | 41.65 | +1509.3% | 1.637 | 8.16 | - |
90.6%
|
| 10/14/26 13:30:09 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 195.26 W/m² | 81.41 | +139.9% | -1.597 | 0.81 | -5.27 |
30.8%
|
| 10/11/26 13:03:03 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 558.08 W/m² | 107.68 | +418.3% | 1.475 | 2.48 | 5.41 |
40.8%
|
| 10/10/26 14:42:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 457.43 W/m² | 117.14 | +290.5% | 1.184 | 1.82 | 12.08 |
70.5%
|
| 10/10/26 14:37:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 102.24 W/m² | 118.4 | -13.7% | -1.023 | -0.09 | -12.99 |
65.4%
|
| 10/10/26 11:32:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 494.65 W/m² | 103.45 | +378.2% | 1.294 | 2.22 | 18.32 |
100%
|
| 10/08/26 14:22:44 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 182 W/m² | 110.86 | +64.2% | -0.949 | 0.39 | -5.29 |
28.6%
|
| 10/08/26 13:07:44 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 84.29 W/m² | 111.48 | -24.4% | -1.495 | -0.15 | -10.41 |
52.9%
|
| 10/08/26 11:27:43 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 366.39 W/m² | 94.02 | +289.7% | 0.858 | 1.67 | 5.74 |
37.9%
|
| 10/07/26 13:42:30 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 501.77 W/m² | 104.1 | +382% | 0.967 | 2.24 | 5.9 |
41.9%
|
| 10/07/26 11:27:27 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 501.78 W/m² | 90.65 | +453.5% | 1.168 | 2.48 | 8.5 |
56.3%
|
| 10/06/26 15:22:11 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 42.34 W/m² | 102.17 | -58.6% | -1.111 | -0.33 | -7.49 |
39.3%
|
| 10/05/26 11:37:10 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 507.81 W/m² | 98.85 | +413.7% | 1.108 | 2.33 | 8.94 |
57.6%
|
| 10/04/26 16:02:07 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 83.82 W/m² | 118.61 | -29.3% | -0.575 | -0.19 | -5.48 |
28.4%
|
| 10/04/26 11:37:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 504.61 W/m² | 105.47 | +378.5% | 1.125 | 2.21 | 13.39 |
79.2%
|
| 10/03/26 11:37:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 358.11 W/m² | 109.19 | +228% | 1.073 | 1.26 | 9.14 |
52.7%
|
| 10/02/26 12:27:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 652.06 W/m² | 50.9 | +1181.2% | -0.306 | 4.86 | - |
54%
|
| 10/02/26 12:22:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 743.81 W/m² | 48.71 | +1426.9% | -0.169 | 5.94 | - |
66%
|
| 10/02/26 12:17:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 794.59 W/m² | 46.96 | +1592.2% | -0.371 | 6.83 | - |
75.9%
|
| 10/02/26 12:12:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 905.86 W/m² | 44.54 | +1933.9% | 0.208 | 8.81 | - |
97.9%
|
| 10/02/26 12:07:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 843.36 W/m² | 42.37 | +1890.5% | 0.538 | 9.25 | - |
100%
|
| 10/02/26 12:02:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 681.93 W/m² | 40.51 | +1583.5% | 0.258 | 8.18 | - |
90.9%
|
| 10/02/26 11:57:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 604.68 W/m² | 38.77 | +1459.7% | 0.197 | 7.94 | - |
88.2%
|
| 10/02/26 11:52:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 545.47 W/m² | 37.32 | +1361.7% | -0.149 | 7.81 | - |
86.7%
|
| 10/02/26 11:47:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 590.2 W/m² | 35.77 | +1549.8% | 0.341 | 9.74 | - |
100%
|
| 10/02/26 11:42:03 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 487.88 W/m² | 34.56 | +1311.7% | 1.514 | 8.93 | 16.48 |
100%
|
| 09/29/26 12:06:57 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 204.04 W/m² | 70.96 | +187.5% | -1.37 | 1.12 | -10.2 |
57.3%
|
| 09/29/26 12:01:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 615.19 W/m² | 69.48 | +785.5% | 0.095 | 4.78 | - |
53.1%
|
| 09/29/26 11:56:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 586.76 W/m² | 68.06 | +762.1% | -0.29 | 4.7 | - |
52.2%
|
| 09/29/26 11:51:57 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 673.68 W/m² | 66.28 | +916.5% | -0.209 | 5.8 | - |
64.5%
|
| 09/29/26 11:46:57 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 736.42 W/m² | 64.15 | +1047.9% | 1.402 | 6.91 | 13.21 |
100%
|
| 09/27/26 12:31:54 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 177.74 W/m² | 131.8 | +34.9% | -1.759 | 0.23 | -9.43 |
48.4%
|
| 09/26/26 11:41:50 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 553.05 W/m² | 83.97 | +558.7% | 1.495 | 3 | 6.22 |
47.8%
|
| 09/26/26 11:21:50 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 170.45 W/m² | 84.55 | +101.6% | -1.159 | 0.55 | -5.05 |
28.3%
|
| 09/25/26 13:11:46 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 331.11 W/m² | 77.69 | +326.2% | -1.401 | 1.77 | -8.88 |
54.2%
|
| 09/25/26 13:06:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 751.27 W/m² | 75.68 | +892.6% | 0.821 | 4.89 | - |
54.3%
|
| 09/25/26 12:41:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 766.01 W/m² | 68.11 | +1024.6% | -0.231 | 5.86 | - |
65.1%
|
| 09/25/26 12:36:46 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 835.39 W/m² | 66.02 | +1165.4% | 0.213 | 6.95 | - |
77.2%
|
| 09/25/26 12:31:46 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 771.59 W/m² | 64.25 | +1100.9% | 0.209 | 6.84 | - |
76%
|
| 09/25/26 12:26:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 708.75 W/m² | 62.65 | +1031.3% | 0.144 | 6.67 | - |
74.1%
|
| 09/25/26 12:21:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 665.54 W/m² | 61.38 | +984.4% | 0.487 | 6.62 | - |
73.5%
|
| 09/25/26 12:16:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 518.82 W/m² | 60.47 | +758% | 1.07 | 5.21 | - |
57.8%
|
| 09/25/26 12:01:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 456.81 W/m² | 60.4 | +656.3% | -0.024 | 4.57 | - |
50.7%
|
| 09/25/26 11:56:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 464.03 W/m² | 59.69 | +677.3% | -0.026 | 4.79 | - |
53.2%
|
| 09/25/26 11:51:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 471.8 W/m² | 58.86 | +701.5% | 0.246 | 5.07 | - |
56.3%
|
| 09/25/26 11:41:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 480.77 W/m² | 57.08 | +742.2% | 1.171 | 5.59 | 13.05 |
96.3%
|
| 09/25/26 11:26:45 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 170.58 W/m² | 57.36 | +197.4% | -0.579 | 1.49 | -7 |
43.2%
|
| 09/24/26 12:31:44 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 94.25 W/m² | 53.64 | +75.7% | -0.386 | 0.55 | -5.78 |
31.9%
|
| 09/22/26 12:06:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 610.77 W/m² | 124.53 | +390.5% | 1.785 | 2.46 | 8.46 |
56%
|
| 09/22/26 11:56:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 167.78 W/m² | 124.64 | +34.6% | -1.705 | 0.22 | -9.21 |
47.3%
|
| 09/22/26 11:41:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 118.9 W/m² | 122.2 | -2.7% | -1.486 | -0.02 | -10.79 |
54.1%
|
| 09/22/26 11:36:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 564.65 W/m² | 120.56 | +368.4% | 1.214 | 2.29 | 10.18 |
63.6%
|
| 09/17/26 14:46:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 671.46 W/m² | 153.56 | +337.3% | 1.216 | 2.17 | 6.95 |
46.8%
|
| 09/17/26 12:46:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 239.95 W/m² | 141.79 | +69.2% | -1.417 | 0.46 | -10.57 |
55.4%
|
| 09/17/26 12:01:34 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 429.87 W/m² | 130.89 | +228.4% | 0.629 | 1.52 | 5.04 |
33.6%
|
| 09/16/26 15:56:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 456.42 W/m² | 126.07 | +262% | 0.896 | 1.68 | 8.34 |
51.1%
|
| 09/16/26 15:51:34 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 187.56 W/m² | 126.12 | +48.7% | -0.971 | 0.31 | -10.64 |
54.9%
|
| 09/15/26 13:41:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 175.97 W/m² | 78.28 | +124.8% | -1.758 | 0.73 | -12.2 |
65.1%
|
| 09/15/26 13:36:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 703.51 W/m² | 76.79 | +816.2% | 1.059 | 4.87 | - |
54.2%
|
| 09/15/26 13:06:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 366.37 W/m² | 78.63 | +365.9% | -1.206 | 2.18 | -11.06 |
67.4%
|
| 09/15/26 13:01:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 728.1 W/m² | 77.33 | +841.6% | 0.18 | 5.11 | - |
56.7%
|
| 09/15/26 12:56:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 674.18 W/m² | 76.74 | +778.5% | 0.376 | 4.78 | - |
53.1%
|
| 09/15/26 12:41:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 652.24 W/m² | 74.71 | +773% | 0.862 | 4.87 | - |
54.1%
|
| 09/15/26 12:31:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 622.94 W/m² | 72.42 | +760.2% | 0.602 | 4.87 | - |
54.2%
|
| 09/15/26 12:06:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 526.76 W/m² | 66.82 | +688.3% | -0.025 | 4.6 | - |
51.1%
|
| 09/15/26 12:01:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 534.21 W/m² | 65.5 | +715.6% | 0.512 | 4.87 | - |
54.1%
|
| 09/15/26 11:56:32 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 380.47 W/m² | 64.61 | +488.9% | 0.467 | 3.34 | 5.8 |
47.5%
|
| 09/12/26 11:35:13 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 590.23 W/m² | 116.71 | +405.7% | 1.773 | 2.27 | 10.5 |
65.1%
|
| 09/11/26 11:35:10 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 596.99 W/m² | 133.1 | +348.5% | 1.776 | 2.11 | 8.2 |
52.7%
|
| 09/09/26 12:44:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 706.24 W/m² | 77.33 | +813.2% | 2.093 | 4.58 | 12.96 |
90.2%
|
| 09/09/26 12:39:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 78.29 W/m² | 77.75 | +0.7% | -1.951 | 0 | -16.9 |
84.5%
|
| 09/09/26 12:14:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 616.05 W/m² | 70.75 | +770.7% | 0.006 | 4.6 | - |
51.1%
|
| 09/09/26 12:09:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 614.35 W/m² | 69.27 | +786.8% | 0.004 | 4.76 | - |
52.9%
|
| 09/09/26 12:04:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 613.09 W/m² | 67.8 | +804.3% | 0 | 4.95 | - |
55%
|
| 09/09/26 11:59:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 613.07 W/m² | 66.3 | +824.6% | 0.005 | 5.17 | - |
57.5%
|
| 09/09/26 11:54:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 611.44 W/m² | 64.82 | +843.3% | 0.014 | 5.41 | - |
60.1%
|
| 09/09/26 11:49:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 607.25 W/m² | 63.35 | +858.6% | 0.009 | 5.65 | - |
62.8%
|
| 09/09/26 11:44:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 604.46 W/m² | 61.9 | +876.6% | 0.009 | 5.95 | - |
66.1%
|
| 09/09/26 11:39:58 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 601.7 W/m² | 60.45 | +895.4% | 0.891 | 6.31 | - |
70.1%
|
| 09/09/26 11:34:58 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 334.44 W/m² | 59.83 | +459% | 0.732 | 3.25 | 7.72 |
56.7%
|
| 09/08/26 17:09:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 144.05 W/m² | 69.7 | +106.7% | -0.708 | 0.87 | -8.24 |
46.1%
|
| 09/08/26 16:59:53 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 290.09 W/m² | 68.3 | +324.7% | 0.627 | 2.68 | 8.1 |
55.4%
|
| 09/07/26 15:04:45 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 193.7 W/m² | 151.98 | +27.5% | -1.45 | 0.19 | -4.41 |
33.1%
|
| 09/07/26 14:29:45 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 517.67 W/m² | 156.33 | +231.1% | 1.324 | 1.6 | 4.75 |
47.3%
|
| 09/07/26 13:59:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 652.87 W/m² | 159.73 | +308.7% | 1.638 | 2.15 | 7.58 |
72.1%
|
| 09/07/26 13:54:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 161.46 W/m² | 161.31 | +0.1% | -1.693 | 0 | -8.75 |
62.5%
|
| 09/07/26 13:49:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 669.23 W/m² | 161.19 | +315.2% | 1.521 | 2.21 | 8.86 |
81.7%
|
| 09/07/26 13:44:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 212.8 W/m² | 162.6 | +30.9% | -1.672 | 0.22 | -11.73 |
85.6%
|
| 09/07/26 13:29:45 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 713.84 W/m² | 161.76 | +341.3% | 0.54 | 2.4 | 3.89 |
47.8%
|
| 09/07/26 13:04:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 457.7 W/m² | 164.32 | +178.5% | -0.692 | 1.25 | -5.3 |
48.3%
|
| 09/07/26 11:39:45 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 583.89 W/m² | 143.95 | +305.6% | 1.307 | 2.03 | 10.8 |
94.1%
|
| 09/06/26 11:39:38 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 484.36 W/m² | 122.78 | +294.5% | 0.829 | 1.73 | 3.54 |
39.7%
|
| 09/05/26 14:49:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 284.47 W/m² | 136.07 | +109.1% | -1.34 | 0.65 | -4.34 |
36.4%
|
| 09/05/26 14:34:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 256.46 W/m² | 137.01 | +87.2% | -1.179 | 0.52 | -3.63 |
30.3%
|
| 09/04/26 15:24:14 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 192.08 W/m² | 145.41 | +32.1% | -1.522 | 0.2 | -4.37 |
32.9%
|
| 09/04/26 14:49:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 138.66 W/m² | 153.81 | -9.8% | -1.766 | -0.06 | -5.36 |
38.8%
|
| 09/04/26 13:49:14 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 246.89 W/m² | 159.33 | +55% | -1.38 | 0.36 | -4.59 |
35.8%
|
| 09/04/26 13:39:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 659.9 W/m² | 159.31 | +314.2% | 1.834 | 2.06 | 6.54 |
63.9%
|
| 09/04/26 13:34:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 109.81 W/m² | 161.24 | -31.9% | -1.884 | -0.21 | -7.26 |
53.6%
|
| 09/04/26 13:29:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 675.14 W/m² | 161.16 | +318.9% | 1.872 | 2.1 | 7.36 |
70.1%
|
| 09/04/26 13:24:14 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 113.54 W/m² | 161.3 | -29.6% | -1.814 | -0.2 | -7.23 |
53.3%
|
| 09/04/26 11:39:14 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 624.59 W/m² | 138.05 | +352.4% | 1.244 | 2.17 | 4.89 |
53.1%
|
| 09/03/26 15:54:11 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 444.06 W/m² | 150.08 | +195.9% | 1.159 | 1.26 | 4.12 |
39.9%
|
| 09/03/26 12:29:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 650.47 W/m² | 158.05 | +311.5% | 1.646 | 2.03 | 6.31 |
62%
|
| 09/03/26 11:39:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 628.9 W/m² | 139.55 | +350.7% | 1.375 | 2.14 | 5.99 |
60.6%
|
| 09/02/26 13:39:03 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 646.75 W/m² | 149.06 | +333.9% | 1.732 | 2.05 | 5.01 |
52.9%
|
| 09/01/26 14:49:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 78.34 W/m² | 121.77 | -35.7% | -1.928 | -0.21 | -5.54 |
41.3%
|
| 09/01/26 14:34:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 239.35 W/m² | 119.28 | +100.7% | -1.588 | 0.58 | -4.94 |
40.1%
|
| 09/01/26 14:14:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 744.21 W/m² | 112.73 | +560.1% | 1.494 | 3.18 | - |
53%
|
| 09/01/26 13:54:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 748.78 W/m² | 113.65 | +558.9% | -0.089 | 3.16 | - |
52.7%
|
| 09/01/26 13:49:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 775.39 W/m² | 112.25 | +590.7% | 0.161 | 3.35 | - |
55.9%
|
| 09/01/26 13:44:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 727.04 W/m² | 111.44 | +552.4% | 0.232 | 3.14 | - |
52.4%
|
| 09/01/26 13:09:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 750.26 W/m² | 109.57 | +584.7% | 0.16 | 3.34 | - |
55.6%
|
| 09/01/26 13:04:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 702.3 W/m² | 108.39 | +547.9% | -0.26 | 3.14 | - |
52.3%
|
| 09/01/26 12:59:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 780.36 W/m² | 108.02 | +622.4% | 0.146 | 3.57 | - |
59.6%
|
| 09/01/26 12:54:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 736.71 W/m² | 107.55 | +585% | 0.018 | 3.37 | - |
56.2%
|
| 09/01/26 12:49:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 731.35 W/m² | 106.38 | +587.5% | -0.026 | 3.4 | - |
56.6%
|
| 09/01/26 12:44:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 739.01 W/m² | 104.7 | +605.8% | -0.544 | 3.52 | - |
58.6%
|
| 09/01/26 12:39:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 902.14 W/m² | 102.43 | +780.8% | -0.321 | 4.58 | - |
76.4%
|
| 09/01/26 12:34:01 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 998.43 W/m² | 99.75 | +900.9% | 2.865 | 5.39 | 10.42 |
100%
|
| 09/01/26 12:29:01 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 138.81 W/m² | 99.97 | +38.8% | -2.208 | 0.23 | -9.1 |
66.9%
|
| 09/01/26 12:24:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 803.5 W/m² | 97.94 | +720.4% | 0.127 | 4.36 | - |
72.7%
|
| 09/01/26 12:19:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 765.26 W/m² | 95.91 | +697.9% | 0.415 | 4.26 | - |
71%
|
| 09/01/26 12:14:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 640.77 W/m² | 94.24 | +580% | 0.218 | 3.55 | - |
59.2%
|
| 09/01/26 12:09:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 575.52 W/m² | 92.84 | +519.9% | 0.158 | 3.19 | - |
53.1%
|
| 08/31/26 12:58:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 218.16 W/m² | 116.68 | +87% | -1.929 | 0.61 | -6.52 |
51.6%
|
| 08/31/26 12:53:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 796.93 W/m² | 114.8 | +594.2% | 0.525 | 4.2 | - |
70%
|
| 08/31/26 12:48:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 639.36 W/m² | 113.51 | +463.3% | 0.94 | 3.29 | - |
54.9%
|
| 08/31/26 12:38:55 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 482.4 W/m² | 112.18 | +330% | -1.126 | 2.34 | -4.01 |
48.2%
|
| 08/31/26 12:33:55 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 820.15 W/m² | 110.16 | +644.5% | 1.178 | 4.65 | - |
77.5%
|
| 08/31/26 11:53:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 669.22 W/m² | 105.67 | +533.3% | 0.246 | 3.88 | - |
64.6%
|
| 08/31/26 11:48:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 595.36 W/m² | 104.47 | +469.9% | 0.721 | 3.44 | - |
57.3%
|
| 08/30/26 13:48:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 685.66 W/m² | 116.78 | +487.1% | -0.232 | 3.36 | - |
56.1%
|
| 08/30/26 13:43:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 755.16 W/m² | 114.81 | +557.7% | 1.927 | 3.88 | - |
64.6%
|
| 08/30/26 13:33:48 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 246.04 W/m² | 114.77 | +114.4% | -1.654 | 0.8 | -5.21 |
43.9%
|
| 08/30/26 13:28:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 742.3 W/m² | 114.22 | +549.9% | 1.045 | 3.85 | - |
64.1%
|
| 08/30/26 13:18:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 675.15 W/m² | 111.94 | +503.2% | 0.361 | 3.54 | - |
59%
|
| 08/30/26 13:03:48 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 505.09 W/m² | 108.42 | +365.9% | -1.258 | 2.58 | -4.14 |
51%
|
| 08/30/26 12:58:48 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 882.48 W/m² | 106.15 | +731.3% | 1.853 | 5.27 | - |
87.9%
|
| 08/29/26 16:58:37 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 108.11 W/m² | 98.12 | +10.2% | -1.237 | 0.07 | -4.53 |
32.9%
|
| 08/29/26 16:18:37 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 111.19 W/m² | 104.07 | +6.8% | -1.188 | 0.05 | -4.71 |
34.1%
|
| 08/29/26 14:48:37 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 247.7 W/m² | 105.54 | +134.7% | -1.139 | 0.89 | -4.02 |
36.1%
|
| 08/29/26 14:08:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 719.04 W/m² | 114.31 | +529% | -0.38 | 3.4 | - |
56.6%
|
| 08/29/26 14:03:37 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 833.05 W/m² | 113.87 | +631.6% | 1.846 | 4.08 | 7.34 |
86.4%
|
| 08/29/26 12:33:37 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 210.79 W/m² | 134.8 | +56.4% | -1.226 | 0.36 | -4.98 |
38.6%
|
| 08/28/26 14:08:27 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 257.35 W/m² | 99.99 | +157.4% | -1.974 | 0.79 | -7.3 |
58.8%
|
| 08/28/26 14:03:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 849.49 W/m² | 97.7 | +769.5% | 0.781 | 3.88 | - |
64.6%
|
| 08/28/26 13:58:27 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 615.2 W/m² | 98.39 | +525.3% | 1.163 | 2.63 | 4.04 |
50.8%
|
| 08/28/26 13:48:27 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 314.64 W/m² | 101.33 | +210.5% | -1.378 | 1.05 | -4.96 |
44.2%
|
| 08/28/26 13:43:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 728.11 W/m² | 101.23 | +619.3% | 0.216 | 3.1 | - |
51.7%
|
| 08/28/26 13:28:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 759.05 W/m² | 101.76 | +645.9% | 0.137 | 3.24 | - |
53.9%
|
| 08/28/26 13:23:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 717.72 W/m² | 101.62 | +606.3% | 0.019 | 3.04 | - |
50.6%
|
| 08/28/26 13:18:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 712 W/m² | 101.48 | +601.6% | 0.068 | 3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 08/28/26 13:08:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 709.69 W/m² | 101.2 | +601.2% | 0.029 | 3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 08/28/26 12:13:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 664.1 W/m² | 89.89 | +638.8% | 0.057 | 3.1 | - |
51.7%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
5.905 W/m²
(+5.65)
Target: 05:16 · 80% Cone: [0 – 22.71]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
78.598 W/m²
(+78.34)
Target: 08:16 · 80% Cone: [56.03 – 101.17]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
92.6%
(108 checked)
MAE: 60.628 W/m² · RMSE: 95.173 W/m² · Fit R²=0.78
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
4 diverged
⚡ 4 anom
10 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 3.19σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 08:16:37 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 0.256 W/m² | 78.598 W/m² [56.03 – 101.17] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 05:16:37 (in 49m) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 0.256 W/m² | 5.905 W/m² [0 – 22.71] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 0 W/m² | 65.045 W/m² [0 – 143.68] | 67.89 W/m² | +2.845 W/m² | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 58.53] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 08:16:37 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 0.256 W/m² | 78.598 W/m² [56.03 – 101.17] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 05:16:37 (in 49m) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.95 | 0.256 W/m² | 5.905 W/m² [0 – 22.71] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 0 W/m² | 65.045 W/m² [0 – 143.68] | 67.89 W/m² | +2.845 W/m² | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 58.53] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/25/26 17:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 299.534 W/m² | 154.189 W/m² [58.04 – 250.34] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 299.534 W/m² | 286.685 W/m² [215.12 – 358.25] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 318.265 W/m² | 35.319 W/m² [0 – 156.91] | 0 W/m² | -35.319 W/m² | 0.37σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 16:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 318.265 W/m² | 238.509 W/m² [148 – 329.02] | 274.33 W/m² | +35.821 W/m² | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 08:30:45 | 10/23 04:31:38 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 39.849 W/m² [0 – 169.09] | 117.39 W/m² | +77.541 W/m² | 0.76σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 06:00:44 | 10/23 02:03:56 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 137.38] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 05:30:45 | 10/23 04:31:38 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 96.2] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:55:44 | 10/23 00:58:59 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 23.145 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 135.46] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:45:44 | 10/22 23:47:18 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 49.6 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 138.39] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:00:44 | 10/23 02:03:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 102.26] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 01:55:44 | 10/23 00:58:59 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 23.145 W/m² | 13.548 W/m² [0 – 114.38] | 0 W/m² | -13.548 W/m² | 0.17σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 01:00:43 | 10/22 21:02:01 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 0 W/m² | 34.47 W/m² [0 – 174.19] | 0 W/m² | -34.47 W/m² | 0.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:45:44 | 10/22 23:47:18 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 49.6 W/m² | 47.757 W/m² [0 – 150.77] | 0 W/m² | -47.757 W/m² | 0.59σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:25:42 | 10/22 20:27:43 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 30.179 W/m² [0 – 165.73] | 0 W/m² | -30.179 W/m² | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:00:43 | 10/22 21:02:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 0 W/m² | 3.17 W/m² [0 – 107.17] | 0 W/m² | -3.17 W/m² | 0.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:25:42 | 10/22 20:27:43 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 100.9] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:20:41 | 10/22 16:23:48 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 81.269 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 137.18] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 17:20:41 | 10/22 16:23:48 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 81.269 W/m² | 12.379 W/m² [0 – 114.49] | 8.86 W/m² | -3.519 W/m² | 0.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 16:30:41 | 10/22 12:35:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 259.755 W/m² | 191.836 W/m² [56.16 – 327.51] | 44.61 W/m² | -147.226 W/m² | 1.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 16:10:41 | 10/22 12:15:03 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 228.976 W/m² | 196.843 W/m² [54.31 – 339.38] | 51.52 W/m² | -145.323 W/m² | 1.3σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:45:41 | 10/22 11:49:10 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 191.3 W/m² | 200.131 W/m² [57.91 – 342.35] | 9.23 W/m² | -190.901 W/m² | 1.71σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 14:50:41 | 10/22 10:53:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 153.903 W/m² | 248.49 W/m² [107.26 – 389.72] | 336.76 W/m² | +88.27 W/m² | 0.79σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:30:41 | 10/22 12:35:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 259.755 W/m² | 310.208 W/m² [209.22 – 411.2] | 215.4 W/m² | -94.808 W/m² | 1.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:10:41 | 10/22 12:15:03 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 228.976 W/m² | 284.579 W/m² [178.48 – 390.68] | 281.89 W/m² | -2.689 W/m² | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:45:41 | 10/22 11:49:10 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 191.3 W/m² | 249.037 W/m² [143.17 – 354.9] | 305.4 W/m² | +56.363 W/m² | 0.68σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:50:41 | 10/22 10:53:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 153.903 W/m² | 213.254 W/m² [108.13 – 318.38] | 295.57 W/m² | +82.316 W/m² | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:20:38 | 10/22 07:21:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 26.706 W/m² | 278.768 W/m² [129.54 – 427.99] | 194.93 W/m² | -83.838 W/m² | 0.71σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 10:25:38 | 10/22 06:25:53 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 0 W/m² | 198.758 W/m² [50.56 – 346.96] | 151.82 W/m² | -46.938 W/m² | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:20:38 | 10/22 07:21:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 26.706 W/m² | 58.669 W/m² [0 – 169.75] | 41.52 W/m² | -17.149 W/m² | 0.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:20:37 | 10/22 04:24:18 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 0 W/m² | 44.878 W/m² [0 – 196.72] | 41.52 W/m² | -3.358 W/m² | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:30:36 | 10/22 03:31:43 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 148.14] | 2.53 W/m² | +2.53 W/m² | 0.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:25:38 | 10/22 06:25:53 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 0 W/m² | 13 W/m² [0 – 123.31] | 1.39 W/m² | -11.61 W/m² | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:40:38 | 10/22 02:44:32 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 144.16] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 06:05:36 | 10/22 02:10:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 0.509 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 145.33] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:30:36 | 10/22 01:34:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 19.485 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 150.91] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:20:37 | 10/22 04:24:18 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 113.02] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:30:36 | 10/22 03:31:43 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 110.27] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:10:36 | 10/22 00:13:52 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 56.252 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 146.81] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:40:38 | 10/22 02:44:32 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 107.31] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:10:36 | 10/21 23:11:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 59.395 W/m² | 38.744 W/m² [0 – 185.47] | 0 W/m² | -38.744 W/m² | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:05:36 | 10/22 02:10:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 0.509 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 108.18] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:30:36 | 10/22 01:34:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 19.485 W/m² | 14.571 W/m² [0 – 126.9] | 0 W/m² | -14.571 W/m² | 0.17σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:20:36 | 10/21 22:24:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 40.341 W/m² | 60.724 W/m² [0 – 211.45] | 0 W/m² | -60.724 W/m² | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:10:36 | 10/22 00:13:52 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 56.252 W/m² | 59.285 W/m² [0 – 168.57] | 0 W/m² | -59.285 W/m² | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:10:35 | 10/21 21:13:36 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 59.24 W/m² [0 – 205.82] | 0 W/m² | -59.24 W/m² | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:25:35 | 10/21 20:26:42 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 50.245 W/m² [0 – 190.54] | 0 W/m² | -50.245 W/m² | 0.46σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:10:36 | 10/21 23:11:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 59.395 W/m² | 68.587 W/m² [0 – 177.8] | 0 W/m² | -68.587 W/m² | 0.8σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 23:20:36 | 10/21 22:24:47 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 40.341 W/m² | 53.232 W/m² [0 – 165.42] | 0 W/m² | -53.232 W/m² | 0.61σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 22:40:35 | 10/21 18:43:15 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 148.06] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 22:10:35 | 10/21 21:13:36 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 6.626 W/m² [0 – 115.73] | 0 W/m² | -6.626 W/m² | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:40:35 | 10/21 17:43:17 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 5.087 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 148.36] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:25:35 | 10/21 20:26:42 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 104.43] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:30:35 | 10/21 16:34:59 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 221.073 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 146.71] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 19:50:35 | 10/21 15:51:26 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 317.874 W/m² | 15.069 W/m² [0 – 159.09] | 0 W/m² | -15.069 W/m² | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 19:40:35 | 10/21 18:43:15 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 110.21] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:50:35 | 10/21 14:50:56 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 383.095 W/m² | 77.2 W/m² [0 – 219.3] | 0 W/m² | -77.2 W/m² | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:40:35 | 10/21 17:43:17 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 5.087 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 110.43] | 0.01 W/m² | +0.01 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:15:35 | 10/21 14:16:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 424.488 W/m² | 148.441 W/m² [2.43 – 294.46] | 0.76 W/m² | -147.681 W/m² | 1.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:30:35 | 10/21 16:34:59 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 221.073 W/m² | 128.592 W/m² [19.39 – 237.8] | 7.73 W/m² | -120.862 W/m² | 1.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:20:35 | 10/21 13:21:48 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 417.963 W/m² | 229.223 W/m² [78.25 – 380.2] | 10.57 W/m² | -218.653 W/m² | 1.84σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 16:50:35 | 10/21 15:51:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 317.874 W/m² | 235.155 W/m² [127.96 – 342.35] | 44.8 W/m² | -190.355 W/m² | 2.27σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 15:50:35 | 10/21 14:50:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 383.095 W/m² | 323.161 W/m² [217.39 – 428.94] | 66.6 W/m² | -256.561 W/m² | 3.1σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 15:15:35 | 10/21 14:16:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 424.488 W/m² | 394.642 W/m² [285.96 – 503.33] | 340.87 W/m² | -53.772 W/m² | 0.63σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 15:05:35 | 10/21 11:08:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 138.991 W/m² | 204.418 W/m² [57.13 – 351.71] | 398.84 W/m² | +194.422 W/m² | 1.68σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 14:30:35 | 10/21 10:31:42 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 150.588 W/m² | 264.019 W/m² [111.54 – 416.49] | 425.37 W/m² | +161.351 W/m² | 1.35σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:20:35 | 10/21 13:21:48 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 417.963 W/m² | 436.595 W/m² [324.22 – 548.98] | 262.3 W/m² | -174.295 W/m² | 1.98σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 14:05:35 | 10/21 10:06:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 159.083 W/m² | 315.858 W/m² [163.4 – 468.32] | 399.68 W/m² | +83.822 W/m² | 0.7σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:40:35 | 10/21 09:42:58 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 146.031 W/m² | 337.376 W/m² [183.34 – 491.42] | 453.94 W/m² | +116.564 W/m² | 0.96σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:10:35 | 10/21 09:15:33 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 115.428 W/m² | 350.92 W/m² [205.18 – 496.66] | 487.58 W/m² | +136.66 W/m² | 1.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:05:35 | 10/21 11:08:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 138.991 W/m² | 184.741 W/m² [75.11 – 294.37] | 458.86 W/m² | +274.119 W/m² | 3.19σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 11:30:35 | 10/21 10:31:42 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 150.588 W/m² | 202.839 W/m² [89.34 – 316.33] | 312.57 W/m² | +109.731 W/m² | 1.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:05:35 | 10/21 10:06:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 159.083 W/m² | 223.302 W/m² [109.82 – 336.79] | 40.69 W/m² | -182.612 W/m² | 2.05σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 11:05:34 | 10/21 07:09:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 17.895 W/m² | 254.486 W/m² [100.76 – 408.22] | 40.69 W/m² | -213.796 W/m² | 1.77σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 10:40:35 | 10/21 09:42:58 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 146.031 W/m² | 213.127 W/m² [98.47 – 327.79] | 29.63 W/m² | -183.497 W/m² | 2.04σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 10:15:34 | 10/21 06:18:26 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 0 W/m² | 191.273 W/m² [34.07 – 348.48] | 42.23 W/m² | -149.043 W/m² | 1.21σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:10:35 | 10/21 09:15:33 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 115.428 W/m² | 179.595 W/m² [71.11 – 288.08] | 57.27 W/m² | -122.325 W/m² | 1.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:40:34 | 10/21 05:45:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 0 W/m² | 145.679 W/m² [0 – 304.3] | 133.05 W/m² | -12.629 W/m² | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:00:34 | 10/21 05:04:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 102.275 W/m² [0 – 250.23] | 84.74 W/m² | -17.535 W/m² | 0.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:05:34 | 10/21 07:09:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 17.895 W/m² | 45.632 W/m² [0 – 160.06] | 20.88 W/m² | -24.752 W/m² | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:15:34 | 10/21 06:18:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 0 W/m² | 12.005 W/m² [0 – 129.02] | 2.92 W/m² | -9.085 W/m² | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:40:34 | 10/21 05:45:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 0 W/m² | 0.655 W/m² [0 – 118.72] | 0 W/m² | -0.655 W/m² | 0.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:00:34 | 10/21 05:04:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 110.13] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 122.46] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.85 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 91.15] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 297.699 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 146.86] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 297.699 W/m² | 228.978 W/m² [119.67 – 338.29] | 247.2 W/m² | +18.222 W/m² | 0.21σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 01:25:26 | 10/19 21:26:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 26.447 W/m² | 105.482 W/m² [0 – 246.78] | 0 W/m² | -105.482 W/m² | 0.95σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 22:25:26 | 10/19 21:26:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.83 | 26.447 W/m² | 45.362 W/m² [0 – 150.54] | 0 W/m² | -45.362 W/m² | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:20:25 | 10/19 20:20:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 115.54] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:20:25 | 10/19 17:20:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 116.659 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 153.79] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 20:20:25 | 10/19 19:20:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 113.41] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 18:20:25 | 10/19 17:20:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 116.659 W/m² | 26.271 W/m² [0 – 140.74] | 0.43 W/m² | -25.831 W/m² | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 17:20:25 | 10/19 13:20:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 332.474 W/m² | 166.625 W/m² [11.33 – 321.92] | 22.63 W/m² | -143.995 W/m² | 1.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 14:20:25 | 10/19 13:20:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 332.474 W/m² | 357.83 W/m² [242.24 – 473.42] | 482.75 W/m² | +90.8 W/m² | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 13:20:25 | 10/19 09:20:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 86.842 W/m² | 290.182 W/m² [154 – 426.37] | 572.57 W/m² | +282.388 W/m² | 2.64σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/19/26 10:20:25 | 10/19 09:20:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 86.842 W/m² | 141.216 W/m² [39.85 – 242.59] | 39.31 W/m² | -101.906 W/m² | 1.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 09:20:23 | 10/19 05:20:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 0 W/m² | 116.162 W/m² [0 – 255.73] | 26.27 W/m² | -89.492 W/m² | 0.82σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 06:20:23 | 10/19 05:20:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 103.89] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 05:20:23 | 10/19 01:20:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 140.99] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 02:20:23 | 10/19 01:20:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.80 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 104.95] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 01:20:23 | 10/18 21:20:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 33.264 W/m² | 69.799 W/m² [0 – 209.31] | 0 W/m² | -69.799 W/m² | 0.64σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 22:20:23 | 10/18 21:20:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 33.264 W/m² | 39.648 W/m² [0 – 143.49] | 0 W/m² | -39.648 W/m² | 0.49σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 21:20:21 | 10/18 17:20:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 132.86] | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 18:20:21 | 10/18 17:20:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.84 | 0 W/m² | 0 W/m² [0 – 98.89] | 4.63 W/m² | +4.63 W/m² | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 17:20:21 | 10/18 13:20:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 533.96 W/m² | 313.674 W/m² [201.15 – 426.2] | 51.52 W/m² | -262.154 W/m² | 2.96σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/18/26 14:20:21 | 10/18 13:20:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 533.96 W/m² | 554.495 W/m² [470.74 – 638.25] | 451.92 W/m² | -102.575 W/m² | 1.56σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 13:20:21 | 10/18 09:20:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 75.263 W/m² | 328.931 W/m² [238.8 – 419.07] | 482.38 W/m² | +153.449 W/m² | 2.16σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/18/26 10:20:21 | 10/18 09:20:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 75.263 W/m² | 136.08 W/m² [68.99 – 203.17] | 39.82 W/m² | -96.26 W/m² | 1.83σ | ~ Minor Drift |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/26 16:50:35 | 10/21 15:51:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 317.874 W/m² | 235.155 W/m² [127.96 – 342.35] | 44.8 W/m² | -190.355 W/m² | 2.27σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 15:50:35 | 10/21 14:50:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.79 | 383.095 W/m² | 323.161 W/m² [217.39 – 428.94] | 66.6 W/m² | -256.561 W/m² | 3.1σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 12:05:35 | 10/21 11:08:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 138.991 W/m² | 184.741 W/m² [75.11 – 294.37] | 458.86 W/m² | +274.119 W/m² | 3.19σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 11:05:35 | 10/21 10:06:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 159.083 W/m² | 223.302 W/m² [109.82 – 336.79] | 40.69 W/m² | -182.612 W/m² | 2.05σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 10:40:35 | 10/21 09:42:58 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 146.031 W/m² | 213.127 W/m² [98.47 – 327.79] | 29.63 W/m² | -183.497 W/m² | 2.04σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/19/26 13:20:25 | 10/19 09:20:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 86.842 W/m² | 290.182 W/m² [154 – 426.37] | 572.57 W/m² | +282.388 W/m² | 2.64σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/18/26 17:20:21 | 10/18 13:20:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.88 | 533.96 W/m² | 313.674 W/m² [201.15 – 426.2] | 51.52 W/m² | -262.154 W/m² | 2.96σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/18/26 13:20:21 | 10/18 09:20:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.90 | 75.263 W/m² | 328.931 W/m² [238.8 – 419.07] | 482.38 W/m² | +153.449 W/m² | 2.16σ | ~ Minor Drift |