| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 22:17:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 5.59 mph | 6.18 | -9.5% | -0.064 | -0.12 | -5.12 |
26.2%
|
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 22:17:54 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 5.59 mph | 6.18 | -9.5% | -0.064 | -0.12 | -5.12 |
26.2%
|
| 10/31/26 06:47:47 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.87 mph | 1.92 | +622.9% | 0.021 | 5.53 | - |
61.4%
|
| 10/25/26 12:11:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.01 | +742.8% | 0.013 | 4.98 | - |
55.4%
|
| 10/25/26 09:16:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.16 mph | 0.8 | +798% | 0.009 | 4.87 | - |
54.2%
|
| 10/25/26 01:26:42 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.16 mph | 0.99 | +624% | 0.002 | 4.61 | - |
51.2%
|
| 10/22/26 20:15:42 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 9.62 mph | 1.596 | +502.76% | 0.569 | 2.67 | - |
61.3%
|
| 10/22/26 18:35:42 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 9.17 mph | 0 | - | -0.401 | 3.05 | - |
67.4%
|
| 10/22/26 17:20:41 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 8.5 mph | 0.738 | +1051.76% | -0.219 | 2.56 | - |
57.6%
|
| 10/22/26 16:55:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 16.33 mph | 2.54 | +541.7% | 0.019 | 5.05 | - |
56.1%
|
| 10/22/26 16:25:41 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 10.51 mph | 2.54 | +313.78% | 0.14 | 3.6 | - |
72.1%
|
| 10/22/26 07:15:38 | CRITICAL | Forecast Divergence (Critical) | 8.95 mph | 1.362 | +557.12% | -0.731 | 3.62 | - |
77%
|
| 10/22/26 00:15:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 1.31 | +750.6% | 0.015 | 4.98 | - |
55.3%
|
| 10/18/26 16:00:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 16.33 mph | 4.05 | +303.5% | 0.03 | 5.25 | - |
58.4%
|
| 10/17/26 06:25:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.38 mph | 0.85 | +769.6% | 0.006 | 4.83 | - |
53.6%
|
| 10/17/26 04:35:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.04 mph | 0.62 | +881.8% | 0.016 | 5.05 | - |
56.2%
|
| 10/17/26 04:20:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.59 | +883% | 0.019 | 5.07 | - |
56.3%
|
| 10/17/26 01:15:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.92 mph | 0.42 | +1063.9% | 0.003 | 5.29 | - |
58.8%
|
| 10/17/26 01:05:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.14 mph | 0.4 | +1198.4% | 0.008 | 6.09 | - |
67.7%
|
| 10/17/26 00:55:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.92 mph | 0.37 | +1225.2% | 0.005 | 6.3 | - |
70%
|
| 10/17/26 00:30:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.34 | +1010.5% | 0.009 | 5.16 | - |
57.3%
|
| 10/17/26 00:20:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.33 | +1066.4% | 0.01 | 5.44 | - |
60.4%
|
| 10/17/26 00:10:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.03 mph | 0.31 | +1199.4% | 0.001 | 6.18 | - |
68.7%
|
| 10/17/26 00:05:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.3 | +1177.5% | 0.007 | 6.18 | - |
68.6%
|
| 10/16/26 13:35:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.36 mph | 0.32 | +952.6% | 0.009 | 5.19 | - |
57.7%
|
| 10/16/26 13:05:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.13 mph | 0.31 | +921% | 0.007 | 4.99 | - |
55.4%
|
| 10/16/26 12:55:18 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.29 | +1202.9% | 0.011 | 6.64 | - |
73.8%
|
| 10/14/26 17:50:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 2.01 | +513.2% | 0.006 | 4.53 | - |
50.4%
|
| 10/14/26 15:40:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 2.01 | +511.4% | 0.021 | 4.69 | - |
52.1%
|
| 10/10/26 12:47:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 19.46 mph | 6.02 | +223.3% | 0.043 | 4.89 | - |
54.3%
|
| 10/08/26 11:27:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.49 mph | 0.73 | +794.9% | 0.016 | 4.51 | - |
50.1%
|
| 10/08/26 10:37:40 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.26 mph | 0.62 | +915.7% | 0.01 | 4.94 | - |
54.9%
|
| 10/08/26 10:17:40 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.56 | +937.2% | 0.01 | 5.03 | - |
55.9%
|
| 10/07/26 17:02:30 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.14 mph | 0.49 | +947.1% | 0.006 | 4.93 | - |
54.8%
|
| 10/07/26 16:27:30 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.59 mph | 0.43 | +1198.5% | 0.016 | 6.08 | - |
67.6%
|
| 10/07/26 13:42:30 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.92 mph | 0.43 | +1046.8% | 0.016 | 5.27 | - |
58.5%
|
| 10/07/26 10:57:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.37 mph | 0.42 | +1189.2% | 0.015 | 6.24 | - |
69.3%
|
| 10/04/26 14:52:07 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 0.96 | +734.8% | 0.016 | 5.01 | - |
55.7%
|
| 10/04/26 11:32:07 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 0.64 | +986.7% | 0.012 | 6.75 | - |
75%
|
| 10/04/26 11:22:07 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.37 mph | 0.62 | +772.7% | 0.006 | 5.4 | - |
60%
|
| 10/02/26 23:57:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 0.64 | +990.3% | 0.01 | 4.75 | - |
52.8%
|
| 10/02/26 22:22:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 0.41 | +1582.3% | 0.008 | 6.19 | - |
68.8%
|
| 10/02/26 22:07:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.37 | +1462.8% | -0.005 | 5.58 | - |
62.1%
|
| 10/02/26 22:02:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.38 mph | 0.35 | +2021.9% | -0.002 | 7.93 | - |
88.1%
|
| 10/02/26 21:57:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.83 mph | 0.32 | +2333.9% | 0 | 9.7 | - |
100%
|
| 10/02/26 21:52:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.83 mph | 0.3 | +2548.8% | 0.02 | 11.76 | - |
100%
|
| 10/02/26 21:37:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.27 | +1286.9% | 0 | 5.87 | - |
65.2%
|
| 10/02/26 21:32:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.26 | +1354.1% | 0.013 | 6.26 | - |
69.5%
|
| 10/02/26 21:07:04 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 0.45 mph | 0.26 | +70.3% | -0.013 | 0.33 | -6.08 |
32.2%
|
| 10/02/26 21:02:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.25 mph | 0.25 | +1599.3% | 0.007 | 7.74 | - |
86%
|
| 10/02/26 14:02:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.58 mph | 0.28 | +1172.2% | 0.011 | 5.49 | - |
61%
|
| 10/02/26 12:22:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.36 mph | 0.33 | +918.6% | 0.01 | 4.57 | - |
50.8%
|
| 10/01/26 07:21:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 0.75 | +1037.4% | 0.028 | 5.42 | - |
60.3%
|
| 10/01/26 04:11:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 0.55 | +1454.5% | 0.007 | 6.62 | - |
73.6%
|
| 10/01/26 04:06:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.49 mph | 0.53 | +1134.1% | -0.01 | 5.18 | - |
57.6%
|
| 10/01/26 04:01:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 9.62 mph | 0.49 | +1848% | 0.024 | 8.92 | - |
99.1%
|
| 10/01/26 03:51:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.04 mph | 0.47 | +1197.5% | 0.001 | 5.77 | - |
64.1%
|
| 10/01/26 03:46:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.45 | +1204.6% | -0.004 | 5.87 | - |
65.3%
|
| 10/01/26 03:41:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 7.16 mph | 0.42 | +1595.7% | 0.023 | 8.13 | - |
90.4%
|
| 10/01/26 03:26:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.37 mph | 0.4 | +1242.9% | 0.018 | 6.4 | - |
71.2%
|
| 09/30/26 21:41:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.92 mph | 0.36 | +1249.1% | 0.004 | 6.55 | - |
72.8%
|
| 09/30/26 21:36:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.35 | +979.4% | 0.013 | 5.18 | - |
57.5%
|
| 09/30/26 21:21:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.36 mph | 0.34 | +885.8% | 0.01 | 4.69 | - |
52.1%
|
| 09/28/26 03:51:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 2.07 | +493.6% | 0.028 | 5.61 | - |
62.4%
|
| 09/25/26 13:26:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 1.29 | +855.3% | 0.019 | 5.22 | - |
58%
|
| 09/25/26 12:11:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 0.98 | +1037% | 0.01 | 5.99 | - |
66.5%
|
| 09/25/26 11:11:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 0.8 | +1043.2% | 0.01 | 5.87 | - |
65.2%
|
| 09/25/26 10:46:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.61 mph | 0.71 | +976.8% | 0.009 | 5.46 | - |
60.6%
|
| 09/25/26 10:21:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 0.66 | +952.8% | 0.018 | 5.29 | - |
58.7%
|
| 09/25/26 09:11:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.04 mph | 0.56 | +981.8% | 0.015 | 4.98 | - |
55.4%
|
| 09/25/26 09:01:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.04 mph | 0.53 | +1033.3% | 0.009 | 5.23 | - |
58.2%
|
| 09/25/26 08:41:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.48 | +1122% | 0.01 | 5.61 | - |
62.3%
|
| 09/25/26 08:31:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.14 mph | 0.45 | +1043.7% | 0.007 | 5.19 | - |
57.7%
|
| 09/25/26 08:11:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.47 mph | 0.4 | +1025.3% | 0.007 | 5.05 | - |
56.1%
|
| 09/25/26 08:01:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.37 mph | 0.38 | +1329.7% | 0.011 | 6.68 | - |
74.2%
|
| 09/24/26 20:21:44 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.8 mph | 0.26 | +1336.9% | 0.005 | 5.34 | - |
59.3%
|
| 09/24/26 19:16:44 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.36 mph | 0.27 | +1149.2% | 0.007 | 4.69 | - |
52.1%
|
| 09/24/26 19:01:44 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 3.36 mph | 0.27 | +1142.3% | 0.001 | 4.7 | - |
52.2%
|
| 09/16/26 05:46:34 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.09 mph | 1.9 | +642.7% | 0.018 | 5.59 | - |
62.1%
|
| 09/11/26 07:00:07 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.2 mph | 2.02 | +554.9% | 0.025 | 4.53 | - |
50.4%
|
| 09/11/26 05:25:07 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.41 mph | 1.59 | +616.4% | 0.011 | 4.61 | - |
51.2%
|
| 09/10/26 13:20:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.07 | +693% | 0.012 | 4.82 | - |
53.6%
|
| 09/10/26 12:05:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.61 mph | 0.89 | +758.8% | 0.009 | 5.31 | - |
59%
|
| 09/10/26 11:50:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 0.84 | +853.4% | -0.004 | 6.14 | - |
68.2%
|
| 09/10/26 11:45:03 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 0.82 | +1022.8% | 0.018 | 7.81 | - |
86.7%
|
| 09/10/26 11:10:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.37 mph | 0.78 | +588.3% | -0.002 | 4.55 | - |
50.5%
|
| 09/10/26 11:05:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.77 | +657.6% | 0.013 | 5.21 | - |
57.8%
|
| 09/09/26 08:14:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.19 | +613.7% | 0.011 | 4.5 | - |
50%
|
| 09/07/26 10:54:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 5.12 | +210.3% | 0.004 | 3.49 | - |
58.1%
|
| 09/07/26 10:49:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 5.08 | +190.5% | 0.004 | 3.19 | - |
53.1%
|
| 09/07/26 01:24:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.75 mph | 3.81 | +234.8% | 0.013 | 3.04 | - |
50.7%
|
| 09/06/26 15:59:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.63 mph | 3.05 | +281.7% | 0.004 | 3.03 | - |
50.5%
|
| 09/06/26 15:34:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.86 mph | 3.01 | +294% | 0.02 | 3.2 | - |
53.3%
|
| 09/06/26 14:29:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.63 mph | 2.92 | +297.7% | 0.002 | 3.24 | - |
54%
|
| 09/06/26 14:24:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 2.9 | +284.9% | 0.021 | 3.12 | - |
52.1%
|
| 09/06/26 11:54:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 2.9 | +286% | 0.005 | 3.21 | - |
53.4%
|
| 09/03/26 09:29:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 6.89 | +150% | 0.013 | 3.25 | - |
54.1%
|
| 09/02/26 11:24:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 4.72 | +264.8% | 0.04 | 3.98 | - |
66.3%
|
| 09/02/26 10:04:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 4.37 | +294.2% | 0.032 | 4.42 | - |
73.7%
|
| 09/02/26 03:04:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.08 mph | 3.85 | +213.4% | 0.026 | 3.06 | - |
51%
|
| 08/29/26 13:18:37 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.21 mph | 3.97 | +283.4% | 0.019 | 3.04 | - |
50.6%
|
| 08/29/26 09:33:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.2 mph | 3.5 | +277.5% | 0.018 | 3.12 | - |
52%
|
| 08/28/26 16:58:27 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 3.61 | +240.9% | 0.009 | 3.2 | - |
53.3%
|
| 08/28/26 02:38:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.07 mph | 2.38 | +322.5% | 0.014 | 3.11 | - |
51.9%
|
| 08/27/26 09:53:17 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.62 mph | 2.17 | +344.1% | 0.01 | 3.2 | - |
53.4%
|
| 08/27/26 08:28:17 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.72 mph | 1.91 | +356.2% | 0.007 | 3.26 | - |
54.3%
|
| 08/27/26 07:58:17 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.81 | +405.4% | 0.016 | 3.66 | - |
61%
|
| 08/26/26 18:23:12 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.5 | +437.2% | -0.01 | 3.33 | - |
55.5%
|
| 08/26/26 18:18:12 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 11.18 mph | 1.47 | +662.8% | 0.037 | 5.15 | 7.63 |
97.4%
|
| 08/25/26 13:08:01 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 4.47 mph | 1.82 | +146% | -0.022 | 1.06 | -3.84 |
36.3%
|
| 08/25/26 13:03:01 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.96 mph | 1.8 | +508.1% | 0.02 | 3.71 | - |
61.8%
|
| 08/25/26 11:28:00 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.51 mph | 1.67 | +527.6% | 0.027 | 3.84 | - |
64.1%
|
| 08/23/26 16:37:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.87 mph | 3.35 | +314.5% | 0.027 | 3.95 | - |
65.9%
|
| 08/23/26 15:32:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 3.11 | +259% | 0.005 | 3.23 | - |
53.8%
|
| 08/23/26 09:32:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.84 mph | 2.72 | +261.5% | 0 | 3.09 | - |
51.5%
|
| 08/23/26 09:27:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.84 mph | 2.69 | +265.4% | 0.007 | 3.15 | - |
52.6%
|
| 08/23/26 02:42:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 1.88 | +494.5% | 0.012 | 4.22 | - |
70.3%
|
| 08/22/26 12:52:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.63 mph | 1.71 | +578.2% | 0.031 | 4.41 | - |
73.5%
|
| 08/21/26 12:17:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.84 mph | 2.24 | +339.1% | 0.004 | 3.16 | - |
52.6%
|
| 08/21/26 12:02:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.84 mph | 2.2 | +347.9% | 0.026 | 3.27 | - |
54.5%
|
| 08/21/26 11:22:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.62 mph | 2.18 | +341.5% | 0.017 | 3.22 | - |
53.7%
|
| 08/19/26 19:57:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.36 | +526.9% | 0.022 | 3.73 | - |
62.2%
|
| 08/19/26 17:07:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.59 | +433.3% | 0.004 | 3.33 | - |
55.5%
|
| 08/19/26 16:57:32 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 13.42 mph | 1.56 | +759.7% | 0.025 | 6.03 | - |
100%
|
| 08/19/26 16:42:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.07 mph | 1.55 | +548.5% | 0.023 | 4.36 | - |
72.7%
|
| 08/18/26 12:47:29 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.97 mph | 3.61 | +259% | 0.01 | 3.35 | - |
55.9%
|
| 08/17/26 14:07:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.63 mph | 2.01 | +480% | 0.031 | 3.84 | - |
63.9%
|
| 08/17/26 13:52:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.62 mph | 2.03 | +374% | 0.017 | 3.01 | - |
50.2%
|
| 08/17/26 11:57:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.89 | +386.4% | 0.017 | 3.05 | - |
50.9%
|
| 08/17/26 11:47:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.39 mph | 1.86 | +404.1% | 0.01 | 3.21 | - |
53.5%
|
| 08/17/26 10:37:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.76 | +422.4% | 0.013 | 3.32 | - |
55.3%
|
| 08/17/26 08:52:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.51 | +433% | 0.008 | 3.22 | - |
53.6%
|
| 08/17/26 08:27:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.42 | +466.9% | 0.009 | 3.39 | - |
56.5%
|
| 08/16/26 14:12:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.95 mph | 1.35 | +561.2% | -0.001 | 4.01 | - |
66.9%
|
| 08/16/26 14:07:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.39 mph | 1.36 | +592.5% | 0.011 | 4.22 | - |
70.4%
|
| 08/16/26 13:47:25 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 10.51 mph | 1.39 | +657.2% | 0.01 | 4.62 | - |
77%
|
| 08/16/26 13:42:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.38 mph | 1.38 | +435.2% | 0.022 | 3.07 | - |
51.2%
|
| 08/16/26 13:32:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 2.91 mph | 1.41 | +105.9% | -0.019 | 0.75 | -3.66 |
32.4%
|
| 08/16/26 13:27:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.41 | +504.3% | 0.026 | 3.57 | - |
59.5%
|
| 08/16/26 12:57:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 7.61 mph | 1.44 | +426.8% | 0.005 | 3.05 | - |
50.8%
|
| 08/16/26 12:07:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.49 | +440.2% | 0.017 | 3.14 | - |
52.4%
|
| 08/15/26 13:07:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.07 mph | 2 | +403% | 0.003 | 3.47 | - |
57.8%
|
| 08/15/26 13:02:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.99 | +361.7% | 0.001 | 3.13 | - |
52.2%
|
| 08/15/26 12:57:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.95 mph | 1.98 | +352.1% | -0.002 | 3.06 | - |
51%
|
| 08/15/26 12:52:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.62 mph | 1.95 | +392.1% | 0.007 | 3.43 | - |
57.2%
|
| 08/15/26 11:27:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.84 | +398.8% | 0.007 | 3.61 | - |
60.1%
|
| 08/14/26 17:22:20 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 1.45 | +669.9% | 0.026 | 5.41 | - |
90.2%
|
| 08/14/26 16:12:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.41 | +552.2% | 0.026 | 4.49 | - |
74.9%
|
| 08/14/26 16:02:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 1.38 | +401.7% | 0.02 | 3.26 | - |
54.4%
|
| 08/12/26 20:27:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.18 mph | 2.3 | +385.1% | 0.013 | 3 | - |
50.1%
|
| 08/12/26 19:52:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 2.15 | +473.4% | -0.009 | 3.64 | - |
60.7%
|
| 08/12/26 19:47:15 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 14.99 mph | 2.1 | +612.2% | 0.014 | 4.8 | - |
80%
|
| 08/12/26 19:42:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.74 mph | 2.07 | +418% | 0.011 | 3.28 | - |
54.7%
|
| 08/12/26 19:32:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.41 mph | 2.02 | +466.2% | -0.004 | 3.66 | - |
61%
|
| 08/12/26 19:27:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 1.98 | +533.9% | 0.019 | 4.23 | - |
70.5%
|
| 08/12/26 19:12:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.07 mph | 1.93 | +422.5% | -0.007 | 3.36 | - |
56%
|
| 08/12/26 19:07:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 1.9 | +549% | 0.025 | 4.43 | - |
73.8%
|
| 08/12/26 18:52:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.39 mph | 1.85 | +407.2% | 0.018 | 3.3 | - |
55%
|
| 08/12/26 17:57:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.62 mph | 1.78 | +439.2% | 0.021 | 3.56 | - |
59.3%
|
| 08/12/26 16:12:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.79 | +411.4% | 0.021 | 3.38 | - |
56.3%
|
| 08/12/26 11:02:13 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.95 mph | 1.88 | +376% | 0.002 | 3.23 | - |
53.8%
|
| 08/12/26 10:57:13 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.86 | +355.8% | 0.01 | 3.07 | - |
51.2%
|
| 08/12/26 10:47:13 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.72 mph | 1.86 | +368% | 0.011 | 3.18 | - |
53%
|
| 08/12/26 08:57:13 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.95 mph | 1.9 | +371.8% | 0.022 | 3.24 | - |
54%
|
| 08/10/26 17:12:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.96 mph | 2.83 | +287.8% | 0.008 | 3.01 | - |
50.1%
|
| 08/10/26 11:42:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.74 mph | 2.76 | +288.8% | 0.005 | 3.16 | - |
52.7%
|
| 08/08/26 19:35:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 16.33 mph | 3.9 | +318.2% | 0.046 | 3.69 | - |
61.5%
|
| 08/08/26 19:10:41 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 2.91 mph | 3.92 | -25.8% | -0.053 | -0.3 | -6.91 |
51.9%
|
| 08/08/26 19:05:41 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 18.79 mph | 3.88 | +384.6% | 0.013 | 4.58 | - |
76.3%
|
| 08/08/26 10:15:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.3 mph | 2.98 | +312.3% | 0.025 | 3.28 | - |
54.7%
|
| 08/08/26 03:30:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.51 mph | 1.87 | +462.2% | -0.003 | 3.55 | - |
59.1%
|
| 08/08/26 03:25:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.41 mph | 1.83 | +523% | 0.013 | 4.03 | - |
67.2%
|
| 08/08/26 03:15:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.51 mph | 1.77 | +493.2% | 0.008 | 3.79 | - |
63.2%
|
| 08/08/26 03:05:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.72 mph | 1.72 | +408% | -0.01 | 3.12 | - |
52%
|
| 08/08/26 03:00:22 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 11.63 mph | 1.68 | +592.8% | 0.01 | 4.59 | - |
76.4%
|
| 08/08/26 02:55:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 1.65 | +415.1% | 0.02 | 3.21 | - |
53.5%
|
| 08/08/26 02:45:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.84 mph | 1.61 | +511.2% | 0.012 | 3.95 | - |
65.8%
|
| 08/08/26 02:40:22 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 6.26 mph | 1.59 | +293.9% | 0.019 | 2.26 | 3.77 |
45.7%
|
| 08/07/26 15:05:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.21 | +565.5% | 0.013 | 3.57 | - |
59.6%
|
| 08/07/26 14:45:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 1.15 | +504.2% | 0.002 | 3.11 | - |
51.9%
|
| 08/07/26 14:35:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 9.62 mph | 1.1 | +778.2% | -0.006 | 4.82 | - |
80.3%
|
| 08/07/26 14:30:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 11.41 mph | 1.06 | +974.5% | 0.002 | 6.21 | - |
100%
|
| 08/07/26 14:25:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 10.74 mph | 1.03 | +945.9% | 0.009 | 6.19 | - |
100%
|
| 08/07/26 14:20:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1 | +702% | 0.016 | 4.65 | - |
77.5%
|
| 08/07/26 14:10:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 0.97 | +779.5% | 0.022 | 5.21 | - |
86.8%
|
| 08/07/26 13:55:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.93 | +524.4% | -0.009 | 3.47 | - |
57.9%
|
| 08/07/26 13:50:20 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 8.5 mph | 0.9 | +839.7% | 0.028 | 5.68 | - |
94.7%
|
| 08/06/26 07:14:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.16 | +594.1% | 0.008 | 4.48 | - |
74.6%
|
| 08/06/26 07:09:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.59 mph | 1.05 | +430.2% | -0.001 | 3.26 | - |
54.3%
|
| 08/06/26 07:04:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 5.82 mph | 0.94 | +520.4% | 0.004 | 4.12 | - |
68.7%
|
| 08/06/26 06:59:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.7 mph | 0.84 | +456.9% | 0.01 | 3.73 | - |
62.2%
|
| 08/06/26 06:44:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.7 mph | 0.68 | +594.8% | 0.002 | 5.08 | - |
84.6%
|
| 08/06/26 06:39:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 4.03 mph | 0.58 | +590.9% | 0.011 | 6.13 | - |
100%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
0.389 mph
(-0.06)
Target: 05:16 · 80% Cone: [0 – 4.98]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
0.296 mph
(-0.15)
Target: 08:16 · 80% Cone: [0 – 6.47]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
87.5%
(120 checked)
MAE: 2.489 mph · RMSE: 3.363 mph · Fit R²=0.59
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
6 diverged
⚡ 6 anom
12 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 3.62σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 08:16:37 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.66 | 0.45 mph | 0.296 mph [0 – 6.47] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 05:16:37 (in 50m) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.66 | 0.45 mph | 0.389 mph [0 – 4.98] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 10.148 mph | 11.546 mph [5.35 – 17.74] | 0 mph | -11.546 mph | 2.37σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 10.148 mph | 9.39 mph [4.78 – 14] | 12.97 mph | +3.58 mph | 0.99σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 08:16:37 (in 3.8h) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.66 | 0.45 mph | 0.296 mph [0 – 6.47] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 05:16:37 (in 50m) | 11/03 04:18:25 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.66 | 0.45 mph | 0.389 mph [0 – 4.98] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 10.148 mph | 11.546 mph [5.35 – 17.74] | 0 mph | -11.546 mph | 2.37σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 10.148 mph | 9.39 mph [4.78 – 14] | 12.97 mph | +3.58 mph | 0.99σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/25/26 17:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.45 | 5.863 mph | 7.179 mph [4.46 – 9.9] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.45 | 5.863 mph | 6.378 mph [4.35 – 8.4] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.33 | 8.878 mph | 9.54 mph [3.65 – 15.43] | 2.24 mph | -7.3 mph | 1.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 16:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.33 | 8.878 mph | 9.137 mph [4.75 – 13.52] | 13.65 mph | +4.513 mph | 1.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 08:40:45 | 10/23 04:42:53 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 6.323 mph | 7.463 mph [2.59 – 12.34] | 6.93 mph | -0.533 mph | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 06:35:44 | 10/23 02:36:24 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 6.663 mph | 3.779 mph [0 – 8.8] | 2.46 mph | -1.319 mph | 0.33σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 05:40:45 | 10/23 04:42:53 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 6.323 mph | 6.768 mph [3.14 – 10.4] | 9.17 mph | +2.402 mph | 0.84σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 05:25:44 | 10/23 01:27:24 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.44 | 7.175 mph | 8.953 mph [4.23 – 13.68] | 5.14 mph | -3.813 mph | 1.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:50:44 | 10/23 00:52:36 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 6.312 mph | 8.218 mph [3.36 – 13.08] | 7.38 mph | -0.838 mph | 0.22σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:10:44 | 10/23 00:12:59 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.41 | 5.283 mph | 8.873 mph [3.73 – 14.02] | 6.93 mph | -1.943 mph | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:40:44 | 10/22 23:44:46 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.44 | 3.861 mph | 5.827 mph [1.13 – 10.53] | 5.82 mph | -0.007 mph | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 03:35:44 | 10/23 02:36:24 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 6.663 mph | 5.536 mph [1.8 – 9.27] | 5.82 mph | +0.284 mph | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 02:25:44 | 10/23 01:27:24 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.44 | 7.175 mph | 7.87 mph [4.35 – 11.39] | 2.24 mph | -5.63 mph | 2.04σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 01:50:44 | 10/23 00:52:36 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.43 | 6.312 mph | 7.057 mph [3.44 – 10.67] | 4.47 mph | -2.587 mph | 0.91σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 01:40:43 | 10/22 21:42:39 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.46 | 3.757 mph | 0.508 mph [0 – 5.07] | 3.58 mph | +3.072 mph | 0.86σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 01:10:44 | 10/23 00:12:59 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.41 | 5.283 mph | 6.686 mph [2.86 – 10.52] | 7.61 mph | +0.924 mph | 0.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:40:44 | 10/22 23:44:46 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.44 | 3.861 mph | 4.629 mph [1.13 – 8.13] | 7.38 mph | +2.751 mph | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:20:42 | 10/22 20:21:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.60 | 7.61 mph | 2.997 mph [0 – 7.16] | 7.61 mph | +4.613 mph | 1.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 23:45:42 | 10/22 19:45:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 7.239 mph | 2.1 mph [0 – 6.25] | 7.16 mph | +5.06 mph | 1.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 23:20:42 | 10/22 19:20:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 8.378 mph | 2.201 mph [0 – 6.38] | 7.61 mph | +5.409 mph | 1.64σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 22:55:42 | 10/22 18:56:16 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.61 | 9.342 mph | 3.782 mph [0 – 7.89] | 6.04 mph | +2.258 mph | 0.7σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:40:43 | 10/22 21:42:39 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.46 | 3.757 mph | 2.487 mph [0 – 5.89] | 3.8 mph | +1.313 mph | 0.49σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 22:30:42 | 10/22 18:35:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 8.706 mph | 3.754 mph [0 – 7.96] | 3.58 mph | -0.174 mph | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:30:41 | 10/22 17:31:07 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.60 | 8.117 mph | 4.259 mph [0.34 – 8.18] | 0 mph | -4.259 mph | 1.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:20:42 | 10/22 20:21:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.60 | 7.61 mph | 5.709 mph [2.61 – 8.81] | 0.45 mph | -5.259 mph | 2.16σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 20:45:42 | 10/22 19:45:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 7.239 mph | 5.03 mph [1.94 – 8.12] | 4.47 mph | -0.56 mph | 0.23σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:20:42 | 10/22 19:20:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 8.378 mph | 5.926 mph [2.81 – 9.04] | 6.71 mph | +0.784 mph | 0.32σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:15:41 | 10/22 16:19:19 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 4.041 mph | 1.596 mph [0 – 5.41] | 9.62 mph | +8.024 mph | 2.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 19:55:42 | 10/22 18:56:16 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.61 | 9.342 mph | 7.604 mph [4.55 – 10.66] | 4.25 mph | -3.354 mph | 1.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 19:30:42 | 10/22 18:35:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 8.706 mph | 7.402 mph [4.27 – 10.53] | 6.04 mph | -1.362 mph | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 19:25:41 | 10/22 15:28:14 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 2.711 mph | 0.658 mph [0 – 4.46] | 2.01 mph | +1.352 mph | 0.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 18:35:41 | 10/22 14:39:31 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.55 | 1.791 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.83] | 9.17 mph | +9.17 mph | 3.05σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 18:30:41 | 10/22 17:31:07 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.60 | 8.117 mph | 7.734 mph [4.82 – 10.65] | 9.62 mph | +1.886 mph | 0.83σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 17:40:41 | 10/22 13:45:09 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.56 | 2.336 mph | 0.476 mph [0 – 4.36] | 8.05 mph | +7.574 mph | 2.48σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 17:20:41 | 10/22 13:24:19 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.56 | 2.279 mph | 0.738 mph [0 – 4.59] | 8.5 mph | +7.762 mph | 2.56σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:15:41 | 10/22 16:19:19 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 4.041 mph | 3.805 mph [0.96 – 6.65] | 8.5 mph | +4.695 mph | 2.11σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 16:55:41 | 10/22 12:57:51 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.474 mph | 1.406 mph [0 – 5.3] | 10.74 mph | +9.334 mph | 3.04σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:25:41 | 10/22 15:28:14 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 2.711 mph | 2.54 mph [0 – 5.37] | 10.51 mph | +7.97 mph | 3.6σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:20:41 | 10/22 12:22:02 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.758 mph | 2.568 mph [0 – 6.46] | 9.62 mph | +7.052 mph | 2.31σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 15:55:41 | 10/22 11:56:16 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.304 mph | 2.481 mph [0 – 6.37] | 4.03 mph | +1.549 mph | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:35:41 | 10/22 14:39:31 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.55 | 1.791 mph | 1.56 mph [0 – 4.41] | 4.7 mph | +3.14 mph | 1.41σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:10:41 | 10/22 11:13:18 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 1.879 mph | 1.889 mph [0 – 5.78] | 4.03 mph | +2.141 mph | 0.7σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:40:41 | 10/22 13:45:09 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.56 | 2.336 mph | 2.224 mph [0 – 5.11] | 2.46 mph | +0.236 mph | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:20:41 | 10/22 13:24:19 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.56 | 2.279 mph | 2.298 mph [0 – 5.17] | 4.03 mph | +1.732 mph | 0.77σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:15:40 | 10/22 10:17:08 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 3.255 mph | 2.63 mph [0 – 6.47] | 3.8 mph | +1.17 mph | 0.39σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:55:41 | 10/22 12:57:51 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.474 mph | 2.813 mph [0 – 5.71] | 3.58 mph | +0.767 mph | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:20:41 | 10/22 12:22:02 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.758 mph | 3.527 mph [0.63 – 6.42] | 2.24 mph | -1.287 mph | 0.57σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:55:41 | 10/22 11:56:16 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.304 mph | 3.038 mph [0.15 – 5.93] | 1.79 mph | -1.248 mph | 0.55σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:45:39 | 10/22 08:50:17 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 4.535 mph | 5.448 mph [1.62 – 9.27] | 2.46 mph | -2.988 mph | 0.99σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:10:41 | 10/22 11:13:18 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 1.879 mph | 2.078 mph [0 – 4.98] | 4.25 mph | +2.172 mph | 0.96σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:10:39 | 10/22 08:15:12 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 4.72 mph | 6.278 mph [2.49 – 10.07] | 4.25 mph | -2.028 mph | 0.68σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:15:40 | 10/22 10:17:08 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 3.255 mph | 2.944 mph [0.09 – 5.8] | 1.79 mph | -1.154 mph | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:00:38 | 10/22 07:00:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.63 | 1.489 mph | 4.095 mph [0.65 – 7.54] | 1.57 mph | -2.525 mph | 0.93σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 10:15:38 | 10/22 06:17:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.62 | 1.683 mph | 2.969 mph [0 – 6.57] | 3.36 mph | +0.391 mph | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:45:39 | 10/22 08:50:17 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 4.535 mph | 4.858 mph [2.01 – 7.71] | 0 mph | -4.858 mph | 2.18σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 09:10:39 | 10/22 08:15:12 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 4.72 mph | 5.384 mph [2.56 – 8.21] | 0.89 mph | -4.494 mph | 2.03σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 08:20:37 | 10/22 04:21:44 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.62 | 2.093 mph | 2.806 mph [0 – 6.47] | 1.34 mph | -1.466 mph | 0.51σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:00:38 | 10/22 07:00:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.63 | 1.489 mph | 1.904 mph [0 – 4.47] | 2.68 mph | +0.776 mph | 0.39σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:40:36 | 10/22 03:41:03 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 1.967 mph | 1.446 mph [0 – 4.91] | 5.82 mph | +4.374 mph | 1.61σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 07:15:38 | 10/22 06:17:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.62 | 1.683 mph | 1.362 mph [0 – 4.04] | 8.95 mph | +7.588 mph | 3.62σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 05:55:36 | 10/22 01:57:22 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.63 | 3.231 mph | 2.552 mph [0 – 6.12] | 0 mph | -2.552 mph | 0.91σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 05:20:37 | 10/22 04:21:44 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.62 | 2.093 mph | 1.962 mph [0 – 4.69] | 1.57 mph | -0.392 mph | 0.18σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:45:36 | 10/22 00:48:12 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 2.841 mph | 2.402 mph [0 – 5.76] | 4.92 mph | +2.518 mph | 0.95σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 04:40:36 | 10/22 03:41:03 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 1.967 mph | 1.143 mph [0 – 3.72] | 3.13 mph | +1.987 mph | 0.98σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:50:36 | 10/21 23:54:51 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 1.259 mph | 1.023 mph [0 – 4.25] | 2.46 mph | +1.437 mph | 0.57σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:55:36 | 10/22 01:57:22 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.63 | 3.231 mph | 3.09 mph [0.44 – 5.74] | 1.57 mph | -1.52 mph | 0.73σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:20:36 | 10/21 22:23:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 1.95 mph | 1.758 mph [0 – 4.97] | 2.01 mph | +0.252 mph | 0.1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 01:45:36 | 10/22 00:48:12 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 2.841 mph | 3.07 mph [0.57 – 5.57] | 1.57 mph | -1.5 mph | 0.77σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:50:36 | 10/21 23:54:51 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 1.259 mph | 1.098 mph [0 – 3.5] | 4.03 mph | +2.932 mph | 1.56σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:25:35 | 10/21 20:28:52 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 0.862 mph | 1.271 mph [0 – 4.55] | 4.03 mph | +2.759 mph | 1.07σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 23:45:35 | 10/21 19:49:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 0 mph | 0.416 mph [0 – 3.62] | 0 mph | -0.416 mph | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 23:20:36 | 10/21 22:23:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 1.95 mph | 1.899 mph [0 – 4.29] | 0 mph | -1.899 mph | 1.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:25:35 | 10/21 20:28:52 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 0.862 mph | 0.983 mph [0 – 3.43] | 0.22 mph | -0.763 mph | 0.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:45:35 | 10/21 19:49:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 2.39] | 1.79 mph | +1.79 mph | 0.96σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:15:35 | 10/21 16:19:13 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 1.594 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.32] | 2.24 mph | +2.24 mph | 0.86σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 19:05:35 | 10/21 15:07:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 4.867 mph | 1.022 mph [0 – 4.56] | 2.24 mph | +1.218 mph | 0.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:35:35 | 10/21 13:38:26 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 5.06 mph | 2.341 mph [0 – 5.48] | 2.46 mph | +0.119 mph | 0.05σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:15:35 | 10/21 16:19:13 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 1.594 mph | 0.407 mph [0 – 2.88] | 0 mph | -0.407 mph | 0.21σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 16:05:35 | 10/21 15:07:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 4.867 mph | 4.312 mph [1.68 – 6.95] | 0 mph | -4.312 mph | 2.09σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 15:55:35 | 10/21 11:56:33 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 4.208 mph | 4.23 mph [0.69 – 7.77] | 0 mph | -4.23 mph | 1.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 15:15:35 | 10/21 11:16:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 3.362 mph | 4.46 mph [1.18 – 7.74] | 3.13 mph | -1.33 mph | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:35:35 | 10/21 13:38:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 5.06 mph | 5.124 mph [2.79 – 7.46] | 4.47 mph | -0.654 mph | 0.36σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:40:35 | 10/21 09:41:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.72 | 1.006 mph | 4.305 mph [1.05 – 7.56] | 4.03 mph | -0.275 mph | 0.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:55:35 | 10/21 11:56:33 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 4.208 mph | 5.135 mph [2.5 – 7.77] | 3.8 mph | -1.335 mph | 0.65σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:50:35 | 10/21 08:53:01 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 0.626 mph | 4.421 mph [1.25 – 7.59] | 2.91 mph | -1.511 mph | 0.61σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:15:35 | 10/21 11:16:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 3.362 mph | 4.524 mph [2.09 – 6.96] | 4.47 mph | -0.054 mph | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:45:34 | 10/21 07:49:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 0.505 mph | 4.933 mph [1.47 – 8.4] | 3.8 mph | -1.133 mph | 0.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:40:35 | 10/21 09:41:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.72 | 1.006 mph | 2.216 mph [0 – 4.64] | 3.8 mph | +1.584 mph | 0.83σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:50:35 | 10/21 08:53:01 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 0.626 mph | 1.763 mph [0 – 4.12] | 2.46 mph | +0.697 mph | 0.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 09:40:34 | 10/21 05:44:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 0.026 mph | 4.137 mph [0.83 – 7.45] | 2.24 mph | -1.897 mph | 0.73σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:50:34 | 10/21 04:54:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 0.097 mph | 3.904 mph [0.64 – 7.17] | 0 mph | -3.904 mph | 1.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 08:45:34 | 10/21 07:49:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 0.505 mph | 1.642 mph [0 – 4.22] | 0 mph | -1.642 mph | 0.81σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 07:30:33 | 10/21 03:34:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 0.432 mph | 3.006 mph [0 – 6.69] | 0 mph | -3.006 mph | 1.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 06:40:34 | 10/21 05:44:35 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 0.026 mph | 0.897 mph [0 – 3.36] | 0.22 mph | -0.677 mph | 0.35σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:50:34 | 10/21 04:54:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 0.097 mph | 0.919 mph [0 – 3.35] | 0 mph | -0.919 mph | 0.48σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 0.661 mph | 4.932 mph [1.47 – 8.4] | 0 mph | -4.932 mph | 1.81σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 04:30:33 | 10/21 03:34:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 0.432 mph | 1.016 mph [0 – 3.76] | 0 mph | -1.016 mph | 0.47σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 02:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.71 | 0.661 mph | 1.673 mph [0 – 4.25] | 0 mph | -1.673 mph | 0.83σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 5.807 mph | 2.899 mph [0 – 6.54] | 0 mph | -2.899 mph | 1.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 5.807 mph | 5.047 mph [2.34 – 7.75] | 7.16 mph | +2.113 mph | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:45:25 | 10/19 20:45:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 0.067 mph | 0.133 mph [0 – 2.81] | 1.34 mph | +1.207 mph | 0.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:45:25 | 10/19 17:45:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.61 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.4] | 1.34 mph | +1.34 mph | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 20:45:25 | 10/19 19:45:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.62 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 2.46] | 2.46 mph | +2.46 mph | 1.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 18:45:25 | 10/19 17:45:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.61 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 2.53] | 2.24 mph | +2.24 mph | 1.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 17:45:25 | 10/19 13:45:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 5.084 mph | 2.151 mph [0 – 5.73] | 0 mph | -2.151 mph | 0.77σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 14:45:25 | 10/19 13:45:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 5.084 mph | 4.897 mph [2.24 – 7.56] | 2.46 mph | -0.427 mph | 0.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 13:45:25 | 10/19 09:45:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 3.755 mph | 4.719 mph [1.29 – 8.15] | 6.26 mph | +0.651 mph | 0.24σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 10:45:25 | 10/19 09:45:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 3.755 mph | 4.36 mph [1.81 – 6.91] | 6.49 mph | +2.13 mph | 1.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 09:45:24 | 10/19 05:45:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 1.497 mph | 4.063 mph [0.46 – 7.66] | 0.89 mph | -2.943 mph | 1.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 06:45:24 | 10/19 05:45:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 1.497 mph | 1.822 mph [0 – 4.5] | 1.34 mph | -1.822 mph | 0.87σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 05:45:23 | 10/19 01:45:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 2.002 mph | 2.891 mph [0 – 6.49] | 0 mph | -2.891 mph | 1.02σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 02:45:23 | 10/19 01:45:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 2.002 mph | 2.108 mph [0 – 4.79] | 3.36 mph | +0.132 mph | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 01:45:23 | 10/18 21:45:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 0 mph | 0.903 mph [0 – 4.47] | 1.12 mph | -0.013 mph | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 22:45:23 | 10/18 21:45:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 0 mph | 0.119 mph [0 – 2.78] | 0.89 mph | +0.771 mph | 0.37σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 21:45:21 | 10/18 17:45:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.54 | 2.227 mph | 0.182 mph [0 – 3.89] | 0 mph | -0.182 mph | 0.06σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 18:45:21 | 10/18 17:45:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.54 | 2.227 mph | 1.218 mph [0 – 3.98] | 1.57 mph | +0.352 mph | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 17:45:21 | 10/18 13:45:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 7.079 mph | 4.968 mph [1.49 – 8.44] | 1.12 mph | -4.078 mph | 1.49σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 14:45:21 | 10/18 13:45:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 7.079 mph | 6.89 mph [4.3 – 9.48] | 6.04 mph | -1.75 mph | 0.86σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 13:45:21 | 10/18 09:45:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 4.944 mph | 5.912 mph [2.59 – 9.23] | 8.5 mph | +2.138 mph | 0.82σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 10:45:21 | 10/18 09:45:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 4.944 mph | 5.611 mph [3.14 – 8.08] | 8.72 mph | +0.209 mph | 0.11σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 10.148 mph | 11.546 mph [5.35 – 17.74] | 0 mph | -11.546 mph | 2.37σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 02:25:44 | 10/23 01:27:24 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.44 | 7.175 mph | 7.87 mph [4.35 – 11.39] | 2.24 mph | -5.63 mph | 2.04σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 21:20:42 | 10/22 20:21:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.60 | 7.61 mph | 5.709 mph [2.61 – 8.81] | 0.45 mph | -5.259 mph | 2.16σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 20:15:41 | 10/22 16:19:19 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 4.041 mph | 1.596 mph [0 – 5.41] | 9.62 mph | +8.024 mph | 2.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 18:35:41 | 10/22 14:39:31 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.55 | 1.791 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.83] | 9.17 mph | +9.17 mph | 3.05σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:40:41 | 10/22 13:45:09 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.56 | 2.336 mph | 0.476 mph [0 – 4.36] | 8.05 mph | +7.574 mph | 2.48σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 17:20:41 | 10/22 13:24:19 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.56 | 2.279 mph | 0.738 mph [0 – 4.59] | 8.5 mph | +7.762 mph | 2.56σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:15:41 | 10/22 16:19:19 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 4.041 mph | 3.805 mph [0.96 – 6.65] | 8.5 mph | +4.695 mph | 2.11σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 16:55:41 | 10/22 12:57:51 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.474 mph | 1.406 mph [0 – 5.3] | 10.74 mph | +9.334 mph | 3.04σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:25:41 | 10/22 15:28:14 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.58 | 2.711 mph | 2.54 mph [0 – 5.37] | 10.51 mph | +7.97 mph | 3.6σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:20:41 | 10/22 12:22:02 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.57 | 2.758 mph | 2.568 mph [0 – 6.46] | 9.62 mph | +7.052 mph | 2.31σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 09:45:39 | 10/22 08:50:17 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 4.535 mph | 4.858 mph [2.01 – 7.71] | 0 mph | -4.858 mph | 2.18σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 09:10:39 | 10/22 08:15:12 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.59 | 4.72 mph | 5.384 mph [2.56 – 8.21] | 0.89 mph | -4.494 mph | 2.03σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 07:15:38 | 10/22 06:17:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.62 | 1.683 mph | 1.362 mph [0 – 4.04] | 8.95 mph | +7.588 mph | 3.62σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 16:05:35 | 10/21 15:07:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 4.867 mph | 4.312 mph [1.68 – 6.95] | 0 mph | -4.312 mph | 2.09σ | ~ Minor Drift |