| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:46:35 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 3.36 mph | 24.381 | -86.22% | -1.882 | 3.33 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:46:34 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 30.87 mph | 18.375 | +68% | -1.882 | 2.67 | - |
86.8%
|
|
| Timestamp | Severity | Type | Value | Baseline | % vs Base | Rate of Change | Z-Value | Z-Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:46:35 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 3.36 mph | 24.381 | -86.22% | -1.882 | 3.33 | - |
99.5%
|
| 11/02/26 04:46:34 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 30.87 mph | 18.375 | +68% | -1.882 | 2.67 | - |
86.8%
|
| 10/31/26 06:47:47 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 19.46 mph | 3.71 | +425.2% | 0.016 | 4.84 | - |
53.8%
|
| 10/25/26 13:41:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 2.64 | +594.1% | 0.05 | 4.64 | - |
51.6%
|
| 10/25/26 13:06:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 2.5 | +632.4% | 0.027 | 5.11 | - |
56.7%
|
| 10/25/26 12:06:43 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 2.23 | +561.5% | 0.022 | 4.86 | - |
54%
|
| 10/25/26 01:21:42 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 2.29 | +446.9% | 0.007 | 4.72 | - |
52.5%
|
| 10/25/26 01:11:42 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 2.25 | +715.4% | 0.054 | 8.17 | - |
90.7%
|
| 10/22/26 23:40:44 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 17.22 mph | 5.417 | +217.89% | -0.821 | 2.53 | - |
65.8%
|
| 10/22/26 18:05:42 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 12.53 mph | 1.636 | +665.89% | 0.016 | 2.61 | - |
67.6%
|
| 10/22/26 17:20:41 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 12.53 mph | 1.55 | +708.39% | -0.046 | 2.59 | - |
67.6%
|
| 10/22/26 16:45:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 25.05 mph | 4.56 | +448.9% | 0.026 | 5.19 | - |
57.7%
|
| 10/22/26 16:35:41 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 17.22 mph | 3.59 | +379.67% | 0.727 | 3.32 | - |
83.3%
|
| 10/22/26 15:55:41 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 12.53 mph | 4.659 | +168.94% | -0.023 | 2.57 | - |
68.2%
|
| 10/22/26 07:15:38 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 12.53 mph | 2.288 | +447.64% | -1.43 | 3.37 | - |
84.1%
|
| 10/22/26 00:55:36 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 11.41 mph | 2.458 | +364.2% | -0.271 | 3.16 | - |
89.4%
|
| 10/22/26 00:15:36 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 2.41 | +615.7% | 0.031 | 4.98 | - |
55.3%
|
| 10/18/26 17:55:21 | WARNING | Forecast Divergence | 0 mph | 8.769 | -100% | 0.858 | 2.75 | - |
73.9%
|
| 10/17/26 04:20:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.29 mph | 1.72 | +498% | 0.004 | 5.05 | - |
56.1%
|
| 10/17/26 04:15:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.69 | +441.3% | 0.011 | 4.55 | - |
50.6%
|
| 10/17/26 01:15:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.44 | +457.4% | 0.007 | 4.53 | - |
50.4%
|
| 10/17/26 00:10:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 1.28 | +442% | 0.008 | 4.52 | - |
50.2%
|
| 10/14/26 15:40:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 25.05 mph | 4.49 | +457.3% | 0.031 | 5.54 | - |
61.6%
|
| 10/10/26 04:02:53 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 25.05 mph | 8.52 | +194.1% | 0.022 | 4.95 | - |
55%
|
| 10/04/26 10:57:07 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.72 | +434.2% | 0.011 | 4.65 | - |
51.6%
|
| 10/02/26 22:07:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 0.99 | +1171.9% | 0.011 | 7.71 | - |
85.7%
|
| 10/02/26 22:02:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 0.95 | +860.6% | -0.004 | 5.78 | - |
64.2%
|
| 10/02/26 21:57:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 10.29 mph | 0.92 | +1018.2% | 0.004 | 7.12 | - |
79.2%
|
| 10/02/26 21:52:04 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 0.89 | +930.7% | 0.016 | 6.75 | - |
75%
|
| 10/02/26 21:07:04 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 1.12 mph | 0.82 | +36.3% | -0.019 | 0.26 | -6.36 |
33.2%
|
| 10/02/26 21:02:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 0.8 | +767.6% | 0.012 | 5.65 | - |
62.7%
|
| 10/01/26 08:21:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 2.39 | +666.3% | 0.019 | 5.93 | - |
65.9%
|
| 10/01/26 07:36:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 2.19 | +574.8% | 0.03 | 5.08 | - |
56.4%
|
| 10/01/26 04:06:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.41 mph | 1.61 | +607% | -0.007 | 5.11 | - |
56.8%
|
| 10/01/26 04:01:59 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 1.57 | +770.3% | 0.015 | 6.76 | - |
75.1%
|
| 09/30/26 21:01:59 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 1.38 | +403.4% | 0.004 | 4.62 | - |
51.3%
|
| 09/28/26 16:31:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 25.05 mph | 6.38 | +292.4% | 0.038 | 5.08 | - |
56.5%
|
| 09/28/26 04:16:54 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 20.58 mph | 3.97 | +418.3% | 0.023 | 5.64 | - |
62.7%
|
| 09/25/26 13:26:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 21.7 mph | 2.59 | +738.2% | 0.034 | 5.32 | - |
59.1%
|
| 09/25/26 12:11:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 2.06 | +737.8% | 0.012 | 5.37 | - |
59.7%
|
| 09/25/26 11:51:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 1.9 | +734.4% | 0.019 | 5.55 | - |
61.7%
|
| 09/25/26 09:41:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.29 mph | 1.39 | +639.8% | 0.019 | 4.61 | - |
51.2%
|
| 09/25/26 08:56:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.29 mph | 1.2 | +760.1% | 0.015 | 5.43 | - |
60.4%
|
| 09/25/26 08:46:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 1.15 | +699.9% | 0.007 | 5.05 | - |
56.1%
|
| 09/25/26 08:36:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.1 | +634.2% | 0.007 | 4.62 | - |
51.4%
|
| 09/25/26 08:26:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.05 | +666.5% | 0 | 4.91 | - |
54.6%
|
| 09/25/26 08:21:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.02 | +686.6% | 0.007 | 5.14 | - |
57.1%
|
| 09/25/26 08:11:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 0.98 | +720.6% | 0.007 | 5.54 | - |
61.5%
|
| 09/25/26 08:01:45 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 0.94 | +757.8% | 0.019 | 6.04 | - |
67.1%
|
| 09/14/26 13:16:30 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 31.99 mph | 12.73 | +151.2% | 0.065 | 4.63 | - |
51.4%
|
| 09/10/26 11:50:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.41 mph | 2.04 | +459.5% | 0 | 4.65 | - |
51.7%
|
| 09/10/26 11:45:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 11.41 mph | 2.01 | +468% | 0.015 | 4.84 | - |
53.8%
|
| 09/07/26 10:54:46 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 23.93 mph | 9.21 | +159.9% | 0.022 | 3.19 | - |
53.1%
|
| 09/07/26 09:24:44 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.17 mph | 8.77 | +198.3% | 0.03 | 4.2 | - |
70%
|
| 09/07/26 09:19:44 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 17.22 mph | 8.75 | +96.9% | 0.042 | 2.06 | 3.66 |
43.3%
|
| 09/07/26 01:14:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 19.46 mph | 6.62 | +194% | 0.027 | 3.03 | - |
50.4%
|
| 09/07/26 01:04:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 22.82 mph | 6.52 | +250.2% | 0.023 | 3.93 | - |
65.5%
|
| 09/06/26 14:29:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 5.33 | +244% | 0.016 | 3.25 | - |
54.2%
|
| 09/06/26 11:54:38 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 5.3 | +225.1% | 0.019 | 3.04 | - |
50.6%
|
| 09/03/26 16:24:11 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 23.93 mph | 11.81 | +102.7% | 0.031 | 3.07 | - |
51.1%
|
| 09/03/26 10:49:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 27.29 mph | 12.22 | +123.3% | 0.042 | 3.66 | - |
61%
|
| 09/02/26 15:29:04 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 26.17 mph | 9.44 | +177.1% | 0.049 | 3.17 | - |
52.8%
|
| 09/02/26 11:24:03 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 22.82 mph | 8.59 | +165.8% | 0.023 | 3.05 | - |
50.9%
|
| 09/02/26 09:14:02 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 20.58 mph | 7.77 | +164.8% | 0.011 | 3.13 | - |
52.2%
|
| 08/31/26 19:43:55 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 4.83 | +279.8% | 0.023 | 3.39 | - |
56.5%
|
| 08/27/26 17:33:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 3.94 | +302.9% | 0.015 | 3.25 | - |
54.2%
|
| 08/27/26 17:08:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.82 | +286.8% | 0 | 3.06 | - |
50.9%
|
| 08/27/26 17:03:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.77 | +291.1% | 0.019 | 3.12 | - |
51.9%
|
| 08/26/26 18:33:12 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 8.05 mph | 3.18 | +152.9% | -0.026 | 1.42 | -4.08 |
41%
|
| 08/26/26 18:28:12 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 3.14 | +406.1% | 0.004 | 3.81 | - |
63.6%
|
| 08/26/26 18:23:12 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.11 | +374.9% | 0.004 | 3.56 | - |
59.3%
|
| 08/26/26 18:18:12 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 3.07 | +344.6% | 0.042 | 3.29 | - |
54.8%
|
| 08/26/26 10:58:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 3.93 | +304.1% | 0.011 | 3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 08/23/26 10:17:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 5.13 | +235.9% | 0.004 | 3.28 | - |
54.6%
|
| 08/23/26 02:47:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 3.48 | +394.5% | 0.012 | 4.02 | - |
67%
|
| 08/23/26 02:42:52 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 3.44 | +297.1% | 0.007 | 3.03 | - |
50.5%
|
| 08/23/26 02:07:52 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 9.17 mph | 3.19 | +187.2% | 0.027 | 1.88 | 4.3 |
46.4%
|
| 08/22/26 17:32:51 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 6.93 mph | 2.87 | +141.3% | 0.023 | 1.35 | 3.59 |
36.9%
|
| 08/22/26 12:52:48 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.26 | +353.3% | 0.019 | 3.31 | - |
55.1%
|
| 08/19/26 17:02:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 3.19 | +327.7% | -0.05 | 3.16 | - |
52.7%
|
| 08/19/26 16:57:32 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 28.63 mph | 3.13 | +814.5% | 0.057 | 8.54 | 8.34 |
100%
|
| 08/19/26 16:47:32 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 3.13 | +300.2% | 0.004 | 3.14 | - |
52.3%
|
| 08/18/26 13:57:29 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 19.46 mph | 6.75 | +188.1% | 0.034 | 3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 08/17/26 14:07:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 3.77 | +321.3% | 0.038 | 3.15 | - |
52.6%
|
| 08/17/26 10:27:26 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 3.35 | +307.6% | 0.015 | 3.02 | - |
50.4%
|
| 08/16/26 14:12:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 2.97 | +322.2% | 0 | 3.09 | - |
51.5%
|
| 08/16/26 14:07:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 2.96 | +322.7% | 0.007 | 3.1 | - |
51.7%
|
| 08/16/26 13:52:25 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 8.05 mph | 3.01 | +167.1% | -0.026 | 1.59 | -3.59 |
38.9%
|
| 08/16/26 13:47:25 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 3 | +429% | 0.015 | 4.1 | - |
68.4%
|
| 08/14/26 17:27:20 | CRITICAL | Extreme Rate Spike | 8.05 mph | 2.97 | +171.1% | -0.064 | 1.56 | -9.32 |
79.6%
|
| 08/14/26 17:22:20 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 27.29 mph | 2.89 | +843.3% | 0.072 | 8.34 | 12.87 |
100%
|
| 08/14/26 16:17:20 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 4.47 mph | 2.84 | +57.6% | -0.019 | 0.56 | -3.62 |
30.6%
|
| 08/12/26 20:12:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 20.58 mph | 4.19 | +391.4% | 0.031 | 3.54 | - |
59.1%
|
| 08/12/26 19:47:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 4 | +358% | 0 | 3.22 | - |
53.6%
|
| 08/12/26 19:42:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 3.95 | +364.2% | 0.012 | 3.29 | - |
54.8%
|
| 08/12/26 19:27:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 3.81 | +381.8% | 0.004 | 3.46 | - |
57.7%
|
| 08/12/26 19:22:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 3.76 | +358% | 0.008 | 3.26 | - |
54.4%
|
| 08/12/26 19:12:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 3.68 | +367.4% | -0.004 | 3.38 | - |
56.3%
|
| 08/12/26 19:07:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 3.64 | +404.2% | 0.031 | 3.76 | - |
62.6%
|
| 08/12/26 18:52:15 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 21.7 mph | 3.54 | +513.1% | 0.049 | 4.89 | - |
81.5%
|
| 08/12/26 17:57:15 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.41 | +333% | 0.03 | 3.18 | - |
53%
|
| 08/12/26 16:07:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.45 | +327.8% | 0 | 3.16 | - |
52.6%
|
| 08/12/26 16:02:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.42 | +331.5% | 0.004 | 3.22 | - |
53.6%
|
| 08/12/26 15:52:14 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 3.34 | +416.1% | 0.034 | 4.1 | - |
68.4%
|
| 08/08/26 19:10:41 | WARNING | Rate Spike | 9.17 mph | 6.11 | +50.1% | -0.046 | 0.66 | -4.98 |
41%
|
| 08/08/26 19:05:41 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 22.82 mph | 6.08 | +275.6% | 0.016 | 3.66 | - |
61%
|
| 08/08/26 03:25:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 3.22 | +434.8% | 0.016 | 3.58 | - |
59.7%
|
| 08/08/26 03:15:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 3.13 | +407.6% | -0.008 | 3.35 | - |
55.8%
|
| 08/08/26 03:10:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 3.07 | +497.1% | 0.019 | 4.12 | - |
68.6%
|
| 08/08/26 03:00:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 2.98 | +478.7% | 0.019 | 3.98 | - |
66.3%
|
| 08/08/26 02:45:22 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 2.85 | +378.2% | 0.015 | 3.12 | - |
52.1%
|
| 08/07/26 15:15:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 2.41 | +420.7% | -0.004 | 3.19 | - |
53.1%
|
| 08/07/26 15:10:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 2.36 | +477.3% | 0.007 | 3.63 | - |
60.5%
|
| 08/07/26 15:00:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 2.28 | +546% | 0.026 | 4.18 | - |
69.7%
|
| 08/07/26 14:50:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 12.53 mph | 2.22 | +463.5% | -0.004 | 3.54 | - |
59%
|
| 08/07/26 14:45:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 2.18 | +525.6% | 0 | 4.04 | - |
67.3%
|
| 08/07/26 14:40:21 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 2.14 | +537.8% | -0.012 | 4.17 | - |
69.5%
|
| 08/07/26 14:35:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 17.22 mph | 2.09 | +723.8% | -0.007 | 5.78 | - |
96.3%
|
| 08/07/26 14:30:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 19.46 mph | 2.03 | +857.3% | 0.019 | 7.21 | - |
100%
|
| 08/07/26 14:25:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 1.99 | +584.3% | 0 | 5.02 | - |
83.7%
|
| 08/07/26 14:20:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 1.96 | +597.6% | 0.026 | 5.26 | - |
87.7%
|
| 08/07/26 14:10:21 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 13.65 mph | 1.9 | +618.7% | 0.022 | 5.58 | - |
93.1%
|
| 08/07/26 14:00:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 8.05 mph | 1.86 | +333.5% | -0.007 | 3.02 | - |
50.3%
|
| 08/07/26 13:55:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.29 mph | 1.83 | +463.4% | 0 | 4.24 | - |
70.7%
|
| 08/07/26 13:50:20 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 10.29 mph | 1.8 | +473% | 0.031 | 4.39 | - |
73.2%
|
| 08/06/26 08:14:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 18.34 mph | 4.34 | +322.9% | 0.019 | 3.17 | - |
52.8%
|
| 08/06/26 07:39:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 14.76 mph | 3.24 | +356.2% | 0.019 | 3.29 | - |
54.9%
|
| 08/06/26 07:14:10 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 15.88 mph | 2.39 | +564.6% | 0.026 | 5.71 | - |
95.1%
|
| 08/06/26 07:04:10 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 9.17 mph | 2.09 | +339.6% | -0.007 | 3.63 | - |
60.4%
|
| 08/06/26 06:59:10 | CRITICAL | Value & Rate Spike | 11.41 mph | 1.85 | +515.8% | 0.03 | 7.48 | 7.32 |
100%
|
| 08/06/26 06:44:09 | CRITICAL | Extreme Value Deviation | 6.93 mph | 1.66 | +316.3% | 0.008 | 5.41 | - |
90.1%
|
| 08/06/26 06:39:09 | WARNING | Value Deviation | 4.47 mph | 1.59 | +181.7% | 0.004 | 3.34 | - |
55.7%
|
🎬 Walk-Forward Forecast Cone Replay
Quick Compare:
|
Speed:
Trail:
⏱ Playhead Frame
—
📍 Fitted Value & Velocity
—
📐 Active Model & Fit
—
🔮 +1h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🔭 +4h Cone Forecast vs Actual
—
🎯 Running Replay Scorecard
—
🔮 Next Short Forecast (+1h)
0.834 mph
(-0.34)
Target: 06:01 · 80% Cone: [0 – 7.05]
🔭 Next Long Forecast (+4h)
0.303 mph
(-0.87)
Target: 09:01 · 80% Cone: [0 – 8.65]
🎯 Out-of-Sample Accuracy
84.7%
(118 checked)
MAE: 3.845 mph · RMSE: 5.367 mph · Fit R²=0.68
🚨 Historical Failures & Drift
14 diverged
⚡ 14 anom
11 minor drift · Max Z-Error: 4.37σ
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 09:01:37 (in 3.9h) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.79 | 1.175 mph | 0.303 mph [0 – 8.65] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 06:01:37 (in 52m) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.79 | 1.175 mph | 0.834 mph [0 – 7.05] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 19.213 mph | 24.381 mph [16.35 – 32.41] | 3.36 mph | -21.021 mph | 3.33σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 19.213 mph | 18.375 mph [12.4 – 24.35] | 30.87 mph | +12.495 mph | 2.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 09:01:37 (in 3.9h) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.79 | 1.175 mph | 0.303 mph [0 – 8.65] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/03/26 06:01:37 (in 52m) | 11/03 05:03:26 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.79 | 1.175 mph | 0.834 mph [0 – 7.05] | ⏳ Waiting | - | - | ⏳ Pending |
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 19.213 mph | 24.381 mph [16.35 – 32.41] | 3.36 mph | -21.021 mph | 3.33σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 19.213 mph | 18.375 mph [12.4 – 24.35] | 30.87 mph | +12.495 mph | 2.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/25/26 17:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.54 | 12.238 mph | 16.427 mph [12.09 – 20.77] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/25/26 14:51:43 | 10/25 13:54:50 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.54 | 12.238 mph | 13.875 mph [10.65 – 17.11] | No reading | - | - | No Reading |
| 10/23/26 19:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.49 | 16.177 mph | 16.073 mph [7.47 – 24.67] | 8.05 mph | -8.023 mph | 1.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 16:20:48 | 10/23 15:24:07 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.49 | 16.177 mph | 16.137 mph [9.74 – 22.54] | 18.34 mph | +2.203 mph | 0.44σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 09:10:46 | 10/23 05:15:37 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.52 | 12.439 mph | 14.953 mph [7.66 – 22.25] | 12.53 mph | -2.423 mph | 0.42σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 07:35:44 | 10/23 03:38:56 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.52 | 12.995 mph | 11.78 mph [4.43 – 19.13] | 9.17 mph | -2.61 mph | 0.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 06:10:46 | 10/23 05:15:37 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.52 | 12.439 mph | 13.422 mph [7.99 – 18.85] | 11.41 mph | -2.012 mph | 0.47σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 05:40:44 | 10/23 01:40:54 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.53 | 13.029 mph | 12.994 mph [5.88 – 20.11] | 22.82 mph | +9.826 mph | 1.76σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/23/26 05:10:44 | 10/23 01:14:36 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.50 | 12.339 mph | 15.565 mph [8.17 – 22.96] | 17.22 mph | +1.655 mph | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 04:35:44 | 10/23 03:38:56 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.52 | 12.995 mph | 12.52 mph [7.05 – 17.99] | 11.41 mph | -1.11 mph | 0.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 02:40:44 | 10/23 01:40:54 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.53 | 13.029 mph | 13.015 mph [7.72 – 18.31] | 8.05 mph | -4.965 mph | 1.2σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 02:10:44 | 10/23 01:14:36 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.50 | 12.339 mph | 13.6 mph [8.1 – 19.11] | 13.65 mph | +0.05 mph | 0.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:55:43 | 10/22 20:59:25 | +4h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.54 | 10.323 mph | 7.712 mph [0.98 – 14.44] | 12.53 mph | +4.818 mph | 0.91σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/23/26 00:00:42 | 10/22 20:04:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 12.333 mph | 3.934 mph [0 – 9.74] | 15.88 mph | +11.946 mph | 2.62σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 23:40:42 | 10/22 19:41:46 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 13.403 mph | 5.417 mph [0 – 11.36] | 17.22 mph | +11.803 mph | 2.53σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 23:15:42 | 10/22 19:16:35 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 13.509 mph | 5.069 mph [0 – 10.95] | 13.65 mph | +8.581 mph | 1.85σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 22:30:42 | 10/22 18:34:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 13.713 mph | 5.863 mph [0.27 – 11.45] | 5.82 mph | -0.043 mph | 0.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 21:55:43 | 10/22 20:59:25 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.54 | 10.323 mph | 9.303 mph [4.29 – 14.31] | 0 mph | -9.303 mph | 2.37σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 21:00:42 | 10/22 20:04:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 12.333 mph | 8.782 mph [4.46 – 13.11] | 3.36 mph | -5.422 mph | 1.6σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:45:41 | 10/22 16:46:04 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 11.46 mph | 5.861 mph [0.22 – 11.51] | 10.29 mph | +4.429 mph | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:40:42 | 10/22 19:41:46 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 13.403 mph | 10.397 mph [5.98 – 14.82] | 9.17 mph | -1.227 mph | 0.35σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:15:42 | 10/22 19:16:35 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 13.509 mph | 10.376 mph [6 – 14.76] | 13.65 mph | +3.274 mph | 0.95σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 20:00:41 | 10/22 16:01:31 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 7.157 mph | 2.774 mph [0 – 8.21] | 10.29 mph | +7.516 mph | 1.76σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 19:30:42 | 10/22 18:34:47 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 13.713 mph | 11.351 mph [7.19 – 15.51] | 10.29 mph | -1.061 mph | 0.33σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 18:55:41 | 10/22 14:57:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 5.055 mph | 1.071 mph [0 – 6.31] | 10.29 mph | +9.219 mph | 2.24σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 18:25:41 | 10/22 14:29:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 5.185 mph | 1.314 mph [0 – 6.69] | 12.53 mph | +11.216 mph | 2.65σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 18:05:41 | 10/22 14:08:41 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 5.671 mph | 1.636 mph [0 – 6.95] | 12.53 mph | +10.894 mph | 2.61σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:45:41 | 10/22 16:46:04 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 11.46 mph | 11.117 mph [6.92 – 15.32] | 15.88 mph | +4.763 mph | 1.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 17:20:41 | 10/22 13:24:08 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 3.831 mph | 1.55 mph [0 – 6.94] | 12.53 mph | +10.98 mph | 2.59σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:00:41 | 10/22 16:01:31 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 7.157 mph | 6.707 mph [2.66 – 10.76] | 20.58 mph | +13.873 mph | 4.37σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:35:41 | 10/22 12:38:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 4.449 mph | 3.59 mph [0 – 8.82] | 17.22 mph | +13.63 mph | 3.32σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 15:55:41 | 10/22 14:57:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 5.055 mph | 4.659 mph [0.76 – 8.56] | 12.53 mph | +7.871 mph | 2.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 15:50:41 | 10/22 11:54:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.63 | 5.321 mph | 4.6 mph [0 – 10.18] | 12.53 mph | +7.93 mph | 1.81σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 15:25:41 | 10/22 14:29:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 5.185 mph | 4.685 mph [0.68 – 8.69] | 9.17 mph | +4.485 mph | 1.43σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 15:05:41 | 10/22 14:08:41 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 5.671 mph | 5.389 mph [1.43 – 9.35] | 5.82 mph | +0.431 mph | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:50:41 | 10/22 10:50:53 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 4.612 mph | 3.844 mph [0 – 9.37] | 8.05 mph | +4.206 mph | 0.97σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:25:40 | 10/22 10:25:44 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 4.854 mph | 4.231 mph [0 – 9.6] | 5.82 mph | +1.589 mph | 0.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 14:20:41 | 10/22 13:24:08 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 3.831 mph | 4.068 mph [0.06 – 8.08] | 4.47 mph | +0.402 mph | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:35:41 | 10/22 12:38:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 4.449 mph | 5.315 mph [1.43 – 9.2] | 6.93 mph | +1.615 mph | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 13:20:39 | 10/22 09:21:47 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 6.625 mph | 7.255 mph [1.94 – 12.57] | 5.82 mph | -1.435 mph | 0.34σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:50:41 | 10/22 11:54:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.63 | 5.321 mph | 6.085 mph [1.93 – 10.24] | 4.47 mph | -1.615 mph | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:30:39 | 10/22 08:32:51 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 6.774 mph | 9.16 mph [3.8 – 14.52] | 6.93 mph | -2.23 mph | 0.53σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 12:00:39 | 10/22 08:02:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 7.129 mph | 9.748 mph [4.55 – 14.94] | 6.93 mph | -2.818 mph | 0.69σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:50:41 | 10/22 10:50:53 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 4.612 mph | 4.464 mph [0.35 – 8.58] | 6.93 mph | +2.466 mph | 0.77σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:35:38 | 10/22 07:39:54 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 6.393 mph | 9.411 mph [4.25 – 14.57] | 5.82 mph | -3.591 mph | 0.88σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 11:25:40 | 10/22 10:25:44 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 4.854 mph | 4.581 mph [0.59 – 8.57] | 4.47 mph | -0.111 mph | 0.04σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 10:40:38 | 10/22 06:42:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 2.47 mph | 4.493 mph [0 – 9.61] | 4.47 mph | -0.023 mph | 0.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 10:20:39 | 10/22 09:21:47 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 6.625 mph | 6.775 mph [2.82 – 10.73] | 5.82 mph | -0.955 mph | 0.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 10:15:38 | 10/22 06:16:16 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 3.04 mph | 4.639 mph [0 – 9.85] | 5.82 mph | +1.181 mph | 0.29σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:30:39 | 10/22 08:32:51 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 6.774 mph | 7.672 mph [3.68 – 11.66] | 1.12 mph | -6.552 mph | 2.1σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 09:25:38 | 10/22 05:29:40 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 5.35 mph | 6.649 mph [1.64 – 11.66] | 1.12 mph | -5.529 mph | 1.4σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 09:00:39 | 10/22 08:02:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 7.129 mph | 8.282 mph [4.42 – 12.15] | 4.47 mph | -3.812 mph | 1.26σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 08:35:38 | 10/22 07:39:54 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 6.393 mph | 7.351 mph [3.51 – 11.19] | 6.93 mph | -0.421 mph | 0.14σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 07:40:38 | 10/22 06:42:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 2.47 mph | 1.856 mph [0 – 5.66] | 10.29 mph | +8.434 mph | 2.83σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 07:15:38 | 10/22 06:16:16 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 3.04 mph | 2.288 mph [0 – 6.17] | 12.53 mph | +10.242 mph | 3.37σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 06:25:38 | 10/22 05:29:40 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 5.35 mph | 5.277 mph [1.55 – 9.01] | 0 mph | -5.277 mph | 1.81σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 03:55:36 | 10/21 23:59:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.72 | 3.048 mph | 1.737 mph [0 – 6.59] | 3.36 mph | +1.623 mph | 0.43σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:30:36 | 10/21 23:33:29 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 3.431 mph | 1.956 mph [0 – 6.57] | 2.24 mph | +0.284 mph | 0.08σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 03:05:36 | 10/21 23:09:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 3.789 mph | 2.723 mph [0 – 7.32] | 2.24 mph | -0.483 mph | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 02:20:36 | 10/21 22:22:00 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 4.365 mph | 3.786 mph [0 – 8.45] | 4.47 mph | +0.684 mph | 0.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:55:36 | 10/21 23:59:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.72 | 3.048 mph | 2.458 mph [0 – 6.07] | 11.41 mph | +8.952 mph | 3.16σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 00:30:36 | 10/21 23:33:29 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 3.431 mph | 2.72 mph [0 – 6.16] | 6.93 mph | +4.21 mph | 1.56σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/22/26 00:20:35 | 10/21 20:25:16 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 0.792 mph | 1.981 mph [0 – 6.54] | 8.05 mph | +6.069 mph | 1.69σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 00:05:36 | 10/21 23:09:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 3.789 mph | 3.268 mph [0 – 6.69] | 3.36 mph | +0.092 mph | 0.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 23:35:35 | 10/21 19:38:02 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 0 mph | 0.57 mph [0 – 5.09] | 0 mph | -0.57 mph | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 23:20:36 | 10/21 22:22:00 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 4.365 mph | 4.337 mph [0.87 – 7.81] | 0 mph | -4.337 mph | 1.59σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:20:35 | 10/21 20:25:16 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 0.792 mph | 1.016 mph [0 – 4.41] | 0 mph | -1.016 mph | 0.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 21:20:35 | 10/21 17:25:29 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 4.48] | 0 mph | 0 mph | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:40:35 | 10/21 16:40:56 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 1.988 mph | 0 mph [0 – 4.34] | 4.47 mph | +4.47 mph | 1.31σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 20:35:35 | 10/21 19:38:02 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.36] | 2.24 mph | +2.24 mph | 0.85σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 19:55:35 | 10/21 15:59:08 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.72 | 4.078 mph | 0 mph [0 – 4.91] | 3.36 mph | +3.36 mph | 0.87σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:20:35 | 10/21 17:25:29 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.33] | 0 mph | 0 mph | 0σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 18:05:35 | 10/21 14:06:22 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 8.833 mph | 3.758 mph [0 – 8.53] | 0 mph | -3.758 mph | 1σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:40:35 | 10/21 16:40:56 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 1.988 mph | 0.425 mph [0 – 3.66] | 1.12 mph | +0.695 mph | 0.27σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:40:35 | 10/21 13:42:42 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 8.17 mph | 3.413 mph [0 – 8] | 1.12 mph | -2.293 mph | 0.63σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 17:20:35 | 10/21 13:21:48 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 8.294 mph | 4.348 mph [0 – 9.33] | 1.12 mph | -3.228 mph | 0.82σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 16:55:35 | 10/21 15:59:08 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.72 | 4.078 mph | 2.415 mph [0 – 6.07] | 1.12 mph | -1.295 mph | 0.45σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 16:35:35 | 10/21 12:39:57 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 7.593 mph | 5.941 mph [1.07 – 10.81] | 2.24 mph | -3.701 mph | 0.97σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 15:55:35 | 10/21 11:56:45 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 7.943 mph | 8.088 mph [3.14 – 13.04] | 1.12 mph | -6.968 mph | 1.79σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 15:15:35 | 10/21 11:16:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 6.401 mph | 8.714 mph [4.2 – 13.23] | 5.82 mph | -2.894 mph | 0.82σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 15:05:35 | 10/21 14:06:22 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.74 | 8.833 mph | 8.762 mph [5.21 – 12.32] | 4.47 mph | -4.292 mph | 1.54σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:40:35 | 10/21 13:42:42 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 8.17 mph | 7.938 mph [4.52 – 11.36] | 5.82 mph | -2.118 mph | 0.79σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:25:35 | 10/21 10:27:50 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 4.02 mph | 8.809 mph [4.18 – 13.44] | 6.93 mph | -1.879 mph | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:20:35 | 10/21 13:21:48 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 8.294 mph | 8.373 mph [4.67 – 12.08] | 6.93 mph | -1.443 mph | 0.5σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 14:00:35 | 10/21 10:03:52 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 2.348 mph | 7.957 mph [3.32 – 12.59] | 10.29 mph | +2.333 mph | 0.64σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:35:35 | 10/21 12:39:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.75 | 7.593 mph | 8.617 mph [4.99 – 12.24] | 10.29 mph | +1.673 mph | 0.59σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 13:35:35 | 10/21 09:40:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 1.662 mph | 7.778 mph [3.03 – 12.53] | 10.29 mph | +2.512 mph | 0.67σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:55:35 | 10/21 11:56:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.73 | 7.943 mph | 9.597 mph [5.91 – 13.28] | 9.17 mph | -0.427 mph | 0.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 12:15:35 | 10/21 11:16:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 6.401 mph | 8.584 mph [5.23 – 11.94] | 6.93 mph | -1.654 mph | 0.63σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:25:35 | 10/21 10:27:50 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 4.02 mph | 6.548 mph [3.11 – 9.99] | 8.05 mph | +1.502 mph | 0.56σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 11:00:35 | 10/21 10:03:52 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 2.348 mph | 4.662 mph [1.21 – 8.11] | 6.93 mph | +2.268 mph | 0.84σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 10:35:35 | 10/21 09:40:11 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.77 | 1.662 mph | 3.696 mph [0.16 – 7.23] | 6.93 mph | +3.234 mph | 1.17σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/21/26 05:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 1.637 mph | 8.98 mph [4.18 – 13.78] | 0 mph | -8.98 mph | 2.38σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/21/26 02:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 1.637 mph | 3.395 mph [0 – 6.97] | 0 mph | -3.395 mph | 1.21σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 19:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 9.603 mph | 5.222 mph [0.62 – 9.82] | 1.12 mph | -4.102 mph | 1.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 16:35:30 | 10/20 15:37:05 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.76 | 9.603 mph | 8.653 mph [5.23 – 12.08] | 9.17 mph | +0.517 mph | 0.19σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/20/26 01:55:26 | 10/19 21:59:36 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 1.592 mph | 1.959 mph [0 – 6.67] | 2.24 mph | +1.401 mph | 0.38σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 22:55:26 | 10/19 21:59:36 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 1.592 mph | 1.71 mph [0 – 5.21] | 0 mph | -1.71 mph | 0.62σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:55:26 | 10/19 20:55:26 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 0.368 mph | 0.264 mph [0 – 3.71] | 3.36 mph | +3.096 mph | 1.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 21:55:25 | 10/19 17:55:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 4.64] | 3.36 mph | +3.36 mph | 0.92σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 20:55:25 | 10/19 19:55:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.42] | 0 mph | +2.24 mph | 0.83σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 18:55:25 | 10/19 17:55:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 0 mph | 0 mph [0 – 3.45] | 2.24 mph | +2.24 mph | 0.83σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 17:55:25 | 10/19 13:55:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 8.379 mph | 3.801 mph [0 – 8.47] | 0 mph | -3.801 mph | 1.03σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 14:55:25 | 10/19 13:55:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 8.379 mph | 8.059 mph [4.58 – 11.54] | 6.93 mph | -2.239 mph | 0.82σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 13:55:25 | 10/19 09:55:25 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 6.556 mph | 8.613 mph [4.01 – 13.21] | 8.05 mph | +0.557 mph | 0.15σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 10:55:25 | 10/19 09:55:25 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 6.556 mph | 7.609 mph [4.19 – 11.03] | 8.05 mph | +0.441 mph | 0.16σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 09:55:24 | 10/19 05:55:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 2.37 mph | 5.974 mph [1.39 – 10.56] | 2.24 mph | -2.614 mph | 0.73σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 06:55:24 | 10/19 05:55:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 2.37 mph | 2.677 mph [0 – 6.09] | 1.12 mph | -1.557 mph | 0.58σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 05:55:23 | 10/19 01:55:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.69 | 3.535 mph | 4.454 mph [0 – 8.97] | 0 mph | -4.454 mph | 1.25σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 02:55:23 | 10/19 01:55:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.69 | 3.535 mph | 3.597 mph [0.24 – 6.96] | 2.24 mph | -1.357 mph | 0.52σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/19/26 01:55:23 | 10/18 21:55:23 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 0.378 mph | 2.503 mph [0 – 6.97] | 1.12 mph | -1.383 mph | 0.39σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 22:55:23 | 10/18 21:55:23 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 0.378 mph | 0.792 mph [0 – 4.11] | 0 mph | +0.328 mph | 0.13σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 21:55:21 | 10/18 17:55:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.60 | 3.166 mph | 0.072 mph [0 – 4.84] | 1.12 mph | +1.048 mph | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 18:55:21 | 10/18 17:55:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.60 | 3.166 mph | 1.461 mph [0 – 5.01] | 0 mph | +0.779 mph | 0.28σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 17:55:21 | 10/18 13:55:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 11.425 mph | 8.769 mph [4.72 – 12.82] | 0 mph | -8.769 mph | 2.75σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/18/26 14:55:21 | 10/18 13:55:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 11.425 mph | 11.556 mph [8.54 – 14.57] | 9.17 mph | -2.386 mph | 1.01σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 13:55:21 | 10/18 09:55:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 7.322 mph | 9.744 mph [5.74 – 13.75] | 13.65 mph | +2.786 mph | 0.88σ | ✓ Accurate |
| 10/18/26 10:55:21 | 10/18 09:55:21 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 7.322 mph | 8.294 mph [5.31 – 11.28] | 11.41 mph | +1.996 mph | 0.85σ | ✓ Accurate |
|
| Target Time | Predicted At | Horizon | Model & R² | Start Value | Predicted (80% Cone) | Actual Reading | Error (Actual − Pred) | Z-Error | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 07:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 19.213 mph | 24.381 mph [16.35 – 32.41] | 3.36 mph | -21.021 mph | 3.33σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 11/02/26 04:47:55 | 11/02 03:48:39 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.81 | 19.213 mph | 18.375 mph [12.4 – 24.35] | 30.87 mph | +12.495 mph | 2.67σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/23/26 00:00:42 | 10/22 20:04:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 12.333 mph | 3.934 mph [0 – 9.74] | 15.88 mph | +11.946 mph | 2.62σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 23:40:42 | 10/22 19:41:46 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 13.403 mph | 5.417 mph [0 – 11.36] | 17.22 mph | +11.803 mph | 2.53σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 21:55:43 | 10/22 20:59:25 | +1h | Adaptive LOESS R²=0.54 | 10.323 mph | 9.303 mph [4.29 – 14.31] | 0 mph | -9.303 mph | 2.37σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 18:55:41 | 10/22 14:57:24 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 5.055 mph | 1.071 mph [0 – 6.31] | 10.29 mph | +9.219 mph | 2.24σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 18:25:41 | 10/22 14:29:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.64 | 5.185 mph | 1.314 mph [0 – 6.69] | 12.53 mph | +11.216 mph | 2.65σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 18:05:41 | 10/22 14:08:41 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 5.671 mph | 1.636 mph [0 – 6.95] | 12.53 mph | +10.894 mph | 2.61σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:20:41 | 10/22 13:24:08 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 3.831 mph | 1.55 mph [0 – 6.94] | 12.53 mph | +10.98 mph | 2.59σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 17:00:41 | 10/22 16:01:31 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.65 | 7.157 mph | 6.707 mph [2.66 – 10.76] | 20.58 mph | +13.873 mph | 4.37σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 16:35:41 | 10/22 12:38:11 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 4.449 mph | 3.59 mph [0 – 8.82] | 17.22 mph | +13.63 mph | 3.32σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 15:55:41 | 10/22 14:57:24 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 5.055 mph | 4.659 mph [0.76 – 8.56] | 12.53 mph | +7.871 mph | 2.57σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 09:30:39 | 10/22 08:32:51 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.66 | 6.774 mph | 7.672 mph [3.68 – 11.66] | 1.12 mph | -6.552 mph | 2.1σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/22/26 07:40:38 | 10/22 06:42:45 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.68 | 2.47 mph | 1.856 mph [0 – 5.66] | 10.29 mph | +8.434 mph | 2.83σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 07:15:38 | 10/22 06:16:16 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 3.04 mph | 2.288 mph [0 – 6.17] | 12.53 mph | +10.242 mph | 3.37σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/22/26 00:55:36 | 10/21 23:59:57 | +1h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.72 | 3.048 mph | 2.458 mph [0 – 6.07] | 11.41 mph | +8.952 mph | 3.16σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |
| 10/21/26 05:45:33 | 10/21 01:49:34 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.78 | 1.637 mph | 8.98 mph [4.18 – 13.78] | 0 mph | -8.98 mph | 2.38σ | ~ Minor Drift |
| 10/18/26 17:55:21 | 10/18 13:55:21 | +4h | Diurnal + Trend R²=0.67 | 11.425 mph | 8.769 mph [4.72 – 12.82] | 0 mph | -8.769 mph | 2.75σ | ⚡ Anomaly Logged |